
Orange Market Analysis by Mordor Intelligence
The orange market size was valued at USD 42.53 billion in 2026 and is projected to reach USD 52.63 billion by 2031, registering a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 4.35%. Consumption encompasses daily fresh fruit intake and industrial applications, including juice production, fragrances, and other ingredient uses, with demand originating from both household and commercial channels. Supply chains are affected by factors such as citrus greening disease and fluctuations in freight or input costs, which collectively influence pricing dynamics for growers, packers, processors, and retailers. Regionally, the Asia-Pacific accounted for a significant share of the orange market, driven by rising middle-class consumption in countries such as China and India. Meanwhile, Africa is projected to record the fastest growth, supported by Morocco and Egypt's efforts to enhance export infrastructure. Global juice processors continue to play a critical role in shaping farm-gate prices, as they purchase approximately 60% of global orange output and prioritize large, traceable suppliers capable of ensuring consistent year-round supply volumes.
Key Report Takeaways
- By geography, the Asia-Pacific region accounted for 35.7% of the orange market share in 2025. Africa is set to expand at a compound annual growth rate of 4.5% from 2026 to 2031, with Egypt and Morocco adding cold-chain capacity that supports counter-seasonal exports and increases their combined orange market size in both value and volume terms.
Note: Market size and forecast figures in this report are generated using Mordor Intelligence’s proprietary estimation framework, updated with the latest available data and insights as of January 2026.
Global Orange Market Trends and Insights
Drivers Impact Analysis
| Driver | (~) % Impact on CAGR Forecast | Geographic Relevance | Impact Timeline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rising demand from global juice processors | +0.8% | Brazil, United States, European Union, and global consumer markets | Medium term (2-4 years) |
| Expanding cold-chain logistics capacity | +0.6% | Asia-Pacific, Middle East, and Africa | Long term (≥ 4 years) |
| Premium varietal branding | +0.5% | North America, Europe, and Australia | Short term (≤ 2 years) |
| Adoption of precision-ag techniques in large orchards | +0.4% | North America, Australia, South Africa, and Spain | Medium term (2-4 years) |
| Emergence of regenerative citrus certifications | +0.3% | North America, Europe, and selected South American estates | Long term (≥ 4 years) |
| Deployment of low-carbon shipping corridors | +0.2% | Global trade routes with priority on European Union-bound exports | Medium term (2-4 years) |
| Source: Mordor Intelligence | |||
Rising Demand from Global Juice Processors
In 2025, juice processors accounted for approximately 60% of global orange consumption, driven by beverage companies replacing artificial sweeteners with natural fructose and reducing added sugar across their product portfolios. Brazil's vertically integrated operations, which encompass groves, extraction facilities, tank farms, and chartered reefers, enable multi-season procurement strategies and mitigate exposure to spot price fluctuations. When Florida's orange crop declined to 15.85 million boxes during the 2024–2025 season, FCOJ futures on the Intercontinental Exchange reached five-year highs. This prompted brands to experiment with blends that reduced Valencia orange content by incorporating mandarin or grapefruit inputs. The strong demand allows growers who ensure phytosanitary compliance and traceable volumes to secure a consistent premium, even as global orange acreage remains relatively stable.
Expanding Cold-Chain Logistics Capacity
Between 2024 and 2025, Egypt commissioned new refrigerated storage facilities near Alexandria, adding 40,000 pallet slots to support citrus exports, including oranges, to the European Union and Gulf Cooperation Council markets [1]Source: Egyptian Ministry of Agriculture and Land Reclamation, “Agricultural Statistics and Reports,” AGRICULTURE.GOV.EG. Under China’s Belt and Road Initiative, temperature-controlled depots were established in Pakistan, Uzbekistan, and Kazakhstan, significantly reducing post-harvest loss rates, which previously ranged from 15% to 25% in warmer regions. With more packhouses connected to highway and rail corridors, exporters can target premium off-season markets, enhancing farm-gate prices. Additionally, e-commerce fruit platforms in cities such as Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Kuala Lumpur depend on these cold-chain networks, which play a critical role in sustaining the long-term growth of the orange market.
Premium Varietal Branding
Retailers packaged Cara Cara, Moro blood, and seedless Navel oranges in branded boxes featuring quick-response codes that linked shoppers to orchard sustainability dashboards. This strategy enabled premiums of 30%–50% higher than those of commodity oranges in 2025. California’s Sunkist Growers introduced limited Cara Cara offerings, achieving a 22% markup in Boston and Chicago supermarkets. These branded offerings highlighted the unique flavor profile and nutritional benefits of Cara Cara oranges, appealing to health-conscious consumers. Meanwhile, Australian growers supplied individually wrapped blood oranges to Shanghai gift retailers, securing a 40% price increase. The premium packaging and presentation highlighted the exotic appeal and antioxidant properties of blood oranges, making them an attractive choice as luxury gifts. The use of visual differentiation and antioxidant-focused messaging helps producers maintain margins, even during periods of surplus Valencia orange production, effectively segmenting the orange market into premium and value categories.
Emergence of Regenerative Citrus Certifications
Groves in California, Brazil, and Peru have adopted cover crops, compost inputs, and pollinator habitats as requirements to achieve Regenerative Organic Certified status by 2025. This certification has enabled these producers to secure shelf markups of 10%–15% in markets such as Portland, Berlin, and Copenhagen [2]Source: Regenerative Organic Alliance, “Certification Standards,” REGENORGANIC.ORG. European Union grocers are increasingly demanding evidence of soil carbon improvements and biodiversity metrics, granting certified orchards preferred supplier status. The documentation costs for regenerative certification remain lower than those for full organic conversion, providing producers who already utilize precision-fertilization practices with an accessible pathway for brand differentiation and enhanced income stability. Additionally, regenerative practices contribute to long-term soil health, improved water retention, and enhanced ecosystem services, further supporting sustainable agricultural systems and meeting evolving consumer and regulatory expectations.
Restraints Impact Analysis
| Restraint | (~) % Impact on CAGR Forecast | Geographic Relevance | Impact Timeline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Citrus greening (HLB) and other diseases | −1.1% | Florida, Brazil, and parts of Asia | Short term (≤ 2 years) |
| Labor shortages during peak harvest windows | −0.4% | United States, Spain, and Australia | Medium term (2-4 years) |
| Port congestion and reefer container scarcity | −0.3% | South Africa, Egypt, and Mediterranean hubs | Short term (≤ 2 years) |
| Carbon-border–adjustment taxes on long-haul exports | −0.2% | South America and South Africa shipping to Europe | Medium term (2-4 years) |
| Source: Mordor Intelligence | |||
Citrus Greening (HLB) and Other Diseases
Huanglongbing disease, commonly known as citrus greening disease, currently has no commercial cure, with infection rates in Brazil’s São Paulo belt exceeding 20% in surveyed groves by 2025. This disease has significantly impacted citrus production, leading to substantial economic losses for growers. In Florida, commercial acreage declined by approximately 30% between 2020 and 2025 as growers removed diseased trees, further straining the citrus industry [3]Service, “Citrus Health and Disease Management,” APHIS.USDA.GOV. Research institutes are investigating CRISPR-edited resistance, but regulatory approval is not anticipated before 2028. As a result, growers are compelled to remove infected blocks, increase vector spraying, and manage higher per-box production costs, which adds financial pressure. Processors are building inventories to mitigate supply fluctuations, which ties up working capital and contributes to rising wholesale juice prices, ultimately affecting the entire supply chain.
Port Congestion and Reefer Container Scarcity
During peak 2025 loadings, Durban and Alexandria experienced reefer dwell times that exceeded normal levels by three to five days, resulting in significant delays in outbound orange shipments and substantially increasing freight costs. These delays disrupted the timely movement of goods, creating bottlenecks in the supply chain and impacting exporters' ability to meet delivery schedules. Container shortages further exacerbated the situation, leaving inventory stranded at orchards and driving up charter rates for last-minute containers. This combination of factors has placed exporters in these regions under considerable pressure, as they face heightened risks of spoilage and financial losses. Until port authorities complete their automation initiatives and significantly expand reefer plug capacity projects, which are projected to extend beyond 2027, exporters in these corridors are likely to encounter ongoing challenges, including constrained short-term growth and operational inefficiencies.
Geography Analysis
Asia-Pacific accounted for 35.7% of the orange market share in 2025, driven by China's harvest of 7.5 million metric tons and India's expanding citrus cultivation in Maharashtra and Andhra Pradesh. Urban households in cities like Shanghai and Shenzhen increased their winter consumption of oranges over mandarins due to campaigns promoting vitamin C benefits. In India, modern retail chains introduced chilled displays in over 200 tier-two and tier-three cities, reducing shrinkage and enhancing product presentation. Thailand and Vietnam expanded high-density rootstock plantations, achieving a 15% yield increase within two seasons. Australia, as a counter-seasonal supplier from the Southern Hemisphere, exported Navels to Japan and South Korea at premiums of 40%–60% compared to local alternatives. The orange market size in Asia-Pacific reflects steady income growth, improved cold-chain infrastructure, and dietary diversification, contributing to its robust performance.
Africa's orange market is projected to grow at a 4.5% CAGR from 2026 to 2031, supported by significant developments in Egypt and Morocco. Egypt expanded citrus cultivation by approximately 50,000 hectares in the Nile Delta between 2024 and 2025, primarily through government reclamation initiatives, resulting in a harvest in 2025. Of this, 70% was exported fresh to markets such as the Russian Federation, the United Kingdom, and the Gulf Cooperation Council. Morocco's Souss-Massa region benefited from drip irrigation subsidies, which enhanced export-grade yields and facilitated tariff-free access to European Union organic markets, positioning Morocco as a competitor to Spain's established market share. South Africa's Western and Eastern Cape regions supplied Northern Hemisphere retailers from June to October, although congestion at Durban port limited export capacity.
North America experienced mixed outcomes in 2025. Florida's orange production declined to 15.85 million boxes due to citrus greening and hurricane damage, while California maintained production at approximately 45 million boxes by utilizing micro-irrigation and integrated pest management to ensure fresh-market quality. Mexico exported 200,000 metric tons of fresh oranges to the United States in 2025, meeting supermarket demand at competitive peso-denominated prices. In Europe, Mediterranean orchards remained the primary source of supply. Spain and Italy collectively produced 3.2 million metric tons in 2025, with Spain focusing on juice-grade oranges and Italy leveraging Sicily's niche demand for blood oranges. South America, led by Brazil, dominated global orange juice concentrate exports, accounting for over 70% of the total in 2025. São Paulo's integrated grove-to-port system supported this dominance, with Citrosuco and Cutrale leading processing operations. Argentina's Entre Ríos province catered to regional fresh demand while exploring niche organic programs. Colombia's Valle del Cauca primarily served domestic wholesalers, while Peru's coastal valleys experimented with drip-irrigated Navel oranges for Asian markets, although cold-chain limitations posed challenges.

Competitive Landscape
The orange market exhibits a fragmented structure at the cultivation stage but becomes significantly consolidated during processing and export. High fixed costs in these stages act as barriers to entry for smaller players. In Brazil, Citrosuco and Cutrale collectively process over half of the national orange crop, leveraging vertical integration that includes grove ownership, juice extraction, bulk storage, and maritime distribution. In North America, Sunkist Growers operates as a long-established marketing cooperative that aggregates volumes from California and Arizona. The cooperative offers members automated packhouse facilities and shared cold storage, thereby reducing individual capital requirements. In Europe, cooperatives such as Spain’s Anecoop and various Italian consortia negotiate directly with supermarket chains, maintaining Protected Designation of Origin labels, which enables them to charge higher retail prices.
By 2025, sustainability and transparency emerged as key strategic priorities. South African exporters implemented blockchain traceability systems to record spray programs and cold-chain temperature logs, ensuring compliance with European Union due diligence regulations. In Brazil, estates expanded trials of disease-resistant rootstocks and precision monitoring of Asian citrus psyllid populations to address the threat of citrus greening. Certifications under standards such as Rainforest Alliance, Regenerative Organic, and Costa Rican Carbon Neutral gained traction, as retailers increasingly favored suppliers capable of demonstrating improvements in soil health, biodiversity, and emissions reduction.
Direct-to-retail supply models gained prominence as digital connectivity improved. Moroccan family estates and Peruvian citrus clusters began shipping container loads directly to grocery chains in Germany and the United Kingdom, thereby bypassing traditional importers and retaining margins that intermediaries had previously absorbed. While these disruptors handle relatively small volumes compared to established players, they highlight how technology is streamlining the value chain and rewarding growers who meet stringent quality and traceability standards. Rising compliance costs for carbon reporting and food safety, along with capital investments in packhouse robotics and solar-powered cold storage, are anticipated to drive further consolidation in the industry. Over the forecast period, processors are likely to continue acquiring groves to secure fruit supply or forming multi-origin sourcing alliances to mitigate climate and disease risks.
Recent Industry Developments
- July 2025: "360 Oranges," a premium South African orange company, entered the Indian market through a partnership with IG International Pvt Ltd and Down South. This launch introduces high-quality citrus to Indian consumers, utilizing IG International's logistics to maintain freshness from farm to shelf.
- June 2025: Beenleigh Distillery, Australia's oldest operating distillery, has introduced Hard Orange Crush, a citrus-based ready-to-drink (RTD) beverage. Made with real Australian orange juice, it offers a flavor profile inspired by traditional orange soft drinks and "Sunnyboys."
- February 2025: BlueTree Technologies and Priniv have introduced the first no-additive, reduced-sugar orange juice in Israeli supermarkets. This product utilizes BlueTree's technology to selectively remove natural sugars, such as sucrose, without the use of artificial sweeteners. The process reduces sugar content by up to 50% while preserving the natural taste and nutrients, addressing both health concerns and the demand for clean-label products.
Research Methodology Framework and Report Scope
Market Definitions and Key Coverage
Our study defines the global orange market as the monetary value of fresh oranges traded and consumed worldwide, quantified in USD as well as metric tons, and linked to production, import, export, and domestic utilization flows. According to Mordor Intelligence, the market reached about USD 39.20 billion in 2025.
Scope exclusion: Value-added derivatives such as essential oils, citrus fiber, and ready-to-drink juices are outside this boundary.
Segmentation Overview
- By Geography
- North America
- United States
- Production Analysis (Area Harvested, Yield, and Production Volume)
- Consumption Analysis (Consumption Value and Volume)
- Import Market Analysis (Import Value, Volume, and Key Supplying Markets)
- Export Market Analysis (Export Value, Volume, and Key Destination Markets)
- Wholesale Price Trend Analysis and Forecast
- Regulatory Framework
- List of Key Players
- Logistics and Infrastructure
- Seasonality Analysis
- Mexico
- Production Analysis (Area Harvested, Yield, and Production Volume)
- Consumption Analysis (Consumption Value and Volume)
- Import Market Analysis (Import Value, Volume, and Key Supplying Markets)
- Export Market Analysis (Export Value, Volume, and Key Destination Markets)
- Wholesale Price Trend Analysis and Forecast
- Regulatory Framework
- List of Key Players
- Logistics and Infrastructure
- Seasonality Analysis
- Canada
- Production Analysis (Area Harvested, Yield, and Production Volume)
- Consumption Analysis (Consumption Value and Volume)
- Import Market Analysis (Import Value, Volume, and Key Supplying Markets)
- Export Market Analysis (Export Value, Volume, and Key Destination Markets)
- Wholesale Price Trend Analysis and Forecast
- Regulatory Framework
- List of Key Players
- Logistics and Infrastructure
- Seasonality Analysis
- United States
- Europe
- Germany
- Production Analysis (Area Harvested, Yield, and Production Volume)
- Consumption Analysis (Consumption Value and Volume)
- Import Market Analysis (Import Value, Volume, and Key Supplying Markets)
- Export Market Analysis (Export Value, Volume, and Key Destination Markets)
- Wholesale Price Trend Analysis and Forecast
- Regulatory Framework
- List of Key Players
- Logistics and Infrastructure
- Seasonality Analysis
- United Kingdom
- Production Analysis (Area Harvested, Yield, and Production Volume)
- Consumption Analysis (Consumption Value and Volume)
- Import Market Analysis (Import Value, Volume, and Key Supplying Markets)
- Export Market Analysis (Export Value, Volume, and Key Destination Markets)
- Wholesale Price Trend Analysis and Forecast
- Regulatory Framework
- List of Key Players
- Logistics and Infrastructure
- Seasonality Analysis
- France
- Production Analysis (Area Harvested, Yield, and Production Volume)
- Consumption Analysis (Consumption Value and Volume)
- Import Market Analysis (Import Value, Volume, and Key Supplying Markets)
- Export Market Analysis (Export Value, Volume, and Key Destination Markets)
- Wholesale Price Trend Analysis and Forecast
- Regulatory Framework
- List of Key Players
- Logistics and Infrastructure
- Seasonality Analysis
- Netherlands
- Production Analysis (Area Harvested, Yield, and Production Volume)
- Consumption Analysis (Consumption Value and Volume)
- Import Market Analysis (Import Value, Volume, and Key Supplying Markets)
- Export Market Analysis (Export Value, Volume, and Key Destination Markets)
- Wholesale Price Trend Analysis and Forecast
- Regulatory Framework
- List of Key Players
- Logistics and Infrastructure
- Seasonality Analysis
- Italy
- Production Analysis (Area Harvested, Yield, and Production Volume)
- Consumption Analysis (Consumption Value and Volume)
- Import Market Analysis (Import Value, Volume, and Key Supplying Markets)
- Export Market Analysis (Export Value, Volume, and Key Destination Markets)
- Wholesale Price Trend Analysis and Forecast
- Regulatory Framework
- List of Key Players
- Logistics and Infrastructure
- Seasonality Analysis
- Spain
- Production Analysis (Area Harvested, Yield, and Production Volume)
- Consumption Analysis (Consumption Value and Volume)
- Import Market Analysis (Import Value, Volume, and Key Supplying Markets)
- Export Market Analysis (Export Value, Volume, and Key Destination Markets)
- Wholesale Price Trend Analysis and Forecast
- Regulatory Framework
- List of Key Players
- Logistics and Infrastructure
- Seasonality Analysis
- Greece
- Production Analysis (Area Harvested, Yield, and Production Volume)
- Consumption Analysis (Consumption Value and Volume)
- Import Market Analysis (Import Value, Volume, and Key Supplying Markets)
- Export Market Analysis (Export Value, Volume, and Key Destination Markets)
- Wholesale Price Trend Analysis and Forecast
- Regulatory Framework
- List of Key Players
- Logistics and Infrastructure
- Seasonality Analysis
- Germany
- Asia-Pacific
- China
- Production Analysis (Area Harvested, Yield, and Production Volume)
- Consumption Analysis (Consumption Value and Volume)
- Import Market Analysis (Import Value, Volume, and Key Supplying Markets)
- Export Market Analysis (Export Value, Volume, and Key Destination Markets)
- Wholesale Price Trend Analysis and Forecast
- Regulatory Framework
- List of Key Players
- Logistics and Infrastructure
- Seasonality Analysis
- India
- Production Analysis (Area Harvested, Yield, and Production Volume)
- Consumption Analysis (Consumption Value and Volume)
- Import Market Analysis (Import Value, Volume, and Key Supplying Markets)
- Export Market Analysis (Export Value, Volume, and Key Destination Markets)
- Wholesale Price Trend Analysis and Forecast
- Regulatory Framework
- List of Key Players
- Logistics and Infrastructure
- Seasonality Analysis
- Thailand
- Production Analysis (Area Harvested, Yield, and Production Volume)
- Consumption Analysis (Consumption Value and Volume)
- Import Market Analysis (Import Value, Volume, and Key Supplying Markets)
- Export Market Analysis (Export Value, Volume, and Key Destination Markets)
- Wholesale Price Trend Analysis and Forecast
- Regulatory Framework
- List of Key Players
- Logistics and Infrastructure
- Seasonality Analysis
- Australia
- Production Analysis (Area Harvested, Yield, and Production Volume)
- Consumption Analysis (Consumption Value and Volume)
- Import Market Analysis (Import Value, Volume, and Key Supplying Markets)
- Export Market Analysis (Export Value, Volume, and Key Destination Markets)
- Wholesale Price Trend Analysis and Forecast
- Regulatory Framework
- List of Key Players
- Logistics and Infrastructure
- Seasonality Analysis
- Indonesia
- Production Analysis (Area Harvested, Yield, and Production Volume)
- Consumption Analysis (Consumption Value and Volume)
- Import Market Analysis (Import Value, Volume, and Key Supplying Markets)
- Export Market Analysis (Export Value, Volume, and Key Destination Markets)
- Wholesale Price Trend Analysis and Forecast
- Regulatory Framework
- List of Key Players
- Logistics and Infrastructure
- Seasonality Analysis
- Vietnam
- Production Analysis (Area Harvested, Yield, and Production Volume)
- Consumption Analysis (Consumption Value and Volume)
- Import Market Analysis (Import Value, Volume, and Key Supplying Markets)
- Export Market Analysis (Export Value, Volume, and Key Destination Markets)
- Wholesale Price Trend Analysis and Forecast
- Regulatory Framework
- List of Key Players
- Logistics and Infrastructure
- Seasonality Analysis
- China
- South America
- Brazil
- Production Analysis (Area Harvested, Yield, and Production Volume)
- Consumption Analysis (Consumption Value and Volume)
- Import Market Analysis (Import Value, Volume, and Key Supplying Markets)
- Export Market Analysis (Export Value, Volume, and Key Destination Markets)
- Wholesale Price Trend Analysis and Forecast
- Regulatory Framework
- List of Key Players
- Logistics and Infrastructure
- Seasonality Analysis
- Argentina
- Production Analysis (Area Harvested, Yield, and Production Volume)
- Consumption Analysis (Consumption Value and Volume)
- Import Market Analysis (Import Value, Volume, and Key Supplying Markets)
- Export Market Analysis (Export Value, Volume, and Key Destination Markets)
- Wholesale Price Trend Analysis and Forecast
- Regulatory Framework
- List of Key Players
- Logistics and Infrastructure
- Seasonality Analysis
- Colombia
- Production Analysis (Area Harvested, Yield, and Production Volume)
- Consumption Analysis (Consumption Value and Volume)
- Import Market Analysis (Import Value, Volume, and Key Supplying Markets)
- Export Market Analysis (Export Value, Volume, and Key Destination Markets)
- Wholesale Price Trend Analysis and Forecast
- Regulatory Framework
- List of Key Players
- Logistics and Infrastructure
- Seasonality Analysis
- Peru
- Production Analysis (Area Harvested, Yield, and Production Volume)
- Consumption Analysis (Consumption Value and Volume)
- Import Market Analysis (Import Value, Volume, and Key Supplying Markets)
- Export Market Analysis (Export Value, Volume, and Key Destination Markets)
- Wholesale Price Trend Analysis and Forecast
- Regulatory Framework
- List of Key Players
- Logistics and Infrastructure
- Seasonality Analysis
- Brazil
- Middle East
- Turkey
- Production Analysis (Area Harvested, Yield, and Production Volume)
- Consumption Analysis (Consumption Value and Volume)
- Import Market Analysis (Import Value, Volume, and Key Supplying Markets)
- Export Market Analysis (Export Value, Volume, and Key Destination Markets)
- Wholesale Price Trend Analysis and Forecast
- Regulatory Framework
- List of Key Players
- Logistics and Infrastructure
- Seasonality Analysis
- United Arab Emirates
- Production Analysis (Area Harvested, Yield, and Production Volume)
- Consumption Analysis (Consumption Value and Volume)
- Import Market Analysis (Import Value, Volume, and Key Supplying Markets)
- Export Market Analysis (Export Value, Volume, and Key Destination Markets)
- Wholesale Price Trend Analysis and Forecast
- Regulatory Framework
- List of Key Players
- Logistics and Infrastructure
- Seasonality Analysis
- Turkey
- Africa
- Egypt
- Production Analysis (Area Harvested, Yield, and Production Volume)
- Consumption Analysis (Consumption Value and Volume)
- Import Market Analysis (Import Value, Volume, and Key Supplying Markets)
- Export Market Analysis (Export Value, Volume, and Key Destination Markets)
- Wholesale Price Trend Analysis and Forecast
- Regulatory Framework
- List of Key Players
- Logistics and Infrastructure
- Seasonality Analysis
- Morocco
- Production Analysis (Area Harvested, Yield, and Production Volume)
- Consumption Analysis (Consumption Value and Volume)
- Import Market Analysis (Import Value, Volume, and Key Supplying Markets)
- Export Market Analysis (Export Value, Volume, and Key Destination Markets)
- Wholesale Price Trend Analysis and Forecast
- Regulatory Framework
- List of Key Players
- Logistics and Infrastructure
- Seasonality Analysis
- South Africa
- Production Analysis (Area Harvested, Yield, and Production Volume)
- Consumption Analysis (Consumption Value and Volume)
- Import Market Analysis (Import Value, Volume, and Key Supplying Markets)
- Export Market Analysis (Export Value, Volume, and Key Destination Markets)
- Wholesale Price Trend Analysis and Forecast
- Regulatory Framework
- List of Key Players
- Logistics and Infrastructure
- Seasonality Analysis
- Egypt
- North America
Detailed Research Methodology and Data Validation
Primary Research
Mordor analysts spoke with orchard managers, pack-house supervisors, bulk shippers, and procurement leads across Latin America, the Mediterranean basin, North America, and South-East Asia. These conversations clarified farm-gate price swings, labor constraints, and cultivar replacement plans, closing data gaps and confirming model drivers that surfaced in desktop work.
Desk Research
We began with curated public sources such as FAOSTAT crop balances, USDA Citrus Fruit Summaries, Eurostat harvest files, UN Comtrade customs codes, and ITC Trade Map shipment dashboards. National agriculture ministries in Brazil, Spain, Egypt, China, and the United States provided season-specific yield and acreage updates, while trade bodies like the World Citrus Organization shared disease, pricing, and weather alerts. Paid datasets from D&B Hoovers and Dow Jones Factiva helped map company scale and transaction signals. This list is illustrative; many additional open and subscription repositories informed pattern checks, anomaly flags, and context framing.
Market-Sizing & Forecasting
A top-down model rebuilds apparent consumption by adding domestic production to net trade flows, then values the pool with average season prices reported by producer ministries and confirmed through trader interviews. One bottom-up cross-check rolls up sampled exporter volumes multiplied by free-on-board prices to validate totals. Key variables in the model include harvested area, yield per hectare, in-orchard loss rates, disease incidence (notably HLB spread), currency movements, and freight costs. Multivariate regression, enriched with Niño climate indices and disposable income trends, projects these inputs to 2030. Short data gaps on minor producing countries are bridged using five-year moving averages anchored to regional growth factors discussed with experts.
Data Validation & Update Cycle
Each run is passed through variance screens against historical series and peer indicators, then reviewed by a second analyst before sign-off. Models refresh annually, with interim revisions triggered by material events such as extreme weather, new phytosanitary bans, or government subsidy shifts. A last-minute sense check ensures clients receive the freshest view.
Why Our Global Orange Baseline Commands Reliability
Published values often differ because firms adopt distinct scopes, pricing anchors, and refresh rhythms. Recent public figures range from under USD 4 billion to above USD 54 billion, highlighting the spread.
Key gap drivers include the inclusion of processed derivatives, the use of retail or farm-gate price points without adjustment, partial geographic coverage, and less frequent model updates. Mordor's disciplined scope, dual price validation, and yearly refresh narrow these gaps.
Benchmark comparison
| Market Size | Anonymized source | Primary gap driver |
|---|---|---|
| USD 39.20 B (2025) | Mordor Intelligence | - |
| USD 48.42 B (2024) | Global Consultancy A | Adds juice, fiber, and essential oils while omitting smaller African producers |
| USD 3.87 B (2025) | Trade Journal B | Focuses on packaged grocery sales rather than farm output values |
| USD 54.20 B (2023) | Industry Data Provider C | Blends multiple citrus categories and inflates figures using retail mark-ups |
In summary, our baseline ties directly to transparent production and trade statistics, cross-checked with field insight and reviewed each year, giving decision-makers a dependable, repeatable starting point.
Key Questions Answered in the Report
What is the current global value of the orange market?
The orange market size is USD 42.53 billion in 2026.
How fast is the orange market is projected to grow?
Market value is projected to expand at a 4.35% compound annual growth rate and reach USD 52.63 billion by 2031.
Which region holds the largest share of the orange market?
Asia-Pacific led with 35.7% of global value and volume in 2025.
Which region is growing the fastest for orange supply and demand?
Africa is forecast to post the highest 4.5% compound annual growth rate from 2026 to 2031.
How does citrus greening affect global orange supply?
The disease has cut Florida and Brazilian output, increased production costs, and pushed processors to diversify sourcing and hold larger inventories.


