Wool Market Size and Share
Wool Market Analysis by Mordor Intelligence
The wool market size is valued at USD 43.9 billion in 2025 and projected to reach USD 52.6 billion by 2030, registering a CAGR of 3.7%. The market growth is driven by increasing demand for biodegradable textiles, policies supporting natural fibers, and wider adoption of certified supply chains. The Asia-Pacific region dominates the market, accounting for over half of global revenue, supported by extensive spinning capacity, Australia's premium merino production, and significant Chinese consumption. European circular economy regulations and North American PFAS elimination policies are increasing the demand for wool insulation. Research and development in smart textile composites is creating opportunities in IoT wearables. The declining sheep populations and biosecurity concerns pose supply challenges, which are being addressed through recycling technologies and supply chain traceability initiatives.
Key Report Takeaways
- By geography, Asia-Pacific dominated the wool market with a 53% revenue share in 2024 and is projected to grow at a CAGR of 5.3% through 2030.
Global Wool Market Trends and Insights
Drivers Impact Analysis
| Driver | (~) % Impact on CAGR Forecast | Geographic Relevance | Impact Timeline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Greening of global fashion supply chains | +0.8% | Global with concentration in Europe and North America | Medium term (2-4 years) |
| Rising demand for traceable and certified wool | +0.6% | Global, particularly Asia-Pacific and Europe | Short term (≤ 2 years) |
| Expansion of thermal-insulation applications in building materials | +0.4% | Europe and North America primarily | Long term (≥ 4 years) |
| Regulatory pressure drives shift from synthetic fleece to biodegradable wool | +0.7% | Europe core, spill-over to North America | Medium term (2-4 years) |
| Closed-loop recycling technologies drive circular business models in wool industry | +0.5% | Global with early adoption in Europe | Long term (≥ 4 years) |
| Development of smart-textile wool composites for IoT wearables | +0.3% | Asia-Pacific and North America | Long term (≥ 4 years) |
| Source: Mordor Intelligence | |||
Greening of Global Fashion Supply Chains
The apparel industry is adapting its sourcing strategies to meet science-based carbon targets, with wool emerging as a viable alternative to virgin synthetic materials in both premium and mass-market segments. The implementation of Europe's Extended Producer Responsibility framework in January 2025, which mandates recyclability by 2030, is driving retailers to secure sustainable fiber supplies. According to a Boston Consulting Group study, apparel brands with USD 1 billion in revenue can generate USD 100 million in net profit over five years by transitioning to natural fibers. The Woolmark Company introduced its Woolmark+ program in 2024, incorporating 13 environmental initiatives focused on carbon insetting and methane reduction to enhance wool's sustainability profile. The luxury segment reports that consumers continue to accept premium pricing for traceable merino wool products, maintaining strong demand despite economic pressures.
Rising Demand for Traceable and Certified Wool
Certified wool lots command price premiums, with South African sustainably certified merino selling at USD 9.79 (R177.77) per kg compared to USD 9.81 (R173.80) for conventional wool.[1]Cape Wools South Africa, “Wool Market Report 2024/25,” Cape Wools, capewools.co.zaAustralian non-mulesed wool volumes increased 5% year-over-year as global retailers implemented animal welfare requirements. Certification programs such as ZQ and RWS provide growers with multi-year purchase agreements, protecting them from price fluctuations and enabling better planning. European retailers require wool provenance tracking at the bale level, while digital blockchain tracking is becoming common for premium brands. These factors drive increased adoption of certified wool programs, reduce available supply, and raise minimum prices for ethically produced wool.
Expansion of Thermal-Insulation Applications in Building Materials
Sheep wool insulation provides high thermal resistance (R-value), fire resistance, and moisture control without added chemicals, meeting European building energy regulations. Renovation programs focused on reducing lifetime carbon emissions increasingly use biodegradable insulation materials instead of mineral fiber and petrochemical-based products. The material's sound absorption properties drive its adoption in commercial buildings. Additionally, the agricultural sector uses waste wool as soil fertilizer, creating a circular economy and generating income from lower-quality wool. These construction and agricultural applications expand the market beyond clothing uses.
Regulatory Pressure Drives Shift from Synthetic Fleece to Biodegradable Wool
The ban on PFAS (Per- and Polyfluoroalkyl Substances) in textiles across North America and Europe eliminates a significant performance advantage of synthetic fleece, creating opportunities for wool-based outdoor garments. Laboratory research demonstrates that both treated and untreated wool biodegrades in marine environments, while polyester shows minimal degradation. This aligns with environmental groups' concerns about microplastic pollution. In response, outdoor apparel manufacturers are modifying their material requirements and collaborating with suppliers to develop water-resistant merino fabrics without membranes that meet performance standards. These regulatory changes provide sustained support for wool market growth.
Restraints Impact Analysis
| Restraint | (~) % Impact on CAGR Forecast | Geographic Relevance | Impact Timeline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Life cycle assessment impact on wool’s market position | -0.9% | Global, particularly Europe and North America | Medium term (2-4 years) |
| Decline in sheep numbers in traditional wool-producing countries | -1.2% | Australia, New Zealand, Europe | Short term (≤ 2 years) |
| Bio-security risks disrupting supply | -0.6% | Global with concentration in major producing regions | Short term (≤ 2 years) |
| ESG scrutiny on animal-welfare practices reducing brand uptake | -0.8% | Global, particularly developed markets | Medium term (2-4 years) |
| Source: Mordor Intelligence | |||
Life Cycle Assessment Impact on Wool’s Market Position
Studies indicate that cleaned wool has a higher greenhouse gas intensity per kilogram compared to synthetic fibers, according to the Higg Materials Sustainability Index. Reports from civil society organizations estimate that wool production generated 35 million tonnes of CO₂ equivalent emissions in 2019, which challenges brands' environmental claims. The Center for Biological Diversity's report "Shear Destruction" highlights that wool production requires significant land and water resources and generates high greenhouse gas emissions, contradicting the industry's environmental sustainability claims.[2]Center for Biological Diversity, “Shear Destruction: Wool, Fashion and the Biodiversity Crisis,” biologicaldiversity.orgThe ongoing debate regarding life cycle assessment methodologies presents reputational risks for retailers who market wool as environmentally friendly. While European regulators review life cycle assessment standards, some buyers are temporarily shifting toward cellulosic fiber alternatives. The wool industry has initiated carbon reduction programs at farms, though data standardization remains challenging.
Decline in Sheep Numbers in Traditional Wool-Producing Countries
Australia's wool production decreased to 279 million kg greasy in 2024, reaching its lowest level in a century, as farmers shifted to cattle farming and broad-acre crops for better profit margins. New Zealand's sheep population declined to under 26 million head, the lowest in 170 years, due to weather-related losses and conversion of farmland to horticultural use. The reduced supply has led to lower auction volumes, increased raw wool prices, and reduced processor margins. Processing facilities in China and Italy report periodic underutilization of their scouring lines, with some facilities implementing blended-fiber programs to maintain production levels.
Geography Analysis
Asia-Pacific maintains a 53% revenue share and demonstrates a 5.30% CAGR through 2030, establishing its position as the primary producer and consumer. China processed 356,193 metric tons of greasy wool in 2022, representing 20.2% of global output, while importing premium merino from Australia for worsted apparel production. Australia's wool production supports premium market segments, with its mutton exports to China reflecting integrated protein-fiber trade relationships. India's exports reached USD 1.74 billion in FY24, demonstrating its growing presence in carpet-grade wool production, supported by the Integrated Wool Development Programme.
Europe maintains its position as the primary importer of finished apparel and regulatory standard-setter. Germany, France, Spain, Italy, and the Netherlands constitute 73.3% of the European apparel market, which grew by 4.1% in 2023. European consumer behavior supports sustainable wool production, with 50% of consumers purchasing sustainable fashion in 2022. The region's circular-economy regulations require recyclability and recycled content, supporting wool market growth. Alpine cooperatives implement on-farm scouring and regional branding initiatives, while Turkey strengthens its global position through its Angora production and hosting of the IWTO Round Table 2024.
The United States' wool exports increased to 5,422 metric tons in 2024, reaching the highest level since 2018, despite domestic flock numbers remaining low due to labor shortages and land-use constraints. U.S. performance-outdoor brands are increasing PFAS-free initiatives, transitioning from polyester fleece to merino wool. South America serves as a market for medium-grade wool, with Uruguay and Argentina developing premium opportunities through animal-welfare and traceability programs for European luxury markets. South Africa maintains 97.3% clearance rates and achieves price premiums for certified merino, indicating a strong demand for ethical wool production in the Southern Hemisphere.
Recent Industry Developments
- February 2025: The Kangaroo Island Wool Mill began full-scale operations, integrating superfine merino production and on-island processing to capture value across the supply chain and enhance tourist engagement with wool production.
- September 2024: The Woolmark Company launched Woolmark+, allocating resources to 13 projects aimed at carbon insetting and positioning wool as the most recycled fiber.
- June 2024: Woolmark and COLOURizd introduced QuantumCOLOUR, cutting water use to 0.5 L/kg and eliminating dye-house effluent.
Research Methodology Framework and Report Scope
Market Definitions and Key Coverage
Our study defines the global wool market as the annual value of raw and semi-processed animal wool, including sheep, merino, mohair, cashmere, alpaca, and similar specialty fibers, traded or further converted for apparel, interior textiles, and technical uses. Coverage starts at farm-gate fiber production, flows through major trading hubs, and ends at first-stage processors that sell tops, yarn, or fabric to downstream mills.
Scope Exclusion: Mineral wool insulation, synthetic fleece, and any recycled fiber derived from non-animal sources are outside this study's boundary.
Segmentation Overview
- By Geography (Production Analysis (Volume), Consumption Analysis (Volume and Value), Import Analysis (Volume and Value), Export Analysis (Volume and Value), and Price Trend Analysis)
- North America
- United States
- Mexico
- Europe
- Germany
- Belgium
- United Kingdom
- Italy
- Netherlands
- Asia-Pacific
- China
- India
- Australia
- Japan
- New Zealand
- South America
- Brazil
- Argentina
- Middle East
- United Arab Emirates
- Saudi Arabia
- Oman
- Turkey
- Africa
- South Africa
- Morocco
- North America
Detailed Research Methodology and Data Validation
Primary Research
Dozens of structured interviews and surveys with wool growers, trading houses, scouring plants, spinners, and brand-sourcing managers across Australia, China, Italy, the United States, and South Africa helped validate price assumptions, yield losses, and demand swings. Expert feedback also confirmed micron-premium trends and certified-wool adoption rates, closing gaps that secondary data alone could not fill.
Desk Research
Our analysts began with publicly available, high-credibility datasets such as FAO FAOSTAT output, USDA ERS Cotton and Wool Outlooks, Australian Wool Exchange price sheets, International Wool Textile Organisation supply statistics, and European Union COMEXT trade records. These sources clarified production tonnage, trade flows, and prevailing micron-based price spreads. Company filings, investor decks, and national customs data then provided processor revenues and shipment values that anchor regional conversion factors. Paid platforms, including D&B Hoovers for processor financials and Dow Jones Factiva for real-time news, enriched our desk work with timely competitive and transaction insights. The sources cited illustrate our evidence base; many additional governmental and industry references were reviewed throughout the build.
Market-Sizing and Forecasting
The core model applies a top-down "production-plus-trade reconstruct," multiplying clean-equivalent output by region-specific average selling prices, which are then reconciled with import and export values. Select bottom-up checks, processor roll-ups and sampled ASP x volume calculations, flag outliers before totals are finalized. Key drivers embedded include sheep flock numbers, greasy-to-clean yield ratios, apparel retail sales indices, certified-wool penetration, and cross-fiber price parity. A multivariate regression that blends GDP per capita trends with apparel retail growth and flock dynamics projects demand to 2030; scenario analysis adjusts for bio-security shocks or synthetic-fiber policy shifts.
Data Validation and Update Cycle
Outputs pass three layers of variance and anomaly checks, peer review, and a manager sign-off. Results are compared with IWTO price benchmarks and AWEX indicators; material deviations trigger a model rerun. Reports refresh yearly, while notable market events, such as tariff moves or disease outbreaks, prompt interim updates so clients always receive our latest view.
Why Mordor's Wool Baseline Earns Trust
Published wool values often differ because firms choose dissimilar fiber scopes, price bases, and refresh rhythms.
Some quote only raw greasy wool, others focus on finished textiles, and many rely on single-region snapshots converted at outdated exchange rates.
Benchmark comparison
| Market Size | Anonymized source | Primary gap driver |
|---|---|---|
| USD 43.90 B (2025) | Mordor Intelligence | - |
| USD 11.25 B (2024) | Global Consultancy A | Counts only fine sheep wool; applies static 70 % clean-yield factor; limited regional coverage |
| USD 8.56 B (2025) | Trade Journal B | Uses export receipts as proxy, excludes domestic consumption, and relies on prior-year FX rates |
The comparison shows how narrower scopes or simplified assumptions can suppress market value by more than four-fold. Mordor's disciplined variable selection, transparent yield adjustments, and annual refresh give decision-makers a balanced, reproducible baseline they can rely on with confidence.
Key Questions Answered in the Report
What is the current size of the wool market?
The wool market is valued at USD 43.9 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 52.6 billion by 2030, reflecting a 3.7% CAGR.
Why is Asia-Pacific so influential in the wool market?
Asia-Pacific holds 53% of global revenue thanks to China’s processing scale, Australia’s premium-merino clip, and rising disposable income across the region.
How are sustainability regulations affecting wool demand?
Europe’s recyclability mandates and North America’s PFAS bans favor biodegradable fibers, steering fashion and insulation buyers toward wool.
What technological innovations are expanding wool’s applications?
Silver-nanowire coatings and polymer nanocomposites enable conductive, breathable fabrics for IoT wearables, opening high-margin niches beyond traditional apparel.
What is restraining wool production in traditional regions?
Declining sheep numbers in Australia and New Zealand, coupled with bio-security threats such as foot-and-mouth disease, are reducing raw-wool supply and raising costs.
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