| Study Period | 2021 - 2030 |
| Base Year For Estimation | 2024 |
| Forecast Data Period | 2025 - 2030 |
| Historical Data Period | 2021 - 2023 |
| CAGR | 2.32% |
| Market Concentration | High |
Major Players
*Disclaimer: Major Players sorted in no particular order |
East Africa Oil and Gas Downstream Market Analysis by Mordor Intelligence
The East Africa Oil and Gas Downstream Market is expected to register a CAGR of greater than 2.32% during the forecast period.
The market was negatively impacted by COVID-19 in 2020. Currently. The market has reached pre-pandemic levels.
- Over the long term, the increasing demand for oil and natural gas is expected to boost the demand for the East Africa oil and gas downstream market during the forecast period.
- On the other hand, political instability, due to civil war, in countries of East Africa, like South Sudan and Somalia, are restraints in the growth of the oil and gas downstream sector.
- Nevertheless, an increase in oil and gas production in the region is expected to increase the refining throughput capacity, which will enable the downstream market to grow.
- South Sudan is expected to dominate the market due to increased investment in the oil and gas downstream market.
East Africa Oil and Gas Downstream Market Trends and Insights
Refinery Capacity to Witness growth
- The East African countries have low refining capacity compared to the population in the region. Central gas wells have been discovered in the area's coastal lands. Nations like Mozambique and Tanzania have tried to ramp up projects to increase natural gas production.
- In 2022, Africa had the continent's 600 trillion cubic feet of proven natural gas reserves. South Sudan has over 3.5 billion barrels of crude oil reserves, and Mozambique has more than 180 trillion cubic feet of natural gas reserves. While Kenya had a commercially extractable volume of 585 million barrels in 2021. The vast potential in Eastern African countries strengthens the expansion of refining capacity.
- Furthermore, East Africa's companies are expected to invest in the oil and gas industry in the East Africa region. The investment would likely increase production and create an opportunity for cheaper oil and gas for the refineries. Thus, new investments are expected to be added in the refineries and petrochemicals sector in the forecast period.
- Moreover, in 2021, the oil consumption of Eastern Africa grew by 7% to 588 thousand barrels daily, which was 549 thousand barrels daily in 2020. The growing demand for oil in the Eastern African region is anticipated to drive refining capacity growth.
- Hence, refining capacity is expected to increase in the forecast period due to the region's gas production increase.
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South Sudan to Witness Significant Growth
- As per the Oil & Gas Journal, Sudan and South Sudan collectively held proven oil reserves of 5 billion barrels as of January 2022. In the recent licensing round, Sudan offered eight oil blocks to revamp upstream development and awards will be announced tentatively in 2023.
- South Sudan launched its first-ever licensing round in 2021, offering five exploration licenses, through which the government hopes to attract a diverse group of foreign investors to stimulate upstream investment and increase its crude oil production. The government collected the expressions of interest till August 23, 2022, and will likely organize investor events later to provide more data and transparency for the blocks on offers.
- Sudan's storage facilities for crude oil and refined products are situated at the Bashayer Marine Terminal. The Bashayer Marine Terminal is operated by Greater Nile Petroleum Operating Company (GNPOC), which has a storage facility with a capacity of 2.5 million barrels and an export and import facility with a handling capacity of 1.2 million b/d.
- In 2021, the oil production in South Sudan was 7.5 Million Tonnes, a decrease of 8% from the previous year. The oil production in South Sudan has witnessed both upward & downward trend in the past. With the tapping of huge oil & gas resource potential that presently South Sudan holds would lead to increase in downstream market activities in future.
- The South Sudan oil and gas downstream industry is expected to witness growth during the forecast period due to the initiation of government efforts to start exploration activities in the country.
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Competitive Landscape
The East Africa oil and gas downstream market is consolidated. The major companies include (in no particular order) Sudan National Petroleum Corporation, China National Petroleum Corporation, Eni SpA, Royal Dutch Shell PLC, and Petrogal SA.
East Africa Oil and Gas Downstream Industry Leaders
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Sudan National Petroleum Corporation
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China National Petroleum Corporation
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Eni S.P.A.
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Royal Dutch Shell PLC
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Petrogal SA
- *Disclaimer: Major Players sorted in no particular order
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Recent Industry Developments
- In December 2022, Savannah Energy declared the acquisition of producing oil fields in South Sudan from Malaysian state oil and gas company Petronas. The investment is valued at USD 1.25 billion. The other partners include the international energy company, the China National Petroleum Corporation, India's flagship energy major, the Oil and Natural Gas Corporation, and South Sudan's national oil and gas company, Nilepet.
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East Africa Oil and Gas Downstream Market Report Scope
The downstream refers to the activities undertaken post-production of crude oil and natural gas. It is the last step in the entire value chain of the oil and gas sector, which includes refining crude oil into consumable products and its marketing and distribution for end-users. The downstream segment is a global business that houses a network of service stations, dealers, jobber distributors, and international companies that possess distribution assets to reach retail end-users.
The East Africa oil and gas downstream market is segmented into refineries, petrochemical plants, and geography. The report covers the market size and forecasts for all major countries in East Africa. The market sizing and forecast are done based on refining installed capacity (in thousand barrels per day).
Geography
| Mozambique |
| South Sudan |
| Kenya |
| Rest of East Africa |
| Geography | Mozambique |
| South Sudan | |
| Kenya | |
| Rest of East Africa |
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Key Questions Answered in the Report
What is the current East Africa Oil and Gas Downstream Market size?
The East Africa Oil and Gas Downstream Market is projected to register a CAGR of greater than 2.32% during the forecast period (2025-2030)
Who are the key players in East Africa Oil and Gas Downstream Market?
Sudan National Petroleum Corporation, China National Petroleum Corporation, Eni S.P.A., Royal Dutch Shell PLC and Petrogal SA are the major companies operating in the East Africa Oil and Gas Downstream Market.
What years does this East Africa Oil and Gas Downstream Market cover?
The report covers the East Africa Oil and Gas Downstream Market historical market size for years: 2021, 2022, 2023 and 2024. The report also forecasts the East Africa Oil and Gas Downstream Market size for years: 2025, 2026, 2027, 2028, 2029 and 2030.
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East Africa Oil and Gas Downstream Market Report
Statistics for the 2025 East Africa Oil and Gas Downstream market share, size and revenue growth rate, created by Mordor Intelligence™ Industry Reports. East Africa Oil and Gas Downstream analysis includes a market forecast outlook for 2025 to 2030 and historical overview. Get a sample of this industry analysis as a free report PDF download.
