European Commercial Real Estate Market Size
|Base Year For Estimation||2022|
|Market Size (2023)||USD 1.42 Trillion|
|Market Size (2028)||USD 1.69 Trillion|
|CAGR (2023 - 2028)||3.53 %|
*Disclaimer: Major Players sorted in no particular order
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European Commercial Real Estate Market Analysis
The Europe Commercial Real Estate Market size is expected to grow from USD 1.42 trillion in 2023 to USD 1.69 trillion by 2028, at a CAGR of 3.53% during the forecast period (2023-2028).
The COVID-19 pandemic had a huge impact on the European commercial real estate sector. Although the crisis impacted the European economy and investment sentiment among investors and occupiers, the sector is currently recovering but has not reached the pre-pandemic levels.
- According to the European Public Real Estate Association, the European Union's commercial real estate sector contributed a combined GDP of more than USD 15.3 trillion in 2021. The sector had 177 REITs, with a combined market cap of USD 133 billion, and 261 Non-REITs, with a combined market cap of USD 308 billion.
- Germany continues to lead the commercial real estate sector, despite the declining growth rate in the market. The growth rate in Q4 2021 declined by 8% compared to Q4 2020 but experienced a growth of 14% compared to pre-pandemic levels.
- The United Kingdom is the next leading country in the market, with an annual growth rate of more than 25% in Q4 2021 compared to the same quarter in 2020. Moreover, countries like Sweden, the United Kingdom, Belgium, and Norway saw the highest growth in the sector. Meanwhile, France, Spain, and the Netherlands experienced a slow recovery due to a decline in the growth of the retail sector.
European Commercial Real Estate Market Trends
This section covers the major market trends shaping the Europe Commercial Real Estate Market according to our research experts:
Increasing Investments in the Commercial Real Estate Sector
The COVID-19 pandemic severely impacted the sector, and the market is currently recovering as increasing investments flow into the sector. The commercial real estate sector had a strong rebound in investments in Q2 2021, with a growth rate of more than 70% compared to the same quarter in 2020. The investment flow continued in Q3 and Q4, with growth rates of 25% and 22%, respectively.
Overall investments in 2021 accounted for more than EUR 270 billion (USD 319 billion), with an increased growth rate of 14% compared to 2020. This represents a strong recovery of the sector after the crisis.
Germany and the United Kingdom experienced the highest investments in the commercial real estate sector. Due to the vaccination roll-outs and pandemic relaxations, Most developers resumed their work with the roll-out of vaccines and pandemic relaxations. There was a rise in investments in the United Kingdom, and the country witnessed a growth rate of 20% in 2021 compared to 2020, followed by Germany, with a 7% growth rate in investments. The French and Dutch markets experienced declining rates in terms of investments.
However, foreign investments in the market were initially impacted by the pandemic but are currently recovering. In 2021, Americans showed strong interest in the sector and brought their investments back to pre-crisis levels, with more than EUR 41 billion (USD 43.56 billion) in investments in the sector.
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The Logistics Market is Witnessing Lucrative Growth
The European logistics real estate market is resilient, despite the disruptions caused by the pandemic. E-commerce remains the main driver of the logistics market in Europe. Strong changes in consumer behavior triggered by the pandemic created the demand for online shopping and drove the penetration of e-commerce in the market.
The sector also experienced growth in investments, with more than EUR 25 billion (USD 29.5 billion) in H1 2021. The market set a record growth rate of 62% in 2021 compared to 2020. Meanwhile, the demand in the logistics real estate sector surpasses the supply. The supply in the market is extremely tight due to a severe shortage of development sites and strict regulations. This further resulted in the growth of rental warehouses. For isntance, in H1 2021, the warehouse's average rent increased by 3.2% compared to H1 2020.
Moreover, the United Kingdom and Germany are emerging hotspots for logistics warehouses' space absorption. In H1 2021, Germany experienced record absorption of warehouse spaces, with more than 3.1 million square meters absorbed in 2021.
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European Commercial Real Estate Industry Overview
The European commercial real estate market is highly competitive and fragmented, with many players. Most players expand their businesses by investing strategically in partnerships, mergers, and acquisitions, among others.
The office, industry, and logistics sectors are the most invested segments in the market. Furthermore, investments in the market are driven by robust office space take-up and a rise in the demand for logistic warehouses, despite the disruption caused by the pandemic. Some
major players in the market include Servo, Covivo, Hines, Blackstone Inc., Strabag Group, etc.
European Commercial Real Estate Market Leaders
*Disclaimer: Major Players sorted in no particular order
European Commercial Real Estate Market News
- March 2022: BNP Paribas Real Estate acquired a residential asset for its mutual fund BNP Paribas Diversipierre from HT Group, based out of Hamburg. The residential asset is located in Hamburg's Bergedorf district in Germany. This acquisition was made to build a residential asset portfolio and diversify the company's presence in Europe.
- February 2022: Blackstone Inc. (a leading global investment company) recapitalized its European last-mile logistics company. Blackstone Inc., an existing investor in Midway (a company that owns urban warehouses), agreed to a deal that values the business at USD 24 billion.
European Commercial Real Estate Market Report - Table of Contents
1.1 Study Deliverables
1.2 Scope of the Study
2. RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
3. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
4. MARKET INSIGHTS AND DYNAMICS
4.1 Market Overview
4.2 Commercial Real Estate Buying Trends - Socioeconomic and Demographic Insights
4.3 Government Initiatives and Regulatory Aspects for Commercial Real Estate Sector
4.4 Supply Chain / Value Chain Analysis
4.5 Insights into Existing and Upcoming Projects
4.6 Insights into Rental Yields in the Commercial Real Estate Segment
4.7 Insights into Capital Market Penetration and REIT Presence in Commercial Real Estate
4.8 Insights into Real Estate Tech and Startups Active in the Real Estate Segment (Broking, Social Media, Facility Management, and Property Management)
4.9 Impact of COVID-19 on the Market
5. MARKET DYNAMICS
5.1 Market Drivers
5.2 Market Restraints
5.3 Market Opportunities
5.4 Industry Attractiveness - Porter's Five Force Analysis
5.4.1 Threat of New Entrants
5.4.2 Bargaining Power of Buyers/Consumers
5.4.3 Bargaining Power of Suppliers
5.4.4 Threat of Substitute Products and Services
5.4.5 Intensity of Competitive Rivalry
6. MARKET SEGMENTATION
6.1 By Type
6.2 By Country
6.2.1 United Kingdom
6.2.5 Rest of Europe
7. COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE
7.1 Overview (Market Concentration and Major Players)
7.2 Company Profiles
7.2.3 Blackstone Inc.
7.2.5 Strabag Group
7.2.6 Tishman Speyer
7.2.7 HB Reavis Group
7.2.8 AG Real Estate
7.2.9 Futureal Management Szolgaltato Kft.
- *List Not Exhaustive
8. MARKET OPPORTUNITIES AND FUTURE TRENDS
European Commercial Real Estate Market Research FAQs
How big is the Europe Commercial Real Estate Market?
The Europe Commercial Real Estate Market size is expected to reach USD 1,418.08 billion in 2023 and grow at a CAGR of 3.53% to reach USD 1,686.68 billion by 2028.
What is the current Europe Commercial Real Estate Market size?
In 2023, the Europe Commercial Real Estate Market size is expected to reach USD 1,418.08 billion.
Who are the key players in Europe Commercial Real Estate Market?
Servo, Covivio, Blackstone Inc., Hines and Strabag Group are the major companies operating in the Europe Commercial Real Estate Market.
European Commercial Real Estate Industry Report
Statistics for the 2023 European Commercial Real Estate market share, size and revenue growth rate, created by Mordor Intelligence™ Industry Reports. European Commercial Real Estate analysis includes a market forecast outlook to 2028 and historical overview. Get a sample of this industry analysis as a free report PDF download.