Asia-Pacific Dairy Market SIZE & SHARE ANALYSIS - GROWTH TRENDS & FORECASTS UP TO 2030

Asia-Pacific Dairy Market Analysis

The Asia-Pacific Dairy Market size is estimated at 202.8 billion USD in 2025, and is expected to reach 256.9 billion USD by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 4.84% during the forecast period (2025-2030).

The Asia-Pacific dairy market is experiencing a significant transformation in its distribution landscape, with off-trade channels dominating the market structure. Supermarkets and hypermarkets have emerged as the primary distribution channel, accounting for 57.9% of the off-trade value share in 2022, driven by their extensive product selection and strong penetration of popular retail chains like Maruetsu, Aldi, and Woolworths Group. The digital revolution has further reshaped distribution patterns, with e-commerce sales reaching USD 6028.7 million in 2022, reflecting the region's growing preference for the convenience of online shopping. This shift has prompted major retailers to develop omnichannel strategies, combining physical store presence with robust digital platforms to enhance customer reach and satisfaction.

The industry is witnessing substantial modernization in production capabilities and dairy manufacturing practices. Japanese dairy farms exemplify this trend, with facilities housing 200 or more cows increasing by 10% in 2022, while the average herd size reached 103 heads, demonstrating a clear shift toward larger, more efficient operations. This modernization extends beyond traditional farming to embrace sustainable and organic practices, as evidenced by initiatives like Aquila Sustainable Farming Ltd's conversion of four farms to A2 organic production in New Zealand. These developments reflect the industry's commitment to meeting growing consumer demand while maintaining environmental responsibility and product quality.

Consumer preferences are evolving rapidly, particularly in the foodservice sector, where there is growing demand for dairy products and out-of-home consumption. The trend is especially pronounced in markets like India, where consumers are dining out approximately seven times per month, with over 80% showing a preference for affordable casual dining options and quick-service restaurants. This shift in consumption patterns has led to the emergence of specialized cafes, dessert shops, and ice-cream parlors, creating new opportunities for dairy product innovation and market expansion.

The industry is experiencing significant foreign investment and technological advancement, particularly in major markets like India, where the dairy sector accounts for approximately 40% of total FDIs in the food processing sector. This investment influx has facilitated the adoption of advanced dairy technology and improved quality control measures. The focus has shifted toward developing healthier variants, including reduced-sugar options, low-fat products, and organic alternatives, reflecting growing consumer health consciousness. These innovations are supported by stringent quality control measures and regulatory frameworks that ensure product safety and maintain consumer trust in the industry.

Asia-Pacific Dairy Market Trends

Increasing consumer spending on healthy foods and beverages, along with the nutritional benefits associated with dairy products, is driving the growing demand for milk and milk products in developing countries like Japan, India, and Australia

• Demand for milk and milk products in developing countries is growing with increasing consumer spending on healthy food and beverage products and rising awareness of the nutritional benefits associated with consuming different types of dairy products. For example, fresh milk in Japan is expected to become popular over the coming decades in line with growth in the Japanese dairy farming industry owing to the increased import of dairy products. In 2021, Japan's annual per capita expenditure on milk products amounted to around USD 39 on average.
• With the growing adoption of Western culture and changing food habits, the demand for cheese has increased in India. There is strong demand from the fast-food industry as well, with foreign foodservice operators strategically expanding their presence. In 2021, India had 14,095 Domino's Pizza outlets, which had grown from 830 in 2014.
• Yogurt is referred to as curd in India. There is a high consumption of plain yogurt as it is typically consumed as part of a meal or refreshment by the Indian population in their daily routine. The per capita yogurt consumption in India increased by 5.2% in 2023-2024, whereas in Australia, it rose by 1.2% over the same period. The ice cream market in Asia is growing, with brands tapping into growing trends revolving around indulgence and a health perspective. For example, per capita consumption of ice cream in India grew by 5.90% in 2023-2024. Rising consumer expenditure in the food and beverage industry, the introduction of new flavors, increasing impulse purchasing, and strong demand for healthy ice cream products among consumers are some of the primary factors driving the consumption of ice cream.

OTHER KEY INDUSTRY TRENDS COVERED IN THE REPORT

• Initiatives by government agencies across regional countries significantly driving butter production
• Cheese production in countries such as Australia and Japan is driving the market segment
• Support from various government agencies and increasing herd count in the region are boosting the production of milk

Segment Analysis: Category

Milk Segment in Asia-Pacific Dairy Market

The milk segment continues to dominate the Asia-Pacific dairy market, commanding approximately 55% of the total market share in 2024. This substantial market position is driven by milk's status as a primary grocery staple in the region's households and its versatile applications across various consumption patterns. Fresh milk holds the largest value share within the milk category at around 43%, followed by other variants including UHT milk, flavored milk, and condensed milk. The segment's growth is supported by the rising health consciousness among consumers, as milk provides essential nutrients including calcium, vitamin B12, and riboflavin. Additionally, the implementation of strict food safety regulations by various national health commissions has strengthened customer reliance on dairy products, thereby supporting the expansion of domestic production across the region.

Yogurt Segment in Asia-Pacific Dairy Market

The yogurt segment is experiencing remarkable growth in the Asia-Pacific dairy market, projected to expand at approximately 7% CAGR from 2024 to 2029. This growth trajectory is primarily driven by increasing consumer awareness of probiotics' health benefits and the rising demand for functional dairy products. Manufacturers are actively introducing innovative flavors and fortified variants to meet evolving consumer preferences, particularly in markets like China and Japan. The segment's expansion is further supported by the growing popularity of Greek-style yogurt and probiotic drinks among health-conscious consumers. Additionally, the development of new distribution channels and the introduction of convenient packaging formats are contributing to the segment's robust growth prospects in the region.

Remaining Segments in Asia-Pacific Dairy Market

The other segments in the Asia-Pacific dairy market, including cheese, butter, cream, dairy desserts, and sour milk drinks, collectively play a vital role in shaping the market landscape. The cheese segment is gaining significant traction due to the increasing adoption of Western food habits and the growing popularity of cheese-based snacks. Dairy desserts, particularly ice cream and frozen desserts, are experiencing strong demand driven by innovative flavors and premium offerings. The butter segment is benefiting from its essential role in both household cooking and commercial food preparation. Cream products are seeing increased adoption in both retail and food service applications, while sour milk drinks are gaining popularity due to their perceived health benefits and traditional consumption patterns in certain regions.

Segment Analysis: Distribution Channel

Off-trade Segment in Asia-Pacific Dairy Market

The off-trade dairy distribution channel dominates the Asia-Pacific dairy market, accounting for approximately 92% of the total market value in 2024. This channel encompasses supermarkets, hypermarkets, convenience stores, specialist retailers, and online retail platforms. The segment's dominance is primarily attributed to the strong penetration of organized retail chains across the region, particularly in countries like China, India, and Japan. Supermarkets and hypermarkets lead the off-trade segment, offering extensive shelf space dedicated to dairy products and providing multiple brands under one roof. The channel's growth is further supported by the increasing adoption of modern retail formats, seasonal promotional activities, and the rising consumer preference for bulk purchases. Additionally, the segment is experiencing rapid growth, projected to expand at around 4-5% annually through 2029, driven by the increasing penetration of e-commerce platforms and the growing consumer preference for convenient shopping experiences.

On-trade Segment in Asia-Pacific Dairy Market

The on-trade distribution channel, comprising foodservice establishments such as restaurants, cafes, and other food outlets, represents a significant segment of the Asia-Pacific dairy market. This channel plays a crucial role in serving the region's growing out-of-home consumption trends, particularly in urban areas. The segment's performance is closely tied to the expansion of quick-service restaurants, coffee chains, and casual dining establishments across the region. The channel's growth is supported by the increasing popularity of dairy products-based beverages, desserts, and other culinary applications in the foodservice sector. The rising cafe culture in countries like Japan, South Korea, and China, coupled with the growing preference for Western-style dining experiences, continues to drive the demand for dairy products through this channel.

Asia-Pacific Dairy Market Geography Segment Analysis

Dairy Market in China

China dominates the Asia-Pacific dairy market, commanding approximately 37% of the regional market value in 2024. The country's dairy industry benefits from substantial government support, particularly through the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs' implementation of the 14th Five-Year Plan, which aims to enhance the dairy industry's competitiveness. The establishment of modern dairy farms equipped with state-of-the-art milking facilities and advanced feed management techniques has significantly boosted productivity. Large-scale investments by dairy companies in centralized warehousing and dairy distribution centers have strengthened the supply chain infrastructure. The market is characterized by strong domestic production capabilities, with companies like China Modern Dairy Holdings operating extensive networks of dairy farms. The focus on self-sufficiency in dairy production and dairy processing has been instrumental in meeting growing domestic demand, while strict food safety regulations have reinforced consumer confidence in domestic dairy products.

Dairy Market in India

India's dairy market is projected to grow at approximately 6% during 2024-2029, positioning it as the fastest-growing market in the region. The country's dairy sector benefits from its status as the world's largest milk producer, contributing significantly to global dairy production. The government's progressive policies, including 100% FDI allowance through automatic routes for food processing, have attracted substantial international investment. The dairy industry's growth is supported by a robust network of milk collection centers and cooperative societies that ensure a steady supply from rural areas. The market is witnessing increasing consumer preference for value-added dairy products, particularly in urban areas. The emergence of innovative distribution channels, including direct-to-consumer models and digital platforms, has enhanced market accessibility. The sector is also seeing significant technological advancement in dairy manufacturing facilities and cold chain infrastructure, ensuring better product quality and longer shelf life.

Dairy Market in Japan

Japan's dairy market demonstrates sophisticated consumer preferences and advanced production capabilities. The market is characterized by high-quality standards and innovative product offerings, particularly in functional dairy products. Japanese consumers show a strong preference for health-oriented dairy products, driving demand for probiotic drinks and functional yogurts. The country's dairy farms have undergone significant modernization, with an increasing number of facilities housing 200 or more cows, indicating a trend toward larger, more efficient operations. The market features a strong presence of convenience stores and vending machines, making dairy products easily accessible to consumers. Japanese dairy companies are known for their product innovation, particularly in flavored milk and yogurt varieties, catering to evolving consumer tastes. The sector also benefits from well-established cold chain infrastructure and efficient distribution networks.

Dairy Market in Indonesia

Indonesia's dairy market demonstrates robust growth potential driven by increasing health consciousness and changing consumer preferences. The market is witnessing significant transformation in consumer behavior, particularly in urban areas where awareness of the nutritional benefits of dairy products is rising. Indonesian consumers are increasingly incorporating dairy products into their daily diets, with a notable trend toward functional dairy products like probiotic drinks and yogurt. The coffee culture boom in Indonesia has significantly influenced the dairy sector, particularly driving demand for coffee whiteners and creamers. The market is characterized by strong distribution networks, including modern retail channels and growing e-commerce platforms. Local dairy processors are investing in modern production facilities and cold chain infrastructure to meet growing demand. The sector also benefits from government initiatives aimed at increasing domestic dairy production and reducing import dependency.

Dairy Market in Other Countries

The dairy markets in other Asia-Pacific countries, including Malaysia, South Korea, Australia, New Zealand, Pakistan, and other Southeast Asian nations, exhibit diverse characteristics and growth patterns. These markets are characterized by varying levels of domestic production capabilities, consumer preferences, and regulatory frameworks. Several countries are focusing on modernizing their dairy infrastructure and implementing advanced technologies in production and processing. Consumer awareness of the health benefits associated with dairy products is driving market growth across these nations. The markets are witnessing increased penetration of international dairy brands while also supporting the growth of local producers. Distribution channels are evolving with the rise of modern retail formats and e-commerce platforms. These countries are also seeing growing demand for premium and specialized dairy products, particularly in urban areas.