Autonomous Aircraft Market - Growth, Trends, and Forecast (2019 - 2028)

The Autonomous Aircraft Market is segmented by Aircraft Type (Fixed-wing and Rotary-wing), Application (Cargo Aircraft and Passenger Aircraft), End User (Commercial and Defense), and Geography.

Market Snapshot

Autonomous Aircraft Market Overview
Study Period:

2016-2028

Base Year:

2018

Fastest Growing Market:

Asia Pacific

Largest Market:

North America

Key Players:

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Market Overview

The autonomous aircraft market is estimated to register a CAGR of over 8% during the forecast period, 2019-2028.

  • Growing usage of artificial intelligence technology is expected to increase the autonomy of the aircraft, thereby propelling the growth of the market in the coming years.
  • The airline industry is now facing a shortage of pilots, and the adoption of autonomous aircraft can address this issue in the near future.
  • Increasing development of autonomous aircraft for civil aviation due to the associated benefits, such as safety, reliability, and affordability can lead to growth of the market in the coming years.  

Scope of the Report

Autonomous aircraft can be defined as an unmanned aircraft, which does not require pilot intervention in the management of the flight.

Aircraft Type
Fixed-wing
Rotary-wing
Application
Cargo Aircraft
Passenger Aircraft
End User
Commercial
Defense
Geography
North America
Asia-Pacific
Europe
Rest of the World

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Key Market Trends

Autonomous Cargo Aircraft Expected to Hit the Market Earlier than the Autonomous Passenger Aircraft

Cargo planes are expected to be the first to adopt this autonomous aircraft technology. In passenger flights, safety and the lives of people are given the paramount importance, and thus, the adoption of the autonomous aircraft should start after continuous and rigorous testing is done. This is not the case with the cargo aircraft, as the level of life risk is zero with the use of autonomous aircraft in cargo planes. Additionally, the growth in the e-commerce industry is driving the air cargo demand, which may increase the demand for air cargo pilots in the near future. Hence, most of the developments in the autonomous aircraft market are aimed at bringing the autonomous cargo aircraft into commercial use, to fill in the gap due to the pilot shortage. Boeing’s futuristic NeXt division oversees its heavy-duty drone prototype that is capable of lifting a 500-pound payload. The so-called “cargo air vehicle” conducted its first indoor flight test last year, and may move to outdoor testing in 2019. Many such developments are currently underway, and these are expected to help the autonomous cargo aircraft to be introduced into the market within the next decade. 

Autonomous Aircraft Market Segmentation

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North America is Expected to Witness the Highest Growth During the Forecast Period

North America currently has the highest market share in the autonomous aircraft market, due to the high number of procurements of tactical autonomous UAVs in the region. Additionally, various developments in the North America region, in terms of autonomous aircraft may lead to the region being the fastest growing one. Currently, the United States is increasingly focused on the development of autonomous aircraft. The United States has hit a roadblock in the usage of such aircraft for commercial applications, due to governmental regulations, but the growing scale of autonomous aircraft development may lead to its growth in the coming years. Technological advancement, which is high in countries, like the United States, has led to the development of advanced autonomous aircraft, which can adapt to changing conditions, as well as handle flying situations, without any human intervention. Likewise, in the near future, autonomous aircraft can also increasingly be used for the transportation of cargo, and North America is expected to be the pioneer to all these. Thus, various ongoing developments may lead to the growth of the industry in North America in the near future.

Autonomous Aircraft Market Geography

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Competitive Landscape

The Boeing Company, Airbus SE, Northrop Grumman Corporation, Textron Inc. (Bell Helicopters), and BAE Systems PLC are some of the prominent players in the market. Most of the development in the autonomous aircraft technology is done in the UAV industry, and the market still trails development in passenger and cargo carrying aircraft. Companies, like Airbus SE and The Boeing Company, have presented their autonomous air taxi concepts recently, and many companies are yet to follow. Bell, a unit of Textron, is also working on its autonomous pod transport. Thus, the market is expanding to the commercial transportation sector, and the relatively new concepts are opening many opportunities for players to venture into the market.

Major Players

  1. Airbus SE
  2. BAE Systems PLC
  3. Northrop Grumman Corporation
  4. The Boeing Company
  5. Textron Inc. (Bell Helicopters)

* Complete list of players covered available in the table of contents below

Autonomous Aircraft Market Cl

Table of Contents

  1. 1. INTRODUCTION

    1. 1.1 Study Deliverables

    2. 1.2 Study Assumptions

    3. 1.3 Scope of the Study

  2. 2. RESEARCH METHODOLOGY

  3. 3. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

  4. 4. MARKET DYNAMICS

    1. 4.1 Market Overview

    2. 4.2 Market Drivers

    3. 4.3 Market Restraints

    4. 4.4 Porter's Five Forces Analysis

      1. 4.4.1 Threat of New Entrants

      2. 4.4.2 Bargaining Power of Buyers/Consumers

      3. 4.4.3 Bargaining Power of Suppliers

      4. 4.4.4 Threat of Substitute Products

      5. 4.4.5 Intensity of Competitive Rivalry

  5. 5. MARKET SEGMENTATION

    1. 5.1 Aircraft Type

      1. 5.1.1 Fixed-wing

      2. 5.1.2 Rotary-wing

    2. 5.2 Application

      1. 5.2.1 Cargo Aircraft

      2. 5.2.2 Passenger Aircraft

    3. 5.3 End User

      1. 5.3.1 Commercial

      2. 5.3.2 Defense

    4. 5.4 Geography

      1. 5.4.1 North America

      2. 5.4.2 Asia-Pacific

      3. 5.4.3 Europe

      4. 5.4.4 Rest of the World

  6. 6. COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

    1. 6.1 Vendor Market Share

    2. 6.2 Company Profiles

      1. 6.2.1 Northrop Grumann Corporation

      2. 6.2.2 The Boeing Company

      3. 6.2.3 Lockheed Martin Corporation

      4. 6.2.4 Raytheon Company

      5. 6.2.5 Elbit Systems Ltd

      6. 6.2.6 Aerovironment Inc.

      7. 6.2.7 Saab AB

      8. 6.2.8 BAE Systems PLC

      9. 6.2.9 Airbus SE

      10. 6.2.10 Textron Inc. (Bell Helicopters)

      11. 6.2.11 Israel Aerospace Industries

  7. 7. MARKET OPPORTUNITIES AND FUTURE TRENDS

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