Market Overview
| Study Period | 2017 - 2030 |
|---|---|
| Base Year For Estimation | 2024 |
| Forecast Data Period | 2025 - 2030 |
| Market Size (2025) | USD 92.52 Billion |
| Market Size (2030) | USD 111.8 Billion |
| Growth Rate (2025 - 2030) | 3.87% CAGR |
| Market Concentration | Low |
Major Players
*Disclaimer: Major Players sorted in no particular order Image © Mordor Intelligence. Reuse requires attribution under CC BY 4.0. |
|
Ice Cream Market Analysis by Mordor Intelligence
The Ice Cream Market size is estimated at 92.52 billion USD in 2025, and is expected to reach 111.8 billion USD by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 3.87% during the forecast period (2025-2030).
The global ice cream market continues to evolve with changing consumer preferences and ice cream consumption patterns across regions. In 2022, ice cream consumption patterns varied significantly by region, with New Zealand leading at 28.4 liters per capita, followed by the United States at 20.8 liters, and Australia at 18.0 liters. This variation in consumption reflects different cultural approaches to ice cream consumption, with some markets treating it as a regular dessert while others view it as a premium indulgence. The ice cream industry has also seen a shift toward premium and artisanal offerings, particularly in developed markets where consumers are increasingly seeking unique and high-quality products.
Distribution channels are undergoing significant transformation, with off-trade channels dominating the market landscape, accounting for 74% of overall sales in 2023. The evolution of retail formats has particularly benefited convenience stores, which have emerged as the second-largest channel for ice cream sales after supermarkets and hypermarkets. The extended operating hours of convenience stores have created additional selling opportunities, while the foodservice sector has also shown robust growth, with 47% of consumers consuming ice cream at restaurants in 2022.
Product innovation and flavor preferences continue to shape ice cream trends, particularly in mature markets like North America, where premium and regular ice cream segments hold 80% of the market share. Consumer preferences have become increasingly sophisticated, with chocolate-flavored ice cream being preferred by 16% of North American consumers in 2022, followed by cookies and cream at 13% and vanilla at 12%. The industry has responded with innovations in both flavors and formats, with particular attention to premium ingredients and unique flavor combinations that cater to evolving consumer tastes.
Manufacturing and supply chain considerations have become increasingly important, particularly regarding product shelf life and storage requirements. In the Middle East, where temperature control is crucial, ice cream products maintain a shelf life ranging from 12 to 24 months depending on storage conditions. This has led to innovations in cold chain management and packaging technologies to maintain product quality. Production capabilities have also expanded significantly, with major manufacturing hubs emerging in Asia-Pacific, where companies are investing in advanced production facilities to meet growing demand and maintain product quality standards.
Global Ice Cream Market Trends and Insights
The strong penetration of ice cream parlors, the availability of diverse flavors, and the consumer preference for indulgent and healthier dessert options are driving the consumption of ice cream.
- Ice cream is the most widely consumed dairy dessert globally, with strong penetration across different countries. The demand for ice cream is driven by the significant number of ice cream parlors and scoop shops emerging in response to the high consumer spending on different flavors of ice creams. Europe is a significant consumer of ice cream globally. In 2022, Germany, the United Kingdom, Italy, and Spain collectively covered 29.28% of the overall ice cream consumption.
- Developed markets like the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany, and Australia are witnessing rising health concerns. Thus, consumers across the region prefer ice cream products that are GMO-free, preservative-free, dairy-free, low in calories, and organic and fat-free.
- The Asian ice cream market is growing, with brands tapping into the ice cream trend from an indulgence and a health perspective. For example, per capita consumption of ice cream in India is expected to increase by 5.90% from 2023-2024. The growing consumer expenditure on food and beverages, the introduction of new flavors, increasing impulse purchasing, and strong demand for healthy ice cream products among consumers are some of the primary factors increasing the consumption of ice cream. 75% of consumers in Asia often try new or different varieties when purchasing ice cream products.
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OTHER KEY INDUSTRY TRENDS COVERED IN THE REPORT
- The growing demand for processed dairy products followed by increasing prices globally is emerged to be the major factors impacting the production of milk
Segment Analysis: Distribution Channel
Off-Trade Segment in Ice Cream Market
The off-trade segment dominates the global ice cream market segmentation, commanding approximately 75% of the total ice cream market share in 2024. This segment encompasses various ice cream distribution channels, including supermarkets/hypermarkets, convenience stores, online retail, specialist retailers, and other distribution channels. Within the off-trade segment, supermarkets and hypermarkets emerge as the largest distribution channel, accounting for nearly 45% of off-trade sales due to their widespread presence and ability to offer a diverse range of ice cream products. The segment's dominance is further reinforced by its projected strong growth trajectory of around 4.3% CAGR from 2024 to 2029, driven by factors such as increasing consumer preference for take-home consumption, rising penetration of organized retail, and the growing trend of online grocery shopping. The expansion of cold chain infrastructure and increasing deep freezer penetration across retail stores have also contributed significantly to strengthening the off-trade ice cream distribution network.
On-Trade Segment in Ice Cream Market
The on-trade segment, comprising fast-food chains, full-service restaurants, cafeterias, and other foodservice outlets, represents the remaining portion of the ice cream market segmentation. This channel plays a crucial role in serving ice cream as desserts and specialty items, particularly in cafes and restaurant chains. The segment's growth is primarily driven by the increasing trend of out-of-home consumption, rising disposable incomes, and the expanding network of foodservice establishments globally. The foodservice sector's focus on offering unique ice cream flavors, premium varieties, and innovative serving formats has helped maintain consumer interest in on-trade consumption. Additionally, the growing cafe culture and the rising number of ice cream parlors specializing in artisanal and premium ice creams have further strengthened the on-trade distribution channel's position in the market.
Ice Cream Market Geography Segment Analysis
Ice Cream Market in Africa
The African ice cream market demonstrates significant growth potential driven by changing consumer preferences and rising disposable incomes across the region. Egypt, Nigeria, and South Africa represent the key markets, each with distinct consumption patterns and market dynamics. The region shows increasing demand for both traditional and innovative ice cream flavors, with manufacturers focusing on product development to cater to local tastes and preferences.
Ice Cream Market in Egypt
Egypt stands as the largest ice cream market in Africa, commanding approximately 47% of the ice cream market share in 2024. The country's market is characterized by strong consumer preference for traditional ice cream flavors like "ashta," made with clotted cream and flavored with rose water and orange water. Egyptian consumers increasingly favor ice cream products with unique textures and innovative flavors, while manufacturers focus on extending product shelf life to meet consumer storage preferences. The market shows particular strength in off-trade retail channels, with supermarkets and hypermarkets playing a dominant role in distribution.
Ice Cream Market in South Africa
South Africa emerges as the fastest-growing ice cream market in Africa, with an expected growth rate of approximately 3% during 2024-2029. The country's market is distinguished by its diverse range of ice cream formats, textures, and shapes, including unique local flavors like Rooibos, Amarula, and Milk Tart. South African consumers show increasing interest in premium and artisanal ice cream products, with specialty stores like Tapi Tapi Café in Cape Town offering distinctive African-inspired flavors. The market benefits from a well-developed retail infrastructure and growing consumer awareness of premium ice cream products.
Ice Cream Market in Asia-Pacific
The Asia-Pacific region is a significant contributor to the global ice cream industry, with China leading the ice cream market in terms of volume, reaching 2,370,131 tonnes in 2024. India, on the other hand, exhibits the highest growth potential with a projected CAGR of 9.13%. The region's market dynamics are influenced by a growing middle class and increasing ice cream consumption, with a preference for both traditional and innovative flavors.
Ice Cream Market in Europe
Europe's ice cream market is characterized by diverse consumer preferences and a strong emphasis on quality. Germany holds the largest market size based on a 2024 volume of 603,073 tonnes, while Belgium is the fastest-growing market with a CAGR of 7.55% from 2023 to 2029. The region's market is driven by a combination of traditional flavors and innovative product offerings, catering to a wide range of consumer tastes.
Ice Cream Market in the Middle East
In the Middle East, the ice cream market is led by Saudi Arabia, which showcases a robust market size due to its large population and increasing disposable incomes. The region's market is characterized by a growing demand for premium and innovative ice cream products, with consumers showing a preference for both local and international brands.
Ice Cream Market in North America
North America's ice cream industry is dominated by the United States, which holds the largest market size in the region. The market is driven by a high level of ice cream consumption and a strong preference for premium and artisanal products. The US market is characterized by a wide variety of flavors and formats, catering to diverse consumer preferences.
Ice Cream Market in South America
In South America, Brazil leads the ice cream market with a significant market size. The region's market dynamics are influenced by a growing middle class and increasing demand for both traditional and innovative ice cream products. The market shows potential for growth, driven by rising consumer interest in premium and artisanal offerings.
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Competitive Landscape
Top Companies in Ice Cream Market
The global ice cream market is characterized by intense product innovation and strategic expansion initiatives from leading players. Companies are focusing on developing premium and health-conscious offerings, including low-fat, lactose-free, and gluten-free variants to cater to evolving consumer preferences. Operational agility is demonstrated through investments in manufacturing capabilities and cold chain infrastructure to ensure product quality and wider distribution reach. Strategic moves in the industry are primarily centered around partnerships with retail chains and food service operators to enhance market presence. Companies are also expanding their geographical footprint through acquisitions and establishing new production facilities in emerging markets. Digital transformation and e-commerce integration have become crucial aspects of competitive strategy, with manufacturers developing direct-to-consumer channels and partnering with online delivery platforms.
Market Led By Global Consumer Conglomerates
The ice cream industry exhibits a moderately consolidated structure dominated by multinational consumer goods conglomerates with diverse product portfolios. These global players leverage their extensive distribution networks, brand equity, and research capabilities to maintain market leadership. Regional and local players maintain a significant presence in specific markets through their understanding of local tastes and established distribution channels. The industry is characterized by a mix of large-scale manufacturers with multiple ice cream brands and specialized premium ice cream producers focusing on artisanal and niche segments.
The market has witnessed considerable merger and acquisition activity as larger companies seek to expand their product portfolios and geographical presence. Consolidation trends are particularly evident in emerging markets where established players acquire local brands to gain market access and consumer insights. Companies are also forming strategic alliances with ingredient suppliers and technology providers to enhance their production capabilities and develop innovative products. The competitive landscape is further shaped by vertical integration strategies, with some players establishing their own retail presence and others focusing on strengthening relationships with existing distribution channels.
Innovation and Distribution Drive Market Success
Success in the ice cream market increasingly depends on companies' ability to innovate while maintaining operational efficiency. Incumbents can strengthen their position by investing in research and development to create unique flavors and healthier alternatives, while also optimizing their production and distribution networks. Building strong relationships with retailers and food service operators remains crucial for maintaining market share. Companies must also focus on sustainability initiatives and transparent sourcing practices to meet growing consumer expectations while developing robust digital capabilities to enhance direct consumer engagement.
For contenders looking to gain ground, focusing on specific market segments or geographical regions offers opportunities for growth. Success factors include developing distinctive product offerings, establishing efficient cold chain logistics, and building strong local distribution partnerships. Companies must also consider potential regulatory changes regarding labeling requirements and food safety standards while maintaining flexibility to adapt to shifting consumer preferences. The ability to quickly respond to market trends and maintain product quality while managing costs will be crucial for long-term success in this competitive landscape.
Ice Cream Industry Leaders
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Dairy Farmers of America Inc.
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Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group Co. Ltd
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Nestlé SA
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Unilever PLC
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Wells Enterprises Inc.
- *Disclaimer: Major Players sorted in no particular order
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Recent Industry Developments
- October 2022: Unilever partnered with ASAP for the delivery of its ice cream products. As per the partnership, ASAP will also deliver ice cream and treats from Unilever's virtual storefront, The Ice Cream Shop.
- October 2022: Kemps replaced Dean Goods throughout Iowa as Dairy Farmers of America completed the USD 433 million acquisition of Dean Foods properties. The business took over the Le Mars milk factory, which can process numerous Kemps products, from cottage cheese to ice cream.
- October 2022: Blue Ribbon's Street range launched three new two-liter tubs, each featuring two flavors. The range includes chocolate affair, caramel hokey pokey, and velvety caramel.
Global Ice Cream Market Report Scope
Off-Trade, On-Trade are covered as segments by Distribution Channel. Africa, Asia-Pacific, Europe, Middle East, North America, South America are covered as segments by Region.
Distribution Channel
| Off-Trade | Convenience Stores |
| Online Retail | |
| Specialist Retailers | |
| Supermarkets and Hypermarkets | |
| Others (Warehouse clubs, gas stations, etc.) | |
| On-Trade |
Region
| Africa | By Distribution Channel |
| Egypt | |
| Nigeria | |
| South Africa | |
| Rest of Africa | |
| Asia-Pacific | By Distribution Channel |
| Australia | |
| China | |
| India | |
| Indonesia | |
| Japan | |
| Malaysia | |
| New Zealand | |
| Pakistan | |
| South Korea | |
| Rest of Asia Pacific | |
| Europe | By Distribution Channel |
| Belgium | |
| France | |
| Germany | |
| Italy | |
| Netherlands | |
| Russia | |
| Spain | |
| Turkey | |
| United Kingdom | |
| Rest of Europe | |
| Middle East | By Distribution Channel |
| Bahrain | |
| Iran | |
| Kuwait | |
| Oman | |
| Qatar | |
| Saudi Arabia | |
| United Arab Emirates | |
| Rest of Middle East | |
| North America | By Distribution Channel |
| Canada | |
| Mexico | |
| United States | |
| Rest of North America | |
| South America | By Distribution Channel |
| Argentina | |
| Brazil | |
| Rest of South America |
| Distribution Channel | Off-Trade | Convenience Stores |
| Online Retail | ||
| Specialist Retailers | ||
| Supermarkets and Hypermarkets | ||
| Others (Warehouse clubs, gas stations, etc.) | ||
| On-Trade | ||
| Region | Africa | By Distribution Channel |
| Egypt | ||
| Nigeria | ||
| South Africa | ||
| Rest of Africa | ||
| Asia-Pacific | By Distribution Channel | |
| Australia | ||
| China | ||
| India | ||
| Indonesia | ||
| Japan | ||
| Malaysia | ||
| New Zealand | ||
| Pakistan | ||
| South Korea | ||
| Rest of Asia Pacific | ||
| Europe | By Distribution Channel | |
| Belgium | ||
| France | ||
| Germany | ||
| Italy | ||
| Netherlands | ||
| Russia | ||
| Spain | ||
| Turkey | ||
| United Kingdom | ||
| Rest of Europe | ||
| Middle East | By Distribution Channel | |
| Bahrain | ||
| Iran | ||
| Kuwait | ||
| Oman | ||
| Qatar | ||
| Saudi Arabia | ||
| United Arab Emirates | ||
| Rest of Middle East | ||
| North America | By Distribution Channel | |
| Canada | ||
| Mexico | ||
| United States | ||
| Rest of North America | ||
| South America | By Distribution Channel | |
| Argentina | ||
| Brazil | ||
| Rest of South America | ||
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Market Definition
- Butter - Butter is a yellow-to-white solid emulsion of fat globules, water, and inorganic salts produced by churning the cream from cows’ milk
- Dairy - Dairy product include milk and any of the foods made from milk, including butter, cheese, ice cream, yogurt, and condensed and dried milk.
- Frozen Desserts - Frozen dairy dessert means and includes products containing milk or cream and other ingredients which are frozen or semi-frozen prior to consumption, such as ice milk or sherbet, including frozen dairy desserts for special dietary purposes, and sorbet
- Sour Milk Drinks - Sour milk is thick, curdled milk, with a sour taste, obtained from the fermentation of milk. Sour milk drinks such as kefir, laban, buttermilk have been considered in the study
| Keyword | Definition |
|---|---|
| Cultured Butter | Cultured butter is prepared by having the raw butter go through chemical processing and has been added with certain emulsifiers and foreign ingredients. |
| Uncultured Butter | This type of butter is one which has not been processed in any way |
| Natural Cheese | The type of cheese in its most natural form. It is made from natural and simple products and ingredients, including fresh and natural salts, natural colors, enzymes, and high-quality milk. |
| Processed Cheese | Processed cheese undergoes the same processes as natural cheese; however, it requires more steps and many different forms of ingredients. Making processed cheese involves melting natural cheese, emulsifying it, and adding preservatives and other artificial ingredients or colorings. |
| Single Cream | Single cream contains around 18% fat. It’s a single layer of cream that appears over boiled milk. |
| Double Cream | Double cream contains 48% fat, more than double the amount of fat of single cream. It’s heavier and thicker than single cream |
| Whipping Cream | This has a much higher fat percentage than single cream (36%). Used to top cakes, pies, and puddings and as a thickener for sauces, soups, and fillings. |
| Frozen Desserts | Desserts that are meant to be eaten in frozen condition. E.g., sherbets, sorbets, frozen yogurts |
| UHT Milk (Ultra-high temperature milk) | Milk heated at a very high temperature. Ultra-high-temperature processing (UHT) of milk involves heating for 1–8 sec at 135–154°C. which kills the spore-forming pathogenic microorganism, resulting in a product with a shelf-life of several months. |
| Non-dairy butter/Plant-based butter | Butter made from plant-derived oil such as coconut, palm, etc. |
| Non-dairy Yogurt | Yogurt made from typically made from nuts, like almonds, cashews, coconuts, and even other foods like soybeans, plantains, oats, and peas |
| On-trade | It refers to restaurants, QSRs, and bars. |
| Off-trade | It refers to supermarkets, hypermarkets, on-line channels, etc. |
| Neufchatel cheese | One of the oldest kinds of cheese in France. It is a soft, slightly crumbly, mold-ripened, bloomy-rind cheese made in the Neufchâtel-en-Bray region of Normandy. |
| Flexitarian | It refers to a consumer preferring a semi-vegetarian diet, that is centered on plant foods with limited or occasional inclusion of meat. |
| Lactose Intolerance | Lactose intolerance is a reaction in digestive system to lactose, the sugar in milk. It causes uncomfortable symptoms in response to the consumption of dairy products. |
| Cream Cheese | Cream cheese is a soft and creamy fresh cheese with a tangy taste made from milk and cream. |
| Sorbets | Sorbet is a frozen dessert made using ice combined with fruit juice, fruit purée, or other ingredients, such as wine, liqueur, or honey. |
| Sherbet | Sherbet is a sweetened frozen dessert made with fruit and some sort of dairy product such as milk or cream. |
| Shelf stable | Foods that can be safely stored at room temperature, or "on the shelf," for at least one year and do not have to be cooked or refrigerated to eat safely. |
| DSD | Direct Store Delivery is the process in supply chain management wherein the product is delivered from manufacturing plant directly to the retailer. |
| OU Kosher | Orthodox Union Kosher is a kosher certification agency based in New York City. |
| Gelato | Gelato is a frozen creamy dessert made with milk, heavy cream and sugar. |
| Grass-fed Cows | Grass-fed cows are allowed to graze in pastures, where they eat a variety of grasses and clover. |
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Research Methodology
Mordor Intelligence follows a four-step methodology in all our reports.
- Step-1: Identify Key Variables: In order to build a robust forecasting methodology, the variables and factors identified in Step 1 are tested against available historical market numbers. Through an iterative process, the variables required for market forecast are set, and the model is built on the basis of these variables.
- Step-2: Build a Market Model: Market-size estimations for the forecast years are in nominal terms. Inflation is not a part of the pricing, and the average selling price (ASP) is kept constant throughout the forecast period for each country.
- Step-3: Validate and Finalize: In this important step, all market numbers, variables, and analyst calls are validated through an extensive network of primary research experts from the market studied. The respondents are selected across levels and functions to generate a holistic picture of the market studied.
- Step-4: Research Outputs: Syndicated Reports, Custom Consulting Assignments, Databases & Subscription Platforms
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