Ice Cream Market SIZE & SHARE ANALYSIS - GROWTH TRENDS & FORECASTS UP TO 2030

Ice Cream Market Analysis

The Ice Cream Market size is estimated at 92.52 billion USD in 2025, and is expected to reach 111.8 billion USD by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 3.87% during the forecast period (2025-2030).

The global ice cream market continues to evolve with changing consumer preferences and ice cream consumption patterns across regions. In 2022, ice cream consumption patterns varied significantly by region, with New Zealand leading at 28.4 liters per capita, followed by the United States at 20.8 liters, and Australia at 18.0 liters. This variation in consumption reflects different cultural approaches to ice cream consumption, with some markets treating it as a regular dessert while others view it as a premium indulgence. The ice cream industry has also seen a shift toward premium and artisanal offerings, particularly in developed markets where consumers are increasingly seeking unique and high-quality products.

Distribution channels are undergoing significant transformation, with off-trade channels dominating the market landscape, accounting for 74% of overall sales in 2023. The evolution of retail formats has particularly benefited convenience stores, which have emerged as the second-largest channel for ice cream sales after supermarkets and hypermarkets. The extended operating hours of convenience stores have created additional selling opportunities, while the foodservice sector has also shown robust growth, with 47% of consumers consuming ice cream at restaurants in 2022.

Product innovation and flavor preferences continue to shape ice cream trends, particularly in mature markets like North America, where premium and regular ice cream segments hold 80% of the market share. Consumer preferences have become increasingly sophisticated, with chocolate-flavored ice cream being preferred by 16% of North American consumers in 2022, followed by cookies and cream at 13% and vanilla at 12%. The industry has responded with innovations in both flavors and formats, with particular attention to premium ingredients and unique flavor combinations that cater to evolving consumer tastes.

Manufacturing and supply chain considerations have become increasingly important, particularly regarding product shelf life and storage requirements. In the Middle East, where temperature control is crucial, ice cream products maintain a shelf life ranging from 12 to 24 months depending on storage conditions. This has led to innovations in cold chain management and packaging technologies to maintain product quality. Production capabilities have also expanded significantly, with major manufacturing hubs emerging in Asia-Pacific, where companies are investing in advanced production facilities to meet growing demand and maintain product quality standards.

Global Ice Cream Market Trends

The strong penetration of ice cream parlors, the availability of diverse flavors, and the consumer preference for indulgent and healthier dessert options are driving the consumption of ice cream.

• Ice cream is the most widely consumed dairy dessert globally, with strong penetration across different countries. The demand for ice cream is driven by the significant number of ice cream parlors and scoop shops emerging in response to the high consumer spending on different flavors of ice creams. Europe is a significant consumer of ice cream globally. In 2022, Germany, the United Kingdom, Italy, and Spain collectively covered 29.28% of the overall ice cream consumption.
• Developed markets like the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany, and Australia are witnessing rising health concerns. Thus, consumers across the region prefer ice cream products that are GMO-free, preservative-free, dairy-free, low in calories, and organic and fat-free.
• The Asian ice cream market is growing, with brands tapping into the ice cream trend from an indulgence and a health perspective. For example, per capita consumption of ice cream in India is expected to increase by 5.90% from 2023-2024. The growing consumer expenditure on food and beverages, the introduction of new flavors, increasing impulse purchasing, and strong demand for healthy ice cream products among consumers are some of the primary factors increasing the consumption of ice cream. 75% of consumers in Asia often try new or different varieties when purchasing ice cream products.

OTHER KEY INDUSTRY TRENDS COVERED IN THE REPORT

• The growing demand for processed dairy products followed by increasing prices globally is emerged to be the major factors impacting the production of milk

Segment Analysis: Distribution Channel

Off-Trade Segment in Ice Cream Market

The off-trade segment dominates the global ice cream market segmentation, commanding approximately 75% of the total ice cream market share in 2024. This segment encompasses various ice cream distribution channels, including supermarkets/hypermarkets, convenience stores, online retail, specialist retailers, and other distribution channels. Within the off-trade segment, supermarkets and hypermarkets emerge as the largest distribution channel, accounting for nearly 45% of off-trade sales due to their widespread presence and ability to offer a diverse range of ice cream products. The segment's dominance is further reinforced by its projected strong growth trajectory of around 4.3% CAGR from 2024 to 2029, driven by factors such as increasing consumer preference for take-home consumption, rising penetration of organized retail, and the growing trend of online grocery shopping. The expansion of cold chain infrastructure and increasing deep freezer penetration across retail stores have also contributed significantly to strengthening the off-trade ice cream distribution network.

On-Trade Segment in Ice Cream Market

The on-trade segment, comprising fast-food chains, full-service restaurants, cafeterias, and other foodservice outlets, represents the remaining portion of the ice cream market segmentation. This channel plays a crucial role in serving ice cream as desserts and specialty items, particularly in cafes and restaurant chains. The segment's growth is primarily driven by the increasing trend of out-of-home consumption, rising disposable incomes, and the expanding network of foodservice establishments globally. The foodservice sector's focus on offering unique ice cream flavors, premium varieties, and innovative serving formats has helped maintain consumer interest in on-trade consumption. Additionally, the growing cafe culture and the rising number of ice cream parlors specializing in artisanal and premium ice creams have further strengthened the on-trade distribution channel's position in the market.

Ice Cream Market Geography Segment Analysis

Ice Cream Market in Africa

The African ice cream market demonstrates significant growth potential driven by changing consumer preferences and rising disposable incomes across the region. Egypt, Nigeria, and South Africa represent the key markets, each with distinct consumption patterns and market dynamics. The region shows increasing demand for both traditional and innovative ice cream flavors, with manufacturers focusing on product development to cater to local tastes and preferences.

Ice Cream Market in Egypt

Egypt stands as the largest ice cream market in Africa, commanding approximately 47% of the ice cream market share in 2024. The country's market is characterized by strong consumer preference for traditional ice cream flavors like "ashta," made with clotted cream and flavored with rose water and orange water. Egyptian consumers increasingly favor ice cream products with unique textures and innovative flavors, while manufacturers focus on extending product shelf life to meet consumer storage preferences. The market shows particular strength in off-trade retail channels, with supermarkets and hypermarkets playing a dominant role in distribution.

Ice Cream Market in South Africa

South Africa emerges as the fastest-growing ice cream market in Africa, with an expected growth rate of approximately 3% during 2024-2029. The country's market is distinguished by its diverse range of ice cream formats, textures, and shapes, including unique local flavors like Rooibos, Amarula, and Milk Tart. South African consumers show increasing interest in premium and artisanal ice cream products, with specialty stores like Tapi Tapi Café in Cape Town offering distinctive African-inspired flavors. The market benefits from a well-developed retail infrastructure and growing consumer awareness of premium ice cream products.

Ice Cream Market in Asia-Pacific

The Asia-Pacific region is a significant contributor to the global ice cream industry, with China leading the ice cream market in terms of volume, reaching 2,370,131 tonnes in 2024. India, on the other hand, exhibits the highest growth potential with a projected CAGR of 9.13%. The region's market dynamics are influenced by a growing middle class and increasing ice cream consumption, with a preference for both traditional and innovative flavors.

Ice Cream Market in Europe

Europe's ice cream market is characterized by diverse consumer preferences and a strong emphasis on quality. Germany holds the largest market size based on a 2024 volume of 603,073 tonnes, while Belgium is the fastest-growing market with a CAGR of 7.55% from 2023 to 2029. The region's market is driven by a combination of traditional flavors and innovative product offerings, catering to a wide range of consumer tastes.

Ice Cream Market in the Middle East

In the Middle East, the ice cream market is led by Saudi Arabia, which showcases a robust market size due to its large population and increasing disposable incomes. The region's market is characterized by a growing demand for premium and innovative ice cream products, with consumers showing a preference for both local and international brands.

Ice Cream Market in North America

North America's ice cream industry is dominated by the United States, which holds the largest market size in the region. The market is driven by a high level of ice cream consumption and a strong preference for premium and artisanal products. The US market is characterized by a wide variety of flavors and formats, catering to diverse consumer preferences.

Ice Cream Market in South America

In South America, Brazil leads the ice cream market with a significant market size. The region's market dynamics are influenced by a growing middle class and increasing demand for both traditional and innovative ice cream products. The market shows potential for growth, driven by rising consumer interest in premium and artisanal offerings.