Middle East And Africa Payments Market Size & Share Analysis - Growth Trends And Forecast (2025 - 2030)

Middle East And Africa Payments Market Trends and Insights

Digital Adoption of POS and Mobile Channels

Regulations that compel electronic acceptance are reshaping merchant economics across the Middle East and Africa payments market. The UAE’s mandate that all merchants offer digital options by 2026 and Egypt’s rollout of a national QR specification are expanding terminal density well beyond formal retail. Smartphone penetration above 80% in Gulf states turns mobile wallets into the default entry point for millions of unbanked consumers.^{[1]Mastercard Newsroom, “Mastercard Joins Buna, the Arab Regional Payment System,” mastercard.com} Street-level vendors in Riyadh and informal kiosks in Lagos are turning to low-cost Android POS devices that support tap-to-phone functionality, closing the acceptance gap and multiplying transaction volumes. As consumer familiarity rises, issuers benefit from larger average ticket sizes versus cash, while governments capture richer audit trails that improve indirect-tax compliance. Somalia’s nationwide QR initiative illustrates how even low-income states can formalize micro-commerce without extensive card infrastructure.

Retail and Government Digitization Programs

Salary, subsidy, and pension flows are migrating to prepaid and account-based rails, converting captive user groups into habitual digital payers across the Middle East and Africa payments market. Egypt consolidated multiple welfare schemes onto a unified payment card in 2024, driving immediate volume for domestic processors.^{[2]Central Bank of Egypt, “CBE Joins Pan-African Payment and Settlement System,” cbe.org.eg} Saudi Arabia anchors its Vision 2030 agenda on achieving 70% cashless transactions, a goal backed by fines for large retailers that refuse non-cash instruments. Because public-sector disbursements are predictable and high-frequency, processors gain guaranteed throughput that underwrites capital expenditure in acceptance infrastructure. Domestic data-localization clauses embedded in these programs keep sensitive credentials onshore, sheltering emerging fintechs from global competitors that lack licensed processing nodes.

Surge in Real-Time and BNPL Payments

Central banks in Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and South Africa launched instant-payment schemes that clear in seconds, allowing merchants to receive funds faster and cut working-capital buffers. Real-time rails underpin the explosive growth of BNPL platforms such as Tamara, whose Series C round raised USD 340 million in 2025. Younger consumers favor installment offers that align with Sharia compliance and transparent pricing. Processors like Network International now embed BNPL modules directly in POS firmware, broadening acceptance from e-commerce into grocery and fuel segments. Combined real-time settlement and pay-in-four models increase issuer interchange and lower charge-off risk, encouraging banks to underwrite co-branded programs that target Gen Z shoppers.

Expansion of FinTech-Friendly Regulatory Sandboxes

Regulators in Abu Dhabi, Riyadh, Johannesburg, and Lagos operate live sandboxes that let start-ups test products with limited licenses, shortening time-to-market for payment innovation in the Middle East and Africa payments market. The Saudi Central Bank has admitted more than 100 firms since 2018, ranging from API aggregators to digital asset platforms. Sandbox cohorts benefit from streamlined onboarding to national payment switches, reducing cost barriers that previously deterred foreign venture funding. Cross-border data-sharing through the Global Financial Innovation Network harmonizes disclosure formats, helping scale-ups to expand regionally without resetting compliance architectures. South Africa uses its sandbox to pilot distributed-ledger settlement for low-value remittances, signaling future regulatory openness toward tokenized deposits.

Rising E-Commerce and Social-Engineering Fraud

Cybercrime rings are exploiting weaker KYC controls on wallet top-ups and BNPL applications, eroding consumer trust across the Middle East and Africa payments market. Nigeria, Kenya, and South Africa reported SIM-swap incidents that doubled between 2024 and 2025, forcing issuers to tighten real-time risk scoring. While large processors can absorb the cost of machine-learning fraud suites, smaller PSPs face margin pressure as they invest in token-based authentication and anomaly-detection tools.^{[3]IMF Staff, “Central Bank Digital Currencies Can Boost Middle East’s Financial Inclusion,” imf.org} Merchants that prioritize one-click checkout sometimes defer multifactor prompts, creating vulnerabilities that fraudsters mine through credential-stuffing. Heightened regulatory scrutiny adds compliance overhead, especially as data-protection acts impose stiff penalties for breaches.

Fragmented Cross-Border Payment Infrastructure

Although PAPSS and BUNA promise seamless settlement, participation remains uneven, and many corridors still rely on expensive correspondent networks operated by global banks. Disparate message formats and divergent AML thresholds force PSPs to maintain multiple bank accounts, raising treasury costs that trickle down to SMEs. Volatile exchange rates in Angola, Egypt, and Ghana introduce hedging premiums that negate fee savings from digital channels. Technical outages on national switches occasionally delay reconciliation, undermining merchant confidence. Until interoperability improves, merchants and consumers may default to legacy rails despite higher charges, tempering the regional growth trajectory.

Segment Analysis

By Mode of Payment: Digital Wallet Momentum Outpaces Card-Based Dominance

Credit cards secured 24.31% revenue share in 2024, anchoring the point-of-sale layer of the Middle East and Africa payments market as affluent shoppers continue to value rewards, chargeback protection, and widespread acceptance. The segment benefits from tokenized credentials that support omnichannel use cases, including in-app grocery ordering and subscription billing. However, wallet-based platforms are registering a 16.89% CAGR to 2030, translating into a projected USD 0.41 trillion slice of the Middle East and Africa payments market size by the end of the forecast period. Wallet attractiveness stems from seamless onboarding, fee-free peer transfers, and loyalty integrations; merchants reap lower MDRs and instant settlement through account-to-account back ends. NFC-enabled smartphones and wearables foster tap-to-pay convenience, while QR codes fill the gap in cash-heavy micro-merchant environments. Debit cards remain a transitional bridge, especially in markets where regulators cap interchange, making them cost-effective for everyday spending below USD 10. Alternative instruments such as push-payment links and pay-by-bank APIs address bill-payment and tuition niches, carving incremental volumes from cash-on-delivery, which is retreating as consumer confidence in refund logistics rises.

Digital wallets thrive in cross-border e-commerce, where embedded FX engines auto-convert checkout amounts into local currency, shielding shoppers from opaque issuer spreads. BNPL players embed themselves within wallets, offering instant eligibility checks that rely on open-banking data rather than bureau scores, an advantage in thin-file populations. Contactless card issuance, now standard in GCC markets, narrows the convenience gap but cannot replicate wallet ecosystem stickiness that bundles transit, event tickets, and micro-insurance. PSPs that aggregate both tokens and wallet handles deliver higher authorization rates and lower fraud through behavioral biometrics captured on device. Consequently, the digital-wallet cohort is expected to contribute more than 35% of incremental absolute transaction value between 2025 and 2030, shifting fee pools toward direct-to-account and interchange-free models.

Note: Segment shares of all individual segments available upon report purchase

By End-User Industry: Retail Scale Persists; Healthcare Growth Accelerates

Retail accounted for 27.61% of 2024 transaction value, equal to USD 0.21 trillion of Middle East and Africa payments market size. Supermarkets, hypermarkets, and convenience chains spearheaded POS terminal deployments that capture rich SKU-level data used to power targeted loyalty offers. The vertical’s sheer ticket velocity attracts acquirer competition, compressing merchant discount rates but driving acquirers into value-added analytics and lending to defend margins. E-commerce sub-segments, fashion, electronics, and marketplace platforms, benefit from one-click tokens and embedded BNPL, lifting average basket sizes by almost 30% compared with cash-on-delivery. As margins plateau, large retailers are forging closed-loop wallet programs that recirculate funds inside proprietary ecosystems, further magnifying transaction throughput.

Healthcare is forecast to post a 16.92% CAGR, lifting its contribution from USD 0.05 trillion in 2025 to USD 0.11 trillion by 2030, equal to an 8% slice of Middle East and Africa payments market share. Government projects to digitize insurance reimbursements, pharmacy claims, and clinic co-pays streamline legacy paper billing and reduce revenue-cycle delays. Nigeria’s nationwide shift to electronic salary payments for health workers funnels disposable income onto digital rails, reinforcing habit formation for everyday purchases. Egypt’s e-health card pilots illustrate how a single credential can cover eligibility verification, prescription fulfillment, and account-based payments in one workflow. Private hospital groups integrate point-of-care financing into patient portals, allowing pay-in-four options that mitigate out-of-pocket strain. Pharmaceutical distributors increasingly demand real-time settlement from pharmacies, using APIs that ride on instant-payment rails to curb credit exposure. These factors combine to elevate healthcare from a niche digital segment into one of the fastest volume contributors over the forecast horizon.

Note: Segment shares of all individual segments available upon report purchase

Geography Analysis

Saudi Arabia controlled 29.62% of 2024 transactional value, reflecting top-down policy alignment, a unified national switch, and concentrated merchant landscapes. The kingdom’s regulatory clarity, including mandatory non-cash acceptance and a sandbox that graduates fintechs into full licenses, underpins predictable revenue pools for processors. BNPL penetration is the highest in the region, with Tamara alone serving more than 6 million users and partnering with over 30,000 merchants. Domestic scheme “mada” secures local interchange, keeping fees within the economy and enabling aggressive cashback campaigns that nudge cash users toward cards. Growth remains solid yet moderated at sub-double-digit rates due to high baseline penetration.

The United Arab Emirates, though smaller, is outpacing its peers at a 17.12% CAGR, set to capture an incremental USD 0.23 trillion of Middle East and Africa payments market size by 2030. Dubai’s trade-hub status attracts cross-border acquirers and marketplace integrators, while federal mandates require every business to enable at least one digital acceptance channel by 2026. Project mBridge positions the UAE at the vanguard of multi-currency wholesale CBDC experimentation, promising to compress settlement windows for trade invoices from two days to minutes. Fintech-friendly licensing in Abu Dhabi Global Market lowers capital thresholds, drawing wallet start-ups that target remittances to India, Pakistan, and the Philippines. South Africa rounds out the top trio with a mature, card-centric base but slower expansion due to macro headwinds. Nevertheless, instant-payment scheme “PayShap” is enabling low-value peer-to-merchant flows that bypass card rails for under ZAR 1,000 (~USD 55). The Rest of MEA cluster features fast-growing Nigeria and Egypt, where mobile money and government card programs respectively anchor structural shifts away from cash.