Swine Feed Market Analysis by Mordor Intelligence
The swine feed market size reached USD 125.3 billion in 2025 and is projected to increase to USD 161.9 billion by 2030, growing at a 5.3% CAGR. A resilient rebound in China, Brazil’s export-led expansion, and sustained adoption of precision nutrition underpin this healthy trajectory of the swine feed market. Europe’s CAGR mirrors tighter sustainability rules and cost inflation that squeeze margins yet spur innovation. South America posts a significant CAGR on the back of Brazil’s widening pork export capacity and new crushing plants that secure grain supplies. Functional additives, insect proteins, and single-cell proteins are gaining momentum as producers seek to achieve gut health benefits, alternatives to antibiotics, and lower carbon footprints. Meanwhile, anti-dumping duties on Chinese lysine imports lift amino-acid prices, reinforcing demand for locally sourced or fermented alternatives and adding another layer of complexity to the swine feed market.
Key Report Takeaways
- By ingredient type, cereals captured 42% of the swine feed market share in 2024, and Oilseed meal posts a 7.4% CAGR.
- By supplement, amino acids accounted for 26% of the swine feed market size in 2024 and are projected to advance at an 8.7% CAGR.
- By geography, the Asia-Pacific region led the swine feed market in 2024, accounting for a 46% share, and South America emerged as the fastest-growing regional market with a 5.4% CAGR through 2030.
Global Swine Feed Market Trends and Insights
Drivers Impact Analysis
| Driver | (~) % Impact on CAGR Forecast | Geographic Relevance | Impact Timeline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rising demand for high-value animal protein | +1.2% | Global, strongest in Asia-Pacific and South America | Medium term (2–4 years) |
| Industrialization of livestock production | +1.0% | Global, notably Asia-Pacific and South America | Long term (≥4 years) |
| Heightened awareness of pork quality and safety | +0.8% | North America and Europe, expanding to Asia-Pacific | Medium term (2–4 years) |
| Rapid adoption of functional feed additives | +0.9% | Global, led by North America and Europe | Short term (≤2 years) |
| Genetic-driven surge in amino-acid requirements | +0.7% | Global, concentrated in commercial herds | Long term (≥4 years) |
| Feed-biosecurity innovations against ASF and PED | +0.6% | Asia-Pacific and Europe, expanding globally | Medium term (2–4 years) |
| Source: Mordor Intelligence | |||
Rising Demand for High-Value Animal Protein
Emerging market consumers continue to shift toward pork, even as disease outbreaks temporarily curb supply, thereby lifting compound-feed volumes. The United States Department of Agriculture anticipates a 1.7% increase in global pork production for 2025, primarily driven by Asia, which in turn, magnifies feed demand[1]Source: U.S. Department of Agriculture, “Livestock and Poultry: World Markets and Trade,” usda.gov . Brazil illustrates the multiplier effect, which projects 6.6% export growth to 1.22 million tons by 2025, meaning domestic feed plants must expand their capacity to keep breeders stocked. In commercial barns, every percentage point rise in pork output can add 1.5–2 points in feed volume because modern genetics rewards higher-density diets. Premium product positioning in mature economies reinforces the call for specialized formulations that command margin-friendly premiums.
Industrialization of Livestock Production
Large commercial farms dictate standardized, nutrient-dense rations and negotiate long-term contracts that stabilize inputs while compressing the margins of manufacturers. China’s recovery underscores this shift toward commercial barns, which expanded even as overall pork output dipped 1.5% in 2024, highlighting the drift toward scale efficiencies. Precision dispensers and electronic sow feeders enable farms to feed 15–20% more per pig while improving conversion ratios by up to 30%. One study found that precision feeding of lactating sows boosts weaning weights by 0.33 kg compared to conventional practices.
Heightened Awareness of Pork Quality and Safety
Retailers now demand traceable, tested, and sustainable feed, imposing stricter transparency rules. The European Union’s updated green feed label, enacted in 2024, mandates full additive disclosure and carbon metrics, favoring mills with robust quality systems. Mycotoxin vigilance has become routine, analysis of more than 6,500 samples showed 49% exceeded advisory levels, spurring brisk demand for deactivators. Premiums for pathogen-free feed help offset higher compliance costs.
Genetic-Driven Surge in Amino-Acid Requirements
Faster-growing genetic lines boost lysine needs by 0.09 g/d per year in growers and 0.47 g/d in breeding sows, outpacing overall grain demand. Anti-dumping probes on Chinese lysine elevate costs yet support regional fermentation projects that secure domestic supply[2]Source: Federal Register Editorial Office, “Initiation of Antidumping and Countervailing Duty Investigations of L-Lysine from the People’s Republic of China,” federalregister.gov . The swine feed market benefits as amino acids move from a cost-saving input to an indispensable performance lever. Spot lysine prices in Europe rose 18% between January and May 2025, underscoring the cost sensitivity of precision amino-acid programs. Pilot trials in Canada show algae-derived methionine meeting 92% bioavailability relative to synthetic sources, hinting at future diversification. These dynamics solidify amino acids as indispensable performance levers rather than optional cost savers.
Restraints Impact Analysis
| Restraint | (~) % Impact on CAGR Forecast | Geographic Relevance | Impact Timeline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw-material price volatility and supply shocks | -1.5% | Global, severe in import-dependent areas | Short term (≤2 years) |
| Stringent antibiotic and additive regulations | -0.8% | North America and Europe, spreading to Asia-Pacific | Medium term (2–4 years) |
| African swine fever-linked herd contractions | -1.2% | Asia-Pacific and Europe, sporadic global impact | Short term (≤2 years) |
| Anti-dumping duties inflating lysine costs | -0.6% | Global, focused on major importing regions | Medium term (2–4 years) |
| Source: Mordor Intelligence | |||
Raw-Material Price Volatility and Supply Shocks
Cereal turbulence squeezes margins as floods dent kernel quality and inflate storage expenses. The 2024 U.S. corn crop suffered heavy rainfall that heightened mycotoxin risks and added cost layers for drying and cleaning. Egypt’s surge in feedstuff prices showcases how import-heavy regions endure currency slides that ripple directly into livestock costs. Smaller mills lacking hedge programs feel the pinch first, prompting production cuts or recipe downgrades that jeopardize performance.
Anti-Dumping Duties Inflating Lysine Costs
The U.S. International Trade Commission’s probe into Chinese L-lysine imports, spurred by the Lysine Fair Trade Coalition, threatens global supply realignment[3]Source: Federal Register Editorial Office, “Initiation of Antidumping and Countervailing Duty Investigations of L-Lysine from the People’s Republic of China,” federalregister.gov . Temporary tariffs have already raised delivered prices in North America and Europe, pushing some mills to lower inclusion rates or trial fermented domestic options. The European Commission opened a separate anti-dumping investigation into Chinese threonine in April 2025, amplifying uncertainty for essential amino-acid buyers. Brazil’s domestic producers have filed a safeguard petition that, if accepted, could extend similar duties to the South American market and intensify regional price inflation.
Segment Analysis
By Ingredients: Cereals’ Dominate
Cereals remained the backbone of swine diets, holding 42% of the swine feed market in 2024, owing to competitive pricing and ubiquitous supply chains. Cereal by-products, such as Wheat middlings and distillers' grains, are experiencing rapid growth, driven by ethanol expansion and the search for cost-effective fiber sources. Oilseed meal is anticipated to post a significant CAGR as crushing capacity grows in South America, supplying higher-lysine soybean meal aligned with modern genetics. Oils hold a steady CAGR as energy-dense inclusions in high-performance rations. Molasses maintains a niche role in enhancing palatability and dust control, thereby maintaining stable volumes. Overall, ingredient diversification helps millers hedge price shocks and align with sustainability pledges, reinforcing the adaptive strength of the swine feed market.
Ingredient innovation now centers on sustainability credentials, supply-chain resilience, and amino acid density, rather than just cost per ton. Nutrition trials have shown that replacing 10% of soymeal with insect protein improves daily gain by 2.1% and narrows the feed-to-gain ratio, supporting premium pricing. Grain processors respond by valorizing cereal by-products, such as wheat midds and distillers' grains, which are expanding at a rapid CAGR. Mills seek fiber sources that stabilize gut health. Oilseed meals, buoyed by South America’s crushing expansion, keep the swine feed market size balanced across traditional and novel inputs. Palatability enhancers like molasses maintain a niche but stable demand because they bind dust and improve pellet durability, rounding out a diversified raw-material palette that hedges volatility and advances circular economy goals.
Note: Segment shares of all individual segments available upon report purchase
By Supplements: Amino Acids Capture Value Amid Regulatory and Genetic Shifts
Amino acids secured the largest slice of the supplement space at 26% in 2024 and are projected to post the highest CAGR of 8.7%, demonstrating how modern genetics make precise lysine and methionine provisioning non-negotiable. Preliminary anti-dumping duties on Chinese lysine imports spurred investment in local fermentation plants, reducing dependency on external supply swings. Enzymes follow closely, buoyed by proof that xylanase and symbiotic blends lift nutrient digestibility in weanling pigs. Vitamins, though mature, still register a rapid CAGR as the industry refines micronutrient matrices to match high-leanness genotypes.
Acidifiers are expanding at a rapid rate due to their dual role in pathogen suppression and improved gut integrity, which is key in antibiotic-free regimes. Regulatory bans and retailer pledges cap antibiotic growth. Probiotics and immunomodulators are anticipated to record a significant CAGR as sow herds seek to lower pre-weaning mortality without relying on medicinal crutches. The supplement landscape reflects a broader shift toward biologically informed precision solutions within the swine feed market.
Note: Segment shares of all individual segments available upon report purchase
Geography Analysis
The Asia-Pacific region dominates the global swine feed market, holding a 46% market share in 2024, reflecting its massive pig production capacity and expanding commercial farming operations across China, India, and Southeast Asian countries. China's pork production declined by 1.5% in 2024, marking the first decline in four years. This contraction masks underlying structural improvements in feed efficiency and production systems that position the market for sustained growth. The region's feed consumption patterns demonstrate resilience despite the pressures of African swine fever, with China's feed output dropping by 6.6 million metric tons in 2024, while commercial operations continued to expand capacity to capture market share from smaller producers. Precision livestock farming adoption is accelerating across the region, with smart pig farming technologies showing particular promise in Vietnam's transition from smallholder to commercial operations, supported by government initiatives that promote medium- and large-scale farming infrastructure.
South America emerges as the fastest-growing regional market with a 5.4% CAGR through 2030, propelled by Brazil's expanding pork export capacity and Argentina's regulatory modernization in animal nutrition. Brazil's pork exports are projected to increase by 6.6% in 2025 to 1.22 million tons, necessitating domestic feed production growth of approximately 2.8% to support breeding operations and meet both domestic and international demand. The region's competitive advantage stems from low labor and feed costs, with companies like GSI targeting nearly USD 200 million in revenue within five years through the expansion of automation solutions for post-harvest systems. South America's emergence as the largest global feed producer, with 155,875 metric tons in 2023, including 89,067 metric tons for swine, reflects the region's strategic importance in global protein supply chains and its potential to benefit from trade disruptions affecting traditional suppliers.
North America and Europe register more modest growth rates, reflecting market maturity and regulatory complexity that favors innovation over volume expansion. The United States pork industry is showing cautious optimism for 2025, with projected production increases, although feed costs, which represent 66% of production expenses, continue to pressure margins. European markets are facing particular challenges from sustainability regulations and ASF control measures, with European Union pork prices anticipated to remain elevated through 2025 as production costs stabilize at higher levels.
Competitive Landscape
The swine feed market remains moderately concentrated, with the top five players accounting for a modest percentage of sales, leaving ample scope for regional innovators. Cargill Incorporated leads with a significant share, leveraging vertical integration and a 2024 acquisition of two feed mills that enlarged its Central Plains footprint. Its alliance with InnovaFeed to scale black soldier fly protein accelerates portfolio diversification. ADM, Evonik, New Hope Liuhe, and Charoen Pokphand Group round out the top tier, each investing heavily in precision analytics and alternative proteins.
Technology partnerships are reshaping rivalry. AgroCares and Trouw Nutrition have upgraded the NutriOpt On-Site Adviser to deliver species-specific nutrient curves in under five minutes, enabling millers to customize blends on-site. Novus International, in concert with Resilient Biotics, develops microbiome-based feed to curb PRRS and other costly respiratory diseases. DSM-Firmenich’s decision to exit animal nutrition in 2025 opens white space in vitamins and enzymes for specialized entrants ready to assume global supply chains.
Cross-border acquisitions pick up pace. South Korea’s EASY BIO bought U.S.-based Devenish Nutrition to expand precision nutrition capabilities in North America, while Lesaffre secured a 70% stake in Biorigin to boost yeast derivatives for feed applications. These moves signal an industry pivot toward bio-based inputs and regional manufacturing resilience, positioning the swine feed market for sharper competitive differentiation over the next five years.
Swine Feed Industry Leaders
-
Charoen Pokphand Foods
-
New Hope Group
-
Archer Daniels Midland Company
-
Nutreco NV
-
Cargill Incorporated
- *Disclaimer: Major Players sorted in no particular order
Recent Industry Developments
- June 2025: The U.S. International Trade Commission launched anti-dumping and countervailing duty investigations into Chinese L-lysine imports following a petition by the Lysine Fair Trade Coalition.
- February 2025: DSM-Firmenich announced plans to exit its animal nutrition and health business across 2025, creating openings for rivals in vitamins, enzymes, and specialty additives.
- February 2025: AgroCares and Trouw Nutrition extended their partnership to enhance the NutriOpt On-Site Adviser platform for rapid nutrient assessments.
- January 2025: Novus International partnered with Resilient Biotics to develop new feed solutions targeting swine immune health and respiratory challenges, with commercial products anticipated within three years.
Research Methodology Framework and Report Scope
Market Definitions and Key Coverage
According to Mordor Intelligence, we frame the global swine feed market as the aggregate value of finished compound rations, sold in mash, crumble, or pellet form, that are formulated specifically for pigs from birth to market weight and rely mainly on grains, oilseed meals, and functional additives. This definition tracks only commercial feed tonnage; on-farm cereal grains fed whole and equipment sales are kept outside the valuation.
Scope Exclusions: pet pig diets, probiotic boluses sold through pharmacies, and capital items such as precision feeders are not counted.
Segmentation Overview
- By Ingredients
- Cereals
- Cereals By-products
- Oilseed Meal
- Oils
- Molasses
- Other Ingredients
- By Supplements
- Antibiotics
- Vitamins
- Antioxidants
- Amino Acids
- Enzymes
- Acidifiers
- Other Supplements
- By Geography
- North America
- United States
- Canada
- Mexico
- Rest of North America
- Europe
- Germany
- Spain
- France
- United Kingdom
- Italy
- Russia
- Rest of Europe
- Asia-Pacific
- China
- India
- Japan
- Australia
- Rest of Asia-Pacific
- South America
- Brazil
- Argentina
- Rest of South America
- Africa
- South Africa
- Egypt
- Rest of Africa
- North America
Detailed Research Methodology and Data Validation
Primary Research
Multiple semi-structured discussions with nutritionists, feed-mill managers, integrators, and regional veterinarians across Asia-Pacific, the Americas, and Europe helped us validate inclusion rates, average selling prices, and likely adoption curves for specialty additives, filling gaps that desktop work alone cannot close.
Desk Research
Our analysts begin with high-volume data sets from reputable public sources such as FAO livestock statistics, USDA PSD pork balances, Eurostat feed production surveys, China MARA, and customs trade flows. Complementary context around ingredient costs and disease incidence is gathered through academic journals, OIE alerts, and association portals like the International Feed Industry Federation. Company 10-Ks, investor decks, and D&B Hoovers snapshots enrich margin and capacity insights, while Questel patent trends shed light on additive innovation. This list is illustrative; many other open and paid references shaped the desk analysis.
Market-Sizing & Forecasting
A top-down model starts with official pig inventory, slaughter, and pork output for each country. It then reconstructs annual feed demand through feed conversion ratios and age-stage ration matrices. Results are cross-checked with sampled bottom-up inputs, mill capacity roll-ups, and channel checks on prevailing ASPs to fine-tune totals. Key variables include global pork production, regional FCR trends, corn and soybean meal price indices, ASF outbreak impact factors, additive penetration rates, and policy shifts on antibiotic use. Multivariate regression with an ARIMA overlay projects these drivers to 2030, while scenario analysis tests ingredient price shocks before finalizing growth paths.
Data Validation & Update Cycle
Outputs pass three layers of peer review, variance screens versus independent indicators, and a senior sign-off. Models refresh every year, and mid-cycle updates are triggered when material events, such as major disease flare-ups or ingredient price swings, arise.
Why Mordor's Swine Feed Baseline Commands Reliability
Published figures differ because firms choose dissimilar market scopes, pricing references, and refresh cadences. Ingredient inclusion, treatment of premix sales, and currency bases commonly widen the gap.
Key gap drivers in our comparison show that some providers net out specialty additives or bundle premix and complete feed together, while others inflate revenue by applying aggressive forward ASP escalators or older exchange rates.
Benchmark comparison
| Market Size | Anonymized source | Primary gap driver |
|---|---|---|
| USD 125.3 B (2025) | Mordor Intelligence | - |
| USD 114.8 B (2025) | Regional Consultancy A | Excludes functional additives and values feed at producer-level transfer prices |
| USD 135.6 B (2025) | Global Consultancy B | Combines premix revenue with finished feed and assumes uniform 4 % annual price inflation |
Alternative 2025 estimates therefore range roughly from USD 115 billion to USD 136 billion, yet our balanced middle figure is anchored to transparent livestock statistics and validated cost curves, giving decision-makers a dependable reference point.
In short, Mordor's disciplined variable selection, mixed-method modeling, and annual refresh cycle provide a traceable, repeatable baseline that helps clients act with confidence.
Key Questions Answered in the Report
What is the current value of the swine feed market?
The market size is valued at USD 125.3 billion in 2025 and is forecast to reach USD 161.9 billion by 2030.
Which region is expanding fastest in the swine feed market?
South America emerges as the fastest-growing regional market with a 5.4% CAGR through 2030, propelled by Brazil's expanding pork export capacity and Argentina's regulatory modernization in animal nutrition.
Why are amino acids the leading supplement in the swine feed market?
Modern pig genetics require higher lysine and methionine levels, giving amino acids a 26% revenue share and an 8.7% CAGR.
How is African swine fever influencing global feed demand?
ASF outbreaks can depress regional feed consumption for up to 18 months, cutting hog feed output by millions of tons in affected areas.
What technological shifts are shaping competition in the swine feed industry?
Precision nutrition platforms, microbiome-targeted additives, and insect protein facilities are emerging as key differentiators for feed producers.
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