Packaged Food Market Size and Share

Packaged Food Market (2026 - 2031)
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Packaged Food Market Analysis by Mordor Intelligence

The Packaged food was valued at USD 6.34 trillion in 2025 and estimated to grow from USD 6.61 trillion in 2026 to reach USD 8.15 trillion by 2031, at a CAGR of 4.28% during the forecast period (2026-2031). Rapid urbanization, rising disposable income in emerging economies, and consumers’ preference for convenient yet nutrient-dense products are redefining category dynamics. Demand is gravitating toward natural, organic, and free-from options, while functional claims such as probiotic, high-protein, and fortified benefits migrate from niche lines into mainstream shelves. Distribution patterns are fragmenting as e-commerce compresses delivery windows below fifteen minutes in dense cities, obliging supermarkets to retrofit micro-fulfillment zones. Meanwhile, sustainability mandates are accelerating material innovation, shifting packaging away from single-use plastics toward fiber-based or enzymatically recyclable substrates, even at a 15-25% cost premium. Competitive intensity is rising as incumbents prune underperforming SKUs and acquire plant-based specialists to secure relevance with younger cohorts.

Key Report Takeaways

  • By prodict type, bakery products led with 34.27% packaged food market share in 2025, whereas dairy and dairy alternatives are projected to grow at a 4.81% CAGR through 2031
  • By category, conventional items controlled 76.38% of the packaged food market size in 2025, but the natural, organic, and free-from segment is expected to expand at a 5.43% CAGR to 2031.
  • By distribution channel, supermarkets and hypermarkets captured 45.38% share of the packaged food market in 2025, while online retail is forecast to advance at a 5.57% CAGR during 2026-2031.
  • By geography, Asia-Pacific held the largest regional position at 33.67% in 2025, whereas South America is set to deliver the fastest 5.03% CAGR through 2031.

Note: Market size and forecast figures in this report are generated using Mordor Intelligence’s proprietary estimation framework, updated with the latest available data and insights as of January 2026.

Segment Analysis

By Product Type: Dairy Alternatives Disrupt Legacy Categories

Bakery products accounted for the largest share of the packaged food market in 2025, contributing 34.27% of total market revenue, primarily driven by their widespread consumption and strong consumer familiarity across regions. Products such as bread, biscuits, cakes, pastries, and savory baked snacks continue to serve as convenient meal and snacking options for consumers with busy lifestyles. The segment benefits from frequent product innovation, including healthier formulations such as whole grain, high-fiber, and reduced-sugar variants, which help maintain strong demand among health-conscious consumers. In addition, the expansion of organized retail and online grocery platforms has improved product accessibility and visibility, further strengthening sales performance.

Dairy and dairy alternatives are projected to be the fastest-growing segment in the packaged food market, expected to register a CAGR of 4.81% through 2031. Growth in this segment is largely supported by increasing consumer awareness regarding nutrition, protein intake, and functional health benefits associated with dairy-based products. At the same time, rising lactose intolerance awareness and the growing popularity of plant-based diets have accelerated demand for dairy alternatives such as almond, soy, oat, and coconut-based products. Manufacturers are actively expanding product portfolios with fortified, low-fat, and probiotic-rich offerings to cater to evolving consumer preferences. The introduction of innovative flavors, convenient packaging formats, and ready-to-consume dairy beverages has further strengthened market expansion.

Packaged Food Market: Market Share by Product Type
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Note: Segment shares of all individual segments available upon report purchase

By Category: Natural and Organic Segments Gain Share

The natural, organic, and free-from category is forecast to grow at 5.43% through 2031, significantly outpacing the conventional segment, which held 76.38% of the market in 2025. This divergence reflects a structural shift in consumer priorities, where ingredient provenance and production methods are becoming primary purchase drivers, particularly among urban millennials and Gen Z cohorts who demonstrate higher willingness to pay for certified organic and non-GMO products. Conventional products remain dominant due to price sensitivity in emerging markets and rural areas, where income constraints limit access to premium-priced alternatives, yet even within this segment, manufacturers are introducing "better-for-you" sub-brands that incorporate whole grains, reduced sodium, and no artificial additives to capture trade-up demand.

Certification standards like USDA Organic, EU Organic, and India Organic are emerging as key differentiators. Retailers are now dedicating premium shelf space to these certified products. Meanwhile, e-commerce platforms are incorporating organic filters, enhancing product visibility. In a notable move, PepsiCo launched an organic snack line under its Frito-Lay brand in 2025. This line, made with non-GMO corn and sunflower oil, raked in USD 120 million in its inaugural year, underscoring the viability of organic positioning even in traditionally commodity-driven sectors. However, the category's expansion faces hurdles. Organic raw materials demand specialized handling and traceability, pushing logistics costs up by 10-15%. This added expense poses challenges, especially for smaller manufacturers looking to enter the market.

By Distribution Channel: E-Commerce Reshapes Retail Economics

Supermarkets and hypermarkets accounted for the largest share of the packaged food market in 2025, representing 45.38% of total sales, primarily due to their extensive product assortment and strong consumer trust. These retail formats offer consumers the advantage of one-stop shopping, allowing them to compare multiple brands, product types, and price ranges within a single location. The availability of promotional offers, bulk purchasing options, and private-label products further strengthens consumer preference for these channels. In addition, well-established supply chains and efficient inventory management enable supermarkets and hypermarkets to maintain consistent product availability, particularly for high-demand packaged food categories.

Online retail is projected to be the fastest-growing distribution channel in the packaged food market, expected to expand at a CAGR of 5.57% during 2026–2031. The increasing adoption of smartphones, improved internet penetration, and the growing popularity of digital payment systems have significantly accelerated online grocery purchases. Consumers are increasingly attracted to the convenience of home delivery, flexible ordering options, and access to a wider range of domestic and international packaged food products. E-commerce platforms also provide personalized recommendations, subscription-based purchasing models, and competitive pricing, which enhance consumer engagement and loyalty.

Packaged Food Market: Market Share by Distribution Channel
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Note: Segment shares of all individual segments available upon report purchase

Geography Analysis

Asia-Pacific accounted for the largest share of the packaged food market in 2025, holding 33.67% of the global market, driven by its large population base, rapid urbanization, and evolving consumer lifestyles. Rising disposable incomes across countries such as China, India, Indonesia, and Vietnam have accelerated demand for convenient, ready-to-eat, and value-added food products. The expansion of modern retail infrastructure, including supermarkets, hypermarkets, and e-commerce platforms, has further improved product accessibility across urban and semi-urban areas. In addition, changing dietary patterns, increasing participation of women in the workforce, and growing demand for packaged snacks, dairy products, and frozen foods continue to support strong regional consumption. 

South America is projected to register the fastest growth rate, with a CAGR of 5.03% through 2031, supported by improving economic stability, rising urban populations, and increasing adoption of packaged and convenience foods. Countries such as Brazil, Argentina, and Chile are witnessing a gradual shift from traditional fresh food consumption toward packaged alternatives due to changing work patterns and time constraints among consumers. The growing presence of international food brands alongside expanding domestic production capabilities has enhanced product availability and variety in the region.

Europe, North America, and the Middle East & Africa collectively represent mature yet evolving markets characterized by strong demand for premium, health-oriented, and sustainably packaged food products. In North America and Europe, consumer preferences are increasingly shaped by clean-label formulations, organic ingredients, and functional foods, driving innovation among established food manufacturers. Meanwhile, the Middle East & Africa region is experiencing gradual growth supported by rising urbanization, expanding retail infrastructure, and increasing reliance on imported packaged foods, particularly in Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries.

Packaged Food Market CAGR (%), Growth Rate by Region
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Competitive Landscape

The packaged food market is highly fragmented, with the presence of numerous multinational corporations, regional manufacturers, and private-label brands competing across diverse product categories. Global players such as Nestlé SA, PepsiCo Inc., and Mondelez International maintain strong market positions through extensive product portfolios, strong brand recognition, and well-established distribution networks. However, regional and local manufacturers continue to capture significant market share by offering culturally relevant products, competitive pricing, and localized flavors tailored to regional consumer preferences. The fragmentation of the market encourages continuous innovation, as companies compete through product differentiation, packaging innovation, and value-added offerings to strengthen consumer loyalty and expand their market presence.

Competition in the packaged food market is primarily driven by changing consumer preferences, particularly the growing demand for healthier, clean-label, and functional food products. Leading companies are actively investing in research and development to reformulate products with reduced sugar, salt, and artificial additives while maintaining taste and convenience. Mergers, acquisitions, and strategic partnerships are frequently observed as companies seek to expand geographic reach and strengthen supply chain efficiencies. At the same time, private-label brands from large retailers are gaining traction due to competitive pricing and improved quality, intensifying competition for established brands.

The competitive landscape is also shaped by evolving retail channels and technological advancements in distribution and consumer engagement. The rapid growth of e-commerce and omnichannel retailing has enabled both large and small players to reach wider consumer bases, increasing market accessibility and competition. Sustainability initiatives, including eco-friendly packaging and responsible sourcing, are becoming important differentiators among market participants. While major multinational companies continue to dominate in terms of revenue, the strong presence of regional and niche players ensures that the market remains highly competitive and innovation-driven.

Packaged Food Industry Leaders

  1. PepsiCo, Inc.

  2. The Coca-Cola Company

  3. General Mills Inc.

  4. Mondelez International

  5. Nestlé SA

  6. *Disclaimer: Major Players sorted in no particular order
Packaged Food Market
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Recent Industry Developments

  • July 2025: Campco unveiled three new chocolate offerings at its head office in Mangaluru. The lineup includes Dark Delight dark chocolate, Dome Delight premium truffles, and the newly introduced orange-flavoured Campco Eclairs.
  • June 2025: Beeup, the snack brand founded by David Beckham, made its debut at Target, a major US retailer. The brand's fruit snack line, featuring three flavors Very Berry, Tropical Mix, and Sour Watermelon boasts non-GMO credentials. Furthermore, it's marketed as being “free from synthetic dyes” and “fake flavours.” This emphasis on natural ingredients aligns strategically with growing legislative scrutiny on food dyes in the US.
  • April 2025: Britannia Industries Ltd has launched its much-anticipated Greek yogurt range, underscoring a pivotal moment in the brand's innovation journey. With this debut, Britannia aims to expand the yogurt category while elevating consumer expectations, spotlighting its commitment to superior flavor, clear formulations, and a modern brand identity.

Table of Contents for Packaged Food Industry Report

1. INTRODUCTION

  • 1.1 Study Assumptions and Market Definition
  • 1.2 Scope of the Study

2. RESEARCH METHODOLOGY

3. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

4. MARKET LANDSCAPE

  • 4.1 Market Overview
  • 4.2 Market Drivers
    • 4.2.1 Ethnic and global flavor exploration
    • 4.2.2 Increasing demand for functional and health-oriented foods
    • 4.2.3 Innovation in sustainable and recyclable packaging solutions
    • 4.2.4 Rising consumer preference for clean-label and transparent ingredients
    • 4.2.5 Growing personalization and dietary preference-based product development
    • 4.2.6 Product innovation and premiumization across packaged food categories
  • 4.3 Market Restraints
    • 4.3.1 Health concerns related to sugar, salt, and preservatives
    • 4.3.2 Rising input, labor, energy, and production costs
    • 4.3.3 Supply chain disruptions and raw material price volatility
    • 4.3.4 Stringent regulatory requirements and compliance costs
  • 4.4 Consumer Behavior Analysis
  • 4.5 Regulatory Landscape
  • 4.6 Porter's Five Forces
    • 4.6.1 Threat of New Entrants
    • 4.6.2 Bargaining Power of Buyers
    • 4.6.3 Bargaining Power of Suppliers
    • 4.6.4 Threat of Substitutes
    • 4.6.5 Competitive Rivalry

5. MARKET SIZE AND GROWTH FORECASTS (VALUE AND VOLUME)

  • 5.1 By Product Type
    • 5.1.1 Dairy and Dairy Alternatives
    • 5.1.2 Confectionery
    • 5.1.3 Bakery
    • 5.1.4 Snacks
    • 5.1.5 Meat, Poultry & Seafood and Substitutes
    • 5.1.6 Breakfast Cereals
    • 5.1.7 Baby Food
    • 5.1.8 Food Spread
    • 5.1.9 Ready Meals
    • 5.1.10 Condiments and Sauces
    • 5.1.11 Other Product Types
  • 5.2 By Category
    • 5.2.1 Conventional
    • 5.2.2 Natural/Organic/Free-From
  • 5.3 By Distribution Channel
    • 5.3.1 Supermarkets / Hypermarkets
    • 5.3.2 Convenience Stores
    • 5.3.3 Online Retail Stores
    • 5.3.4 Other Distribution Channels
  • 5.4 By Geography
    • 5.4.1 North America
    • 5.4.1.1 United States
    • 5.4.1.2 Canada
    • 5.4.1.3 Mexico
    • 5.4.1.4 Rest of North America
    • 5.4.2 Europe
    • 5.4.2.1 Germany
    • 5.4.2.2 United Kingdom
    • 5.4.2.3 Italy
    • 5.4.2.4 France
    • 5.4.2.5 Spain
    • 5.4.2.6 Netherlands
    • 5.4.2.7 Poland
    • 5.4.2.8 Belgium
    • 5.4.2.9 Sweden
    • 5.4.2.10 Rest of Europe
    • 5.4.3 Asia-Pacific
    • 5.4.3.1 China
    • 5.4.3.2 India
    • 5.4.3.3 Japan
    • 5.4.3.4 Australia
    • 5.4.3.5 Indonesia
    • 5.4.3.6 South Korea
    • 5.4.3.7 Thailand
    • 5.4.3.8 Singapore
    • 5.4.3.9 Rest of Asia-Pacific
    • 5.4.4 South America
    • 5.4.4.1 Brazil
    • 5.4.4.2 Argentina
    • 5.4.4.3 Colombia
    • 5.4.4.4 Chile
    • 5.4.4.5 Peru
    • 5.4.4.6 Rest of South America
    • 5.4.5 Middle East and Africa
    • 5.4.5.1 South Africa
    • 5.4.5.2 Saudi Arabia
    • 5.4.5.3 United Arab Emirates
    • 5.4.5.4 Nigeria
    • 5.4.5.5 Egypt
    • 5.4.5.6 Morocco
    • 5.4.5.7 Turkey
    • 5.4.5.8 Rest of Middle East and Africa

6. COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • 6.1 Strategic Moves
  • 6.2 Market Share Analysis
  • 6.3 Company Profiles (includes Global level Overview, Market level overview, Core Segments, Financials as available, Strategic Information, Market Rank/Share for key companies, Products and Services, and Recent Developments)
    • 6.3.1 Nestlé SA
    • 6.3.2 PepsiCo Inc.
    • 6.3.3 The Coca-Cola Company
    • 6.3.4 General Mills Inc.
    • 6.3.5 Mondelez International
    • 6.3.6 Danone SA
    • 6.3.7 Unilever PLC
    • 6.3.8 Kraft Heinz Co.
    • 6.3.9 Tyson Foods Inc.
    • 6.3.10 JBS SA
    • 6.3.11 Kellogg Co.
    • 6.3.12 Conagra Brands
    • 6.3.13 Hormel Foods Corp.
    • 6.3.14 Grupo Bimbo SAB de CV
    • 6.3.15 Campbell Soup Company
    • 6.3.16 Mars Inc.
    • 6.3.17 Smithfield Foods Inc.
    • 6.3.18 Ajinomoto Co. Inc.
    • 6.3.19 CJ CheilJedang
    • 6.3.20 National Beef Packing Co.

7. MARKET OPPORTUNITIES AND FUTURE OUTLOOK

Global Packaged Food Market Report Scope

Packaged foods are convenience foods produced commercially and distributed for consumer use. The packaging does not just keep food protected to maintain its aesthetic appeal. It also keeps the food fresh so that the taste and quality of the product stay intact. It ensures that the food retains a good shelf life, too, so that customers can keep the item for a set period before it needs to be consumed. The packaged food market is segmented by product type, packaging type, category, distribution channel, and geography. By product type, the market is segmented into dairy and dairy alternatives, confectionery, bakery, snacks, breakfast cereals, meat, poultry and seafood and substitutes, baby food, food spread, ready meals, condiments and sauces and other product types. By category, the market is segmented by conventional and organic. By distribution channel, the market is segmented into supermarkets/hypermarkets, convenience stores, online retail stores, and other distribution channels. By geography, the market is segmented into North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific, South America, and Middle East & Africa. The market sizing has been done in value terms in USD and volume terms in Tons for all the above mentioned segments.

By Product Type
Dairy and Dairy Alternatives
Confectionery
Bakery
Snacks
Meat, Poultry & Seafood and Substitutes
Breakfast Cereals
Baby Food
Food Spread
Ready Meals
Condiments and Sauces
Other Product Types
By Category
Conventional
Natural/Organic/Free-From
By Distribution Channel
Supermarkets / Hypermarkets
Convenience Stores
Online Retail Stores
Other Distribution Channels
By Geography
North America United States
Canada
Mexico
Rest of North America
Europe Germany
United Kingdom
Italy
France
Spain
Netherlands
Poland
Belgium
Sweden
Rest of Europe
Asia-Pacific China
India
Japan
Australia
Indonesia
South Korea
Thailand
Singapore
Rest of Asia-Pacific
South America Brazil
Argentina
Colombia
Chile
Peru
Rest of South America
Middle East and Africa South Africa
Saudi Arabia
United Arab Emirates
Nigeria
Egypt
Morocco
Turkey
Rest of Middle East and Africa
By Product Type Dairy and Dairy Alternatives
Confectionery
Bakery
Snacks
Meat, Poultry & Seafood and Substitutes
Breakfast Cereals
Baby Food
Food Spread
Ready Meals
Condiments and Sauces
Other Product Types
By Category Conventional
Natural/Organic/Free-From
By Distribution Channel Supermarkets / Hypermarkets
Convenience Stores
Online Retail Stores
Other Distribution Channels
By Geography North America United States
Canada
Mexico
Rest of North America
Europe Germany
United Kingdom
Italy
France
Spain
Netherlands
Poland
Belgium
Sweden
Rest of Europe
Asia-Pacific China
India
Japan
Australia
Indonesia
South Korea
Thailand
Singapore
Rest of Asia-Pacific
South America Brazil
Argentina
Colombia
Chile
Peru
Rest of South America
Middle East and Africa South Africa
Saudi Arabia
United Arab Emirates
Nigeria
Egypt
Morocco
Turkey
Rest of Middle East and Africa

Key Questions Answered in the Report

How big will packaged food revenues be by 2031?

The packaged food market is projected to reach USD 8.15 trillion by 2031, reflecting a 4.28% CAGR from 2026 to 2031.

Which product type is growing the fastest?

Dairy and dairy alternatives are forecast to post the highest 4.81% CAGR through 2031 as consumers shift toward plant-based and functional proteins.

What retail channel is expanding most quickly?

Online retail is expected to rise at 5.57% annually, outpacing all other channels due to direct-to-consumer models and rapid delivery services.

Which region offers the strongest growth outlook?

South America leads with an expected 5.03% CAGR to 2031, propelled by e-commerce expansion and improving macroeconomic stability in Brazil and Argentina.

How are brands responding to sustainability demands?

Manufacturers are investing in recyclable and compostable packaging, enzymatic recycling technologies, and blockchain traceability to meet regulatory and consumer expectations.

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