Sweden Hospitality Market Analysis by Mordor Intelligence
The Sweden Hospitality Market size is estimated at USD 6.37 billion in 2025, and is expected to reach USD 7.87 billion by 2030, at a CAGR of 4.32% during the forecast period (2025-2030).
The market is growing as operators unlock pent-up international demand, accelerate digital transformation, and capitalize on nationwide transport upgrades. Strong chain-hotel pipelines into Tier-2 cities, a mobile-first push that converts more OTA traffic into direct bookings, and rapid eco-label adoption all enhance revenue quality while aligning with Boverket’s carbon limits, reinforcing the Sweden hospitality market as a Nordic benchmark for sustainable growth. Counterweights, volatile construction costs, heavy OTA fees, and the 2027 retrofit mandate compress margins, yet operators deploy hedging contracts, loyalty programs, and green-finance instruments to defend profitability. These interacting forces underpin a balanced expansion trajectory that supports investment appetite and continued job creation across the Sweden hospitality market.
Key Report Takeaways
- By type, chain hotels held 63.35% of the Sweden hospitality market share in 2024, whereas independent hotels are forecast to register a 6.76% CAGR through 2030.
- By accommodation class, mid- and upper-mid-scale properties accounted for 47.24% of the Sweden hospitality market size in 2024, while luxury hotels are projected to grow at an 8.22% CAGR to 2030.
- By booking channel, OTAs captured 43.37% of the Sweden hospitality market share in 2024, but direct digital bookings are expanding at an 8.28% CAGR through 2030.
- By geography, Stockholm County generated 39.34% of sales of the Sweden hospitality market in 2024, whereas South Sweden is on course to post a 7.37% CAGR over the outlook period.
Sweden Hospitality Market Trends and Insights
Drivers Impact Analysis
| Driver | (~) % Impact on CAGR Forecast | Geographic Relevance | Impact Timeline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Post-pandemic rebound in inbound leisure traffic | +1.2% | National – Stockholm, coastal hubs strongest | Medium term (2–4 years) |
| Chain-hotel expansion into Tier-2 Swedish cities | +0.8% | Central & Northern secondary markets | Long term (≥ 4 years) |
| Mobile-first direct booking adoption | +0.6% | National – urban centres lead | Short term (≤ 2 years) |
| Eco-label demand influencing room choice | +0.4% | National – metro areas strongest | Medium term (2–4 years) |
| Government night-train subsidies spurring domestic trips | +0.3% | Northern rail corridors | Short term (≤ 2 years) |
| Work-cation policies boosting rural weekday occupancy | +0.2% | Rural Central & Northern Sweden | Medium term (2–4 years) |
| Source: Mordor Intelligence | |||
Post-pandemic rebound in inbound leisure traffic
Tourism export receipts rose in 2024, and guest nights from the United States hit all-time highs, signalling that the Sweden hospitality market has transcended its 2019 baseline and is now benefiting from extended trip lengths and higher average daily rates. Cultural milestones such as the 80th anniversary of Pippi Longstocking, new attractions like the Hilma af Klint Centre, and year-round festivals enhance destination appeal and stretch demand into shoulder seasons[1]Visit Sweden, “Sweden 2025 – A Year Of Exciting Travel News Ahead,” cision.com . Premium-oriented travellers gravitate toward boutique and luxury inventory, lifting RevPAR in Stockholm, Gothenburg, and coastal resort corridors. According to the Office of National Statistics, operators leverage revenue-management tools to capture upside, while government data shows sector employment at 124,000 FTEs, ensuring service capacity and reinforcing the Sweden hospitality market’s readiness for further influx.
Chain-hotel expansion into Tier-2 Swedish cities
Large groups are reallocating capital to Jönköping, Helsingborg, Uppsala, and Sundsvall, where land prices, incentives, and demographic shifts improve project yields. In February 2024, Strawberry, led by Petter Stordalen, and property investment firm Slättö have announced the launch of a new hotel chain targeting the Nordic market. The partnership focuses on establishing properties in strategic locations, delivering high-quality services, and adhering to robust sustainability standards. The venture aims to develop a minimum of 20 hotels within the next ten years[2]Nordic Property News, “Strawberry and Slättö launch new hotel chain,” nordicpropertynews.com . Secondary-city pipelines lessen exposure to high-cost metro zones and capture remote-worker migration trends. These projects typically secure municipal tax relief and expedited permitting, further accelerating return profiles and supporting balanced geographic growth inside the Sweden hospitality market.
Government night-train subsidies spurring domestic trips
The relaunch of overnight train services between Stockholm and Luleå/Narvik in December 2024, enabled by rail infrastructure upgrades and financing through EIB loans, represents a pivotal development in enhancing travel accessibility and affordability to Lapland and Arctic Circle destinations. Early ridership data demonstrates a significant uptick in hotel occupancy rates across key locations such as Narvik, Kiruna, and Abisko. This outcome highlights the critical role of transportation policies in driving regional tourism demand, fostering the growth of ancillary industries, and extending the operational season within Sweden's hospitality market. The initiative serves as a case study of how strategic investments in transportation infrastructure can improve regional connectivity, stimulate economic growth, and reinforce the tourism sector's value chain, ultimately contributing to the broader economic development of the region.
Work-cation policies boosting rural weekday occupancy
The implementation of hybrid work models has enabled urban residents to spend two to three weekdays in scenic rural destinations without requiring leave. This development has driven an increase in the average duration of stays at rural hotels, particularly during off-peak seasons. With 649 co-working hubs across 21 regions, service-apartment operators integrate ergonomic desks, high-speed Wi-Fi, and “meeting-room on demand” bundles, turning idle rooms into productive spaces[3]Tillväxtverket, “Turismstatistik,” tillvaxtverket.se . The reduction in weekday vacancy risks, coupled with an increase in rural ADRs during traditionally low-demand months, contributes to a structural improvement in the performance of Sweden's hospitality market. This development highlights a strategic shift aimed at optimizing revenue generation and addressing seasonal demand fluctuations.
Restraints Impact Analysis
| Restraint | (~) % Impact on CAGR Forecast | Geographic Relevance | Impact Timeline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Construction & labour cost inflation | −0.9% | National – metro hotspots | Short term (≤ 2 years) |
| High OTA commission pressure | −0.6% | Nationwide | Medium term (2–4 years) |
| 2027 Boverket energy-efficiency retrofit mandate | −0.4% | National – legacy assets | Medium term (2–4 years) |
| Short-term-rental substitution in coastal resorts | −0.3% | Stockholm & Gothenburg archipelagos | Long term (≥ 4 years) |
| Source: Mordor Intelligence | |||
High OTA commission pressure
Booking.com maintains a dominant position in the online travel agency (OTA) market, accounting for 71% of the total market volume. Its commission structure, which charges hotels a rate of 15%, significantly impacts the gross operating profits of hotels. This high commission rate reduces profit margins, creating financial challenges for hotels and influencing their overall operational efficiency within the competitive hospitality industry[4]HOTREC, “2024 Hotel Distribution Study,” hotel.report . Independents most exposed to OTA usage face marketing outlays they can ill-afford, perpetuating dependency cycles in the Sweden hospitality market. Regulatory relief via the Digital Markets Act is years away, forcing hotels to invest in meta-search partnerships and CRM-driven remarketing now.
2027 Boverket energy-efficiency retrofit mandate
The Sweden hospitality market is witnessing significant challenges as 1980s-era properties, which often lack modern insulation and HVAC recovery systems, require retrofit capital expenditures that can equate to their entire asset value. Non-compliance with updated regulatory standards exposes these assets to operational restrictions and potential valuation reductions, creating financial strain for property owners. This situation is driving an accelerated pace of asset divestitures as stakeholders aim to mitigate risks associated with non-compliance and declining valuations. Additionally, the market is experiencing increased consolidation as larger players acquire non-compliant or underperforming assets to leverage economies of scale and modernize operations. These dynamics underscore the critical need for strategic investment in retrofitting and compliance to sustain competitiveness in the evolving market landscape.
Segment Analysis
By Type: Chain Dominance Drives Standardization
Chain operators hold a dominant position in the Sweden hospitality market, controlling 63.35% of the total inventory. This dominance is underpinned by their ability to leverage procurement power, establish integrated loyalty ecosystems, and utilize their financial resources to manage retrofit costs effectively. These factors collectively reinforce their leadership and competitive advantage within the market. In contrast, independent properties are demonstrating resilience and growth, achieving a robust CAGR of 6.76%. By focusing on authentic design elements and integrating local supply chains, these independent operators are successfully attracting experience-driven travellers who prioritize unique and personalized stays.
Chain brands are strategically refining their market segmentation to enhance competitiveness and expand their customer base. Initiatives include launching economy-focused sub-brands like Scandic Go, introducing lifestyle-oriented offerings such as Strawberry’s Home Hotel, and converting office spaces into upscale accommodations to maximize asset utilization. These efforts are designed to appeal to a broader audience while countering the growing presence of international competitors, including IHG’s voco brand. Meanwhile, independent operators are adopting innovative approaches to remain competitive, such as implementing cloud-based property management systems (PMS), forming regional marketing partnerships, and obtaining Nordic Swan certification to align with sustainability trends. Although the consolidation of chain operators is expected to increase their collective market share by 2030, the creativity and adaptability of boutique establishments ensure that independent properties will continue to play a significant and dynamic role in shaping the Sweden hospitality market.
By Accommodation Class: Luxury Acceleration Amid Mid-Scale Stability
The luxury segment of Sweden's hospitality market is anticipated to grow at a robust CAGR of 8.22% through 2030, driven by increasing demand from affluent travellers in the U.S., Germany, and the Middle East. These travellers are showing a strong preference for Nordic-inspired designs, wellness-focused amenities, and outdoor adventure experiences, which are becoming key differentiators in the market. Despite this growth, the mid- and upper-mid-scale segment remains a significant player, accounting for 47.24% of the market share, as it continues to attract business travellers and families with its reliable services and competitive pricing. This segment's ability to balance affordability with comfort has positioned it as a resilient choice for a diverse customer base. The coexistence of these segments highlights the evolving dynamics of Sweden's hospitality market, where premium offerings and value-driven options cater to distinct consumer needs.
Luxury hotels are increasingly integrating provenance storytelling and unique brand narratives to enhance their value proposition, as seen in examples like Hernö Gin Hotel, which leverages its craft-distillery connection. These properties are also investing heavily in wellness suites and premium facilities to justify higher ADR and attract high-spending clientele. In contrast, mid-scale hotels are focusing on upgrading in-room technology and communal spaces to maintain competitiveness and counteract downward ADR pressures from economy chains. The rise of service-apartment hybrids reflects the growing influence of corporate relocation and work-cation trends, which are extending average stay durations and reshaping accommodation preferences. Meanwhile, budget formats are capitalizing on modular wood construction and lean staffing models to expand into smaller urban centers, ensuring comprehensive nationwide coverage and contributing to the overall growth of Sweden's hospitality market.
By Booking Channel: Digital Transformation Reshapes Distribution
In 2024, OTAs captured 43.37% of total bookings, reflecting a sustained dependence on meta-search platforms for discovery, despite hoteliers' efforts to drive direct sales. The growth of direct digital channels, which are expanding at a CAGR of 8.28%, is attributed to the adoption of advanced features such as personalized push notifications, seamless one-click payment systems, and loyalty programs with points-rich membership tiers. These innovations are designed to enhance customer retention and foster long-term loyalty, providing a competitive edge to hoteliers. The increasing reliance on direct digital pipelines highlights the shift in consumer preferences toward convenience and tailored experiences. This trend underscores the importance of integrating technology-driven solutions to remain competitive in the evolving hospitality market.
Corporate and MICE (Meetings, Incentives, Conferences, and Exhibitions) channels have stabilized at lower absolute volumes, primarily due to the rise of hybrid events that reduce traditional room block bookings. However, this shift has simultaneously driven demand for flexible studio spaces and advanced green-screen technology packages, catering to the changing needs of corporate clients. The contraction of wholesale and retail travel agents continues, as consumer self-booking habits dominate the market, further reshaping the distribution landscape. Operators who effectively analyze channel performance data are better positioned to implement rate fencing strategies that minimize revenue cannibalization and safeguard brand equity. The increasing fluidity across distribution channels not only empowers customers with greater choice but also enhances operational efficiency and adaptability within Sweden's hospitality sector.
Note: Segment shares of all individual segments available upon report purchase
Geography Analysis
In Sweden’s hospitality market, Stockholm County represents the largest geographic sub-segment in 2024, holding a significant share of 39.34%. Looking ahead to the period from 2025 to 2030, South Sweden is expected to be the fastest-growing sub-segment, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7.37%. Stockholm remains the sovereign demand hub, combining corporate headquarters, creative industries, and world-class conference venues that secure dependable weekday business flow. American leisure arrivals surged in 2024, and cultural programming such as Nobel Week Lights sustains winter tourism, enhancing occupancy seasonality. High land costs and stringent energy codes push developers toward office-to-hotel conversions, exemplified by IHG’s voco Stockholm Kista and Scandic Go’s 11-story retrofit in Solna, demonstrating flexible capital deployment that maintains Stockholm’s edge within the Sweden hospitality market.
Malmö’s knowledge hub, Lund’s academic cluster, and Helsingborg’s port logistics create stable weekday traffic, while the Österlen and Halland coasts generate strong summer leisure demand. Ferry routes from Travemünde and Rostock, plus the Copenhagen airport feeder market, keep arrivals flowing. Gothenburg and its West Sweden hinterland maintain balanced demand through auto manufacturing expos, port throughput, and cultural festivals such as Way Out West. Archipelago communities, confronting overtourism, consider guest levies and zoning to cap short-term rentals, potentially channelling demand toward regulated inventory and tightening ADR discipline. Northward, new night-train rolling stock reduces Stockholm–Narvik journey times to 16.5 to 18.5 hours, spurring winter-sports and aurora-tourism flows that underpin multi-season occupancy gains. Rural municipalities invest in fibre broadband, making week-long work-cations viable and embedding year-round demand into the Sweden hospitality market fabric.
Competitive Landscape
The Sweden hospitality market is dominated by a handful of leading operators who control a substantial share, benefiting from economies of scale in procurement, strong loyalty programs, and access to capital that helps mitigate supply-chain disruptions and pricing shocks. One major player exemplifies this dominance with a large pipeline of over 7,000 rooms across various brand tiers, from economy to upper-mid-scale segments. Despite this concentration, the market remains open to new entrants, with international groups re-entering through asset-light management models to minimize risk while rapidly expanding their presence. This dynamic creates a competitive environment where both incumbents and newcomers coexist. Market consolidation continues as rising retrofit costs encourage strategic acquisitions and partnerships.
Technology plays a pivotal role in shaping competition, with major chains investing heavily in AI-powered chatbots, attribute-based pricing systems, and centralized customer relationship management platforms that boost repeat bookings by significant margins. Smaller, independent operators respond by forging strong local partnerships and offering unique experiences such as farm-to-table dining, craft beer collaborations, and outdoor equipment rentals. These niche offerings are increasingly featured in OTA filter searches, helping independents compete effectively despite smaller inventories. To scale efficiently without overextending financial resources, many smaller chains are turning to franchising and asset-light management agreements. This balance of innovation and strategic growth sustains competitive intensity in the market.
Consolidation efforts extend beyond Sweden’s borders, with Swedish investors actively acquiring assets abroad to diversify and enhance returns. A notable example is the acquisition of a major hospitality group operating in Ireland and the U.K., valued at approximately USD 1.46 billion, signaling a search for yield in international markets while maintaining operational synergies through flexible lease arrangements. Domestically, strong demand, favorable financing options for environmentally friendly projects, and a broad mix of traveler segments contribute to sustained attractive risk-adjusted returns. As the market evolves, operators focus on balancing growth, sustainability, and guest experience differentiation. Overall, the Sweden hospitality sector remains robust, dynamic, and poised for continued transformation.
Sweden Hospitality Industry Leaders
-
Scandic Hotels Group AB
-
Nordic Choice/Strawberry Hotels
-
Elite Hotels of Sweden
-
First Hotels
-
Best Western Hotels & Resorts (Sweden)
- *Disclaimer: Major Players sorted in no particular order
Recent Industry Developments
- July 2025: Pandox AB closed a EUR 1.4 billion (USD 1.46 billion) purchase of Dalata Hotel Group, adding 56 hotels and 12,219 rooms across four countries.
- June 2025: Scandic leased a 236-room mixed-use property in Uppsala’s Södra City, slated for a 2028 opening with LEED Platinum design.
- February 2025: CapMan Hotels II acquired 28 hotels (4,709 rooms) from Midstar for nearly EUR 8 billion, the Nordics’ largest hotel real-estate deal.
- July 2024: Scandic Go signed Gothenburg and Umeå conversions totaling 276 rooms for 2026 launch.
Sweden Hospitality Market Report Scope
The hospitality industry encompasses a diverse range of businesses that cater to the needs of guests and customers, providing accommodation, dining, travel, and entertainment services. It includes hotels, restaurants, airlines, cruise lines, and various other establishments focused on delivering exceptional experiences and comfort to their patrons.
The hospitality industry in Sweden is segmented by type and segment. By type, the market is sub-segmented into chain hotels and independent hotels. By segment, the market is sub-segmented into service apartments, budget, and economy hotels, mid and upper-mid-scale hotels, and luxury hotels. The market size and forecasts are provided in terms of value (USD) for all the above segments.
| Chain Hotels |
| Independent Hotels |
| Luxury |
| Mid & Upper-Mid-scale |
| Budget & Economy |
| Service Apartments |
| Direct Digital |
| OTAs |
| Corporate / MICE |
| Wholesale & Traditional Agents |
| Stockholm County |
| West Sweden (incl. Gothenburg) |
| South Sweden (incl. Skåne/Malmö) |
| Central & Northern Sweden |
| By Type | Chain Hotels |
| Independent Hotels | |
| By Accommodation Class | Luxury |
| Mid & Upper-Mid-scale | |
| Budget & Economy | |
| Service Apartments | |
| By Booking Channel | Direct Digital |
| OTAs | |
| Corporate / MICE | |
| Wholesale & Traditional Agents | |
| By Geographic Region | Stockholm County |
| West Sweden (incl. Gothenburg) | |
| South Sweden (incl. Skåne/Malmö) | |
| Central & Northern Sweden |
Key Questions Answered in the Report
How large is the Sweden hospitality market in 2025 and what growth is projected?
The Sweden hospitality market size is USD 6.37 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 7.87 billion by 2030, reflecting a 4.32% CAGR.
Which hotel category is expanding most quickly nationwide?
Luxury properties show the fastest rise, advancing at an 8.22% CAGR as affluent visitors seek premium Nordic experiences.
What proportion of rooms do chain hotels control?
Chain brands account for 63.35% of keys, underscoring their dominant presence across the Sweden hospitality market.
Which region offers the highest forecast growth?
South Sweden leads with a 7.37% CAGR through 2030 thanks to coastal tourism rebound and cross-border connectivity.
How are operators reducing OTA dependency?
The hospitality industry is leveraging mobile-first direct booking applications, enhanced loyalty programs, and data-driven remarketing strategies. These initiatives are effectively redirecting a notable share of bookings from Online Travel Agencies (OTAs) to proprietary platforms.
What environmental regulation will affect hotels most over the next five years?
The 2027 Boverket retrofit mandate requires all large buildings to meet stringent energy-efficiency standards and undergo life-cycle carbon assessments.
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