Occupant Classification Systems Market

Name: Occupant Classification Systems Market - Trends, Growth & Share
Creator: Mordor Intelligence
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Occupant Classification Systems Market Size and Share

Market Overview

Study Period	2019 - 2030
Market Size (2025)	USD 3.20 Billion
Market Size (2030)	USD 4.24 Billion
Growth Rate (2025 - 2030)	5.79% CAGR
Fastest Growing Market	South America
Largest Market	Asia Pacific
Market Concentration	Medium
Major Players *Disclaimer: Major Players sorted in no particular order Image © Mordor Intelligence. Reuse requires attribution under CC BY 4.0.

Occupant Classification Systems Market Summary — Image © Mordor Intelligence. Reuse requires attribution under CC BY 4.0.

Occupant Classification Systems Market Analysis by Mordor Intelligence

The occupant classification systems market size is valued at USD 3.2 billion in 2025 and is forecast to reach USD 4.24 billion by 2030, advancing at a 5.79% CAGR. Demand is accelerating as Euro NCAP’s 2026 protocol and China’s GB 15083-2024 rule tighten requirements for real-time occupant detection, prompting automakers to embed more sophisticated sensing arrays. Suppliers are also benefiting from the migration to software-defined vehicles that support over-the-air safety updates, reducing recall costs while extending system life cycles. Asia-Pacific holds a clear lead because its radar module supply chain enables low-cost integration, while South America records the fastest growth as regional regulators mirror global safety norms. Competitive intensity is rising as Tier 1 suppliers add mmWave radar and AI-enabled domain controllers to established air-bag expertise, aiming to secure long-term platform awards with global OEMs.

Key Report Takeaways

By component, sensors led with 64% revenue share in 2024; airbag control units are expanding at an 8.3% CAGR through 2030.
By sensor type, pressure sensors held 48% of the occupant classification systems market share in 2024, while radar sensors are projected to post a 12.4% CAGR to 2030.
By vehicle type, passenger light vehicles commanded 72% share of the occupant classification systems market size in 2024; battery-electric vehicles are progressing at a 10.1% CAGR to 2030.
By sales channel, OEM-fitted solutions accounted for 58% of the occupant classification systems market in 2024, whereas aftermarket kits exhibit the fastest CAGR at 9.9% through 2030.
By geography, Asia-Pacific dominated with a 31% share in 2024; South America is poised for an 8.6% CAGR by 2030.

Global Occupant Classification Systems Market Trends and Insights

Drivers Impact Analysis

DRIVER	(~) % IMPACT ON CAGR FORECAST	GEOGRAPHIC RELEVANCE	IMPACT TIMELINE
Emergence of Low-cost mmWave Radar Modules for In-Cabin Sensing (Asia)	+1.2%	Asia-Pacific, with spillover to North America	Medium term (2-4 years)
NCAP 2026 Mandate on Rear-Seat Belt Reminders (US & EU)	+0.9%	North America & EU, with adoption in emerging markets	Short term (≤ 2 years)
Rapid Uptake of Smart Curtain-Airbag Architectures in SUVs	+0.7%	Global, with concentration in premium SUV segments	Medium term (2-4 years)
Battery-Electric Vehicle (BEV) Skateboard Floors Freeing Space for Embedded OCS	+0.8%	Global, led by China and Europe	Long term (≥ 4 years)
China's GB 15083-2024 Crash-Safety Rule Adding Dynamic Weight-Sensing	+0.6%	China, with regulatory spillover to ASEAN	Short term (≤ 2 years)
Automaker Shift to Software-Defined Vehicles Enabling Over-the-Air OCS Updates	+0.5%	Global, concentrated in premium segments initially	Long term (≥ 4 years)

Source: Mordor Intelligence

Emergence of low-cost mmWave radar modules

Sixty-gigahertz and 77 GHz chips such as Infineon’s BGT60ATR24C now ship at consumer-grade price points, allowing radar to replace weight mats even in sub-USD 25,000 vehicles. These solid-state devices classify adults, children and empty seats under all lighting and temperature conditions, reducing warranty claims linked to foam hysteresis. Asian OEMs rapidly embed the technology to meet China’s new dynamic weight-sensing rule and to standardize platforms for export markets.^{[1]Infineon Technologies, “BGT60ATR24C XENSIV Radar MMIC Detects In-Vehicle Occupancy,” infineon.com}

NCAP 2026 mandate on rear-seat belt reminders

Euro NCAP and NHTSA now require detection of occupied rear seats combined with audiovisual warnings if belts stay unfastened, compelling automakers to deploy multi-sensor arrays that distinguish toddlers, child seats and luggage. Volume deployment boosts economies of scale for radar and capacitive solutions, lowering per-vehicle system cost by up to 18% based on supplier quotations.

BEV skateboard floors freeing sensor space

Flat battery packs open cabin volume that engineers use for distributed sensor placement, enabling floor-integrated pressure cells and seat-frame radar without comfort trade-offs. Zonal 48 V wiring trims harness weight by 85%, creating headroom for additional occupant-monitoring endpoints.

Shift to software-defined vehicles enabling OTA updates

Central domain controllers now push certified algorithm updates over secure channels, eliminating dealer-based ECU reflashes and enabling quick calibration for demographic diversity. The model aligns with OEM efforts to monetize post-sale features, turning occupant classification performance into an upgradable asset rather than a fixed-point specification.

Restraints Impact Analysis

RESTRAINTS	(~) % IMPACT ON CAGR FORECAST	GEOGRAPHIC RELEVANCE	IMPACT TIMELINE
Seat-Foam Hysteresis Causing Calibration Drift in Weight Sensors	-0.8%	Global, particularly affecting cost-sensitive segments	Medium term (2-4 years)
High-GHz Radar Interference with 5G Modules inside EV Cabins	-0.6%	Global, concentrated in premium EV segments	Short term (≤ 2 years)
Tariff-Driven Cost Inflation on MEMS Pressure Cells (US-China)	-0.4%	North America, with spillover to global supply chains	Short term (≤ 2 years)
Consumer Privacy Concerns over Camera-based Occupancy Analytics	-0.3%	North America & EU, with emerging concerns in Asia	Long term (≥ 4 years)

Source: Mordor Intelligence

Seat-foam hysteresis causing calibration drift

Hyper-elastic foams deform over time and temperature, shifting baseline weight-sensor output and prompting costly recalibration. A 2022 MDPI study confirmed drift can exceed 6 kg within two years, enough to misclassify small adults as children, forcing migration to radar or advanced packaging structures.

High-GHz radar interference with 5G modules

When multiple 76-77 GHz sensors operate inside quiet EV cabins, overlap with 71-76 GHz telecom bands can raise packet-error rates and corrupt occupancy data streams, particularly in multi-row SUVs. Mitigation requires adaptive waveform management and EMC shielding, adding between USD 4 and USD 7 in bill-of-material cost per vehicle according to Tier 1 quotations.^{[2]IOPscience, “Compatibility Studies of IMT System and Automotive Radar,” iop.org}

Segment Analysis

By Component: Sensors anchor system value

Sensors captured 64% of 2024 revenue as OEMs relied on multi-modal arrays to fulfill global safety norms. Pressure, capacitive and radar elements together generate the real-time data that air-bag logics demand. Most value accrues to suppliers that can combine hardware stacks with embedded diagnostics to meet ASIL D targets. The airbag control-unit segment is rising at 8.3% CAGR because domain controllers now fuse occupant data with crash algorithms in a single box, trimming harness length and assembly time.

Continental’s ACU Premium platform consolidates restraint logic, enabling OTA calibrations that cut warranty costs by 22% over the vehicle life cycle. Veoneer’s SC3 controller ships in one-fourth of new cars worldwide, reflecting OEM confidence in integrated safety silicon. These examples illustrate how software capability is capturing margin once held solely by discrete sensors within the occupant classification systems market.^{[3]Continental, “Airbag Control Unit (ACU) Premium,” continental-automotive.com}

Occupant Classification Systems Market: Market Share by Component — Image © Mordor Intelligence. Reuse requires attribution under CC BY 4.0.

By Sensor Type: Radar outpaces legacy mats

Pressure mats retained a 48% share in 2024 thanks to low unit cost; yet mmWave radar now posts a 12.4% CAGR as OEMs seek calibration-free accuracy. Capacitive grids address premium interiors where touch surfaces double as HMI, and ultrasonic devices serve compact cabins but face acoustic interference. Dual-mode pressure-plus-radar kits are emerging as a mid-cost solution that leverages existing seat architecture while adding child-presence detection for NCAP scoring.

When comparing lifetime cost, suppliers estimate radar modules lower warranty provisioning by 30% through immunity to foam drift. This risk-reduction advantage underpins radar’s swift share gains within the occupant classification systems market size for new platforms entering production from 2027 onward.

By Vehicle Type: Electrification sets the pace

Passenger light vehicles represented 72% of shipments in 2024; still, battery-electric vehicles grow the fastest at 10.1% CAGR through 2030. Skateboard chassis enable flush-mounted floor sensors, and low-noise cabins highlight the comfort benefits of silent solid-state radar. Plug-in hybrids adopt similar architectures but remain transitional. Commercial vans and light trucks increasingly retrofit occupancy kits to satisfy fleet insurance mandates, opening incremental revenue for sensor suppliers.

Tesla’s 2024 decision to add cabin radar demonstrates how BEVs can leapfrog weight mats and set new baselines for global homologation. As electrification spreads, these design freedoms will extend across mainstream segments, reinforcing radar’s trajectory inside the occupant classification systems market.

Occupant Classification Systems Market: Market Share by Vehicle Type — Image © Mordor Intelligence. Reuse requires attribution under CC BY 4.0.

By Sales Channel: Retrofit demand accelerates

OEM installations dominated with 58% share in 2024; nonetheless, aftermarket kits expand at 9.9% CAGR. Fleet operators retrofit older buses and vans to reduce liability, while consumer demand rises where new-car prices outpace income. Standardized CAN and LIN gateways simplify installation, and printed flexible pressure sensors let installers slide mats beneath existing upholstery without seat teardown, a factor that broadens reach in emerging economies.

IDTechEx projects printed-sensor revenue to approach USD 1 billion within the decade on strong retrofit take-up. As feature-on-demand models gain traction, retrofit channels will serve as test beds for software-enabled safety services across the occupant classification systems industry.

Geography Analysis

Asia-Pacific commanded 31% of 2024 revenue, driven by China’s dynamic weight-sensing regulation and a deep radar supply chain that compresses component costs. Domestic OEMs already represent 40% of Autoliv’s Chinese sales, evidencing local appetite for advanced restraint technologies. Japan pushes driver-condition monitoring for Level-3 autonomy, and South Korea’s EV incentives stimulate radar adoption, creating a robust regional ecosystem around the occupant classification systems market.

North America and Europe set the regulatory tone. Euro NCAP 2026 and NHTSA’s FMVSS 208 revisions harmonize rear-seat alerts and thus standardize sensor specifications. The EU General Safety Regulation II, live since July 2024, bundles occupant detection with drowsiness alarms, driving multi-sensor rollouts. Privacy-minded consumers in both regions prefer radar over camera analytics, shaping supplier roadmaps and reinforcing demand for non-visual sensing within the occupant classification systems market size.

South America marks the fastest trajectory at 8.6% CAGR, as Brazil and Argentina upgrade safety standards and court OEM investment. Argentina’s 2025 traffic law now references autonomous functions, indirectly encouraging occupant-monitoring integration. While price sensitivity limits camera use, flexible pressure sensors and simplified radar bring compliant packages into mid-range models, widening addressable volume. Middle East and Africa remain nascent, but fleet retrofits in the Gulf leverage aftermarket kits to satisfy insurance discounts, indicating gradual diffusion across the global occupant classification systems market.

Occupant Classification Systems Market CAGR (%), Growth Rate by Region — Image © Mordor Intelligence. Reuse requires attribution under CC BY 4.0.

Competitive Landscape

Tier 1 suppliers such as Autoliv, Continental, and ZF claim scale advantages from decades of air-bag engineering yet now pivot toward radar and AI software. Continental’s April 2025 launch of the Aumovio brand ahead of its automotive IPO packages sensor fusion, domain control and cybersecurity in a single stack, targeting the occupant classification systems market’s new software value pools. ZF is carving out its LIFETEC passive-safety arm to sharpen focus on high-growth radar occupant detection, acknowledging investor demand for pure-play safety assets.

Automakers also file patents to own core algorithms: a January 2024 U.S. application from Tesla combines weight sensors with radar presence checks to refine air-bag logic. Start-ups pitch data-centric tools; Anyverse trains occupant models on synthetic datasets to sidestep privacy hurdles, courting OEMs that fear regulatory fines. Component consolidation is visible as chip vendors bundle radar front-ends with on-chip AI accelerators, shortening development cycles for Tier 1 integrators.

Strategic moves underscore convergence. Volvo and ZF jointly unveiled adaptive belts that tighten based on real-time occupant mass, blending restraint hardware with sensor feedback. Autoliv partnered with Formula E to showcase electric-vehicle safety tech, elevating brand equity while harvesting track telemetry for algorithm refinement. These initiatives reveal how product leadership now hinges on software extensibility as much as mechanical reliability inside the occupant classification systems market.

Occupant Classification Systems Industry Leaders

ZF Group
Continental AG
Robert Bosch GmbH
Autoliv Inc.
Denso Corporation
*Disclaimer: Major Players sorted in no particular order

Occupant Classification Systems Market — Image © Mordor Intelligence. Reuse requires attribution under CC BY 4.0.

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Recent Industry Developments

June 2025: Volvo unveiled adaptive seatbelt technology co-patented with ZF that utilizes real-time occupant data to adjust restraint systems based on passenger body type and position, representing a significant advancement in personalized safety systems that integrate with occupant classification platforms.
April 2025: Continental Automotive launched the Aumovio brand during Auto Shanghai 2025, focusing on sensor solutions and assistance systems for software-defined vehicles ahead of the company's planned September 2025 automotive spin-off and IPO, positioning the new entity to compete in advanced occupant monitoring markets.
April 2025: Autoliv announced a partnership with the ABB FIA Formula E World Championship as Official Mobility Safety Partner, beginning April 2025, to enhance automotive safety awareness and develop safety technologies for electric vehicles, including occupant protection systems.
January 2025: Anyverse introduced a reliable occupant monitoring AI system built with synthetic data, addressing the challenge of developing robust occupant classification algorithms without compromising passenger privacy through real-world data collection.

Table of Contents for Occupant Classification Systems Industry Report

1. INTRODUCTION

1.1 Study Assumptions and Market Definition
1.2 Scope of the Study

2. RESEARCH METHODOLOGY

3. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

4. MARKET LANDSCAPE

4.1 Market Overview
4.2 Market Drivers
- 4.2.1 Emergence of Low-cost mmWave Radar Modules for In-Cabin Sensing (Asia)
- 4.2.2 NCAP 2026 Mandate on Rear-Seat Belt Reminders (US and EU)
- 4.2.3 Rapid Uptake of Smart Curtain-Airbag Architectures in SUVs
- 4.2.4 Battery-Electric Vehicle (BEV) Skateboard Floors Freeing Space for Embedded OCS
- 4.2.5 China's GB 15083-2024 Crash-Safety Rule Adding Dynamic Weight-Sensing
- 4.2.6 Automaker Shift to Software-Defined Vehicles Enabling Over-the-Air OCS Updates
4.3 Market Restraints
- 4.3.1 Seat-Foam Hysteresis Causing Calibration Drift in Weight Sensors
- 4.3.2 High-GHz Radar Interference with 5G Modules inside EV Cabins
- 4.3.3 Tariff-Driven Cost Inflation on MEMS Pressure Cells (US-China)
- 4.3.4 Consumer Privacy Concerns over Camera-based Occupancy Analytics
4.4 Value / Supply-Chain Analysis
4.5 Regulatory Outlook
4.6 Technological Outlook
4.7 Emerging Technology Trends
4.8 Pandemic Impact Assessment
4.9 Investment and Funding Analysis
4.10 Porter's Five Forces Analysis
- 4.10.1 Threat of New Entrants
- 4.10.2 Bargaining Power of Buyers
- 4.10.3 Bargaining Power of Suppliers
- 4.10.4 Threat of Substitutes
- 4.10.5 Intensity of Rivalry

5. MARKET SIZE AND GROWTH FORECASTS (VALUE)

5.1 By Component
- 5.1.1 Airbag Control Unit (ACU)
- 5.1.2 Sensors
5.2 By Sensor Type
- 5.2.1 Pressure Sensors
- 5.2.2 Seat-belt Tension Sensors
- 5.2.3 Strain-Gauge Mat Sensors
- 5.2.4 Capacitive Sensors
- 5.2.5 Ultrasonic Sensors
- 5.2.6 60 GHz and 77 GHz Radar Sensors
5.3 By Vehicle Type
- 5.3.1 Passenger Light Vehicles
- 5.3.2 Battery-Electric Vehicles
- 5.3.3 Plug-in Hybrid Vehicles
- 5.3.4 Commercial Light Trucks and Vans
5.4 By Sales Channel
- 5.4.1 OEM-Fitted Systems
- 5.4.2 Aftermarket and Retrofit Kits
5.5 By Geography
- 5.5.1 North America
- 5.5.1.1 United States
- 5.5.1.2 Canada
- 5.5.1.3 Mexico
- 5.5.2 Europe
- 5.5.2.1 United Kingdom
- 5.5.2.2 Germany
- 5.5.2.3 France
- 5.5.2.4 Italy
- 5.5.2.5 Rest of Europe
- 5.5.3 Asia-Pacific
- 5.5.3.1 China
- 5.5.3.2 Japan
- 5.5.3.3 India
- 5.5.3.4 South Korea
- 5.5.3.5 Rest of Asia-Pacific
- 5.5.4 Middle East
- 5.5.4.1 Israel
- 5.5.4.2 Saudi Arabia
- 5.5.4.3 United Arab Emirates
- 5.5.4.4 Turkey
- 5.5.4.5 Rest of Middle East
- 5.5.5 Africa
- 5.5.5.1 South Africa
- 5.5.5.2 Egypt
- 5.5.5.3 Rest of Africa
- 5.5.6 South America
- 5.5.6.1 Brazil
- 5.5.6.2 Argentina
- 5.5.6.3 Rest of South America

6. COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

6.1 Market Concentration
6.2 Strategic Moves
6.3 Market Share Analysis
6.4 Company Profiles (includes Global level Overview, Market level overview, Core Segments, Financials as available, Strategic Information, Market Rank/Share, Products and Services, Recent Developments)
- 6.4.1 ZF Group
- 6.4.2 Continental AG
- 6.4.3 Robert Bosch GmbH
- 6.4.4 Autoliv Inc.
- 6.4.5 Denso Corporation
- 6.4.6 Aptiv PLC
- 6.4.7 Aisin Seiki Co. Ltd
- 6.4.8 IEE Sensing
- 6.4.9 TE Connectivity Ltd
- 6.4.10 ON Semiconductor Corp.
- 6.4.11 Joyson Safety Systems
- 6.4.12 Infineon Technologies AG
- 6.4.13 Veoneer AB
- 6.4.14 Murata Manufacturing Co., Ltd
- 6.4.15 Lear Corporation
- 6.4.16 Hyundai Mobis
- 6.4.17 NXP Semiconductors N.V.
- 6.4.18 STMicroelectronics N.V.
- 6.4.19 Visteon Corporation
- 6.4.20 Flexpoint Sensor Systems Inc.

7. MARKET OPPORTUNITIES AND FUTURE OUTLOOK

7.1 White-space and Unmet-Need Assessment

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Global Occupant Classification Systems Market Report Scope

The study of the occupant classification systems (OCS) market has considered the various offerings from the vendors for sensors and airbag systems, globally. The OCS systems enable the differentiation of passenger seating on the front passenger seat to assist advanced airbag safety systems.

By Component	Airbag Control Unit (ACU)
	Sensors
By Sensor Type	Pressure Sensors
	Seat-belt Tension Sensors
	Strain-Gauge Mat Sensors
	Capacitive Sensors
	Ultrasonic Sensors
	60 GHz and 77 GHz Radar Sensors
By Vehicle Type	Passenger Light Vehicles
	Battery-Electric Vehicles
	Plug-in Hybrid Vehicles
	Commercial Light Trucks and Vans
By Sales Channel	OEM-Fitted Systems
	Aftermarket and Retrofit Kits

By Geography	North America	United States
		Canada
		Mexico

	Europe	United Kingdom
		Germany
		France
		Italy
		Rest of Europe

	Asia-Pacific	China
		Japan
		India
		South Korea
		Rest of Asia-Pacific

	Middle East	Israel
		Saudi Arabia
		United Arab Emirates
		Turkey
		Rest of Middle East

	Africa	South Africa
		Egypt
		Rest of Africa

	South America	Brazil
		Argentina
		Rest of South America

By Component

Airbag Control Unit (ACU)

Sensors

By Sensor Type

Pressure Sensors

Seat-belt Tension Sensors

Strain-Gauge Mat Sensors

Capacitive Sensors

Ultrasonic Sensors

60 GHz and 77 GHz Radar Sensors

By Vehicle Type

Passenger Light Vehicles

Battery-Electric Vehicles

Plug-in Hybrid Vehicles

Commercial Light Trucks and Vans

By Sales Channel

OEM-Fitted Systems

Aftermarket and Retrofit Kits

By Geography

North America	United States
	Canada
	Mexico
Europe	United Kingdom
	Germany
	France
	Italy
	Rest of Europe
Asia-Pacific	China
	Japan
	India
	South Korea
	Rest of Asia-Pacific
Middle East	Israel
	Saudi Arabia
	United Arab Emirates
	Turkey
	Rest of Middle East
Africa	South Africa
	Egypt
	Rest of Africa
South America	Brazil
	Argentina
	Rest of South America

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Key Questions Answered in the Report

What is driving the occupant classification systems market between 2025 and 2030?

The 5.79% CAGR is fueled by stricter safety mandates such as Euro NCAP 2026, China’s GB 15083-2024, and the shift to software-defined vehicles that allow continuous algorithm upgrades.

Which component contributes the most revenue today?

Sensors contribute 64% of 2024 revenue because pressure, capacitive and radar devices provide the raw data that restraint controllers require.

Why are radar sensors gaining share over pressure mats?

Radar avoids calibration drift caused by seat-foam hysteresis and meets new child-presence detection requirements, supporting a 12.4% CAGR through 2030.

Which region will grow the fastest?

South America shows the highest regional CAGR at 8.6% as Brazil and Argentina update safety regulations and attract new vehicle assembly investments.

How are suppliers differentiating in a crowded field?

Tier 1s integrate sensor fusion and OTA-ready domain controllers; for example, Continental’s Aumovio and ZF’s LIFETEC carve-out focus on AI software and vertical integration.

Can existing fleets upgrade to advanced occupant detection?

Yes. Aftermarket kits—expanding at 9.9% CAGR—use printed flexible pressure sensors and standard CAN gateways to retrofit older vehicles with compliant occupant monitoring.