United States Full Service Restaurants Market SIZE & SHARE ANALYSIS - GROWTH TRENDS & FORECASTS UP TO 2030

United States Full Service Restaurants Market Analysis

The United States Full Service Restaurants Market size is estimated at 360.9 billion USD in 2025, and is expected to reach 617.4 billion USD by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 11.33% during the forecast period (2025-2030).

The full-service restaurant industry in the United States is experiencing significant transformation driven by changing consumer preferences and dining habits. Recent data shows that 80% of American consumers now prefer ethnic cuisines at least once a month in fine dining establishments, reflecting a broader shift toward diverse culinary experiences. This trend is further amplified by the surge in international tourism, with overseas visitors reaching 51.35 million in 2022, contributing to increased demand for both authentic ethnic and traditional American dining experiences. The industry's evolution is also evident in the growing integration of technology, with over half of restaurants implementing digital solutions like QR code menus and mobile payment systems to enhance operational efficiency and customer experience.

The landscape of full-service restaurants continues to be dominated by independent operators, who maintain a strong presence across the country. With over 319,000 independent restaurants operating in 2022, representing 73.7% of all full-service establishments, these venues are particularly successful in major metropolitan areas and expanding across multiple Census divisions. Independent restaurants are increasingly differentiating themselves through unique dining concepts, locally sourced ingredients, and personalized customer experiences. These establishments are also adapting to modern consumer preferences by offering innovative menu items and incorporating sustainable practices into their operations.

The integration of full-service restaurants into retail environments has emerged as a significant trend in the restaurant industry, reshaping both the dining and shopping experiences. Studies indicate that 40% of consumers now base their shopping center selection primarily on available dining options, while 60% of shoppers consistently choose to dine at these establishments during their visits. This symbiotic relationship between retail and dining has led to the development of more sophisticated restaurant concepts within shopping centers, featuring enhanced ambiance, diverse menu offerings, and elevated service standards to meet the expectations of modern consumers.

The industry is witnessing a notable shift in menu development and culinary offerings, particularly in response to evolving ethnic food preferences. Mexican cuisine has established itself as a dominant force in the restaurant market, with 79% of Americans regularly consuming popular items like nachos in 2022. This trend extends beyond traditional Mexican fare to include fusion concepts and regional specialties, reflecting the industry's ability to adapt to changing taste preferences while maintaining authenticity. Full-service restaurants are increasingly focusing on creating unique dining experiences through innovative menu items, specialized cooking techniques, and the incorporation of global flavors to attract and retain customers.

United States Full Service Restaurants Market Trends

Full service restaurants account for nearly one-third of foodservice outlets in the United States

• QSRs accounted for 48.23% of the total foodservice outlets in the United States in 2022, followed by FSRs with 32.9%, equivalent to around 0.32 million restaurants. Some of the popular full service restaurants in the United States in 2020 included Applebee's, with 1,577 outlets, out of which 107 stores were in California, Olive Garden, with 884 outlets, Texas Roadhouse, with 619 restaurants in the United States, IHOP, Chili's, and Red Lobster. The industry's average American Customer Satisfaction Index score for 2020 was just under 80.
• The number of outlets is expected to increase at an average rate of 0.40% Y-o-Y during the forecast period (2023-2029). There were 32,027 FSRs in the United States in 2021. Some of the most popular dishes served at FSRs are burritos, salmon rolls, tuna rolls, California rolls, edamame, menudo, rice, and chilaquiles.
• Owing to COVID-19, almost 1,000 FSRs were closed due to government regulations and reduced sales during the pandemic, negatively affecting overall market sales. The number of online orders has increased since the pandemic; in the last year, more than 60% of Americans ordered food online at least once a week. Online food ordering has grown 300% faster than dine-in since 2014, accounting for roughly 40% of total restaurant sales.

North American and Latin American cuisines are the second and third most popular cuisines at full service restaurants

• The average order value of FSRs costs around 50.37% higher than that of QSRs. FSRs provide dine-in facilities and entertainment, such as music, to attract the customer’s interest, and employ skilled chefs for the preparation of food. These extra services raise the price value for FSRs. Under FSRs, Asian cuisine is the most popular cuisine, accounting for 47% of the market share in 2022, followed by North American and Latin American cuisine, with a 37% share.
• Different kinds of restaurant chains are available, such as family-style dining, casual dining, and fine dining. IHOP's sales amounted to around USD 3 billion in 2021, making it the leading family-style dining restaurant chain. Olive Garden was the leading casual dining restaurant chain, with sales amounting to around USD 4.18 billion in 2021. Ruth’s Chris Steak House's sales amounted to around USD 636 million in 2021, making it the leading fine-dining restaurant chain in the United States.
• In the United States, some of the popular dishes include burritos (around USD 10 per plate), huevos rancheros (around 12.5 per plate), salmon and tuna rolls (around USD 8 per plate), and edamame (around USD 7 per plate). Other popular dishes are rice (around USD 3.5 per plate), salads (around USD 13 per plate), and poke bowls (around USD 13.5 per plate).
• The average order value increased by 16.23% from 2017 to 2022. Owing to the rising inflation rate, which increased by an average of 6-7% from 2017 to 2022, the number of orders increased to more than 16,000 in 2022 per restaurant.

Segment Analysis: Cuisine

North American Segment in US Full Service Restaurants Market

North American cuisine continues to dominate the United States full-service restaurants market, commanding approximately 38% market share in 2024. This segment's strong performance is driven by the enduring popularity of traditional American dishes like burgers, sandwiches, and chicken, which remain the most ordered items across the country. The segment's success is further bolstered by consumers' increasing preference for locally sourced ingredients and sustainable food options, with around 38% of consumers preferring restaurants that serve locally sourced foods. Full-service restaurants in this segment are also adapting to changing consumer preferences by offering more plant-based options and organic ingredients while maintaining their core menu offerings that have historically attracted American diners. The presence of steakhouse and traditional restaurant formats within this segment further enhances its appeal.

Middle Eastern Segment in US Full Service Restaurants Market

The Middle Eastern cuisine segment is experiencing remarkable growth in the United States full-service restaurants market, projected to grow at approximately 12% during 2024-2029. This impressive growth trajectory is driven by increasing consumer demand for diverse and exotic flavors, with Middle Eastern cuisine availability in restaurants increasing by about 32% across the United States. The segment's growth is particularly supported by the rising popularity of Middle Eastern dips, tahini, and hummus, which have transcended geographical boundaries and consumption patterns. The cuisine's appeal is further enhanced by its emphasis on fresh ingredients, vegetarian options, and unique spice profiles, making it increasingly attractive to health-conscious consumers and those seeking new culinary experiences. This aligns with the broader trend in the restaurant market segmentation that favors diversity and innovation.

Remaining Segments in Cuisine

The other significant segments in the US full-service restaurants market include Asian cuisine, which offers a diverse range of Japanese, Chinese, and Korean dishes; Latin American cuisine, dominated by Mexican food offerings; European cuisine, primarily represented by Italian and French restaurants; and other FSR cuisines including African and Caribbean options. Asian cuisine maintains its strong presence through popular dishes like sushi and Korean BBQ, while Latin American restaurants continue to attract customers with their authentic Mexican offerings and Tex-Mex fusion dishes. European cuisine, particularly Italian, remains a staple in the American dining landscape, while other FSR cuisines contribute to the market's diversity by offering unique cultural dining experiences. The presence of casual dining restaurant and upscale restaurant formats across these segments highlights the varied preferences within the restaurant industry segments.

Segment Analysis: Outlet

Independent Outlets Segment in US Full Service Restaurants Market

Independent outlets continue to dominate the US full-service restaurants market, commanding approximately 74% market share in 2024. These establishments have gained significant traction due to their ability to experiment with menu items, promotions, and community outreach programs that generate long-term customer loyalty with local residents. Independent restaurants, particularly those with one to two locations, have shown remarkable resilience and adaptability in meeting consumers' expectations regarding dining experience and ambiance. These outlets consistently outperform chain restaurants in key areas such as food quality, service, value, and menu innovation. Their success can be attributed to their flexibility in developing unique menus, dining areas, and experiences exclusive to their business, along with their preference for locally sourced ingredients and support of small establishments. The role of independent restaurant formats in this segment underscores their importance in the restaurant market segmentation.

Chained Outlets Segment in US Full Service Restaurants Market

The chained outlets segment is projected to experience robust growth with an estimated CAGR of approximately 12% during 2024-2029. This growth is primarily driven by the segment's increasing adoption of advanced technologies such as self-service kiosks, which enhance both service speed and cost-effectiveness. The chained model effectively combines the potential for globalization with the growing demand for online meal ordering, enabling large-scale global corporate operators to expand their reach in new areas. These establishments are particularly focusing on American and Asian cuisines, responding to the rising consumer demand for diverse dining options. The segment's growth is further supported by the industry operators' preference for franchising over company-operated stores, owing to lower capital requirements and reduced operational risks. The presence of chain restaurant models within this segment highlights its strategic growth potential.

Segment Analysis: Location

Standalone Segment in US Full Service Restaurants Market

Standalone restaurants continue to dominate the US full-service restaurants market, commanding approximately 71% market share in 2024. These establishments offer unique dining experiences and are typically operated by experienced hospitality industry professionals who have complete control over operations and menu innovation. The segment's success is driven by consumers' increasing preference for authentic and distinctive dining experiences, with California, New York, and Texas leading with the highest number of single-location FSRs. Standalone restaurants are particularly popular among local residents due to their ability to experiment with menu items, promotions, and community outreach programs that generate long-term customer loyalty. These establishments are also known for developing unique menus, dining areas, and experiences exclusive to their business, setting them apart from chain restaurants. The role of independent restaurant formats within this segment is crucial for maintaining its market dominance.

Lodging Segment in US Full Service Restaurants Market

The lodging segment is projected to experience the most rapid growth in the US full-service restaurants market, with an expected CAGR of approximately 15% during 2024-2029. This remarkable growth is driven by hotels and resorts expanding their dining options to meet diverse guest preferences, particularly for breakfast and room service amenities. Many celebrity chefs are opening restaurants inside hotels across major cities, leveraging skilled kitchen staff, experienced front-of-house personnel, and strong financial backing. The segment's growth is further supported by travelers seeking authentic and local dining experiences, with hotels and resorts responding by opening restaurants that highlight regional cuisine and ingredients. The rising trend of weekend backpacking and hiking among youth has also contributed to the segment's growth, as these travelers often prefer local hostel lodgings with integrated food options. The emergence of casual dining restaurant formats within this segment highlights its adaptability to consumer trends.

Remaining Segments in Location

The US full-service restaurants market includes several other important location segments, including retail, leisure, and travel. Retail-based restaurants are becoming increasingly prevalent in shopping centers and malls, enhancing the overall shopping experience for consumers. The leisure segment, comprising restaurants in multiplexes, amusement parks, and stadiums, is evolving to offer more sophisticated dining options beyond traditional concession stands. Travel-based restaurants, located in airports, railway stations, and highways, are modernizing their operations with cutting-edge technology and enhanced customer service experiences, including mobile ordering and digital signage. Each of these segments contributes uniquely to the market's diversity and caters to specific consumer needs and occasions.