Fats and Oils Market Size & Share Analysis - Growth Trends & Forecasts (2025 - 2030)

Global Fats And Oils Market Trends and Insights

Rising Demand for Processed and Packaged Food

The processed food industry's evolution is shaping the fats and oils market, driven by manufacturers' focus on functional properties and clean label requirements. According to the USDA Foreign Agriculture Service, U.S. processed food exports reached USD 38.84 billion in 2024, with major markets including Canada, Mexico, the European Union, Japan, and South Korea ^{[1]Source: United States Department of Agriculture (USDA), Foreign Agricultural Service, "U.S. Processed Food Products Exports in 2024", www.fas.usda.gov}. Manufacturers are developing specialized fats, particularly in bakery applications, to achieve specific melting profiles and oxidative stability without trans fats, as demonstrated by Cargill's introduction of coconut-based pastry margarine in 2022. This innovation aligns with growing consumer preferences for healthier options, allowing companies to reduce saturated fats while maintaining product quality and positioning their offerings in premium segments through enhanced functional and nutritional benefits.

Expanding Applications in Biodiesel Production

The biodiesel market faces significant demand pressure on vegetable oil supplies, as production capacity exceeds actual output due to feedstock limitations. The United States operates 160 biodiesel plants with a total capacity of 2.7 billion gallons per year, according to the Agricultural Marketing Resource Center ^{[2]Source: Agricultural Marketing Resource Center (AgMRC), "Renewable Energy", www.agmrc.org} . This gap between capacity and production has led companies to explore alternative feedstocks, particularly waste cooking oils (WCOs), which generate approximately 17 million tons globally each year. The industry has developed advanced pretreatment technologies to reduce free fatty acid content and enhance degraded oil quality, enabling more efficient biodiesel production while promoting circular economy practices.

Strategic Investments in Modern Processing Facilities Drive Oilseed Processing Efficiency

Advances in oil extraction and processing technology enable producers to increase yields, enhance quality, and develop specialized products for specific market segments. Cargill's December 2023 acquisition of Granol's soy storage and crush facilities in South America demonstrates the importance of strengthening supply chain capabilities through modern processing technologies. Additionally, Cargill and CBH Group's planned oilseed crushing plant near Perth, Australia, reflects the industry's expansion of processing capacity to address growing food and biofuel demand. These investments in modern processing facilities improve oil extraction efficiency from various feedstocks, minimize waste, and enable the production of specialized oils with specific properties for food, pharmaceutical, and industrial applications.

Increasing Popularity of Plant-Based Diets

The global shift toward plant-based diets is reshaping oil consumption patterns, with consumers increasingly selecting oils based on their health benefits and fatty acid composition, alongside cooking performance. Supporting this dietary transition, a March 2025 study published in JAMA Internal Medicine revealed that replacing 10 grams of butter daily with plant oils led to a 17% reduction in total mortality and cancer-related deaths. This health-driven shift has catalyzed the development of specialty oils with specific nutritional profiles, such as hemp seed oil with its beneficial 4:1 omega-6 to omega-3 ratio, which is now commonly used in functional foods targeting health-conscious consumers. The increasing consumer awareness of health benefits associated with plant-based oils and their growing incorporation into functional foods drives the market for oils and fats market.

Fluctuating Raw Material Prices and Supply Chain Disruptions

The oils and fats market faces significant price volatility and supply chain constraints. The FAO oilseed price index increased by 3.7 points (3.5%) month-on-month in April 2025, reaching an eleven-month high, while the oilmeal and vegetable oil indices declined by 1.1 and 3.7 points (1.2% and 2.3%) respectively from March. The market instability stems from multiple factors, including the Russia-Ukraine conflict disrupting sunflower oil supplies and labor shortages in Malaysia affecting palm oil production. These challenges have forced food manufacturers to adapt through product reformulation, diversification of oil sources, and implementation of flexible formulations that enable ingredient substitutions. These ongoing market disruptions and supply chain challenges are expected to continue influencing market dynamics and pricing patterns in the foreseeable future.

Health Issues Associated with Trans-Fats Consumption

Global regulatory pressure against trans fats has increased, with the World Health Organization (WHO) spearheading an elimination campaign that has led to 58 countries implementing strict policies affecting 47% of the global population. These regulations require manufacturers to replace partially hydrogenated oils (PHOs) with alternatives that maintain product functionality. The FDA's final rule, effective December 22, 2023, eliminated PHOs as optional ingredients in food standards and revoked previous approvals for their use in margarine, shortening, and bread products. This regulatory change has driven innovation in fat structuring technologies, particularly enzymatic interesterification, which enables the production of trans-fat-free alternatives with specific functional properties.

Segment Analysis

By Type: Oils Dominate and Outpace Growth

The oils segment dominates the market with a 54.92% share in 2024 and is expected to grow at a CAGR of 5.44% during 2025-2030, exceeding the overall market growth rate of 4.42%. This segment's strong performance stems from the widespread use of vegetable oils in both food and industrial applications, particularly in biodiesel production. The industry recognizes this strategic importance, as evidenced by significant investments in processing capacity, such as the planned oilseed crushing plant near Perth, Australia, by Cargill and CBH Group.

The fats segment, though smaller in market share, is experiencing notable developments in specialty products. Manufacturers are focusing on creating fats with specific functional properties while eliminating trans fats. For instance, in September 2024, Volac Wilmar introduced Mega-Fat 70, a rumen-protected fat product for dairy cattle. This innovative product, containing 70% palmitic and 20% oleic fatty acids, is designed to enhance milk production and maintain cattle health.

By Application: Food Sector Leads While Animal Feed Accelerates

The food application segment dominates the market with a 55.51% share in 2024, as fats and oils remain crucial for texture, flavor, and shelf-life in processed foods. Confectionery, bakery, and dairy products are significant growth segments, where manufacturers develop specialized fat solutions for specific functional requirements. The advancement in enzymatic interesterification technology enables the production of fats with customized crystallization properties for premium confectionery products. The segment's leadership position stems from the integral role of fats and oils as structural and flavor components in processed foods.

The animal feed segment is expected to achieve the highest growth rate at 5.01% CAGR during 2025-2030. This growth is attributed to rising meat consumption in developing economies and the increased use of fats as energy-dense feed components to improve efficiency. The industrial segment expansion is primarily driven by biodiesel production, which has increased the demand for vegetable oils. This industrial demand competes with food applications, affecting prices across the market.

By Source: Plant-based Dominates Despite Animal-based Growth

Plant-based sources constitute 84.43% of the market in 2024, with vegetable oils maintaining their dominance in food and industrial applications. Palm oil continues to be a significant component of the global oils market, with prices projected to remain elevated until mid-2025 due to supply constraints and increased demand. Cargill's decision to supply only RSPO-certified palm oil from its U.S. refineries demonstrates the market's shift toward sustainable sourcing^{[3]Source: Cargill Incorporated, "Cargill’s U.S. oil refineries connect all customers to 100% RSPO-certified palm oil", www.cargill.com}. Soybean oil maintains its position as a key market component, with Ventura Foods, a CHS and Mitsui & Co. joint venture, utilizing approximately 2 billion pounds of edible oils annually, primarily soybean oil due to its cost-effectiveness and availability.

The animal-based segment, representing 15.57% of the market share, is expected to grow at 6.43% CAGR during 2025-2030. This growth stems from increased recognition of animal fats' functional benefits in specific applications and their importance in biodiesel production. The segment's development is evident through product innovations, such as Volac Wilmar's Mega-Fat 70 for dairy cattle. Cargill's acquisition of two meat plants from Ahold Delhaize USA indicates its commitment to expanding its animal-derived products, potentially creating operational efficiencies through integrated value chain management.

Geography Analysis

Asia-Pacific holds a dominant 39.89% share of the global oils and fats market in 2024, primarily due to its palm oil production capacity and growing food processing industry. Indonesia and Malaysia's palm oil industry significantly influences global market trends, with the Malaysian Palm Oil Board projecting crude palm oil prices between MYR 4,000 and MYR 4,300 per ton in 2025. Indonesia's upcoming 40% biodiesel blending mandate (B40) is expected to affect global palm oil supply and maintain high prices through 2025. In India, Adani Wilmar's expansion plans to reach 1 million direct outlets within three years, particularly in rural areas, demonstrate the strengthening distribution infrastructure in the region.

The Middle East and Africa region is expected to achieve the highest growth rate at 6.74% CAGR during 2025-2030, despite its current smaller market share. This growth stems from developments in food processing, increased biodiesel adoption, and rising edible oil consumption. North America and Europe remain important markets, with the U.S. biodiesel industry expansion driving vegetable oil demand. U.S. farmers are expanding canola production to meet renewable fuel market requirements, supported by energy and agriculture companies' investments in cultivation and processing infrastructure. European market developments are guided by regulations on trans fats and sustainability, encouraging the development of healthier fat alternatives.

South America maintains a vital position in the global supply chain through its soybean oil production, with Brazil's agricultural sector contributing substantially to global exports. Cargill's acquisition of SJC Bioenergia in Brazil strengthens its renewable energy operations, indicating the growing connection between renewable energy and the fats and oils market. These regional market dynamics create an interconnected global market where regional policy changes, such as Indonesia's biodiesel mandates, can significantly impact worldwide prices and availability.