Brazil Solar Energy Market - Growth, Trends, and Forecast (2020 - 2025)
The Brazil solar energy market report provides insight into the market size, growth, trends, analysis, government policies and regulations, competitive landscape, market dynamics, and opportunities
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Scope of the Report
Key Market Trends
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Brazil's solar energy is expected to grow at a CAGR of around 5.5% during the forecast period 2020-2025. It is the largest solar market in South America that contributes nearly 42% of the total South American solar energy production in 2018. The primary drivers of the market include government initiatives like net-metering to promote renewable energy, to stabilize the growing carbon footprint, and to have a sustainable form of energy. Net-metering helped the customers in getting credits on the bills by selling excess electricity produced to the grid. However, at the end of 2019, Brazil’s electricity regulator, Agência Nacional de Energia Elétrica (ANEEL), proposed to apply a fee for solar systems with up to 5 MW of power generation capacity, which is expected to hinder the market growth during the forecasting period.
With the increasing electricity demand, especially from renewable sources, a number of under-construction and planned solar PV projects are likely to drive the market during the forecast period.
Brazil, under its latest plan - Plano Decenal de Expansão de Energia (PDEE) 2027, is expected to increase its non-hydro renewable energy to 28% of its electricity generation mix by 2027, which includes the increase of solar photovoltaic to 8.6 gigawatts (GW) from 2.4 GW in 2019. Utility-scale projects and distributed solar generation projects are expected to get rolled out under various auctions, which is expected to create an opportunity for the market to grow in the near future.
With a significant solar PV capacity of around 2.4 GW in 2019 and concentrated solar power (CSP) in its very initial state, Solar Photovoltaic (PV) is expected to dominate the Brazil solar energy market during the forecasting period.
Scope of the Report
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Key Market Trends
Rising Electricity Demand to Drive the Market
Electricity generation in Brazil is done through various fuels, and renewables are one of the major sources of generation. With increasing concern over the climatic change in the atmosphere, due to increasing CO2 emission, Brazil along with various other nations are concentrating more on electricity generation from renewables. As of 2018, Brazil has generated near 104.5 terawatts hour of electricity.
The demand for electricity in Brazil is mostly mitigated by the hydropower facilities available in the country. Hydropower dominates the country, accounts for nearly 70% of the country’s electricity generation in 2018. Hydropower plants are located on the Amazon river basin located in the north, but Brazil’s demand for electricity is mainly from the eastern coast, particularly in the eastern portion, for which relies mainly on hydropower is expected to be insufficient.
Brazil is installing Juazeiro Solar Plant in the northeastern state of Bahia, which is estimated to have a capacity of around 156-megawatt power. The project was awarded to Atlas Renewable Energy during Brazil’s 2015 renewable energy auction. Moreover, the 67.1MWp Sao Paolo solar plant, the 156MWp Sertao solar plant, and the 81.52MWp Sol Do Futuro solar plant are another three under-construction solar projects, which are expected to get commissioned by 2020. The addition of these facilities is expected to mitigate the electricity demand to some extent.
During 2018, solar facilities generated nearly 3 TWh of electricity that contributes nearly 0.6% of the total electricity generated through renewable sources. With its net-meter policy and decreasing solar energy cost, Brazil's solar energy is expected to get increased during the forecasting period.
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Increasing Deployment of Solar Photovoltaic (PV)
Brazil is one of the most advanced countries in South America, with respect to the development of renewable energies. The country has excellent levels of solar radiation because it is in a latitude range in which the incidence of solar radiation is much higher than in the rest of the world.
The solar power energy has picked pace from 2017, with total capacity increasing by more than 100% and reaching 2.4 GW in 2019. Overall, Brazil’s solar power sector is set to experience decent growth with its economic recovery since 2017, and it may lead to the regional market in the future.
For instance, in January 2020, Enel Group announced that the 475 MW Sao Goncalo solar PV plant in Northeastern Brazil was connected to the grid, and the plant may be able to produce more than 1,200 gigawatt-hours annually.
Additionally, Canadian Solar Inc. has presented two solar photovoltaic projects totaling 190.5 MWp in the seventh Brazilian Federal Auction held in October 2019. The addition of these projects is expected to boost Brazil’s solar PV market during the forecasting period.
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The Brazil solar energy market is fragmented. Some of the key players in the market include JinkoSolar Holding Co. Ltd, Yingli Green Energy Holding Co. Ltd, Canadian Solar Inc., Engie SA, Scatec Solar ASA, JA Solar Holdings Co. Ltd, Enel SpA, NextTracker Inc., and Solar Provider Group (SPG).