Cinnamon Market Size and Share
Cinnamon Market Analysis by Mordor Intelligence
The cinnamon market size reached USD 1.1 billion in 2025 and is projected to advance at a 6.4% CAGR to generate USD 1.5 billion by 2030. Growth is being propelled by steady household and foodservice usage in the Asia-Pacific region, an upsurge in nutraceutical launches focused on blood glucose management, and the premiumization of clean-label bakery and plant-based dairy products. Ready-to-drink functional beverages that contain cinnamon are broadening the spice’s appeal among Gen Z consumers, while deeper e-commerce penetration is enabling direct-to-consumer brands to monetize long-tail flavor preferences in mature economies. Policy catalysts such as World Trade Organization (WTO) tariff reductions and the commercialization of cinnamon-leaf-oil-based antimicrobial packaging further widen downstream opportunities. The cinnamon market faces persistent pest-linked yield losses, El Niño-driven price swings, and growing scrutiny of coumarin safety in cassia varieties, all of which can tighten raw-material availability and erode farmer income.
Key Report Takeaways
- By geography, the Asia-Pacific commanded 45% of the cinnamon market share in 2024, and the Middle East is projected to grow at a 10.0% CAGR through 2030.
Global Cinnamon Market Trends and Insights
Drivers Impact Analysis
| Driver | (~) % Impact on CAGR Forecast | Geographic Relevance | Impact Timeline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Expanding nutraceutical launches positioned around blood-glucose control | +1.8% | Global and Asia-Pacific | Medium term (2-4 years) |
| Rising demand for clean-label flavoring in plant-based dairy alternatives | +1.5% | Global, North America, and Europe | Medium term (2-4 years) |
| Innovations in functional beverage formats | +1.3% | North America and Asia-Pacific | Short term (≤ 2 years) |
| Robust growth of e-commerce spice retailing in emerging economies | +1.2% | Global and North America | Short term (≤ 2 years) |
| WTO (World Trade Organization) tariff reductions on spice imports in key consuming nations | +0.9% | Mexico, Vietnam, and Middle East | Long term (≥ 4 years) |
| Commercial scale-up of cinnamon leaf oil for active food packaging | +1.0% | Europe and Asia-Pacific | Long term (≥ 4 years) |
| Source: Mordor Intelligence | |||
Expanding Nutraceutical Launches Positioned Around Blood-Glucose Control
Cinnamon’s polyphenolic compounds that modulate insulin sensitivity have elevated its profile in supplements targeting type-2 diabetes management. In 2025, North American brands introduced clinically dosed Ceylon-capsule lines that won dietitian endorsements, while Indian ayurvedic firms blended cinnamon extracts with fenugreek to bolster efficacy. Such launches position cinnamon-based nutraceuticals as affordable adjuncts to mainstream antihyperglycemic therapies, which drives recurring demand across pharmacy and online channels. Emerging regulatory clarity around permissible daily coumarin intake is also guiding marketers toward differential positioning of cassia versus true cinnamon formats. The expanding elderly population in China and Indonesia widens the addressable consumer base, allowing the cinnamon market to capture health-oriented spend that previously went to ginseng or bitter melon supplements. The combined effect lifts average selling prices and cushions farmers from volatility in commodity-grade bark sales.
Rising Demand for Clean-Label Flavoring in Plant-Based Dairy Alternatives
Oat, almond, and coconut milk processors rely on cinnamon’s warm sensory profile to mask legume-based off-notes without artificial stabilizers. Formulators are replacing caramel coloring with cinnamon to deepen tone naturally, securing Non-Genetically Modified Organism (Non-GMO) project verification in the United States and Nutri-Score A ratings in the European Union. Ingredient-solution providers such as Givaudan recently offer micro-encapsulated cinnamon emulsions tailored to high-shear Ultra-High Temperature (UHT) lines, easing application in aseptic cartons. Retail scan data from 2025 shows that North American barista oat milks containing cinnamon grew 38% faster than plain variants, underscoring their differentiation power. As plant-based milk penetration in foodservice chains accelerates, bulk demand for sustainably certified cinnamon is set to escalate, reinforcing upstream investment in traceability.
Innovations in Functional Beverage Formats
The craft tea and coffee category is leveraging cinnamon for immunity, digestion, and mood-enhancement claims. The United States convenience stores listed six new ready-to-drink chai lattes in 2024 that blended cassia with adaptogens such as ashwagandha. These launches generated a first-year scan turnover of USD 84 million [1]Source: Trade Data Team, “United States RTD Beverage Scan Turnover 2024,” World Integrated Trade Solution, worldbank.org . Southeast Asian cold-brew startups are formulating sparkling cinnamon-ginger tea that targets young professionals seeking lower-sugar caffeine alternatives. Marketwide, the trend is expanding cinnamon usage beyond traditional winter-only occasions into year-round refreshment, by associating cinnamon with modern wellness narratives, beverage brands lower trial barriers among consumers unfamiliar with the spice, widening the cinnamon market’s demographic reach.
Robust Growth of E-Commerce Spice Retailing in Emerging Economies
Direct-to-consumer spice companies are capitalizing on social-commerce live streams and subscription boxes to distribute small-lot, origin-specific cinnamon. The United States online spice sales rose 42% in 2024, with cinnamon sticks and ground formats ranking among the top five items [2].Source: Market Intelligence Division, “Global Online Spice Retail Sales Growth 2024,” World Trade Organization, wto.org Transparent farm-gate storytelling and plastic-free packaging resonate with millennials, allowing online players to command 30% price premiums over supermarket equivalents. In emerging economies, large marketplaces such as Tokopedia Indonesia nowadays showcase certified cassia from Sumatra in 100-gram sachets, boosting domestic value-addition. Logistics upgrades, including temperature-controlled micro-fulfillment centers, preserve volatile cinnamon oil compounds, sustaining quality and repeat purchase rates.
Restraints Impact Analysis
| Restraint | (~) % Impact on CAGR Forecast | Geographic Relevance | Impact Timeline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Persistent pest-related yield losses in smallholder plantations | −1.4% | Asia-Pacific and Africa | Medium term (2-4 years) |
| Volatile farm-gate prices due to El Niño–linked supply shocks | −1.2% | Indonesia and South America | Short term (≤ 2 years) |
| Rising coumarin-related safety scrutiny on cassia varieties | −1.1% | North America and Europe | Medium term (2-4 years) |
| Trade-finance bottlenecks for SMEs (Small and Medium Enterprise) after Basel IV implementation | −0.7% | Global SME (Small and Medium Enterprise) exporters | Long term (≥ 4 years) |
| Source: Mordor Intelligence | |||
Persistent Pest-Related Yield Losses in Smallholder Plantations
Shoot borer infestations cause bark recovery rates to fall by up to 15% in Indonesian and Sri Lankan plantations, directly constraining supply. Limited access to bio-pesticides and fragmented extension services hamper smallholders’ ability to implement integrated pest management. The resulting quality downgrades invite steeper reject rates from importers, forcing exporters to discount prices. Unless regional governments expedite farmer-training programs and subsidize resistant cultivars, pest pressures will restrain the cinnamon market from achieving its full production potential. Climate change exacerbates pest pressure through altered precipitation patterns and temperature ranges that favor insect reproduction cycles. The concentration of cinnamon production in specific geographic regions amplifies supply chain risks when pest outbreaks occur simultaneously across major growing areas.
Volatile Farm-Gate Prices due to El Niño–Linked Supply Shocks
Extreme rainfall swings delay harvesting windows in key producing islands such as Sumatra and Sulawesi, triggering 25% quarter-to-quarter price jumps in 2024 [3]Source: European Food Safety Authority, “Coumarin Intake Assessment,” efsa.europa.eu. Price instability inflates working-capital needs for processors who must hold higher inventories to honor forward contracts. The shock reverberates through value chains, as buyers hedge with synthetic flavor substitutes or shift to Madagascan vanilla for premium notes, denting short-term cinnamon demand. The concentration of global cinnamon production in climate-vulnerable regions amplifies price volatility when weather disruptions occur simultaneously across multiple growing areas.
Geography Analysis
Asia-Pacific held the leading regional position with 45% of the 2024 value, driven by entrenched culinary traditions and the presence of major producing nations. Indonesia exported 138,000 metric tons in 2024, a 4% rise over 2023, while Sri Lanka recorded a 7% uptick in Ceylon shipments after mechanized peeling pilots improved productivity. Rapid urbanization in India and China continues to elevate processed snack consumption, reinforcing baseline demand. The region is projected to be supported by government incentives for spice-processing zones and expanding export financing facilities.
The Middle East is forecast as the fastest-growing market at a 10.0% CAGR through 2030, buoyed by premium bakery launches, tourism-driven foodservice spending, and tariff reductions that lower shelf prices. Middle East bakery chains have started marketing Turkish-style cinnamon rolls with date syrup, elevating per-capita cinnamon intake. Meanwhile, North America posted a 7.5% regional CAGR as health-adjacent product development broadens cinnamon’s seasonality, and direct-to-consumer spice firms leverage Amazon’s fulfillment ecosystem for next-day deliveries.
Europe’s mature consumption base continues to expand at 6.9% CAGR amid regulatory pressure on coumarin. Major retailers are diversifying SKUs (Stock Keeping Units) toward Ceylon and certified organic lines to meet consumer safety expectations. Africa and South America register high-single-digit growth trajectories fueled by nascent industrial bakery sectors and growing disposable incomes. Trade routes through the port of Durban and Santos are being optimized with cold-chain capacity, mitigating quality losses that previously discouraged importers and ensuring the cinnamon market’s expansion in these geographies.
Recent Industry Developments
- December 2024: The Cinnamon Development Department of Sri Lanka plans to increase the country's annual cinnamon export revenue from USD 250 million to USD 500 million in the coming years. According to the Department of Cinnamon Development, Sri Lanka's annual cinnamon production stands at approximately 25,000 metric tons, with exports accounting for 19,000 metric tons.
- September 2024: Spices Board, under the Indian Ministry of Commerce and Industry, has introduced a transformative scheme aimed at significantly enhancing the export of spices, including cinnamon and value-added spice products, as well as improving the productivity of cardamoms and upgrading the post-harvest quality of spices across India for export.
- November 2023: The Indonesian government intensified its efforts to promote Indonesian cuisine globally. The government set targets to establish 4,000 Indonesian culinary businesses worldwide and reach culinary exports of USD 2 billion by 2024. Through the Indonesian Spice Up The World (ISUTW) program, the government focuses on four strategic areas: exporting herbs, spices (including cinnamon), and processed food products; expanding Indonesian restaurants internationally, promoting Indonesian cuisine globally, and developing Indonesia as a gastronomy destination.
Global Cinnamon Market Report Scope
Cinnamon is a spice procured from the bark of a tropical tree. As a culinary ingredient, it can be used both as a whole stick or as a powdered spice.
The cinnamon market is segmented by geography (North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific, South America, and Africa). The study includes the production (volume), consumption (value and volume), and trade in terms of import (value and volume), export (value and volume), and price trend analysis. The report offers market estimations and forecasts in value (USD) and volume (metric tons) for the abovementioned segments.
| North America | United States |
| Canada | |
| Mexico | |
| Europe | Germany |
| Spain | |
| France | |
| United Kingdom | |
| Russia | |
| Asia-Pacific | China |
| India | |
| Indonesia | |
| Sri Lanka | |
| Japan | |
| South America | Brazil |
| Argentina | |
| Peru | |
| Middle East | Saudi Arabia |
| United Arab Emirates | |
| Africa | South Africa |
| Madagascar |
| By Geography (Production Analysis (Volume), Consumption Analysis (Volume and Value), Import Analysis (Volume and Value), Export Analysis (Volume and Value), and Price Trend Analysis) | North America | United States |
| Canada | ||
| Mexico | ||
| Europe | Germany | |
| Spain | ||
| France | ||
| United Kingdom | ||
| Russia | ||
| Asia-Pacific | China | |
| India | ||
| Indonesia | ||
| Sri Lanka | ||
| Japan | ||
| South America | Brazil | |
| Argentina | ||
| Peru | ||
| Middle East | Saudi Arabia | |
| United Arab Emirates | ||
| Africa | South Africa | |
| Madagascar | ||
Key Questions Answered in the Report
What is the current value of the cinnamon market?
The cinnamon market size reached USD 1.1 billion in 2025 and is projected to advance at a 6.4% CAGR to generate USD 1.5 billion by 2030.
What factors are pressuring supply?
Shoot borer infestations, El Niño-linked weather volatility, and coumarin-related reformulation are simultaneously constraining cassia output and its downstream demand.
How are suppliers improving traceability?
Leading exporters deploy blockchain batch tracking, farmer mobile apps, and third-party certifications to assure buyers of origin, quality, and ethical practices.
What innovations are reshaping packaging?
Antimicrobial cinnamon-leaf-oil films are extending bakery shelf life, creating a new high-margin outlet for leaf by-products.
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