Garlic Market Size and Share
Garlic Market Analysis by Mordor Intelligence
The Garlic Market size is estimated at USD 38.15 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 44.04 billion by 2030, at a CAGR of 2.9% during the forecast period. Robust demand from food service, nutraceuticals, and premium processed segments underpins this expansion. China’s 21 million metric tons annual harvest secures global supply yet creates concentration risk that can amplify price swings during weather shocks. Rising urban incomes across developing economies, more versatile cold-chain routes, and regulatory support for export diversification collectively point to sustained volume growth. Meanwhile, processors are installing automation lines that boost efficiency to 99%, indicating that cost leadership is shifting toward firms able to combine scale agriculture with high-precision handling.
Key Report Takeaways
- By geography, Asia-Pacific held 78% of the garlic market share in 2024, while Africa is poised to expand at an 8.4% CAGR through 2030.
Global Garlic Market Trends and Insights
Drivers Impact Analysis
| Driver | (~) % Impact on CAGR Forecast | Geographic Relevance | Impact Timeline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Growing demand in pharmaceutical and nutraceutical industries | +1.2% | Global, with concentration in North America and EU | Medium term (2-4 years) |
| Rising popularity of processed garlic products in foodservice | +0.9% | Asia-Pacific core, spill-over to North America | Short term (≤ 2 years) |
| Expansion of cold chain logistics facilitating export markets | +0.8% | Global, early gains in Asia-Pacific, Middle East, and Africa | Long term (≥ 4 years) |
| Surge in black garlic production for premium markets | +0.7% | North America and EU, expanding to urban Asia-Pacific | Medium term (2-4 years) |
| Adoption of high-yield tissue culture seed varieties | +0.6% | Asia-Pacific core, expanding to Africa and South America | Long term (≥ 4 years) |
| E-commerce bulk trading platforms enhancing farmer-market linkages | +0.4% | Global, with early adoption in North America and EU | Short term (≤ 2 years) |
| Source: Mordor Intelligence | |||
Growing Demand in Pharmaceutical and Nutraceutical Industries
Pharmaceutical groups are scaling procurement of standardized garlic extracts after clinical studies highlighted allicin’s cardiovascular benefits, compelling 64% of surveyed supplement users to link garlic to heart health and 45% to antibacterial functions. This validation moves garlic from commodity spice toward a medically aligned ingredient, letting contract growers command quality premiums when they provide verified potency lots. Nutraceutical formulators now anchor Research and Development budgets around odor-controlled capsules to capture wellness consumers wary of synthetic additives. As authorities clear more therapeutic claims, producers adopting traceable cultivation protocols can pivot into high-margin, extraction-grade supply chains.
Rising Popularity of Processed Garlic Products in Foodservice
Large restaurant chains are replacing in-house peeling with pre-minced, dried, or purée formats to curb labor and ensure uniform taste. An 86% usage rate for dried powder versus 83% for fresh cloves among commercial kitchens signals that time savings outweigh freshness perceptions when processing quality is high. Contract processors able to tailor granulation or moisture profiles for automated woks and ovens win recurring volumes, nudging the garlic market toward greater value-added output. This shift is critical for exporters in regions where wage inflation erodes margins on unprocessed bulbs.
Expansion of Cold Chain Logistics Facilitating Export Markets
Temperature-controlled corridors extend garlic shelf life to 60-90 days, unlocking destinations once considered too distant or humid. The Philippines is investing PHP 3 billion (USD 53.7 million) in 99 solar-hybrid facilities so smallholders can supply urban retailers without spoilage. Freight forwarders such as ZIM now run commodity-specific handling protocols on routes from Qingdao to 170 countries, ensuring humidity control within ±2% for every container.[1]ZIM Integrated Shipping Services, “ZIM Refrigerated Cargo – Garlic Exports from Qingdao,” zim.com As importing buyers set chilled-cargo clauses in contracts, nations with early cold-chain rollouts will capture disproportionate gains in the garlic market.
Surge in Black Garlic Production for Premium Markets
Controlled fermentation transforms raw cloves into black garlic, boosting antioxidant levels and yielding a sweet umami profile prized by chefs. Despite lower throughput, unit prices exceed fresh garlic by 3-5 times in upscale retail, so dedicated fermenters with precise humidity chambers sustain healthy margins. Demand spans gourmet food service, functional snacks, and wellness supplements, letting processors diversify revenue while insulating against commodity price swings. Barriers include 20-to-30-day fermentation cycles and strict microbial monitoring, which favor capital-intensive operators over smallholder dryers.
Restraints Impact Analysis
| Restraint | (~) % Impact on CAGR Forecast | Geographic Relevance | Impact Timeline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price volatility driven by climatic variability in key producing regions | -0.8% | Global, concentrated in China and India | Short term (≤ 2 years) |
| Escalating labor shortages increasing harvest costs | -0.6% | North America and EU, emerging in Asia-Pacific | Medium term (2-4 years) |
| Phytosanitary rejections due to sulfur-dioxide residues | -0.4% | Global trade flows, concentrated in EU and North America | Medium term (2-4 years) |
| Competition from low-odor substitutes in cuisines | -0.3% | Asia-Pacific core, particularly India and Southeast Asia | Long term (≥ 4 years) |
| Source: Mordor Intelligence | |||
Price Volatility Driven by Climatic Variability in Key Producing Regions
Heat stress alters bulb development and hormone profiles, undermining yields in the Yangtze River Basin and Indian plains. Models show that mild reductions in Chinese output ripple into global wholesale prices because the country’s 21 million metric tons supply sets the benchmark for the entire garlic market. Importers respond with diversified sourcing frameworks and hedge contracts, yet smaller processors lacking financial instruments face margin erosion. Weather-indexed insurance adoption remains nascent, raising the urgency for climate-resilient cultivars.
Escalating Labor Shortages Increasing Harvest Costs
Mechanized diggers and automatic huskers now appear in Shandong and California fields, but the upfront investment can surpass USD 1 million per 20 metric ton/hour line. A 2024 plant shutdown that displaced 275 workers illustrated how capacity rationalization hits regions where wages outpace automation payback. Smaller farms unable to finance machinery may exit, consolidating acreage within large corporates that can amortize equipment. Over the forecast, mechanization will lower per-kilogram labor costs, yet capital barriers could shrink grower diversity, influencing the garlic market’s supplier landscape.
Geography Analysis
Asia-Pacific’s 78% slice of the garlic market stems from large-scale growing belts and purpose-built dry ports. Jining alone exports 2.2 million metric tons annually through reefer corridors whose humidity sensors hold ±2% variance, preserving clove firmness for 30-day voyages. India’s ICAR-DOGR has released varieties yielding 8-20 metric tons/ha, improving farmers’ net returns and bolstering the region’s garlic market size for seed and bulb trades.[2]ICAR-Directorate of Onion and Garlic Research, “High-Yield Garlic Varieties for Indian Farmers,” icar.org.in Still, climate variability and labor scarcity push region-wide mechanization adoption, raising capex needs.
Africa represents the fastest-growing geography with an 8.4% CAGR as urban centers pursue dietary diversification. Kenyan county governments co-invest in drip irrigation, aiming to cut post-harvest losses from 25% to 10%. Egypt’s desert-reclamation drive plans 20,000 ha of garlic under pivot irrigation, and South Africa’s citrus exporters add garlic to cool-chain back-haul capacity, lowering freight unit costs. If these programs succeed, African growers could capture a meaningful slice of the garlic market, reducing reliance on imported Chinese stock.
North America and Europe remain net importers yet exhibit stable demand for premium segments. January 2025 saw the United States buy USD 37.5 million in fresh garlic, mainly from Argentina, China, and Vietnam. EU directives requiring certificates of origin and sulfur-dioxide compliance elevate testing costs, but they also reward exporters meeting zero-residue pledges. Both regions nurture black garlic and organic niches, supported by gourmet retailers and functional-food brands. Consequently, the garlic market there will expand more in value than in volume.
Recent Industry Developments
- January 2025: The Department of Agriculture (DA) in Manila declared the implementation of a PHP 3 billion (USD 53.7 million) cold storage project to minimize post-harvest losses and maintain a stable garlic supply.
- July 2024: Oklahoma State University Extension highlighted German Extra Hardy as the best local cultivar, supporting efforts to expand U.S. garlic acreage.
- June 2024: The U.S. Department of Commerce upheld USD 4.71/kg antidumping duties on Chinese garlic, reshaping importer sourcing strategies.
Research Methodology Framework and Report Scope
Market Definitions and Key Coverage
Our study defines the global garlic market as the value generated from fresh, semi-processed, and fully processed garlic traded through formal and informal channels across households, foodservice, nutraceutical, and industrial ingredient uses. Value is expressed in constant 2025 US dollars at the producer-to-first-buyer level.
Scope exclusion: ornamental garlic varieties grown solely for landscaping are not considered.
Segmentation Overview
- By Geography (Production Analysis (Volume), Consumption Analysis (Volume and Value), Import Analysis (Volume and Value), Export Analysis (Volume and Value), and Price Trend Analysis)
- North America
- United States
- Mexico
- Canada
- Europe
- Spain
- Ukraine
- France
- United Kingdom
- Russia
- Asia-Pacific
- Vietnam
- China
- India
- South Korea
- Myanmar
- Indonesia
- South America
- Brazil
- Argentina
- Middle East
- Turkey
- Iran
- United Arab Emirates
- Africa
- South Africa
- Egypt
- Kenya
- North America
Detailed Research Methodology and Data Validation
Primary Research
Mordor analysts interviewed growers in Shandong, exporters in Gujarat, bulk buyers in Rotterdam, and supplement formulators in California. These conversations validated informal trade volumes, average peel loss, and emerging price premiums for organic bulbs.
Desk Research
We began by mapping production, trade, and price patterns using open datasets such as FAOSTAT, UN Comtrade, and ITC-Trade Map. We then overlaid them with regional farm census updates and USDA GAIN notes to capture weather and policy shifts. National horticulture boards, the European Spice Association, and peer-reviewed journals on allicin yield trends helped us refine quality adjustments. Company 10-Ks and customs filings, accessed via D&B Hoovers and Dow Jones Factiva, completed the desk evidence pool. This list is illustrative; many other public and subscription sources informed the work.
Market-Sizing & Forecasting
A hybrid top-down build (global harvest volume × utilization matrix × weighted farm-gate price) set the baseline, which was then cross-checked with sampled supplier roll-ups and channel checks for processed forms. Key variables include sown area, yield per hectare, bulb-to-processed conversion ratios, cold-chain expansion pace, freight rates, and supplement penetration in major consumer markets. Forecasts rely on multivariate regression linking these drivers with five-year moving averages and scenario analysis for climate volatility. Gaps in county-level data were bridged through regional averages agreed upon during primary interviews.
Data Validation & Update Cycle
Before sign-off, outputs pass a three-layer analyst review where divergences over +/-5% versus external indicators trigger re-checks. Models refresh annually, while significant events such as export bans prompt interim updates, ensuring clients receive the latest view.
Why Mordor's Garlic Baseline Commands Reliability
Published figures frequently diverge because firms pick different product mixes, price points, and refresh cadences. By anchoring our model to full-spectrum utilization and the latest 2025 harvest data, Mordor minimizes these gaps for decision-makers.
Benchmark comparison
| Market Size | Anonymized source | Primary gap driver |
|---|---|---|
| USD 38.15 B (2025) | Mordor Intelligence | - |
| USD 2.84 B (2024) | Regional Consultancy A | Focus only on dehydrated formats; excludes fresh and informal trade |
| USD 21.59 B (2023) | Global Consultancy B | Omits Africa & MEA volumes and relies on retail scanner data, not farm output |
The comparison shows that narrower scopes or dated baselines compress the market picture, whereas Mordor's disciplined variable set and yearly refresh offer a balanced, transparent reference point.
Key Questions Answered in the Report
What is the current size of the garlic market and what value is it anticipated to reach by 2030?
The market is valued at USD 38.15 billion in 2025 and is forecast to climb to USD 44.04 billion by 2030.
What compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is projected for the garlic market during 2025-2030?
A steady CAGR of 2.9% is anticipated for the forecast period.
Which region currently dominates global garlic sales?
Asia-Pacific holds 78% of global revenue, underpinned by China’s 21 million metric tons annual harvest and India’s 3.2 million metric tons output.
Which region is projected to post the fastest growth?
Africa is projected to expand at an 8.4% CAGR through 2030, supported by modernization programs and rising urban consumption.
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