Canola Oil Market Size and Share
Canola Oil Market Analysis by Mordor Intelligence
The global canola oil market size reached USD 39.52 billion in 2025 and is forecasted to expand to USD 47.71 billion by 2030, representing a compound annual growth rate of 3.84% CAGR. This growth trajectory reflects the sector's resilience amid evolving consumer preferences toward healthier cooking oils and the accelerating demand for refined canola oil in biofuel applications. The market's expansion is particularly pronounced in renewable diesel production, where canola oil imports to the United States surged as the EPA approved it as a feedstock, with the U.S. increasing its share of Canadian canola oil exports from 50-60% to 91% in 2024 [1]Source: U.S Department of Agriculture, "U.S. Renewable Diesel Production Growth Drastically Impacts Global Feedstock Trade", fas.usda.gov.In Asia-Pacific, rising disposable incomes and an expanding packaged-food sector keep consumption elevated, while Middle East & Africa’s pipeline of crushing projects positions the region for the fastest growth. Conversely, anti-seed-oil campaigns have dented farmer sales, yet the Food and Drug Administration’s updated “healthy” definition, which includes canola oil, is expected to counterbalance misinformation [2]Source: Canola Council of Canada, "Canola oil defined as healthy", canolacouncil.org. The canola oil market's trajectory reflects its adaptability to changing market demands, from traditional food applications to emerging industrial uses. With strong regulatory support, expanding industrial applications, and growing health consciousness among consumers, the market is well-positioned for sustained growth. The increasing focus on renewable energy sources and favorable government policies further strengthen the market's outlook, suggesting a robust and diversified future for the global canola oil industry.
Key Report Takeaways
- By type, refined oil held 85.44% of the canola oil market share in 2024; unrefined oil is forecast to grow at a 5.24% CAGR to 2030.
- By category, conventional variants accounted for 92.34% of the 2024 revenue pool, while organic is poised for a 5.88% CAGR through 2030.
- By packaging, bottles dominated with 64.52% revenue share in 2024; pouches are set to expand at a 4.95% CAGR by 2030.
- By distribution channel, retail accounted for 54.67% of 2024 sales, whereas HoReCa/Foodservice is projected to record a 5.11% CAGR to 2030.
- By geography, Asia-Pacific led with 38.04% market share in 2024; Middle East & Africa is projected to log the fastest 5.51% CAGR through 2030.
Global Canola Oil Market Trends and Insights
Drivers Impact Analysis
| Driver | (~) % Impact on CAGR Forecast | Geographic Relevance | Impact Timeline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nutritional Profile and Functional Benefits | +1.2% | Global, with premium markets in North America and European Union | Medium term (2-4 years) |
| Biofuel and Renewable Energy Applications | +1.8% | North America core, expanding to European Union and Asia-Pacific | Long term (≥ 4 years) |
| Food Industry and Culinary Versatility | +0.9% | Global, with growth in Asia-Pacific food manufacturing | Short term (≤ 2 years) |
| Clean Label and Non-GMO Demand | +0.7% | North America and European Union premium segments | Medium term (2-4 years) |
| Technological and Agricultural Advancements | +0.6% | North America, Australia, expanding to emerging markets | Long term (≥ 4 years) |
| Government Policies and Food Safety Regulations | +0.5% | Global, with regulatory leadership in North America and European Union | Medium term (2-4 years) |
| Source: Mordor Intelligence | |||
Nutritional Profile and Functional Benefits
The FDA's December 2024 approval of canola oil for "healthy" food labeling represents a regulatory validation that counters growing anti-seed-oil sentiment, positioning refined canola oil as a scientifically-backed alternative to saturated fats. This regulatory endorsement arrives at a critical juncture as health misinformation campaigns have reportedly reduced canola sales by approximately 5%, creating market volatility that savvy processors can exploit through consumer education initiatives. High-oleic canola oil variants, containing at least 70% oleic acid, now qualify for FDA health claims linking daily consumption to reduced coronary heart disease risk, creating premium positioning opportunities in health-conscious market segments. The nutritional advantages become particularly pronounced in food manufacturing applications, where canola oil's neutral flavor profile and heat stability make it suitable for diverse culinary applications, including hot sauce production where flavor neutrality is essential. Food processors increasingly recognize canola oil's functional benefits in maintaining product stability while meeting clean-label requirements, driving adoption across processed food categories. The convergence of regulatory support and functional superiority positions canola oil to capture market share from less healthy alternatives, particularly as food manufacturers reformulate products to meet evolving dietary guidelines.
Food Industry and Culinary Versatility
The food processing sector's embrace of canola oil stems from its exceptional versatility in applications ranging from salad dressings to hot sauce manufacturing, where its neutral flavor profile allows other ingredients to dominate taste profiles. FDA regulations specify that mayonnaise must contain at least 65% vegetable oil while salad dressing requires 30%, creating substantial demand for refined canola oil in condiment manufacturing where consistency and shelf stability are paramount [3]Source: Code of Federal Regulations, "PART 169—FOOD DRESSINGS AND FLAVORINGS", ecfr.gov. The removal of partially hydrogenated oils from food standards has accelerated canola oil adoption as manufacturers seek trans-fat-free alternatives that maintain product functionality. Canola oil's high smoke point and oxidative stability make it particularly suitable for commercial food service applications, where consistent performance under high-temperature cooking conditions is essential for operational efficiency. The development of high-oleic canola oil variants addresses food manufacturers' need for extended shelf life without compromising nutritional profiles, enabling product reformulations that meet clean-label requirements while maintaining consumer acceptance.
Clean Label and Non-GMO Demand
Organic canola oil production faces significant challenges despite representing the fastest-growing market segment at 5.88% CAGR, with U.S. organic farmland comprising only 1% of total acreage yet generating substantially higher net cash income per acre as per by article published by U.S Department of Agriculture in March 2023. The National Bioengineered Food Disclosure Standard creates competitive advantages for organic canola oil producers, as organic certification exempts products from bioengineered labeling requirements that may concern health-conscious consumers. Non-GMO canola oil commands premium pricing in retail channels, though supply constraints limit market penetration as conventional canola production predominantly utilizes genetically modified varieties optimized for herbicide resistance and yield performance. Clean-label trends in food manufacturing drive demand for minimally processed canola oil variants, creating opportunities for cold-pressed and expeller-pressed products that retain natural characteristics while meeting industrial-scale requirements. The organic canola supply chain remains underdeveloped compared to conventional production, with limited crushing capacity and distribution infrastructure constraining market growth despite strong consumer demand signals.
Government Policies and Food Safety Regulations
Regulatory frameworks increasingly favor canola oil adoption through health-focused labeling standards and food safety mandates that create competitive advantages over less regulated alternatives. Canada's Clean Fuel Regulations, implemented in 2024, mandate carbon intensity reductions that favor canola oil as a renewable diesel feedstock, with seven new facilities planned to produce up to 70 million barrels per day by 2027, fundamentally reshaping demand patterns beyond traditional food applications. The FDA's revocation of partially hydrogenated oils from food standards creates mandatory substitution opportunities for canola oil in processed foods, with compliance costs estimated at USD 24.5 million annually but generating USD 652 million in health benefits over 20 years. Food safety regulations governing vegetable oil standards, including USDA certification requirements for government purchases and FDA specifications for food additive applications, establish quality benchmarks that favor established canola oil processors with advanced refining capabilities. The convergence of health promotion policies and environmental regulations creates a regulatory tailwind that supports canola oil market expansion while imposing compliance costs that may disadvantage smaller processors lacking resources for certification and quality assurance systems.
Restraints Impact Analysis
| Restraint | (~) % Impact on CAGR Forecast | Geographic Relevance | Impact Timeline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Competition From Alternative Oils | -0.8% | Global, with intense competition in Asia-Pacific | Short term (≤ 2 years) |
| Limited Cold-Press Capacity and Higher Production Costs | -0.5% | North America and European Union premium segments | Medium term (2-4 years) |
| Seasonal And Climatic Risks | -0.4% | North America and Australia production regions | Short term (≤ 2 years) |
| Anti-Seed-Oil Consumer Campaigns | -0.3% | North America consumer markets | Short term (≤ 2 years) |
| Source: Mordor Intelligence | |||
Competition From Alternative Oils
Global oilseed production dynamics create intense price competition as soybean oil maintains a dominant share of the United States food oil market compared to canola oil's share, with cost advantages stemming from larger production volumes and established supply chains. India's anticipated increase in vegetable oil import taxes threatens to disrupt regional pricing structures, potentially favoring domestic oilseed production over canola oil imports and creating market share pressures in the world's largest edible oil consuming nation. Palm oil's cost competitiveness in tropical regions continues to challenge canola oil penetration in price-sensitive markets, though sustainability concerns and regulatory restrictions on palm oil create counter-opportunities for canola oil positioning. Sunflower oil production recovery in Ukraine and Russia following geopolitical disruptions introduces additional supply that competes directly with canola oil in European markets, where price sensitivity remains high among industrial food processors. The competitive landscape intensifies as alternative oilseed crops benefit from agricultural policy support in major producing regions, creating structural cost disadvantages for canola oil that require differentiation through quality, functionality, or sustainability attributes.
Anti-Seed-Oil Consumer Campaigns
The emergence of anti-seed-oil campaigns created measurable market disruption, with canola farmers reporting approximately 5% sales declines as consumer skepticism spreads through social media channels as published by NPR (National Public Radio) in 2025. These campaigns advocate for traditional animal fats like beef tallow, creating demand substitution that particularly affects food service applications where operators may respond to consumer preferences despite scientific evidence supporting seed oil safety. The "Make America Healthy Again" movement's influence on federal policy discussions introduces regulatory uncertainty that could impact canola oil demand in government food programs and institutional purchasing decisions. Nutrition scientists emphasize that research consistently supports canola oil's health benefits, including its ability to lower bad cholesterol levels through high unsaturated fat content, yet public perception challenges persist in consumer markets where misinformation spreads rapidly. Counter-strategies require industry-wide consumer education initiatives and regulatory advocacy to maintain scientific credibility while addressing legitimate consumer concerns about processed food consumption patterns.
Segment Analysis
By Type: Refined Dominance Drives Industrial Applications
The refined canola oil segment commanded 85.44% market share in 2024, reflecting industrial-scale food processing requirements and regulatory compliance needs that favor standardized, shelf-stable products over unrefined alternatives. Refined canola oil's dominance stems from its neutral flavor profile, extended shelf life, and consistent performance characteristics that meet food manufacturers' operational requirements across diverse applications from salad dressings to hot sauce production according to Food and Drug Administration. The unrefined segment, despite its smaller market presence, demonstrates robust growth potential with a projected CAGR of 5.24% through 2030, driven by health-conscious consumers seeking minimally processed alternatives and premium positioning in specialty food channels.
Processing technology advancements enable refined canola oil producers to maintain nutritional benefits while achieving the consistency and stability required for commercial food applications, creating competitive advantages in institutional and food service markets. The FDA's approval of canola oil for "healthy" food labeling particularly benefits refined products, as standardized processing ensures compliance with regulatory requirements while maintaining nutritional integrity. Unrefined canola oil appeals to premium market segments where cold-pressed and expeller-pressed variants command higher prices, though supply chain constraints limit market penetration compared to refined products that benefit from established distribution networks and economies of scale.
By Category: Conventional Leadership Amid Organic Growth
Conventional canola oil maintains market dominance with 92.34% share in 2024, supported by established agricultural practices, cost-effective production systems, and widespread availability that meets mainstream food industry requirements. The organic segment, while representing a smaller market share, exhibits the strongest growth trajectory at 5.88% CAGR through 2030, driven by consumer willingness to pay premium prices for certified organic products and expanding retail availability in health-focused market channels. Conventional production benefits from genetically modified varieties that offer herbicide resistance and improved yields, creating cost advantages that support competitive pricing in price-sensitive market segments.
Organic canola oil production faces significant challenges including limited crushing capacity, higher production costs, and supply chain constraints that restrict market growth despite strong consumer demand signals according to USDA Economic Research Service. The National Bioengineered Food Disclosure Standard creates competitive advantages for organic producers, as organic certification exempts products from bioengineered labeling requirements that may concern health-conscious consumers. Conventional canola oil's market position remains secure due to established supply chains, processing infrastructure, and cost structures that enable competitive pricing across diverse market applications, while organic growth represents a strategic opportunity for premium positioning and margin expansion.
By Packaging: Bottles Lead While Pouches Gain Traction
The bottle packaging segment captured 64.52% market share in 2024, reflecting consumer preferences for traditional glass and plastic containers that provide product visibility, portion control, and familiar handling characteristics in retail channels. Pouches represent the fastest-growing packaging format with a projected CAGR of 4.95% through 2030, driven by sustainability initiatives, cost-effective manufacturing, and consumer convenience trends that favor flexible packaging solutions. Jar packaging maintains steady market presence in premium segments where product presentation and reusability create value propositions for specialty and artisanal canola oil products.
Flexible packaging innovations address sustainability concerns through reduced material usage, lower transportation costs, and improved recyclability compared to traditional rigid containers, creating competitive advantages for manufacturers adopting pouch formats. The "others" category, including metal drums and cans, serves industrial and food service applications where bulk packaging meets operational requirements for high-volume users and commercial food processors. Packaging format selection increasingly reflects supply chain optimization strategies, with manufacturers balancing consumer preferences, cost considerations, and sustainability objectives to maintain competitive positioning across diverse market channels.
Note: Segment shares of all individual segments available upon report purchase
By Distribution Channel: Retail Dominance Amid Food Service Growth
Retail distribution channels commanded 54.67% market share in 2024, encompassing supermarkets, hypermarkets, convenience stores, and online platforms that serve consumer demand for packaged canola oil products across diverse price points and package sizes. The HoReCa/Foodservice segment emerges as the fastest-growing distribution channel with a projected CAGR of 5.11% through 2030, driven by restaurant industry recovery, food service expansion, and commercial kitchen requirements for consistent, high-performance cooking oils. Industrial distribution serves food manufacturers and processors requiring bulk quantities and specialized product specifications for commercial production applications.
Supermarkets and hypermarkets maintain dominant positions within retail channels through extensive shelf space allocation, promotional activities, and private label product development that creates competitive advantages for established canola oil brands. Online retail growth accelerates consumer access to specialty and premium canola oil products, enabling direct-to-consumer sales strategies that bypass traditional distribution intermediaries while providing detailed product information and customer education opportunities. The industrial segment's steady growth reflects food processing industry expansion and increasing demand for refined canola oil in commercial applications ranging from baked goods to processed foods, creating stable volume demand that supports long-term supply agreements and strategic partnerships between processors and end-users.
Geography Analysis
Asia-Pacific's market leadership with 38.04% share in 2024 reflects the region's substantial food processing capacity and growing consumer demand for healthier cooking oils across diverse culinary applications. India's anticipated increase in vegetable oil import taxes introduces additional market complexity, potentially favoring domestic oilseed production while creating opportunities for value-added canola oil products that justify premium pricing. The region's food service sector expansion, particularly in urban centers, drives demand for consistent, high-performance cooking oils that meet commercial kitchen requirements. Australia's emergence as a significant canola producer positions the region for increased self-sufficiency while creating export opportunities to neighbouring markets. Strategic infrastructure investments, including the planned Cargill-CBH Group oilseed crushing plant near Perth, demonstrate industry commitment to regional market development and supply chain optimization.
Middle East and Africa's emergence as the fastest-growing regional market with 5.51% CAGR through 2030 reflects economic diversification initiatives and increasing adoption of processed foods that utilize canola oil as a primary ingredient. South Africa's surge in rapeseed production demonstrates the region's agricultural potential and growing self-sufficiency in oilseed production according to the U.S. Department of Agriculture. The region's limited local processing capacity creates export opportunities for raw materials while indicating potential for value-added processing investments that could capture higher margins in the supply chain.
North America and Europe maintain mature market positions with steady growth supported by established supply chains, advanced processing capabilities, and regulatory frameworks that favor canola oil adoption in food applications. The regions' focus on sustainability initiatives, clean-label products, and health-conscious consumer trends creates opportunities for premium canola oil positioning while supporting stable volume demand across diverse market segments. Biofuel policy developments, particularly renewable diesel mandates and carbon intensity regulations, introduce additional demand drivers that could reshape regional consumption patterns and create supply chain tensions between food and fuel applications.
Competitive Landscape
The canola oil market exhibits moderate fragmentation, creating opportunities for strategic consolidation while maintaining competitive dynamics that benefit end-users through pricing competition and innovation incentives. Major agribusiness conglomerates like Archer Daniels Midland, Cargill, Incorporated, and Bunge leverage vertical integration strategies that encompass oilseed origination, processing, and distribution capabilities, enabling cost optimization and supply chain control that smaller competitors struggle to match.
Strategic patterns reveal a bifurcated competitive landscape where established players compete primarily on operational efficiency and scale advantages while emerging disruptors focus on specialty segments including organic, non-GMO, and cold-pressed variants that command premium pricing. Companies increasingly invest in renewable diesel feedstock capabilities, winter canola development programs, and regenerative agriculture partnerships that position them for long-term growth in both food and fuel applications. The competitive intensity has shifted from traditional cost leadership to differentiation strategies that emphasize sustainability credentials, supply chain transparency, and specialized product formulations tailored to specific end-user requirements.
Technology adoption patterns reveal strategic differentiation through processing innovations, supply chain optimization, and sustainability initiatives that create competitive advantages beyond traditional cost leadership strategies. Opportunities exist in regional markets with underdeveloped processing infrastructure, particularly in Middle East & Africa where South Africa's surging rapeseed production creates potential for value-added processing investments according to the U.S. Department of Agriculture. The competitive landscape's evolution reflects broader agricultural industry trends toward consolidation, vertical integration, and technology-driven differentiation that reward scale advantages while creating niche opportunities for specialized players who can navigate regulatory complexity and consumer preference shifts effectively.
Canola Oil Industry Leaders
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Archer Daniels Midland Company
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Cargill, Incorporated.
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Bunge.
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Wilmar International Ltd
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Richardson International Ltd.
- *Disclaimer: Major Players sorted in no particular order
Recent Industry Developments
- April 2025: Australian Oilseeds Holdings Limited, a Cayman Islands-based company, announced that Good Earth Oils (GEO) canola oil has entered JD.com's supply chain and is now available on JD.com's self-operated platform. The company's coordination and commitment ensured GEO canola oil met JD's platform standards.
- January 2025: Bayer and Neste, a Helsinki-listed company that converts waste and resources into renewable fuels and circular raw materials, have signed a memorandum of understanding (MOU) to develop a winter canola ecosystem in the Southern Great Plains region of the United States.
- September 2024: Scoular kicked off operations in October 2024 at its new canola and soybean oilseed crush facility, opening producers to growing markets for renewable fuels and protein meal for animal feed. The facility's capability to process both canola and soybeans gave the operation versatility and long-term viability.
Global Canola Oil Market Report Scope
| Refined |
| Unrefined |
| Conventional |
| Organic |
| Bottle |
| Jar |
| Pouches |
| Others |
| Retail | Supermarkets/Hypermarkets |
| Convenience Stores/Grocery Stores | |
| Online Retail Stores | |
| Other Distribution Channels | |
| HoReCa/Foodservice | |
| Industrial |
| North America | United States |
| Canada | |
| Mexico | |
| Rest of North America | |
| Europe | United Kingdom |
| Germany | |
| France | |
| Spain | |
| Italy | |
| Russia | |
| Netherlands | |
| Rest of Europe | |
| Asia-Pacific | China |
| Japan | |
| India | |
| South Korea | |
| Australia | |
| Rest of Asia-Pacific | |
| Middle East and Africa | South Africa |
| Saudi Arabia | |
| United Arab Emirates | |
| Rest of Middle East and Africa | |
| South America | Brazil |
| Argentina | |
| Rest of South America |
| By Type | Refined | |
| Unrefined | ||
| By Category | Conventional | |
| Organic | ||
| By Packaging | Bottle | |
| Jar | ||
| Pouches | ||
| Others | ||
| By Distribution Channel | Retail | Supermarkets/Hypermarkets |
| Convenience Stores/Grocery Stores | ||
| Online Retail Stores | ||
| Other Distribution Channels | ||
| HoReCa/Foodservice | ||
| Industrial | ||
| By Geography | North America | United States |
| Canada | ||
| Mexico | ||
| Rest of North America | ||
| Europe | United Kingdom | |
| Germany | ||
| France | ||
| Spain | ||
| Italy | ||
| Russia | ||
| Netherlands | ||
| Rest of Europe | ||
| Asia-Pacific | China | |
| Japan | ||
| India | ||
| South Korea | ||
| Australia | ||
| Rest of Asia-Pacific | ||
| Middle East and Africa | South Africa | |
| Saudi Arabia | ||
| United Arab Emirates | ||
| Rest of Middle East and Africa | ||
| South America | Brazil | |
| Argentina | ||
| Rest of South America | ||
Key Questions Answered in the Report
What is the current size of the canola oil market?
The canola oil market size was USD 39.52 billion in 2025 and is forecast to reach USD 47.71 billion by 2030.
Which region leads canola oil consumption?
Asia-Pacific accounted for 38.04% of global demand in 2024, driven by robust food-processing and foodservice sectors.
How fast is organic canola oil growing?
The organic segment is projected to expand at a 5.88% CAGR between 2025 and 2030, outpacing the overall market.
Which packaging format is growing fastest?
Pouches are the quickest-rising format, forecast for a 4.95% CAGR through 2030 due to sustainability and convenience advantages.
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