Commercial HVAC Market Size & Share Analysis - Growth Trends & Forecasts (2025 - 2030)

The Commercial HVAC Market report segments the industry into By Type Of Component (HVAC Equipment, HVAC Services), By End-User Industry (Hospitality, Commercial Buildings, Public Buildings, Other End-User Industries), and By Geography (North America, Europe, Asia, Australia And New Zealand, Latin America, Middle East And Africa). It provides historical data for five years and forecasts for the next five years.

Commercial HVAC Market Size

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Commercial HVAC Market Analysis

The Commercial HVAC Market size is estimated at USD 45.47 billion in 2025, and is expected to reach USD 69.32 billion by 2030, at a CAGR of 8.8% during the forecast period (2025-2030).

  • Any commercial building, including offices, restaurants, hotels, hospitals, and schools, needs heating and cooling systems to give its occupants a comfortable space. These systems are widely used in offices to maintain the right temperature and ventilation, which enhances worker productivity and working conditions while preventing health problems brought on by incorrect humidity levels.
  • The increasing government initiatives and investments in the adoption of energy-efficient equipment will drive market growth. For instance, in February 2024, the Indian government’s announcement to allocate INR 11.11 lakh crore for infrastructure in the 2024-25 budget created a conducive environment for the HVAC sector's growth. This investment, coupled with the government's focus on self-reliance through initiatives like Atmanirbhar Bharat, is expected to further fuel the industry's expansion.
  • In an effort to meet climate change targets, the European Union declared that nations would have to renovate energy-guzzling buildings at a faster pace and adhere to stricter energy-saving targets. The draft proposal would require states to renovate three state-owned and occupied buildings each year to convert them into "near-zero energy buildings." This includes hospitals, government buildings, schools, and social housing, and it will amount to more than 700,000 renovated buildings per year.
  • The increase in the construction of offices, rising temperature conditions, and rising adoption of IoT and green technologies are some of the driving factors contributing to the overall growth of the commercial HVAC market. In addition, according to the Office for National Statistics (United Kingdom), in the first quarter of 2023, the gross value added (GVA) of the construction industry in the United Kingdom was over GBP 4 billion higher than in the same period of the previous year.
  • The market is witnessing a growing trend toward smart HVAC systems due to increased energy consumption and the need for higher system efficiency. Increasingly, buyers are looking for smart solutions with IoT integration, real-time monitoring, and improved controls. These intelligent systems maximize energy efficiency, improve comfort, and offer more control over interior spaces.
  • The increasing energy prices worldwide make energy-efficient HVAC systems attractive for cost savings. Despite the potential benefits, the initial expenses of installing these systems could limit their widespread use and hinder market expansion.
  • The commercial HVAC market is highly affected by factors such as government regulations and new initiatives by the governments of various regions to boost the adoption of energy-efficient equipment. For instance, over the past decade, several types of EU legislation have been introduced to minimize energy consumption, stimulate renewable energy use, and reduce CO2 equivalent emissions to decrease the impact of global warming.

Commercial HVAC Industry Overview

The commercial HVAC market is fragmented, favorably competitive, and has several prominent players. The market players are focusing on expanding their consumer base across foreign countries by leveraging strategic collaborative initiatives to increase their market share and profitability. These enterprises leverage strategic collaborative initiatives to boost their market share and profitability. Companies such as Carrier Corporation, Daikin Industries Ltd, BDR Thermea Group, Lennox International Inc., and Johnson Controls International PLC are significant players in the market.

  • May 2024: Lennox International announced the launch of a new HVAC line that reduces global warming potential ‘by up to 78%’. The new Lennox heating, ventilation, and air conditioning products will offer a comprehensive range of products and will use the environmentally responsible refrigerant R454B, which reduces global warming potential by as much as 78%.
  • March 2024: Panasonic Corporation announced the release of three new models of commercial air-to-water (A2W) heat pumps using environmentally friendly natural refrigerants for multi-dwelling units, stores, offices, and other light commercial properties.

Commercial HVAC Market Leaders

  1. Carrier Corporation

  2. Daikin Industries, Ltd.

  3. Johnson Controls International PLC

  4. BDR Thermea Group

  5. Lennox International Inc.

  6. *Disclaimer: Major Players sorted in no particular order
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Commercial HVAC Market News

  • March 2024: Daikin announced the acquisition of BKF Klima in Denmark to drive Europe's carbon reduction efforts and expand installer upskilling opportunities. At Daikin's new offices in Brondby, Denmark, the company will also open two new facilities, including a Daikin Installer Training Center and a Daikin Experience Center for consumers. This strategic acquisition will enable Daikin to leverage its extensive research and development expertise in low-carbon HVAC solutions further.
  • February 2024: Voltas announced the introduction of a new line of commercial air conditioning products for business space. A cooling capacity of 12-72 TR with eco-friendly refrigerants is available for the new Scroll Inverter Chillers. The product is enabled by the Internet of Things, is BMS-compatible, has silent operation, and is user-friendly as it can be used via a cell phone application. The company aims to further enhance its objective of promoting commercial spaces and the use of cutting-edge scroll technology to integrate energy-efficient solutions into its operations by means of this new line of inverter chillers.

Commercial HVAC Market Report - Table of Contents

1. INTRODUCTION

  • 1.1 Study Assumptions and Market Definition
  • 1.2 Scope of the Study

2. RESEARCH METHODOLOGY

3. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

4. MARKET INSIGHTS

  • 4.1 Market Overview
  • 4.2 Industry Attractiveness - Porter's Five Forces Analysis
    • 4.2.1 Bargaining Power of Suppliers
    • 4.2.2 Bargaining Power of Consumers
    • 4.2.3 Threat of New Entrants
    • 4.2.4 Threat of Substitute Products
    • 4.2.5 Intensity of Competitive Rivalry
  • 4.3 Industry Value Chain Analysis
  • 4.4 Impact of COVID-19 Aftereffects and Other Macroeconomic Factors on the Market

5. MARKET DYNAMICS

  • 5.1 Market Drivers
    • 5.1.1 Growing Commercial Construction in Major Emerging Economies
    • 5.1.2 Increasing Demand For Energy Efficient Devices
  • 5.2 Market Challenges
    • 5.2.1 High Initial Cost of Energy-efficient Systems

6. MARKET SEGMENTATION

  • 6.1 By Type of Component
    • 6.1.1 HVAC Equipment
    • 6.1.1.1 Heating Equipment
    • 6.1.1.2 Air Conditioning /Ventillation Equipment
    • 6.1.2 HVAC Services
  • 6.2 By End-user Industry
    • 6.2.1 Hospitality
    • 6.2.2 Commercial Buildings
    • 6.2.3 Public Buildings
    • 6.2.4 Other End-user Industries
  • 6.3 By Geography***
    • 6.3.1 North America
    • 6.3.2 Europe
    • 6.3.3 Asia
    • 6.3.4 Australia and New Zealand
    • 6.3.5 Latin America
    • 6.3.6 Middle East and Africa

7. COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • 7.1 Company Profiles*
    • 7.1.1 Johnson Controls International PLC
    • 7.1.2 Midea Group Co. Ltd
    • 7.1.3 Daikin Industries Ltd
    • 7.1.4 Robert Bosch GmbH
    • 7.1.5 Carrier Corporation
    • 7.1.6 LG Electronics Inc.
    • 7.1.7 Lennox International Inc.
    • 7.1.8 BDR Thermea Group
    • 7.1.9 Panasonic Corporation
    • 7.1.10 Danfoss A/S

8. INVESTMENT ANALYSIS

9. FUTURE OF THE MARKET

**Subject to Availability
***In the final report, Asia, Australia, and New Zealand will be studied together as 'Asia Pacific'
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Commercial HVAC Industry Segmentation

The study tracks the revenue accrued through the sale of commercial HVAC equipment and services by various players in the global market. The study also tracks the key market parameters, underlying growth influencers, and major vendors operating in the industry, which supports the market estimations and growth rates over the forecast period. The study further analyses the overall impact of COVID-19 aftereffects and other macroeconomic factors on the market. The report’s scope encompasses market sizing and forecasts for the various market segments.

The commercial HVAC market is segmented by type of component (HVAC equipment [heating equipment, air conditioning/ventilation equipment] and HVAC services), end-user industry (hospitality, commercial building, public building, and other end-user industries), and geography (North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific, Latin America, and Middle East and Africa). The market sizes and forecasts are provided in terms of value (USD) for all the above segments.

By Type of Component HVAC Equipment Heating Equipment
Air Conditioning /Ventillation Equipment
HVAC Services
By End-user Industry Hospitality
Commercial Buildings
Public Buildings
Other End-user Industries
By Geography*** North America
Europe
Asia
Australia and New Zealand
Latin America
Middle East and Africa
By Type of Component
HVAC Equipment Heating Equipment
Air Conditioning /Ventillation Equipment
HVAC Services
By End-user Industry
Hospitality
Commercial Buildings
Public Buildings
Other End-user Industries
By Geography***
North America
Europe
Asia
Australia and New Zealand
Latin America
Middle East and Africa
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Commercial HVAC Market Research FAQs

How big is the Commercial HVAC Market?

The Commercial HVAC Market size is expected to reach USD 45.47 billion in 2025 and grow at a CAGR of 8.80% to reach USD 69.32 billion by 2030.

What is the current Commercial HVAC Market size?

In 2025, the Commercial HVAC Market size is expected to reach USD 45.47 billion.

Who are the key players in Commercial HVAC Market?

Carrier Corporation, Daikin Industries, Ltd., Johnson Controls International PLC, BDR Thermea Group and Lennox International Inc. are the major companies operating in the Commercial HVAC Market.

Which is the fastest growing region in Commercial HVAC Market?

Asia Pacific is estimated to grow at the highest CAGR over the forecast period (2025-2030).

Which region has the biggest share in Commercial HVAC Market?

In 2025, the Asia Pacific accounts for the largest market share in Commercial HVAC Market.

What years does this Commercial HVAC Market cover, and what was the market size in 2024?

In 2024, the Commercial HVAC Market size was estimated at USD 41.47 billion. The report covers the Commercial HVAC Market historical market size for years: 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023 and 2024. The report also forecasts the Commercial HVAC Market size for years: 2025, 2026, 2027, 2028, 2029 and 2030.

Commercial HVAC Industry Report

Statistics for the 2025 Commercial HVAC market share, size and revenue growth rate, created by Mordor Intelligence™ Industry Reports. Commercial HVAC analysis includes a market forecast outlook for 2025 to 2030 and historical overview. Get a sample of this industry analysis as a free report PDF download.

Commercial HVAC Market Report Snapshots