Commercial Real Estate Market in Canada - Growth, Trends, and Forecasts (2020-2025)

The report on Canada commercial real estate market is segmented by type (Offices, Retail, Industrial, Logistics, Multi-family, and Hospitality), and key cities (Toronto, Vancouver, Calgary, Montreal, and Ottawa ).

Market Snapshot

Study Period:

2016-2025

Base Year:

2019

CAGR:

11.64 %

Major Players:

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Market Overview

The Canadian economy witnessed significant improvement in 2019 with a GDP growth of nearly 3.7%. Although Canada's property market witnessed deflation in 2018, the commercial real estate market has rebounded in 2019. 

The country, on the whole, is witnessing a rising demand for commercial properties especially in areas like Toronto and the province of British Columbia. In Canada's office market, there was a rise in the investment sales activity at a record pace in 2019. Even the tightest office markets are standardizing 10-year lease terms with top pricing. This is encouraging office lease renewals and occupiers are also looking towards the expansion of their office spaces. Hotels and apartments are also experiencing unprecedented demand and owners of these properties have a similar advantage when it comes to pricing. Occupancy and per room profit are each at or near their all-time highs, with profit figures growing rapidly. Likewise in the multifamily sector, purpose-built apartment vacancy rates averaged 2.4% nationally in 2018 and all major cities are witnessing a decline in the occupancy rates.

Low vacancy rents, rising rents, and increasing construction activity particularly in gateway markets like Toronto and Vancouver are anticipated to increase the demand for commercial real estate in Canada. Additionally, technological changes, tech business growth, and tech talent are some of the dominant factors driving demand across all commercial real estate sectors.

Scope of the Report

The report offers a complete background analysis of the Canadian commercial real estate market, including the analysis and forecast of market size, industry trends, and growth drivers. It also includes insights into the market segmentation, technological trends, and government initiatives taken in the commercial real estate sector. Also, it analyses the key players present in the market and the competitive landscape in the Canada commercial real estate market.

BY Type
Offices
Retail
Industrial
Logistics
Multi-Family
Hospitality
By Key Cities
Toronto
Vancouver
Calgary
Ottawa
Montreal

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Key Market Trends

Increased demand for commercial office spaces in the country

The office vacancies reduced in all markets of Canada reducing the average office occupancy rate to nearly 11.9% in 2018. The office space under construction in the country nearly doubled in 2018 to more than 22 million square feet mainly in cities like Toronto and Vancouver. There is a high shortage of office spaces especially in Toronto due to rising demand from tech companies

There are majorly three types of tenants that are increasing the demand for commercial properties namely coworking companies, technology companies, and logistics/distribution firms. These sectors have expanded rapidly off late and are having a significant impact on the real estate market. Coworking is likely to continue as a strong driver of the office market and accounts for a significant portion of the Canadian office footprint. 

 

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Strong growth in multifamily sector to drive demand

The multifamily sector has the ability to generate consistent cash flows and Canada is currently witnessing strong growth in this sector.  Performance drivers such as growing population, rising homeownership costs and lack of rental supply are becoming increasingly popular in many markets across the country, which is giving a boost to the multifamily assets. 

Canada’s population grew by 1.1% per year from 2009 to 2018 and is expected to continue expanding at a rate of 0.9% over the next four years. Much of this momentum is being fueled by immigration due to the fact that, unlike other global leaders, Canada remains supportive of immigration as an economic imperative. The national investment volumes for multifamily assets have also been increasing rapidly, and it touched nearly USD 8.3 billion in 2018.  All these factors are anticipated to  increase the demand for the multifamily sector in the country. 

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Competitive Landscape

The Canadian commercial real estate market is fragmented with the presence of local as well as few international players. The Canadian commercial real estate market is attracting a lot of investments supported by an increasing number of real estate acquisitions as well as an increase in new property builders. Some of the leading players in the Canada commercial real estate market include Onni Group, WestBank Corp, Amacon and Maxwell Realty.

Table Of Contents

  1. 1. INTRODUCTION

    1. 1.1 Study Assumptions

    2. 1.2 Scope of the Study

  2. 2. RESEARCH METHODOLOGY

  3. 3. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

  4. 4. MARKET INSIGHTS

    1. 4.1 Current Economic Scenario and Consumer Sentiment

    2. 4.2 Commercial Real Estate Buying Trends - Socioeconomic and Demogpaphic Insights

    3. 4.3 Government Initatives, Regulatory Aspects for Commercial Real Estate Sector

    4. 4.4 Insights on Existing and Upcoming Projects

    5. 4.5 Insights on interest rate regime for general economy, and real estate lending

    6. 4.6 Insights on rental yields in commercial real estate segment

    7. 4.7 Insights on capital market penetration and REIT presence in commercial real estate

    8. 4.8 Insights on public-private partnerships in commercial real estate

    9. 4.9 Insights on real estate tech and startups active in real estate segment (broking, social media, facility management, property management)

  5. 5. MARKET DYNAMICS

    1. 5.1 Drivers

    2. 5.2 Restraints

    3. 5.3 Opportunities

    4. 5.4 Challenges

  6. 6. MARKET SEGMENTATION

    1. 6.1 BY Type

      1. 6.1.1 Offices

      2. 6.1.2 Retail

      3. 6.1.3 Industrial

      4. 6.1.4 Logistics

      5. 6.1.5 Multi-Family

      6. 6.1.6 Hospitality

    2. 6.2 By Key Cities

      1. 6.2.1 Toronto

      2. 6.2.2 Vancouver

      3. 6.2.3 Calgary

      4. 6.2.4 Ottawa

      5. 6.2.5 Montreal

  7. 7. COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

    1. 7.1 Market Concentration

    2. 7.2 Company Profiles

      1. 7.2.1 Developers

        1. 7.2.1.1 Onni Group

        2. 7.2.1.2 WestBank Corp

        3. 7.2.1.3 Amacon

        4. 7.2.1.4 Pinnacle International

        5. 7.2.1.5 Anthem Properties Group Limited

      2. 7.2.2 Real Estate Brokerage Firms

        1. 7.2.2.1 Manulife Real Estate

        2. 7.2.2.2 Harvey Kalles Real Estate

        3. 7.2.2.3 Maxwell Realty

      3. 7.2.3 Other Companies(startups, associations, etc.)

        1. 7.2.3.1 Brookfield Global Integrated Solutions

        2. 7.2.3.2 Relogix

        3. 7.2.3.3 Realtor 360

        4. 7.2.3.4 Hausway

        5. 7.2.3.5 Dream Office REIT

        6. 7.2.3.6 Cominar REIT

        7. 7.2.3.7 Allied REIT

  8. 8. FUTURE OF THE MARKET AND ANALYST RECOMMENDATIONS

  9. 9. INVESTMENT ANALYSIS

    1. 9.1 Direct Investments

    2. 9.2 Indirect Investments

  10. 10. DISCLAIMER

  11. 11. ABOUT US

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