China Residential Real Estate Market Size (2024 - 2029)

The market size of the Chinese residential real estate sector is forecasted to grow at a significant CAGR over the next few years. However, the market has been facing a deepening contraction due to COVID-19 restrictions and industry-wide issues, with new home prices experiencing a substantial drop. In response, Chinese authorities have implemented measures to support the sector, including allowing banks to extend maturing loans to developers, reducing mortgage rates and down payments, and ensuring the delivery of pre-sold homes to buyers. Despite these efforts, the property slump has persisted due to a weak economy and strict COVID-19 curbs. Nevertheless, a slight boost in the property sector has been observed following the relaxation of the zero-COVID policy, which could potentially attract consumers back to the market.

Market Size of China Residential Real Estate Industry

China Residential Real Estate Market Summary
Study Period 2020 - 2029
Base Year For Estimation 2023
Forecast Data Period 2024 - 2029
Historical Data Period 2020 - 2022
CAGR > 5.00 %
Market Concentration Medium

Major Players

China Residential Real Estate Market Major Players

*Disclaimer: Major Players sorted in no particular order

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China Residential Real Estate Market Analysis

The Chinese residential real estate market is expected to register a CAGR greater than 5% during the forecast period (2023-2028).

  • China's new home prices decreased at their fastest pace in over seven years in October 2022, weighed down by COVID-19 curbs and industry-wide problems, reflecting a deepening contraction that prompted authorities to ramp up support for the sector. New home prices slumped 1.6% year-on-year after a 1.5% fall in September 2022. That was the biggest annual drop since August 2015 and the sixth month of contraction. Home prices in 100 cities fell for the sixth month in December 2022, declining 0.08% from a month earlier after falling 0.06% in November 2022.
  • Chinese authorities are making their biggest effort yet to end a crisis in the country's vast real estate sector that has weighed heavily on the economy in 2022. Key measures include allowing banks to extend maturing loans to developers, supporting property sales by reducing the size of down payments and cutting mortgage rates, boosting other funding channels such as bond issues, and ensuring the delivery of pre-sold homes to buyers. In August 2020, the government began trying to rein in excessive borrowing by developers to curb runaway house prices. The problems escalated in 2021 when Evergrande - the nation's second-largest developer - defaulted on its debt. As the property sector crashed, several major companies sought protection from their creditors. The cash crunch meant that work on many pre-sold housing projects across the country was delayed or suspended.
  • The crisis entered a new phase in the summer of 2022 when angry home buyers refused to pay mortgages on unfinished homes, roiling financial markets and sparking fears of contagion. Since then, authorities have tried to defuse the crisis by urging banks to increase loan support for developers so that they can complete projects. Regulators have also cut interest rates in a bid to restore buyer confidence. However, the property slump persisted as buyers backed away from the market because of the weak economy and strict Covid curbs.
  • In October 2022, sales by the 100 biggest real estate developers contracted 26.5% from a year ago. From January to November 2022, their sales have fallen by 43%. However, the property sector has also been boosted slightly after Beijing abruptly dropped its strict zero-Covid policy in early December, which could lure consumers back to the market.

China Residential Real Estate Industry Segmentation

Residential real estate is an area developed for people to live in and cannot be used for commercial or industrial purposes. It emerges when land sanctioned for residential use is purchased by someone, which becomes real property and encompasses a large variety of potential dwellings, from houses to houseboats and from neighborhood types ranging from the poorest slum to the wealthiest suburban subdivision. The report focuses on the market dynamics, technological trends, insights, and government initiatives in the residential real estate sector. Furthermore, it analyzes the key players present in the market and the competitive landscape in the Chinese residential real estate market. China's residential real estate market is segmented by type ( villas and landed houses, apartments, and condominiums) and by city (Shenzhen, Beijing, Shanghai, Hangzhou, Guangzhou, and other cities). The report offers the market sizes and forecasts for the China residential real estate market in value (USD Billion) for all the above segments.

By Type
Apartments & Condominiums
Villas & Landed Houses
By Key Cities
Shenzhen
Beijing
Shanghai
Hangzhou
Guangzhou
Other Key Cities

China Residential Real Estate Market Size Summary

The Chinese residential real estate market is anticipated to grow at a notable rate in the coming years. The sector has recently experienced a downturn, with new home prices experiencing their most significant drop in over seven years, due to the impact of COVID-19 restrictions and industry-wide issues. However, the Chinese authorities have implemented several measures to support the sector, including allowing banks to extend maturing loans to developers, reducing the size of down payments and mortgage rates, and ensuring the delivery of pre-sold homes to buyers. Despite the challenges, the sector is expected to recover, driven by the government's efforts to restore buyer confidence and complete housing projects. The residential real estate market in China is being driven by the rapid pace of urbanization. As more people move to cities, the demand for urban housing is increasing. This urbanization, coupled with improving job market conditions and income growth, is expected to stimulate the demand for residential properties. However, property prices in major cities remain high, making it difficult for many to afford a home. To mitigate this, the government has implemented measures such as lowering mortgage rates and offering government-subsidized homes. The market is competitive, with several local and global players, and is seeing an increasing presence of international funds and foreign capital.

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China Residential Real Estate Market Size - Table of Contents

  1. 1. MARKET DYNAMICS

    1. 1.1 Drivers

    2. 1.2 Restraints

    3. 1.3 Opportunities

    4. 1.4 Industry attractiveness - Porter's Fives Forces Analysis

      1. 1.4.1 Bargaining Power of Suppliers

      2. 1.4.2 Bargaining Power of Consumers / Buyers

      3. 1.4.3 Threat of New Entrants

      4. 1.4.4 Threat of Substitute Products

      5. 1.4.5 Intensity of Competitive Rivalry

  2. 2. MARKET SEGMENTATION

    1. 2.1 By Type

      1. 2.1.1 Apartments & Condominiums

      2. 2.1.2 Villas & Landed Houses

    2. 2.2 By Key Cities

      1. 2.2.1 Shenzhen

      2. 2.2.2 Beijing

      3. 2.2.3 Shanghai

      4. 2.2.4 Hangzhou

      5. 2.2.5 Guangzhou

      6. 2.2.6 Other Key Cities

China Residential Real Estate Market Size FAQs

The China Residential Real Estate Market is projected to register a CAGR of greater than 5% during the forecast period (2024-2029)

Evergrande Real Estate Group Limited, China Vanke Co., Ltd., Poly Real Estate Group Co., Ltd., GreenLand Group and China State Construction Engineering Corporation are the major companies operating in the China Residential Real Estate Market.

China Residential Real Estate Market Size & Share Analysis - Growth Trends & Forecasts (2024 - 2029)