North America Contract Logistics Market Analysis by Mordor Intelligence
The North America Contract Logistics Market size is estimated at USD 72.42 billion in 2025, and is expected to reach USD 84.84 billion by 2030, at a CAGR of 3.12% during the forecast period (2025-2030).
Growing outsourcing of non-core logistics functions, persistent e-commerce volume spikes, and cross-border integration enabled by the USMCA continue to anchor expansion. Transportation services still dominate spend, but value-added activities—ranging from assembly to labeling—record the briskest growth as shippers search for cost-effective customization near end markets. Stable long-term contracts underpin investment in automation and cold-chain infrastructure, while near-shoring to Mexico drives a fresh wave of distribution-center construction. Competitive intensity is heightening as global integrators consolidate scale and regional specialists carve out technology-rich niches.
Key Report Takeaways
- By service type, transportation captured 65% of the North America contract logistics market share in 2024, whereas value-added services are forecast to accelerate at a 3.60% CAGR through 2030.
- By contract duration, agreements longer than three years commanded 57% of the North America contract logistics market size in 2024 and are advancing at a 3.80% CAGR through 2030.
- By end-user industry, manufacturing and automotive held 31% of the North America contract logistics market share in 2024, yet healthcare and pharmaceuticals are poised for a 4.10% CAGR to 2030.
- By country, the United States contributed 78% of regional value in 2024, whereas Mexico is outpacing peers with a 3.30% CAGR over 2025-2030.
North America Contract Logistics Market Trends and Insights
Drivers Impact Analysis
| Driver | (~) % Impact on CAGR Forecast | Geographic Relevance | Impact Timeline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Surging e-commerce fulfillment volumes | +0.8% | Global, strongest in US urban corridors | Short term (≤ 2 years) |
| Outsourcing push for cost & asset-light models | +0.6% | Global, accelerated in Canada and Mexico | Medium term (2-4 years) |
| USMCA-led cross-border flow growth | +0.4% | US-Mexico-Canada trade corridors | Medium term (2-4 years) |
| Near-shoring to Mexico spurring new DC builds | +0.5% | Mexico northern states, US Southwest | Long term (≥ 4 years) |
| SME adoption of AI-enabled 3PL platforms | +0.3% | Global, concentrated in metropolitan areas | Medium term (2-4 years) |
| ESG-linked logistics contracts gaining traction | +0.2% | Global, led by US and Canadian markets | Long term (≥ 4 years) |
| Source: Mordor Intelligence | |||
Surging E-commerce Fulfillment Volumes
Retailers now demand robotics-equipped warehouses, real-time visibility, and omnichannel orchestration. FedEx has deployed autonomous mobile robots and high-speed sorters to cope with package complexity, cutting cycle times and lifting throughput. Logistics providers use AI for demand forecasting and inventory positioning, improving last-mile accuracy for direct-to-consumer and B2B flows. Mid-tier 3PLs increasingly win contracts by offering distributed node networks that slash shipping zones. SME shippers, once priced out of complex solutions, plug into cloud-based 3PL portals that bundle WMS, TMS, and rate shopping features at subscription pricing. These shifts direct more revenue toward outsourced partners and reinforce the importance of value-added services within the North America contract logistics market.
Outsourcing Push for Cost-Efficient Asset-Light Models
Shippers restructure balance sheets by monetizing captive logistics assets while 3PLs pick up warehouses, fleets, and talent. The 2024 State of Logistics report noted a robust uptick in contract logistics revenues, eclipsing traditional trucking segments as volatility made guaranteed capacity critical[1]CSCMP, “2024 State of Logistics Report,” cscmp.org. Longer contracts enable providers to amortize automation investments and devote dedicated labor, producing higher service KPIs for shippers while stabilizing provider cash flows. The trend harmonizes with the North America contract logistics market’s steady shift toward hybrid models that blend dedicated assets with brokerage flexibility.
USMCA-Led Cross-Border Flow Growth
The trilateral trade pact keeps North American freight corridors busy: Mexico remained the United States’ largest partner in 2024, with USD 839 billion in bilateral trade. Laredo handled USD 282 billion in truck freight, underscoring demand for bilingual, compliance-savvy 3PLs[2]Bureau of Transportation Statistics, “TransBorder Freight Data 2024,” bts.gov. Electronic documents such as Mexico’s Complemento Carta Porte heighten paperwork complexity, incentivizing shippers to outsource. Rail alliances connecting Monterrey to the U.S. Southeast cut transit to 8–14 days, intensifying intermodal competition and broadening service menus across the North America contract logistics market.
Near-Shoring to Mexico Spurring New DC Builds
Electronics, automotive, and apparel producers are relocating assembly to Mexico, trimming ocean exposure and inventory buffers. Ports of Manzanillo and Progreso are adding berths and cranes, while CPKC’s single-line service links Canadian origins to Mexican plants without interchange delays. Ryder opened a 228k-square-foot warehouse in Nuevo Laredo to support 250,000 border moves per year. Although bottlenecks persist at congested bridges, enhanced rail and highway spending is set to ease constraints over the long term, reshaping the footprint of the North America contract logistics market.
Restraints Impact Analysis
| Restraint | (~) % Impact on CAGR Forecast | Geographic Relevance | Impact Timeline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Warehouse labor scarcity & wage inflation | -0.4% | Global, acute in US metropolitan areas | Short term (≤ 2 years) |
| Patchy state-level trucking regulations | -0.2% | US interstate commerce corridors | Medium term (2-4 years) |
| Rising cyber-insurance premiums for 3PLs | -0.2% | Global, concentrated in major 3PL hubs | Medium term (2-4 years) |
| EV-truck charging gaps limiting green fleets | -0.3% | Global, most acute in rural corridors | Long term (≥ 4 years) |
| Source: Mordor Intelligence | |||
Warehouse Labor Scarcity & Wage Inflation
Providers reported double-digit pay increases for pickers and forklift drivers in 2024 as unemployment dipped and e-commerce labor demand soared. Robotics deployments rose 23%, partially offsetting shortages while raising capex needs[3]Material Handling & Logistics, “Warehouse Automation Investments Surge,” mhlnews.com. Recruitment incentives, including USD 2,500 signing bonuses, inflate operating costs, but failing to staff facilities risks service penalties. Shippers lacking scale turn to the North America contract logistics market to secure reliable staffing indirectly.
Rising Cyber-Insurance Premiums for 3PLs
Supply-chain digitization escalates cyber-attack vectors: automotive-sector incidents jumped 400% year over year. Insurers responded with premium hikes and tighter underwriting, lifting overhead for asset-light providers whose margins hinge on technology orchestration. Investment in multi-factor authentication, network segmentation, and employee training became table stakes, raising barriers to entry across the North America contract logistics industry.
Segment Analysis
By Service Type: Transportation Holds Sway While Value-Added Services Accelerate
Transportation contributed 65% of 2024 revenue, illustrating freight’s irreplaceable role in the North America contract logistics market. Trucking remains the backbone, carrying 72.2% of U.S.–Mexico and 60.1% of U.S.–Canada flows. Rail supports bulk freight and long-haul consumer goods; air caters to high-value SKUs; ocean feeds coastal DCs. The segment’s scale endures, yet its growth pace remains modest compared with ancillary offerings.
The value-added cluster—assembly, kitting, labeling—posts a 3.60% CAGR through 2030, outpacing every other category. Manufacturers delegate late-stage customization to 3PLs to shrink finished-goods inventory and sharpen market responsiveness. Ryder’s heat-shrinking and blister-sealing lines illustrate how integrated services deepen customer stickiness. Buske Logistics’ kitting programs reclaim plant floor space and elevate throughput. As these solutions mature, providers bundle them with conventional warehousing to lift contractual share of wallet, raising the strategic value of the North America contract logistics market size for shippers looking to rationalize vendor rosters.
Note: Segment shares of all individual segments available upon report purchase
By Contract Duration: Multiyear Deals Signal Capacity Security
Contracts exceeding three years controlled 57% of market value in 2024, expanding at a 3.80% CAGR. Shippers lock in predictable rates and dedicated capacity, while providers justify automation projects with multi-year paybacks. Performance-based pricing and co-invested technology interfaces appear frequently in such agreements, binding parties closer and smoothing demand swings in the North America contract logistics market.
Shorter 1- to 3-year agreements hold relevance for firms piloting e-commerce channels or entering new regions. These contracts often emphasize flexible clauses and review checkpoints. Yet the pandemic underscored the downside of spot reliance, nudging even mid-sized shippers toward longer horizons that safeguard service levels. As freight demand stabilizes, the contract-mix tilt toward extended tenors is likely to persist, boosting the investability of the North America contract logistics industry’s asset base.
By End-User Industry: Manufacturing Dominates, Healthcare Surges
Manufacturing and automotive clients generated 31% of 2024 revenue, exploiting 3PL expertise in just-in-time sequencing, duty management, and in-plant logistics. Near-shoring vehicle assembly to Coahuila and Nuevo León fuels inbound-parts flows and finished-vehicle distribution requiring cross-dock precision.
Healthcare and pharmaceuticals record the swiftest expansion at a 4.10% CAGR to 2030, thanks to rigorous temperature control mandates and serialization laws. DHL earmarked USD 1.1 billion for new life-science facilities in North America, while UPS seeks USD 20 billion in healthcare turnover by 2026 through the Andlauer acquisition. DSCSA enforcement elevates compliance stakes, encouraging drug makers to consolidate providers around validated GDP-compliant hubs. This dynamic enhances the North America contract logistics market’s risk-adjusted growth profile by diversifying vertical exposure beyond cyclical segments.
Geography Analysis
The United States commands 78% of regional revenue, leveraging dense interstate networks, diversified consumption, and a deep labor pool. Key clusters in Southern California’s Inland Empire, Chicago, and Dallas combine port access with intermodal ramps, sustaining high warehouse absorption rates. Canada contributes meaningful volumes through automotive and energy exports. Bilateral freight with the United States totaled USD 761.2 billion in 2024, with Detroit-Windsor and Port Huron corridors moving engines, metals, and plastics. Canadian 3PLs differentiate on transborder know-how and winterized operations, contesting share within the North America contract logistics market.
Mexico is the growth engine at a 3.30% CAGR through 2030, buoyed by USD 839.9 billion in bilateral freight with the United States and surging port investments. Laredo remains the epicenter, yet Santa Teresa’s 44.9% freight increase spotlights diversification efforts. Government modernization of Aduanas facilities and Carrier-friendly labor reforms enhance throughput, making Mexico an indispensable node in the North America contract logistics market size computation for the next decade.
Competitive Landscape
Market concentration is moderate. Deutsche Post DHL, UPS, and FedEx lead on scale, yet regionals such as NFI Industries and GXO Logistics win niche mandates through technology depth or vertical specialization. DSV’s EUR 14.3 billion (USD 14.9 billion) purchase of DB Schenker more than doubles its contract-logistics footprint, creating a revenue leader with 17.5 million m² of warehousing. DHL’s Inmar deal positions it as the biggest reverse-logistics processor, capitalizing on e-commerce return volumes[4]SupplyChain247, “DHL Becomes North America’s Largest Returns Processor,” supplychain247.com. UPS’s Andlauer buy strengthens healthcare exposure, reinforcing a sector focus rather than pure asset accumulation.
Strategic thrusts vary: UPS targets cold chain, FedEx spins off its LTL arm to refocus on parcel agility, and Kuehne + Nagel expands campus-style DCs near Dallas to serve omnichannel merchants. AI-driven visibility, warehouse automation, and carbon dashboards surface as table stakes. Providers emphasizing bilingual cross-border leadership gain an outsized share of near-shoring volumes, crystallizing a service differentiator within the North America contract logistics market.
North America Contract Logistics Industry Leaders
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Deutsche Post DHL Group
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United Parcel Service Inc.
-
FedEx Corp.
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C.H. Robinson Worldwide
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XPO Logistics Inc.
- *Disclaimer: Major Players sorted in no particular order
Recent Industry Developments
- April 2025: DSV completed its EUR 14.3 billion (USD 14.9 billion) acquisition of DB Schenker, forming the sector’s top revenue generator.
- April 2025: UPS closed its USD 1.6 billion Andlauer Healthcare acquisition, expanding cold-chain capability.
- January 2025: DHL Supply Chain bought Inmar Supply Chain Solutions, adding 14 returns centers and 800 staff to its U.S. network.
- June 2024: Ryder opened a 228k-sq-ft warehouse and enlarged its Nuevo Laredo drayage yard, raising annual capacity to 250,000 border moves.
North America Contract Logistics Market Report Scope
Contract logistics is a long-term partnership that covers various services, from shipping goods or replacement parts to delivering final goods to customers. Every stage of distribution and final delivery is handled by the logistics contract's provider.
The North American Contract Logistics Market is segmented by Type (Outsourced and Insourced), End User (Manufacturing and Automotive, Consumer Goods and Retail, High-Tech, Healthcare and Pharmaceuticals, and Other End Users), and Country. The report offers market size and forecasts in Values (USD billion) for all the above segments.
| Transportation | Road |
| Rail | |
| Air | |
| Sea | |
| Warehousing & Distribution | |
| Value-added Services (Assembly, Labelling, Kitting) |
| 1 – 3 Years |
| Above 3 years |
| Manufacturing & Automotive |
| Food & Beverage |
| Retail & E-commerce |
| Healthcare & Pharmaceuticals |
| Chemicals |
| Other Industries |
| United States |
| Canada |
| Mexico |
| By Service Type | Transportation | Road |
| Rail | ||
| Air | ||
| Sea | ||
| Warehousing & Distribution | ||
| Value-added Services (Assembly, Labelling, Kitting) | ||
| By Contract Duration | 1 – 3 Years | |
| Above 3 years | ||
| By End-user Industry | Manufacturing & Automotive | |
| Food & Beverage | ||
| Retail & E-commerce | ||
| Healthcare & Pharmaceuticals | ||
| Chemicals | ||
| Other Industries | ||
| By Country | United States | |
| Canada | ||
| Mexico |
Key Questions Answered in the Report
How large is the North America contract logistics market in 2025?
The market is valued at USD 72.42 billion in 2025 and is forecast to grow at a 3.12% CAGR to USD 84.84 billion by 2030.
Which service type leads spending?
Transportation services account for 65% of 2024 revenue, reflecting heavy reliance on road, rail, air, and sea movements.
Which segment is expanding fastest?
Value-added services such as assembly and kitting post the quickest growth at a 3.60% CAGR through 2030.
Why is Mexico a hot spot for new capacity?
Near-shoring attracts manufacturers to northern Mexico, spurring distribution-center builds and lifting the geography’s growth to a 3.30% CAGR.
What is driving healthcare logistics demand?
Strict temperature control and DSCSA serialization rules are pushing drug makers to outsource to specialized 3PLs, yielding a 4.10% CAGR for the sector.
How concentrated is the competitive landscape?
The market scores 6 on a 10-point scale, with global integrators sharing space with agile regional specialists.
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