India Cashew Market Analysis by Mordor Intelligence
The India cashew market size reached USD 2.35 billion in 2025 and is projected to climb to USD 2.97 billion in 2030, advancing at a 4.8% CAGR during the forecast period. Demand momentum rests on India’s dual identity as the largest global consumer and a dominant processor, supported by 3,650 mills that handle about 1.18 million metric tons of raw nuts each year. Rising urban incomes, growing preference for nutrient-dense snacks, and supportive trade policies that lower import duties on raw nuts all reinforce the upward trajectory of the India cashew market. Competition from Cote d'Ivoire and Vietnam, and retailer consolidation are pushing Indian processors to improve efficiency and comply with stringent quality and traceability standards. The domestic consumption surge has fundamentally altered export dynamics. The sector's future trajectory hinges on technological adoption, sustainability compliance, and the ability to capture value from India's position as both a major processor and the world's largest consumer market.
Key Report Takeaways
- By form, shelled kernels commanded 94.2% of the India cashew market share in 2024, and are forecast to expand at a 6.3% CAGR through 2030.
India Cashew Market Trends and Insights
Drivers Impact Analysis
| Driver | (~) % Impact on CAGR Forecast | Geographic Relevance | Impact Timeline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Growing Import Volumes from Africa | +0.8% | National, import-dependent processors, especially clusters in Kerala, Goa, Karnataka, Maharashtra | Medium term (2-4 years) |
| Surge in Plant-Based Snacking Among Gen-Z Consumers | +1.2% | National, with early gains in urban metros and Tier-1 cities | Short term (≤ 2 years) |
| Expansion of Private-Label Cashew Offerings in Club Stores | +0.6% | Indian modern retail networks | Medium term (2-4 years) |
| FDA-Qualified Health Claim for Nuts Driving Functional Foods | +0.4% | National, export-focused processors | Long term (≥ 4 years) |
| Adoption of Cold-Chain Logistics | +0.7% | National, concentrated in processing hubs of Kerala, Maharashtra, and Andhra Pradesh | Medium term (2-4 years) |
| Corporate Carbon-Neutral Sourcing Mandates | +0.5% | National, Indian exporters to multinational buyers | Long term (≥ 4 years) |
| Source: Mordor Intelligence | |||
Growing Import Volumes from Africa
African suppliers now satisfy over 70% of import demand, ensuring continuous throughput for the India cashew market even when domestic harvests fluctuate. The Cashew Board’s e-tender purchases and Kerala’s support price protect farmer incomes while securing raw inputs for processors. Stable import pipelines also create arbitrage potential because processors can buy lower-priced crops during African gluts and release kernels when global prices tighten. Over the medium term, sustained import growth reinforces processing economies of scale and lifts the India cashew market.
Surge in Plant-Based Snacking Among Gen-Z Consumers
Gen-Z preference for protein-rich, minimally processed foods has pushed annual domestic cashew consumption up by 7%. Social media messaging that links nuts to heart health amplifies demand for flavored, roasted, and single-serve packs. Processors upgrade packaging lines to deliver resealable pouches and nitrogen-flushed containers that extend shelf life and preserve flavor. Premium positioning allows brands to charge higher retail prices than traditional fried snacks, supporting revenue growth despite relatively flat per capita nut availability. The consumer shift enlarges the India cashew market while simultaneously diverting a larger share of kernels away from export channels.
Expansion of Private-Label Cashew Offerings in Club Stores
Club retailers close procurement deals directly with Indian exporters for W180 and W210 grades, reducing the role of intermediaries. Consistent year-round orders encourage processors to modernize shelling, blanching, and grading systems to meet rigid defect tolerances. Bulk-pack designs lower per-unit packaging costs and align with retail strategies to offer value pricing to large families. Retailer audits covering labor practices, pesticide residues, and allergen controls compel processors to adopt globally recognized certification schemes. Those that comply gain multi-year contracts and predictable cash flows, reinforcing the India cashew market.
FDA Qualified Health-Claim for Nuts Driving Functional Foods
A United States Food and Drug Administration ruling that links nut consumption to cardiovascular health has led to a surge in cashew-based protein bars and dairy alternatives. Indian processors that can supply low-defect, low-moisture kernels qualify for premium price differentials in these niche categories. Research collaborations between universities and processors are creating nutraceutical formulations that incorporate cashew phenolics. By aligning product launches with clinical findings, companies penetrate pharmacies and health-and-wellness retail chains abroad, adding export diversity to the India cashew market.
Restraints Impact Analysis
| Restraint | (~) % Impact on CAGR Forecast | Geographic Relevance | Impact Timeline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tightening Labor Market in Nut Processing | -0.9% | National, concentrated in the processing hubs of Kerala, Karnataka, and Tamil Nadu | Short term (≤ 2 years) |
| Exposure to Ocean Freight Rate Volatility | -0.6% | Major import ports in India and key African sourcing routes | Medium term (2-4 years) |
| Stringent Aflatoxin Limits Reduce Usable Imports | -0.4% | Import-dependent regions, quality control at ports | Long term (≥ 4 years) |
| African Swine Fever-Linked Feed Competition for Broken Grades | -0.3% | Domestic markets for lower-grade cashews in India and competing Asian feed markets | Medium term (2-4 years) |
| Source: Mordor Intelligence | |||
Tightening Labor Market in Nut Processing
Women constitute 95% of the 500,000-person workforce that manually shells, peels, and grades kernels. Competing employment in manufacturing and services has lifted wage expectations well beyond the historical norm, raising unit processing costs. Some facilities have shuttered in Goa, shifting orders to lower-cost states and disrupting local supply networks. Automation vendors now market artificial-intelligence grading stations that cut labor needs per metric ton by half, yet high upfront costs deter smaller mills. Labor scarcity, therefore, continues to temper output expansion in the India cashew market. Automation requires significant capital investment and technical expertise, creating barriers for smaller processors who form the majority of India's cashew processing ecosystem.
Exposure to Ocean Freight Rate Volatility
Raw nut imports must transit the Suez Canal, exposing processors to disruptions from geopolitical tensions and seasonal canal closures. Freight rates have moved in a 30% band over the past 18 months, eroding margins on low-value raw nuts[1]Source: RMT 2024 - Chapter III "Freight rates, maritime transport costs and their impact on consumer prices and economic activity", unctad.org. Larger buyers negotiate annual contracts or use freight futures, while smaller importers remain on spot terms and face price swings. Any sustained spike prompts processors to reduce volumes or switch to alternate origins, causing supply uncertainty within the India cashew market. Freight volatility also affects export competitiveness, as Indian processors must absorb cost fluctuations to maintain price competitiveness against Vietnamese and African competitors in international markets.
Segment Analysis
By Form: Processing Sophistication Drives Value Capture
Shelled kernels held 94.2% of the India cashew market share in 2024 and captured USD 338.9 million in export revenues, highlighting the ability of local mills to extract value beyond raw nut trading[2]Source: APEDA. "Cashew." September 1, 2024. apeda.gov.in. Automated shellers and deep-learning visual sorters raise recovery of premium W180 and W210 grades, reducing overall processing wastage. Efficiency gains allow processors to absorb higher farm-gate prices without passing full costs to buyers, increasing elasticity of demand in the India cashew market.
Shelled kernels are projected to register a 6.3% CAGR through 2030, the fastest among both forms, underpinned by expanding modern-trade aisles and flavored snack launches. Processors have adopted nitrogen-flush packaging that adds six months of shelf life, enabling entry into distant markets. In-shell nuts, at 5.8% of the India cashew market size, appeal to niche consumer segments that prefer whole-nut cracking and enjoy longer room-temperature storage. Their slower growth stems from minimal value addition and less marketing support.
Note: Segment shares of all individual segments available upon report purchase
Geography Analysis
The geographic distribution reflects historical cultivation patterns and processing expertise, with coastal states benefiting from direct access to import facilities for raw cashew nuts and export ports for finished products. Maharashtra contributed the largest absolute volume among states, owing to productivity gains of 1.5 metric tons per hectare supported by extension programs. Its coastal belt hosts integrated clusters where plantations lie within 100 kilometers of processing hubs and export ports, reducing transit time and spoilage.
The regional dynamics create competitive advantages for states with integrated cultivation-processing ecosystems, though import dependency means processing centers can operate independently of local raw material availability. Andhra Pradesh and Odisha collectively add good volume and possess emerging small-scale shelling units that leverage lower labor costs. State governments facilitate cold-store loans that help processors counter seasonal price swings, adding resilience to the India cashew market. The food processing sector's projected growth to USD 547.3 billion by 2028, with a 10% CAGR, creates opportunities for cashew processors to leverage broader infrastructure investments and policy support mechanisms[3]Source: "Retail Foods Annual." USDA Foreign Agricultural Service, fas.usda.gov.
Kerala remains a historical processing powerhouse even though it ranked fifth in production. The state’s minimum-support price of USD 1.32 per kg encourages farmer retention of cashew groves in the face of shifting to rubber or coconut. Logistics connectivity under the National Logistics Policy further integrates inland assembly centers with the ports of Cochin, enhancing export competitiveness. The geographic analysis reveals that while production concentration provides economies of scale, the sector's resilience depends on maintaining processing flexibility across multiple regions to mitigate localized disruptions and leverage comparative advantages in different market segments.
Recent Industry Developments
- February 2025: The Cashew Board of India began e-tender procurement of raw nuts from producing states, with Kerala setting a support price of USD 1.32 per kg to enhance farmer returns and curb import dependency.
- August 2024: The Indian Institute of Science unveiled a water-soluble surfactant derived from cashew nutshell liquid, widening industrial applications for processing by-products.
- January 2024: Agricultural experts and engineers in New Delhi developed an innovative machine that simplifies cashew kernel extraction. The machine makes extraction faster and more cost-effective, reduces labor requirements, and significantly increases overall cashew output.
India Cashew Market Report Scope
Cashew nuts are edible kidney-shaped nuts, rich in oil and protein, and are roasted and shelled before being eaten. The Indian cashew market report analyzes the production (volume), consumption (value and volume), and trade in terms of import (value and volume), export (value and volume), and price trend analysis. The report offers the market size and forecasts in terms of volume (metric tons) and value (USD) for all the above segments.
| Shelled Kernels |
| In-shell |
| Production Analysis (Volume) |
| Consumption Analysis (Volume and Value) |
| Import Market Analysis (Volume and Value) |
| Export Analysis (Volume and Value) |
| Price Trend Analysis |
| By Form (Value) | Shelled Kernels |
| In-shell | |
| By Geography | Production Analysis (Volume) |
| Consumption Analysis (Volume and Value) | |
| Import Market Analysis (Volume and Value) | |
| Export Analysis (Volume and Value) | |
| Price Trend Analysis |
Key Questions Answered in the Report
What is the projected value of the India cashew market in 2030?
The market is projected to reach USD 2.97 billion by 2030, reflecting steady domestic demand and export opportunities.
How fast will shelled kernels grow through 2030?
Shelled kernels are forecast to post a 6.3% CAGR, driven by processing efficiencies and expanding retail distribution.
Which Indian state produces the most cashews today?
Maharashtra leads with benefiting from higher productivity and government support programs.
How are processors addressing labor shortages?
Firms are installing AI-enabled grading and automated shelling equipment to reduce manual dependence.
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