Soup Market Size & Share Analysis - Growth Trends and Forecast (2026 - 2031)

Global Soup Market Trends and Insights

Rising popularity of vegan and plant-based soups

Plant-based soups are gaining traction as flexitarian diets expand beyond coastal metropolitan areas into mainstream grocery aisles. According to the Good Food Institute, U.S. retail sales of plant-based foods reached USD 8.1 billion in 2024, with soups and broths emerging as a fast-growing subcategory driven by pea, lentil, and chickpea bases that provide complete amino acid profiles without animal inputs^{[1]Source: Good Food Institute, “Plant-Based Market Research,” gfi.org}. This trend reflects not only changing dietary preferences but also supply-chain pragmatism, as pulse crops require less water and fertilizer than livestock, helping manufacturers mitigate commodity volatility. In 2024, FDA guidance clarified plant-based labeling, reducing litigation risk and enabling clearer shelf communication. European retailers are supporting the adoption of vegan products through dedicated end-cap displays during Veganuary and other campaigns, converting trials into repeat purchases. Strategically, brands that prioritize sensory optimization, enhancing umami depth and mouthfeel, are positioned to outperform those relying solely on health claims, as taste remains the primary barrier to mainstream acceptance.

Product innovation and variety

Flavor diversification and format experimentation are reshaping purchase drivers, with ethnic profiles such as Thai tom yum, Indian dal, and Mexican pozole migrating from foodservice to retail shelves. Unilever's Knorr brand launched a "Global Flavors" line in 2025, featuring region-specific recipes co-developed with culinary institutes in Bangkok, Mumbai, and Mexico City, targeting multicultural households and adventurous eaters. This innovation extends beyond taste to texture and preparation convenience; single-serve microwaveable pouches and cold-sippable formats are gaining traction among commuters and office workers who lack access to stovetops. Campbell Soup's "Well Yes!" line, which emphasizes visible vegetable pieces and no artificial ingredients, posted double-digit growth in 2024, demonstrating that transparency and ingredient integrity can command premium pricing. The underlying dynamic is a bifurcation: mass-market players are defending volume through value packs and promotional pricing, while premium entrants are capturing margin through limited-edition releases and chef collaborations that generate social media buzz and drive trial.

Sustainable and eco-friendly packaging

Packaging sustainability in the European plant-based soup market is evolving from a marketing narrative into an operational necessity, driven by EU regulations mandating minimum recycled content in food-contact plastics and extended producer responsibility schemes that assign end-of-life costs to manufacturers. The FDA's approval in 2024 of post-consumer recycled polyethylene terephthalate (rPET) for direct food contact, subject to strict migration testing, opened up supply-chain opportunities for soup producers aiming to reduce their use of virgin resin. Bonduelle’s 2025 commitment to convert 75% of its soup packaging to recyclable or compostable materials by 2027 demonstrates alignment with regulatory compliance and consumer demand^{[2]Source: Bonduelle, “Bonduelle Accelerates Sustainable Packaging Transition,” bonduelle.com}. The strategic challenge is maintaining barrier performance for shelf life and food safety while improving recyclability, since multi-layer laminates are difficult to separate in municipal recycling systems. Brands investing in mono-material pouches or aluminum cans with high recycled content are likely to secure preferential shelf placement in sustainability-focused retailers, whereas laggards risk delisting or margin erosion from regulatory penalties.

Seasonal demand variations

Winter seasonality continues to dominate in temperate markets, with November-to-February sales accounting for 40–50% of annual volume in North America and Northern Europe, creating inventory risks and underutilized production capacity during warmer months. Campbell Soup’s fiscal 2025 earnings call highlighted initiatives to smooth demand through chilled gazpacho and cold-sippable bone broths aimed at summer consumption, reducing reliance on off-peak promotional discounting. The strategic insight is that manufacturers with flexible production lines capable of rapid format changeovers can capture incremental margin by avoiding the dilution caused by deep discounts. Climate volatility further compresses traditional seasonal windows: milder winters in the U.S. Midwest and Northeast reduced heating and cooling demand in early 2025, prompting retailers to liquidate inventory at reduced prices, according to the USDA ERS. Brands that establish year-round positioning, such as protein-forward soups for post-workout recovery or meal replacement, can mitigate seasonal earnings volatility and improve overall asset utilization.

Consumer preference for fresh and homemade alternatives

During periods of economic uncertainty, consumers increasingly prefer fresh food, perceiving homemade meals as both healthier and more economical compared to processed options. The shift in consumer preference challenges soup manufacturers to redefine their value propositions beyond convenience. To remain competitive, manufacturers must innovate by enhancing nutritional density and ensuring ingredient transparency to align with consumer expectations. Research on consumer behavior highlights that familiarity with traditional cooking methods often leads to more nuanced motivations for food preparation, such as nostalgia and perceived health benefits, which processed soups struggle to replicate. To address these challenges, companies need to invest in marketing strategies that emphasize the nutritional equivalence of their products to fresh alternatives. At the same time, they must maintain cost advantages to appeal to budget-conscious consumers, particularly during economic downturns. By balancing these factors, manufacturers can better position themselves in a market increasingly inclined toward fresh food preferences.

Negative perceptions regarding healthiness

Regulatory transparency is intensifying health perception challenges as it brings sodium and preservative content in food products under scrutiny, raising consumer concerns about long-term wellness. The FDA's voluntary sodium reduction goals, aimed at specific soup categories with defined baseline levels and reduction targets, highlight these health concerns while creating significant compliance pressures for manufacturers. Additionally, Regulatory uncertainty surrounding sodium reduction targets, particularly the FDA’s current “as-packaged” sodium concentration standards for dry soup mixes, poses a challenge for manufacturers. The lack of standardized “as-prepared” sodium benchmarks across various formats (dry, canned, bouillon) may lead to unfair comparisons and limit innovation, while ongoing discussions about reclassifying bouillons as non-target categories add further ambiguity^{[3]Source: The Food Industry Association, "fmi-comments-on-phase-ii-sodium-reduction-draft-guidance", www.fmi.org}. Furthermore, front-of-package labeling requirements, which mandate the prominent display of nutrients consumers are advised to limit, could negatively impact impulse purchases, a key driver of soup sales historically. Public health organizations further emphasize that a substantial portion of sodium consumption originates from commercially processed foods, including soups, thereby increasing the demand for more aggressive sodium reduction targets to address these health concerns effectively.

Segment Analysis

By Product Type: Chilled Formats Capture Fresh-Adjacent Premium

Shelf-stable soup accounted for 44.76% of the market in 2025, driven by its extended shelf life, efficient ambient distribution, and ingrained consumer pantry habits. However, chilled soup is the fastest-growing segment, expanding at a 1.88% CAGR through 2031, as retailers expand their refrigerated sets and consumers increasingly seek fresh-adjacent convenience. Chilled formats offer sensory advantages,brighter vegetable colors, crisper textures, and flavors less affected by retort sterilization, allowing 20-30% price premiums over shelf-stable equivalents. Tideford Organic’s chilled soup range in UK supermarkets achieved 25% year-over-year growth in 2024, highlighting its short ingredient lists and emphasis on freshness cues. Frozen soup, although smaller in volume, caters to foodservice bulk packs and meal-kit applications, offering an extended shelf life without nutrient degradation. In contrast, dry soup mixes, historically dominant in emerging markets, face pressure as rising disposable incomes drive a trade-up to ready-to-eat formats.

The strategic implication is that manufacturers with cold-chain capabilities and regional production footprints can expand margins through chilled innovation, while those reliant on centralized shelf-stable production risk volume erosion. Campbell Soup’s 2025 launch of the “Fresh Starts” refrigerated line in the U.S. Northeast, featuring locally sourced vegetables and a 14-day shelf life, exemplifies this shift toward fresh-adjacent positioning. Regulatory compliance also affects format selection: FDA refrigerated food safety guidelines require continuous temperature monitoring, raising barriers for smaller brands but creating opportunities for regional specialists with tight, reliable supply chains.

Note: Segment shares of all individual segments available upon report purchase

By Category: Plant-Forward Eating Drives Vegetarian Dominance

Vegetarian soup accounted for 53.59% of the market in 2025 and is projected to grow at a 2.06% CAGR through 2031, outpacing non-vegetarian offerings as flexitarian diets become mainstream and plant-based eating expands beyond niche segments. This growth reflects multiple converging factors: environmental awareness, animal welfare concerns, health optimization, and advances in plant-protein technology that now deliver taste and texture comparable to meat-based broths. Non-vegetarian soups, including those based on chicken, beef, and seafood, retain loyal followings, particularly among older consumers and in colder climates, where hearty, protein-dense meals align with cultural norms. However, they face challenges from rising poultry and beef costs, as well as growing scrutiny of factory farming practices. Amy’s Kitchen’s organic vegetarian soup line, free from all animal products and USDA Organic–certified, expanded shelf presence in Whole Foods and Sprouts in 2024, demonstrating that clean-label vegetarian positioning can command premium pricing.

The strategic challenge for non-vegetarian soup brands lies in differentiation through premium protein sources, such as grass-fed beef, free-range chicken, or sustainably sourced seafood, to justify higher price points and appeal to conscious carnivores. Kettle & Fire’s bone broth, marketed as a collagen-rich wellness product rather than traditional soup, achieved 40% revenue growth in 2024 by targeting keto and paleo consumers prioritizing protein density and gut health. The broader category dynamic shows increasing blurring between segments: vegetarian soups are marketed for functional benefits such as fiber, antioxidants, and satiety, rather than simply as meat-free options, while non-vegetarian soups emphasize provenance and nutrient density to resist commoditization.

By Distribution Channel: Traditional Retail Maintains Scale Advantages

Supermarkets and hypermarkets accounted for 52.58% of the 2025 distribution share, reflecting entrenched shopping habits, promotional intensity, and the tactile reassurance of in-store browsing. However, online retail stores are the fastest-growing channel, with a 2.89% CAGR through 2031, as subscription models, direct-to-consumer brands, and meal-kit integration reshape purchase pathways. Deloitte's 2025 Future of Grocery report found that 38% of U.S. consumers now purchase packaged foods online at least monthly, up from 22% in 2020, driven by time savings, convenience of home delivery, and algorithm-driven personalization that surfaces niche brands. Other distribution channels, including foodservice, vending machines, and direct-to-consumer subscriptions, capture incremental volume but face higher per-unit logistics costs that compress margins.

The strategic insight is that an omnichannel presence is becoming a table stake; brands that optimize for both physical shelf and digital discovery will outperform those anchored to a single channel. Campbell Soup's 2024 partnership with Instacart and Amazon Fresh, which offers same-day delivery and exclusive online SKUs, exemplifies this dual-channel strategy. However, online retail introduces new competitive dynamics: lower switching costs, transparent price comparison, and algorithm-driven recommendations that favor brands with strong ratings and reviews. Smaller entrants such as Kettle & Fire and Tideford Organic are leveraging direct-to-consumer e-commerce to bypass traditional slotting fees and build customer databases for targeted marketing, while incumbents must defend shelf space against private-label encroachment and margin erosion from promotional intensity.

Note: Segment shares of all individual segments available upon report purchase

By Packaging Format: Pouches Dominate Through Convenience and Sustainability

Pouches captured 48.51% of the 2025 packaging share, driven by their lighter weight, lower material costs, improved shelf appeal, and a consumer perception of modernity compared to legacy cans. Stand-up pouches with resealable zippers enable portion control and refrigerated storage after opening, addressing single-person households and snacking occasions that cans cannot serve without transferring contents. Canned soup, despite legacy perceptions of high sodium and industrial processing, is posting the fastest growth at 2.62% CAGR through 2031 as manufacturers reformulate recipes to meet FDA "healthy" claim thresholds and introduce organic, reduced-sodium variants that rehabilitate the format's reputation. Campbell Soup's 2024 redesign of its iconic red-and-white cans, featuring transparent windows that showcase the contents of the soup, represents a strategic effort to combat negative perceptions and signal the quality of its ingredients.

Other packaging formats, including glass jars, Tetra Pak cartons, and microwaveable bowls, serve niche applications such as premium gifting, foodservice single-serve, and on-the-go consumption. The strategic implication is that packaging choice increasingly functions as a brand signal: pouches connote innovation and convenience, cans suggest value and tradition, and glass jars communicate premium quality and giftability. Brands that align packaging format with target demographics and consumption occasions will optimize shelf velocity, while those maintaining rigid format portfolios risk losing relevance as consumer preferences fragment. Sustainability considerations are intensifying as well; aluminum cans boast high recycled content and infinite recyclability, while multi-layer pouches face end-of-life challenges that may trigger regulatory restrictions in Europe and California as per the European Commission.

Geography Analysis

Europe accounted for 36.42% of the global soup market in 2025, remaining the largest regional segment due to the deep-rooted traditions of soup consumption in Germany, the United Kingdom, France, and Italy, where soups are often part of daily meals rather than occasional convenience options. Germany favors hearty lentil and potato varieties, the UK prefers tomato and chicken-based soups, and France emphasizes bisques and consommés, creating diverse flavor profiles that support strong regional brand loyalty. Growth in these mature markets is moderating, however, as private-label penetration intensifies; discount chains such as Aldi and Lidl captured 45% of German soup sales in 2024, compressing branded margins and driving innovation toward premium, organic, and chilled formats. EU food safety regulations, including EFSA guidelines on additives and allergen labeling, add compliance costs but also act as entry barriers, protecting established brands from low-cost imports.

The Asia-Pacific region is the fastest-growing, expanding at a 3.14% CAGR through 2031, driven by urbanization, rising disposable incomes, and the increasing adoption of packaged meal solutions in markets traditionally dominated by home-cooked broths. In China, younger consumers in tier-1 and tier-2 cities prioritize convenience over traditional preparation, allowing brands like Tingyi and Uni-President to capture market share with spicy and numbing flavor profiles. India's soup market is emerging rapidly, with Nestlé Maggi expanding into soup mixes in 2024, leveraging its brand equity and distribution network. Japan’s aging population drives demand for nutrient-dense, easy-to-consume formats such as miso- and collagen-based soups, while Australia’s multicultural consumers favor ethnic flavors and premium organic products. 

North America, South America, and the Middle East & Africa collectively hold the remaining market share, with North America growing steadily via chilled and bone broth innovations, while South America and MEA remain price-sensitive, favoring dry mixes and shelf-stable value formats. Urban centers in South Africa and Nigeria present opportunities as cold-chain and retail infrastructure develop, though rural penetration remains constrained by affordability and traditional consumption habits.