North America Commercial Aircraft Market Size and Share

North America Commercial Aircraft Market (2026 - 2031)
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North America Commercial Aircraft Market Analysis by Mordor Intelligence

The North America commercial aircraft market size is expected to grow from USD 56.97 billion in 2025 to USD 75.31 billion in 2026 and is forecasted to reach USD 96.12 billion by 2031 at a 5.00% CAGR over 2026-2031. Fleet renewal to meet fuel efficiency targets, substantial backlogs for next‑generation narrowbodies, and steady network expansion by full‑service carriers (FSCs) and low‑cost carriers (LCCs) together support demand, even as supply chains and certification cycles stretch delivery timelines. Backlogs at major OEMs remain elevated, keeping lease rates firm and sustaining residual values for in‑service aircraft as operators bridge capacity gaps with extensions and short‑term lifts. Airlines continue to pivot toward cabin and connectivity upgrades that raise ancillary revenue yield. At the same time, regulators press for airspace modernization to improve utilization and on‑time performance over the medium term. Cargo dynamics are mixed, with North American carriers facing uneven international trade flows but maintaining an outsized share of dedicated freighters that sustain express and e‑commerce logistics.

Key Report Takeaways

  • By aircraft type, narrowbodies led with 79.73% share in 2025 and are projected to record the fastest 6.14% CAGR through 2031.
  • By application, passenger operations held a 94.78% market share in 2025 and are forecasted to expand at a 5.76% CAGR through 2031.
  • By propulsion type, turbofans accounted for 91.47% share in 2025, while turboprops are set to grow at the highest 5.23% CAGR through 2031.
  • By component, airframe structures captured a 32.91% share in 2025, and cabin interior and in‑flight connectivity is the fastest‑growing sub‑segment at 6.31% through 2031.
  • By geography, the United States accounted for 84.66% in 2025 and is projected to advance at a 6.43% CAGR through 2031.

Note: Market size and forecast figures in this report are generated using Mordor Intelligence’s proprietary estimation framework, updated with the latest available data and insights as of January 2026.

Segment Analysis

By Aircraft Type: Narrowbody Jets Secure Backlog Pricing Power

Narrowbodies captured 79.73% of the North America commercial aircraft market share in 2025 and are forecast to post a 6.14% CAGR through 2031. Backlogs and production ramps for single-aisle aircraft indicate multi-year delivery visibility, supporting fleet commonality and network upgauging. Operators prioritize single-aisle aircraft for new capacity due to gate compatibility and turnaround advantages, while accommodating seasonality and peak demand. Elevated backlogs and tight production slots sustain residual values for in-service units, further driving procurement toward narrowbody aircraft.

Widebodies remain essential for long-haul networks and premium cabin revenue, though their growth rate is slower than that of narrowbodies. Cargo variants and conversions help stabilize utilization as older freighter lines retire. Regional jets continue to serve short-haul routes, but pilot scope and unit costs lead many operators to favor larger narrowbodies or modern turboprops. The procurement environment remains slot-driven, favoring carriers and lessors with early multi-year delivery agreements. This dynamic keeps the market focused on single-aisle programs while leveraging widebodies and regionals where economically viable.

North America Commercial Aircraft Market: Market Share by Aircraft Type
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By Application: Passenger Operations Dominate Despite Cargo’s Strategic Value

Passenger operations held a 94.78% share in 2025 and are projected to grow at a 5.76% CAGR through 2031, ensuring that most of the North America commercial aircraft market remains tied to single‑aisle fleet plans and premium‑economy monetization. Traffic data show a tilt toward international leisure within seasonal peaks, which preserves widebody relevance while reinforcing the primacy of high‑capacity narrowbodies on domestic and transborder routes. Airlines are allocating more cabin space to products that raise yield without significant weight penalties, which supports investments in connectivity and interiors at delivery to lock in lifetime ancillary revenue options.

Freighter applications continue to carry strategic weight that exceeds their revenue share suggests. The region’s express and e‑commerce ecosystems rely on dedicated aircraft to maintain next‑day and two‑day service standards, which underpins long‑term forecasts for new‑build freighters and conversions across the Americas. Airbus market materials also highlight new entrants in the widebody cargo space that will reach service later in the decade, complementing the conversion pipeline. Confirmed deliveries of B777‑300ERSF units to North American operators signal deeper conversion capacity that can support payload‑intensive missions during the production transition.[3]AerCap Corporate Communications, “AerCap Cargo Delivers First Two Boeing 777‑300ERSF,” AerCap, aercap.com Even amid mixed international cargo trends in 2025, the structural role of freighters helps balance seasonal swings in passenger flying, thereby steadying overall fleet utilization in the North America commercial aircraft market.

By Propulsion Type: Turbofan Engines Dominate, Turboprops Gain Regional Traction

Turbofan engines accounted for 91.47% of the market in 2025, driven by the scale of leading single‑aisle families across the region’s trunk routes. The installed base benefits from multi‑year production commitments and robust aftermarket activity, reinforcing the centrality of turbofan technology for the North America commercial aircraft market. OEMs and joint ventures have secured long‑term service agreements with major operators, supporting spare parts flows and MRO investments that protect dispatch reliability as flight hours rise. These actions keep turbofan fleets positioned for sustained utilization even as inspection cycles ripple through selected sub‑fleets.

Turboprops are projected to grow at a 5.23% CAGR through 2031 as regional networks favor right‑sized lift on short sectors and thinner routes. Modern turboprops can outperform small regional jets on fuel burn and trip costs for stage lengths under 300 miles, supporting their adoption in local and essential air service markets. Airlines also weigh the maintenance and training advantages of simplified fleets, which can tilt decisions toward turboprops when small‑jet economics are constrained. As these factors persist, turboprops remain the fastest‑growing propulsion segment in the North America commercial aircraft market through 2031.

North America Commercial Aircraft Market: Market Share by Propulsion Type
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By Component: Airframe Structures Lead, Cabin Systems Accelerate on Ancillary Revenue Push

Airframe structures accounted for 32.91% in 2025, reflecting the material intensity and labor content of fuselages, wings, and empennages that drive the economics of final assembly. Strategic integration moves by OEMs underscore the importance of stabilizing fuselage and structures output on core programs, which can shorten recovery timelines and reduce quality escapes that delay deliveries in the North America commercial aircraft market. Engine systems and the associated aftermarket form the second‑largest component pool, supported by long‑term service contracts and MRO networks that monetize installed base growth. Airframers continue to diversify supplier bases for major subassemblies while balancing the logistics of globalized production with the need to protect critical path parts from disruption.

Cabin interior and in‑flight connectivity is the fastest‑growing sub‑segment at 6.31% through 2031, as airlines shift more revenue to seating, premium economy, and digital services. Investment announcements from major suppliers highlight new capacity coming online to support line‑fit installations, reducing retrofit downtime and enabling revenue-generating features from day one. Avionics and integrated flight decks remain a steady share, driven by reliability and certification requirements that favor bundled solutions. As production stabilizes through the forecast, line‑fit demand for cabins and avionics should track aircraft deliveries, while aftermarket refresh cycles bring follow‑on opportunities.

Geography Analysis

The US accounted for 84.66% of North America's commercial aircraft market share in 2025 and is forecasted to grow at a 6.43% CAGR through 2031, anchoring the market's growth during this period. Federal forecasts indicate sustained mainline fleet growth through 2045 at an average of 96 aircraft per year, reflecting both replacement and moderate expansion. Airspace modernization and agency restructuring launched in early 2026 aim to streamline safety oversight and accelerate NextGen capabilities, improving throughput and on-time performance. OEM market outlooks and narrowbody ramp plans align with this demand profile, supported by multi-year order books and incremental capacity expansions in US final assembly footprints.

Canada represents a smaller but strategically important share, focusing on right-sized fleets and point-to-point connectivity. Adjustments in Canada-US transborder seats are expected through early 2026, alongside domestic network expansion driven by leisure flows and secondary markets. Fleet decisions emphasize efficient narrowbodies and new-technology regional jets, supported by OEM pipelines and MRO infrastructure investments. Long-haul fleet renewal at the country's largest operator adds flexibility on thinner transatlantic routes. It diversifies the widebody mix in the late decade, contributing to steady growth in the Canadian market segment.

Mexico contributes a modest share, with cross-border connectivity and domestic leisure routes relying on high-density single-aisle aircraft. Network planning in the country is influenced by airport capacity and slot allocation at key metro airports, shaping fleet additions and schedule deployment. Engine inspection cycles have impacted short-term availability in selected fleets, encouraging a cautious approach to growth while focusing on utilization and load factors. Over the forecast period, domestic leisure demand and US transborder flows keep Mexico integrated into the market, with opportunities concentrated in seasonal peaks and regional tourism corridors.

Competitive Landscape

The North America commercial aircraft market is anchored by a two-OEM structure at the significant transport level, with Airbus and Boeing accounting for the majority of deliveries across single-aisle and twin-aisle programs. Backlogs and production ramps frame pricing and slot dynamics, placing a premium on early commitments and long-term fleet planning for airlines and lessors. On the supply side, structural integration continues to reshape final assembly and tier-one relationships, as seen in the consolidation of a major fuselage supplier. Airframers are also pursuing distributed production strategies that expand US narrowbody capacity, diversify geographic risk, and align outputs with North American demand.

Engine makers and their joint ventures compete through installed base expansion and long-term service agreements that underpin aftermarket economics. Investments in isothermal forging and rotating component capacity aim to ease bottlenecks in disks and other life-limited parts, compressing shop-visit durations as volumes ramp. These moves support reliability gains across the North America commercial aircraft market and position engine OEMs for stable revenue from time-on-wing improvements and maintenance programs.

Conversion specialists and lessors are expanding cargo capacity to meet transitional needs as legacy freighter production sunsets and new-build programs approach entry into service. On the passenger side, cabin and connectivity suppliers are enlarging North American footprints to support line-fit installations that unlock ancillary revenue streams from streaming, shopping, and dynamic seat products. Together, these strategic moves sustain momentum in the North America commercial aircraft market even as supply constraints and inspection cycles shape near-term fleet availability.

North America Commercial Aircraft Industry Leaders

  1. Airbus SE

  2. The Boeing Company

  3. Embraer S.A.

  4. Commercial Aircraft Corporation of China, Ltd. (COMAC)

  5. Avions de Transport Régional GIE (ATR)

  6. *Disclaimer: Major Players sorted in no particular order
North America Commercial Aviation Market Concentration
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Recent Industry Developments

  • February 2026: Air Canada firmed up an order for eight A350‑1000 aircraft, bolstering its widebody strategy and enhancing flexibility for thinner transatlantic routes as the decade winds down.
  • January 2026: The FAA announced a significant organizational restructuring to unify safety oversight and expedite airspace modernization. This initiative is part of an investment plan to establish a new National Airspace System backbone by the end of the decade.
  • December 2025: The Boeing Company completed the acquisition of Spirit AeroSystems to consolidate the production of critical fuselage and structures and to address quality issues that had hindered single-aisle output.

Table of Contents for North America Commercial Aircraft Industry Report

1. INTRODUCTION

  • 1.1 Study Assumptions and Market Definition
  • 1.2 Scope of the Study

2. RESEARCH METHODOLOGY

3. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

4. MARKET LANDSCAPE

  • 4.1 Market Overview
  • 4.2 Market Drivers
    • 4.2.1 Fleet replacement cycle accelerates (aging fleet, efficiency mandates)
    • 4.2.2 Upgauging and single-aisle dominance in networks and LCC growth
    • 4.2.3 US passenger traffic at record highs sustaining aircraft demand
    • 4.2.4 North America leads global freighter fleet and new widebody freighters
    • 4.2.5 US SAF tax credits catalyze decarbonization investments
    • 4.2.6 FAA NextGen capacity/efficiency gains support aircraft utilization
  • 4.3 Market Restraints
    • 4.3.1 Engine reliability/inspection cycles disrupt capacity and deliveries
    • 4.3.2 Aerospace supply-chain constraints (castings/forgings/titanium)
    • 4.3.3 Pilot and AMT pipeline constraints at regionals raise costs
    • 4.3.4 Scope-clause ceilings limit new sub-100-seat jets adoption
  • 4.4 Value Chain Analysis
  • 4.5 Regulatory Outlook
  • 4.6 Technological Outlook
  • 4.7 Porter’s Five Forces Analysis
    • 4.7.1 Bargaining Power of Suppliers
    • 4.7.2 Bargaining Power of Buyers/Consumers
    • 4.7.3 Threat of New Entrants
    • 4.7.4 Threat of Substitute Products
    • 4.7.5 Intensity of Competitive Rivalry

5. MARKET SIZE AND GROWTH FORECASTS (VALUE)

  • 5.1 By Aircraft Type
    • 5.1.1 Narrowbody
    • 5.1.2 Widebody
    • 5.1.3 Regional Jets
  • 5.2 By Application
    • 5.2.1 Passenger
    • 5.2.2 Freighter
  • 5.3 By Propulsion Type
    • 5.3.1 Turbofan
    • 5.3.2 Turboprop
  • 5.4 By Component
    • 5.4.1 Airframe Structures
    • 5.4.2 Aero-Engines
    • 5.4.3 Avionics and Flight Control
    • 5.4.4 Cabin Interior and IFEC
    • 5.4.5 Other Components
  • 5.5 By Geography
    • 5.5.1 United States
    • 5.5.2 Canada
    • 5.5.3 Mexico

6. COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • 6.1 Vendor Market Share Analysis
  • 6.2 Vendor Positioning Analysis
  • 6.3 Company Profiles (includes Global level Overview, Market level overview, Core Segments, Financials as available, Strategic Information, Market Rank/Share for key companies, Products and Services, and Recent Developments)
    • 6.3.1 Aircraft OEMs
    • 6.3.1.1 Airbus SE
    • 6.3.1.2 The Boeing Company
    • 6.3.1.3 Embraer S.A.
    • 6.3.1.4 Avions de Transport Régional GIE (ATR)
    • 6.3.1.5 Commercial Aircraft Corporation of China, Ltd. (COMAC)
    • 6.3.1.6 De Havilland Aircraft of Canada Limited
    • 6.3.1.7 United Aircraft Corporation
    • 6.3.1.8 Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Ltd.
    • 6.3.2 Systems Manufacturers and Integrators
    • 6.3.2.1 Safran S.A.
    • 6.3.2.2 Honeywell International Inc.
    • 6.3.2.3 Rolls-Royce Holdings plc
    • 6.3.2.4 General Electric Company
    • 6.3.2.5 RTX Corporation
    • 6.3.2.6 MTU Aero Engines AG
    • 6.3.2.7 BAE Systems plc
    • 6.3.2.8 Teledyne Technologies Incorporated
    • 6.3.2.9 Thales Group

7. MARKET OPPORTUNITIES AND FUTURE OUTLOOK

  • 7.1 White-space and Unmet-need Assessment
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North America Commercial Aircraft Market Report Scope

This report examines the North America commercial aircraft market, emphasizing the design, manufacturing, assembly, delivery, and aftermarket support of fixed-wing aircraft used for passenger and cargo transportation. The study covers narrowbody, widebody, and regional aircraft, including both jet and turboprop platforms. It assesses market performance across areas such as original equipment manufacturing (OEM) sales, fleet replacement, and capacity expansion, all of which are influenced by airline demand. The analysis spans the entire aircraft ecosystem, including airframe and propulsion systems, avionics, cabin interiors, and integrated service offerings, for both linefit and retrofit installations.

The North America commercial aircraft market is segmented by aircraft type, application, propulsion type, component, and geography. By aircraft type, the market is segmented into narrowbody, widebody, and regional jets. By application, the market is segmented into passenger and freighter. By propulsion type, the market is segmented into turbofan and turboprop. By component, the market is segmented into airframe structures, aero-engines, avionics and flight control, cabin interior and IFEC, and other components. The report also covers the market sizes and forecasts for the commercial aircraft market in major countries across North America. For each segment, the market size and forecast are provided in terms of value (USD).

By Aircraft Type
Narrowbody
Widebody
Regional Jets
By Application
Passenger
Freighter
By Propulsion Type
Turbofan
Turboprop
By Component
Airframe Structures
Aero-Engines
Avionics and Flight Control
Cabin Interior and IFEC
Other Components
By Geography
United States
Canada
Mexico
By Aircraft TypeNarrowbody
Widebody
Regional Jets
By ApplicationPassenger
Freighter
By Propulsion TypeTurbofan
Turboprop
By ComponentAirframe Structures
Aero-Engines
Avionics and Flight Control
Cabin Interior and IFEC
Other Components
By GeographyUnited States
Canada
Mexico
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Market Definition

  • Aircraft Type - Commercial Aviation includes aircraft used to haul passengers and freight on a scheduled basis between selected airports.
  • Body Type - Narrowbody and widebody aircraft which are single aisle and twin aisle are included under this study.
  • Sub-Aircraft Type - Fixed-Wing passenger aircraft and freighter aircraft operated by airlines and adapted for carrying passengers and cargo are considered under the study.
KeywordDefinition
IATAIATA stands for the International Air Transport Association, a trade organization composed of airlines around the world that has an influence over the commercial aspects of flight.
ICAOICAO stands for International Civil Aviation Organization, a specialized agency of the United Nations that supports aviation and navigation around the globe.
Air Operator Certificate (AOC)A certificate granted by a National Aviation Authority permitting the conduct of commercial flying activities.
Certificate Of Airworthiness (CoA)A Certificate Of Airworthiness (CoA) is issued for an aircraft by the civil aviation authority in the state in which the aircraft is registered.
Gross Domestic Product (GDP)Gross domestic product (GDP) is a monetary measure of the market value of all the final goods and services produced in a specific time period by countries.
RPK (Revenue Passenger Kilometres)The RPK of an airline is the sum of the products obtained by multiplying the number of revenue passengers carried on each flight stage by the stage distance - it is the total number of kilometers traveled by all revenue passengers.
Load FactorThe load factor is a metric used in the airline industry that measures the percentage of available seating capacity that has been filled with passengers.
Original Equipment Manufacturer (OEM)An original equipment manufacturer (OEM) traditionally is defined as a company whose goods are used as components in the products of another company, which then sells the finished item to users.
International Transportation Safety Association (ITSA)International Transportation Safety Association (ITSA) is an international network of heads of independent safety investigation authorities (SIA).
Available Seats Kilometre (ASK)This metric is calculated by multiplying Available Seats (AS) in one flight, defined above, multiplied by the distance flown.
Gross WeightThe fully-loaded weight of an aircraft, also known as “takeoff weight,” which includes the combined weight of passengers, cargo, and fuel.
AirworthinessThe ability of an aircraft, or other airborne equipment or system, to operate in flight and on the ground without significant hazard to aircrew, ground crew, passengers or to other third parties.
Airworthiness StandardsDetailed and comprehensive design and safety criteria applicable to the category of aeronautical product (aircraft, engine or propeller).
Fixed Base Operator (FBO)A business or organization that operates at an airport. An FBO provides aircraft operating services like maintenance, fueling, flight training, charter services, hangaring, and parking.
High Net worth Individuals (HNWIs)High Net worth Individuals (HNWIs) are individuals with over USD 1 million in liquid financial assets.
Ultra High Net worth Individuals (UHNWIs)Ultra High Net worth Individuals (UHNWIs) are individuals with over USD 30 million in liquid financial assets.
Federal Aviation Administration (FAA)The division of the Department of Transportation is concerned with aviation. It operates Air Traffic Control and regulates everything from aircraft manufacturing to pilot training to airport operations in the United States.
EASA (European Aviation Safety Agency)The European Aviation Safety Agency is a European Union agency established in 2002 with the task of overseeing civil aviation safety and regulation.
Airborne Warning and Control System (AW&C) aircraftAirborne Warning and Control System (AEW&C) aircraft is equipped with a powerful radar and on-board command and control center to direct the armed forces.
The North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO)The North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO), also called the North Atlantic Alliance, is an intergovernmental military alliance between 30 member states – 28 European and two North American.
Joint Strike Fighter (JSF)Joint Strike Fighter (JSF) is a development and acquisition program intended to replace a wide range of existing fighter, strike, and ground attack aircraft for the United States, the United Kingdom, Italy, Canada, Australia, the Netherlands, Denmark, Norway, and formerly Turkey.
Light Combat Aircraft (LCA)A light combat aircraft (LCA) is a light, multirole jet/turboprop military aircraft, commonly derived from advanced trainer designs, designed for engaging in light combat.
Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI)Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI) is an international institute that provides data, analysis, and recommendations for armed conflict, military expenditure, and arms trade as well as disarmament and arms control.
Maritime Patrol Aircraft (MPA)A maritime patrol aircraft (MPA), also known as maritime reconnaissance aircraft is a fixed-wing aircraft designed to operate for long durations over water in maritime patrol roles, in particular, anti-submarine warfare (ASW), anti-ship warfare (AShW), and search and rescue (SAR).
Mach NumberThe Mach number is defined as the ratio of true airspeed to the speed of sound at the altitude of a given aircraft.
Stealth AircraftStealth is a Common term applied to low observable (LO) technology and doctrine, that makes an aircraft near invisible to radar, infrared or visual detection.
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Research Methodology

Mordor Intelligence follows a four-step methodology in all our reports.

  • Step-1: Identify Key Variables:  In order to build a robust forecasting methodology, the variables and factors identified in Step-1 are tested against available historical market numbers. Through an iterative process, the variables required for market forecast are set and the model is built on the basis of these variables.
  • Step-2: Build a Market Model: Market-size estimations for the historical and forecast years have been provided in revenue and volume terms. For sales conversion to volume, the average selling price (ASP) is kept constant throughout the forecast period for each country, and inflation is not a part of the pricing.
  • Step-3: Validate and Finalize: In this important step, all market numbers, variables and analyst calls are validated through an extensive network of primary research experts from the market studied. The respondents are selected across levels and functions to generate a holistic picture of the market studied.
  • Step-4: Research Outputs: Syndicated Reports, Custom Consulting Assignments, Databases & Subscription Platforms
research-methodology
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