Italy HVAC Market Size and Share
| Study Period | 2019 - 2030 |
| Base Year For Estimation | 2024 |
| Forecast Data Period | 2025 - 2030 |
| Market Size (2025) | USD 6.70 Billion |
| Market Size (2030) | USD 9.09 Billion |
| CAGR (2025 - 2030) | 6.30% |
| Market Concentration | Low |
Major Players
*Disclaimer: Major Players sorted in no particular order |
Italy HVAC Market Analysis by Mordor Intelligence
The Italy HVAC Market size is estimated at USD 6.70 billion in 2025, and is expected to reach USD 9.09 billion by 2030, at a CAGR of 6.3% during the forecast period (2025-2030).
- The demand for the HVAC market will increase in Italy due to the rising expansion of industrial sectors, such as food and beverage factories, and growing investments in the healthcare and power generation sectors. According to Eurostat, the revenue from the manufacture of food products in Italy is projected to amount to approximately USD 28.59 billion by 2025.
- Furthermore, the rising expansion by food & and beverages industry players will create high growth opportunities for the service vendors operating in the country. For instance, in September 2024, Lulu Group announced opening its sourcing, food processing, and export hub in Italy. The company focuses on sourcing, processing, storing, packaging, and exporting top-quality food products from Italy to more than 255 LuLu Hypermarkets through this facility.
- Moreover, various commercial buildings in the country are replacing old HVAC systems with new ones, further expected to complement the demand for HVAC services in the market. For instance, in August 2023, Daikin announced that it had supplied three heat pump units featuring screw inverter compressors to an Italian airport—the project aimed at replacing the old HVAC system with a more modern and efficient one. A Daikin Modular P air handling unit has been installed to provide the airport with the proper ventilation.
- Energy price fluctuations directly impact HVAC system operating costs, swaying consumer choices. For many, these systems' maintenance and repair expenses are a significant deterrent. With a reluctance to embrace energy-efficient technologies, the high initial cost of HVAC equipment can be challenging for its demand. The high price may deter some customers from purchasing or upgrading the systems, impeding market expansion.
- Macroeconomic factors significantly influence market dynamics, particularly sectors like construction, government regulations, and regional initiatives to bolster infrastructure, industrial, and manufacturing domains. Notably, commercial and industrial growth fluctuations directly correlate with HVAC equipment demand. Moreover, as inflation escalates, the costs of materials, labor, and energy for HVAC system production and installation rise, often translating to higher prices for new HVAC installations.
Italy HVAC Market Trends and Insights
Residential Sector to Witness a Significant Growth
- The Italian government's increasing efforts to promote energy-efficient solutions in the residential sector are anticipated to stimulate the market further. For instance, the government is currently offering to cover 110% of the expenses incurred by its residents to transform homes into eco-friendly and energy-efficient spaces. A comprehensive policy review by the IEA reveals that Italy is on track to achieve its national targets for reducing emissions and improving energy efficiency by 2030.
- Italy's focus on energy conservation and sustainability is fueling a rising demand for HVAC solutions that are both high-performing and eco-friendly, aiming to slash energy usage and carbon footprints. For instance, financially struggling property owners in Italy were granted the opportunity to modernize their homes at minimal costs, owing to government initiatives. Subsidies from the state frequently covered the entire expense, leading to a surge in modernization efforts across Italy, with heat pumps emerging as a critical player in this transformation.
- The country's growing number of healthcare facilities will drive the need for HVAC equipment during the projected timeline. For instance, in February 2024, Italy and the Vatican announced a partnership for a new children's hospital in Rome.
- The Italian government is set to approve a partial extension of the expensive "super bonus" subsidies for home improvements. Forza Italia, the party championing this move, has confirmed that the 110% tax credits will persist, explicitly targeting low-income households that have yet to finish the renovations this year. Thus, government subsidies encourage homeowners to invest in modern homes, which drives the demand for energy-efficient HVAC systems.
HVAC Equipment is Expected to Hold Significant Market Share
- Italy's regulatory framework emphasizes reducing energy consumption and greenhouse gas emissions. Compliance with these regulations often requires upgrading to more efficient HVAC systems. In addition, a large portion of Italy's building stock is old and energy-inefficient—renovation projects aimed at improving energy performance typically include upgrading the HVAC systems.
- In Italy, home bonuses continue to play a pivotal role in incentivizing the renovation and purchase of residential properties. For instance, in April 2024, home bonuses aim to incentivize energy efficiency upgrades, elevate building standards, and bolster safety measures. Moreover, the home bonuses catalyze Italy's construction sector and its associated satellite activities.
- Italy is witnessing a surge in innovative heat pump technologies, fueling the demand for the market studied. For instance, in May 2024, Italian researchers discovered that integrating residential air heat pumps with air-geothermal heat exchangers could slash power usage by as much as 30%. The study in Valtellina, northern Italy, involved testing this hybrid system on a passive single-family dwelling, with Matlab as the primary tool.
- Moreover, in November 2023, Aira, a heat pump company, expanded its operations into Italy after acquiring the Italian contractors T5 Group earlier this year. Specializing in direct-to-consumer sales, Aira offers heat pumps through a unique monthly subscription model. The company's initial focus will be on six critical regions in Italy: Lombardy, Piedmont, Lazio, Marche, Abruzzo, and Umbria. Such developments will propel Italy's HVAC market growth in the coming years.
Competitive Landscape
The Italy HVAC market is fragmented, with the presence of significant players like Carrier Corporation, Daikin Industries, Ltd., Midea Group Co., Ltd., Johnson Controls International PLC, and Robert Bosch GmbH, among others. Players in the market are adopting strategies such as partnerships, mergers, innovations, investments, and acquisitions to enhance product offerings and gain sustainable competitive advantage.
- June 2024: L.G. Electronics Inc. has partnered with universities in Italy to form a European consortium dedicated to advanced heat pump research. The initiative aims to bolster the performance of L.G.'s HVAC products, particularly in low-temperature climates. In Italy, attaining optimal heating efficiency poses a challenge, primarily stemming from the complexities of compressing refrigerants at lower pressures. In response, L.G. spearheaded a consortium to design heat pumps that excel in heating, even in the harshest cold climates.
- September 2023: BDR Thermea Group, the innovative indoor climate solutions provider, is set to acquire a 25% stake in G.I. Holding, renewable energy-driven climate solutions for commercial and industrial sectors provider. BDR Thermea Group has already been marketing G.I. Holding's medium- to high-capacity heat pumps across Italy, Spain, and Portugal under its BAXI brand. This strategic move bolsters BDR Thermea Group's portfolio in heating and cooling solutions for industrial, commercial, and multi-residential buildings and extends G.I. Holding's new technology to a broader customer base.
Italy HVAC Industry Leaders
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Carrier Corporation
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Daikin Industries, Ltd.
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Midea Group Co., Ltd.
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Johnson Controls International PLC
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Robert Bosch GmbH
- *Disclaimer: Major Players sorted in no particular order
Recent Industry Developments
- June 2024: Robert Bosch GmbH has introduced its latest line of water source heat pumps, designed for applications in new constructions and retrofit projects alike. The Bosch CL and RL Series feature models with vertical and horizontal cabinets, operate on the eco-friendly refrigerant R-454B and incorporate safeguards against water coil and air coil freezing. Both products are offered with a 1-year limited warranty for the parts and 5-year limited warranty for the compressor.
- March 2024: Midea Group introduced the MARS series R290 commercial heat pump. This innovative product was presented alongside Midea's full suite of heat pumps and various control and management systems. The display emphasized Midea's robust product portfolio and underscored its strategic positioning in the B2B sector, showcasing its dedication to pushing technological boundaries in the HVAC industry.
Italy HVAC Market Report Scope
HVAC (heating, ventilation, and air conditioning) refers to the broad array of heating and cooling systems homeowners employ to regulate indoor temperature and humidity. Beyond temperature control, these systems enhance indoor air quality through mechanical ventilation and filtration. The HVAC systems include central air conditioners, ductless mini-splits, furnaces, and boilers. Additionally, HVAC encompasses the extensive refrigeration systems found in commercial structures.
The study tracks the revenue accrued through the sale of HVAC products in the residential, commercial, and industrial sectors by various players in Italy. It also tracks the key market parameters, underlying growth influencers, and major vendors operating in the industry, which supports the market estimations and growth rates over the forecast period. The study further analyses the overall impact of COVID-19 aftereffects and other macroeconomic factors on the market. The report's scope encompasses market sizing and forecasts for the various market segments.
The Italy HVAC market is segmented by type of component (HVAC equipment [heating equipment, air conditioning /ventilation equipment], HVAC services) and by end-user industry (residential, commercial, industrial). The market sizes and forecasts are provided in value (USD) for all the above segments.
| HVAC Equipment | Heating Equipment |
| Air Conditioning /Ventilation Equipment | |
| HVAC Services |
| Residential |
| Commercial |
| Industrial |
| By Type of Component | HVAC Equipment | Heating Equipment |
| Air Conditioning /Ventilation Equipment | ||
| HVAC Services | ||
| By End User Industry | Residential | |
| Commercial | ||
| Industrial |
Key Questions Answered in the Report
How big is the Italy HVAC Market?
The Italy HVAC Market size is expected to reach USD 6.70 billion in 2025 and grow at a CAGR of 6.30% to reach USD 9.09 billion by 2030.
What is the current Italy HVAC Market size?
In 2025, the Italy HVAC Market size is expected to reach USD 6.70 billion.
Who are the key players in Italy HVAC Market?
Carrier Corporation, Daikin Industries, Ltd., Midea Group Co., Ltd., Johnson Controls International PLC and Robert Bosch GmbH are the major companies operating in the Italy HVAC Market.
What years does this Italy HVAC Market cover, and what was the market size in 2024?
In 2024, the Italy HVAC Market size was estimated at USD 6.28 billion. The report covers the Italy HVAC Market historical market size for years: 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023 and 2024. The report also forecasts the Italy HVAC Market size for years: 2025, 2026, 2027, 2028, 2029 and 2030.
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Italy HVAC Market Report
Statistics for the 2025 Italy HVAC market share, size and revenue growth rate, created by Mordor Intelligence™ Industry Reports. Italy HVAC analysis includes a market forecast outlook for 2025 to 2030 and historical overview. Get a sample of this industry analysis as a free report PDF download.
