Macadamia Nuts Market Size and Share
Macadamia Nuts Market Analysis by Mordor Intelligence
The macadamia nuts market size reached USD 1.79 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 2.78 billion by 2030, with a CAGR of 9.2%. This growth is driven by increasing demand in premium healthy snacking and specialty ingredient segments. Consumer awareness of the nuts' high monounsaturated fat content and their benefits for cardiovascular health and skin care supports premium pricing compared to other tree nuts. While production expansion in South Africa, Australia, and Kenya has increased supply, the extended maturation period of macadamia trees limits market availability, supporting stable farm-gate prices. The market benefits from increased industrial procurement for plant-based dairy alternatives, cosmetic oils, and protein concentrates, reducing the seasonal volatility previously dominated by retail gift sales. Industry improvements in optical sorting technology, kernel extraction efficiency, and sustainable farming practices have enhanced production yields, strengthening the market's competitive position.
Key Report Takeaways
- By geography, Asia-Pacific accounted for 46% volume share of the macadamia nuts market size in 2024, while Africa records the highest projected CAGR at 7.8% between 2025 and 2030.
Global Macadamia Nuts Market Trends and Insights
Drivers Impact Analysis
| Driver | (~) % Impact on CAGR Forecast | Geographic Relevance | Impact Timeline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Accelerated Demand from Premium Plant-based Dairy Producers | 2.1% | Global, with concentration in North America and Europe | Medium term (2-4 years) |
| Expanding Cosmetic-grade Oil Applications | 1.8% | Global, led by Asia-Pacific and North America | Long term (≥ 4 years) |
| Surging Investment in Regenerative Nut Farming | 1.5% | Africa and Australia primarily | Long term (≥ 4 years) |
| Rising Popularity of Macadamia-based Protein Concentrates | 1.3% | North America and Europe | Medium term (2-4 years) |
| Adoption of Integrated Orchard-processing Models | 1.1% | Australia and South Africa | Medium term (2-4 years) |
| Favorable Tariff Revisions in Key Importing Nations | 0.9% | China and European Union | Short term (≤ 2 years) |
| Source: Mordor Intelligence | |||
Accelerated Demand from Premium Plant-based Dairy Producers
Macadamias are gaining prominence among plant-based beverage manufacturers for their natural creamy texture, which minimizes the need for additives. This characteristic makes them suitable for premium "barista ready" products that serve coffeehouse chains and upscale retailers. Manufacturers are establishing long-term supply contracts with growers in Australia and South Africa, increasing farm revenue and supporting orchard renewal. Advanced extraction methods preserve flavor, increasing product appeal in global markets. Recent regulatory changes in Europe permit nut milks to use traditional dairy terms, eliminating a significant marketing constraint and creating new opportunities for brand positioning.
Expanding Cosmetic-grade Oil Applications
Macadamia oil's lipid profile mirrors human skin oils, making it valuable for anti-aging skincare products. Beauty companies in Asia and Western markets incorporate it into high-end formulations for enhanced hydration and antioxidant protection. Advanced extraction methods increase its effectiveness, enabling premium positioning and enhanced consumer appeal. Companies obtain oil from certified orchards to validate sustainability claims and enhance traceability. The oil's value as a coproduct strengthens financial stability for nut processors, who benefit from multiple revenue streams while meeting increased demand in the luxury personal care market.
Surging Investment in Regenerative Nut Farming
Macadamia growers are implementing regenerative practices including cover cropping and compost-based pest control to enhance soil health and increase yields. These methods enable certification under organic and sustainability programs, securing premium pricing in niche retail markets. Organic macadamias realized a 30–40% price premium over conventional kernels in U.S. natural grocers, reinforcing the financial viability of these approaches.[1]U.S. Department of Agriculture, “National Organic Program,” usda.gov Some farms generate additional income through carbon credits, funding environmental improvements such as solar panels and efficient irrigation. Australian producers implement similar methods to reduce water consumption during adverse weather conditions. The environmental benefits appeal to younger consumers, enabling brands to build customer loyalty and distinguish themselves in a market focused on climate-conscious sourcing.
Rising Popularity of Macadamia-based Protein Concentrates
Manufacturers are converting macadamia press-cake into high-purity protein concentrates that exceed the performance of other nut-based alternatives. These proteins enhance sports drinks and gluten-free baked goods, providing functional benefits in texture and nutrition. Manufacturers are increasing production through advanced reactors, improving process efficiency and cost-effectiveness. The protein's adaptability and premium position improve processor margins, encouraging investment in integrated facilities. As plant-based protein demand increases, macadamia concentrates establish a position in health-focused and gourmet food segments, providing an effective alternative to conventional ingredients.
Restraints Impact Analysis
| Restraint | (~) % Impact on CAGR Forecast | Geographic Relevance | Impact Timeline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price Volatility due to Weather-sensitive Harvests | -1.7% | Global, particularly Australia and South Africa | Short term (≤ 2 years) |
| Lengthy Juvenile Period of Macadamia Trees | -1.4% | All producing regions | Long term (≥ 4 years) |
| Capital-intensive Post-harvest Cracking Infrastructure | -1.2% | Emerging producing regions | Medium term (2-4 years) |
| Competition from Lower-priced Tree Nuts | -0.8% | Global, especially price-sensitive markets | Medium term (2-4 years) |
| Source: Mordor Intelligence | |||
Price Volatility due to Weather-sensitive Harvests
Macadamia production is sensitive to weather conditions, particularly during the flowering period. While unseasonal rainfall can increase yields, it also leads to quality defects. Crop insurance policies typically do not cover these quality-related issues, exposing producers to financial risks. Restrictions on fungicide usage limit disease management options during humid conditions. The resulting lower kernel grades reduce processing efficiency and create price instability. To mitigate these challenges, buyers source macadamias from diverse regions including South Africa, Kenya, and Australia. This diversification helps maintain product quality standards and reduces the impact of regional harvest variations on global supply chains.
Competition from Lower-priced Tree Nuts
The macadamia market faces competition from more affordable tree nuts such as almonds, cashews, and peanuts, particularly during economic downturns when consumers seek cost-effective alternatives. Confectionery manufacturers often adjust their formulations to incorporate less expensive nuts while maintaining product taste, which reduces macadamia demand. The industry responds by emphasizing macadamia's distinctive characteristics - flavor, texture, and nutritional value - to support premium pricing. While macadamias maintain their premium market position, the presence of lower-priced alternatives constrains their expansion in mainstream markets. The industry focuses on origin stories and strategic placement in health food and premium segments to sustain consumer interest.
Geography Analysis
Asia-Pacific held 46% of the macadamia market nuts share in 2024, primarily due to increased Chinese imports following tariff reductions that decreased landed costs. Australia benefits from its geographic location, delivering kernels to Guangzhou within two weeks through chilled containers to maintain quality. The cooperative reinvests levies collected under Australia’s increased 2025 rates into orchard innovation and disease research, reinforcing supply chain resilience.[2]Australian Government, “Macadamia Nuts Levy and Charge,” agriculture.gov.au Japan's demand remains stable through its premium chocolate industry, while Vietnam shows increased consumption through modern retail channels due to its expanding middle class. Regional processors are obtaining HACCP and BRC safety certifications to comply with e-commerce platform requirements.
Africa, with South Africa and Kenya as key producers, shows the highest regional growth rate at 7.8% CAGR from 2025 to 2030. The region supplies 25% of global kernel production, using advanced sorting technologies to improve export quality. Kenya's temporary halt in in-shell harvesting has improved shipment quality standards and buyer confidence. The implementation of regenerative farming practices helps combat drought effects, while new orchards in Tanzania and Malawi utilize South African agricultural expertise to expand regional production.
North America and Europe focus on premium market segments. Hawaii maintains its macadamia production alongside tourism, while California explores macadamia cultivation in citrus-affected areas. European markets prioritize certified organic and Fairtrade kernels, supporting small-scale farmers in Kenya and Guatemala. Middle Eastern countries consider nuts as essential food items, with Saudi Arabia streamlining import procedures to increase protein source diversity.[3]Agriculture and Food Security, “Establishing National Food Priority in Saudi Arabia,” biomedcentral.com
Recent Industry Developments
- June 2024: Love Macadamia, an initiative by the World Macadamia Organization, has teamed up with Nature’s Basket to promote macadamia nuts in India. This collaboration will make the delicious macadamia nut available in select stores across Delhi and Mumbai, providing consumers with easy access to its taste and health benefits.
- March 2024: GoodSAM Foods, a health-focused brand dedicated to sustainability and regenerative agriculture, has officially launched new products within its chocolate portfolio. As part of this launch, the brand introduced Chocolate-Covered Macadamias.
- March 2024: Premier Nut, a veteran macadamia producer from South Africa, has launched three new value-added products: Sutton Pressed, MacaPaste, and Snackadamia. Sutton Pressed is a cold-pressed oil derived from macadamia nuts. MacaPaste is a creamy spread crafted from roasted macadamia nuts, while Snackadamia presents a gourmet selection of roasted macadamia kernels, available in flavors like Italian herb, spicy, and salted.
Global Macadamia Nuts Market Report Scope
Macadamia nuts, harvested from the macadamia tree, are renowned for their smooth, creamy texture and rich, buttery flavour. These nuts are typically encased in a hard, woody shell, which is removed before they are consumed. The Macadamia Market is segmented by geography (United States, Canada, Guatemala, Germany, Netherlands, China, Australia, Japan, Vietnam, Brazil, South Africa, and Kenya). The report includes the Production Analysis (volume), consumption analysis (value and volume), export analysis (value and volume), import analysis (value and volume), and price trend analysis. The report offers market estimation and forecast in value (USD) and volume (metric tons).
| North America | United States |
| Canada | |
| Europe | Germany |
| Netherlands | |
| United Kingdom | |
| France | |
| Asia-Pacific | Australia |
| China | |
| Vietnam | |
| Japan | |
| South America | Brazil |
| Colombia | |
| Africa | South Africa |
| Kenya | |
| Middle East | Saudi Arabia |
| By Geography (Production Analysis (Volume), Consumption Analysis (Volume and Value), Import Analysis (Volume and Value), Export Analysis (Volume and Value), and Price Trend Analysis) | North America | United States |
| Canada | ||
| Europe | Germany | |
| Netherlands | ||
| United Kingdom | ||
| France | ||
| Asia-Pacific | Australia | |
| China | ||
| Vietnam | ||
| Japan | ||
| South America | Brazil | |
| Colombia | ||
| Africa | South Africa | |
| Kenya | ||
| Middle East | Saudi Arabia | |
Key Questions Answered in the Report
What is the forecast value of the macadamia nuts market in 2030?
The macadamia nuts market is projected to reach USD 2.78 billion by 2030.
Which region currently consumes the most macadamias?
Asia-Pacific leads with 46% of global volume, driven by Chinese demand.
Why are macadamias favored in plant-based dairy products?
Their high monounsaturated-fat content creates a creamy texture that reduces the need for additives.
How long does a macadamia orchard take to achieve full yields?
Trees generally attain full productivity about 15 years after planting.
What CAGR is Africa's macadamia sector slated to record through 2030?
Africa is on track for a 7.8% CAGR, the fastest among major producing regions.
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