Mexico Wind Energy Market Size & Share Analysis - Growth Trends and Forecast (2026 - 2031)

Mexico Wind Energy Market Trends and Insights

Onshore Wind Power is Expected to Dominate the Mexican Wind Energy Market

• In 2023, Mexico registered an increase of about 1.3% in its onshore installed wind power capacity. The country installed 96 MW of new wind power capacity, which increased the total installed wind power capacity to 7413 MW.
• Under its Energy Transition Law, the country aims to generate half of its electricity using clean energy sources by 2034. This goal is supported by the requirements of the Clean Energy Certificate (CEC) and long-term electricity auctions. The Mexican government was primarily focusing on liberalizing the electricity market.
• In March 2024, Sempra Infrastructure, a subsidiary of Sempra, placed a 319 MW order for the Cimarron wind farm in Tecate, in the state of Baja California, Mexico. This is the third phase of the Energia Sierra Juarez Wind Complex, which will have a total installed capacity of 582 MW. The order includes supply and installation of 46 V163-4.5 MW turbines and 18 V162-6.2 MW turbines. Upon completion, Vestas is expected to deliver a 10-year service agreement that will optimize energy production while providing long-term business case certainty for wind farm operations.
• In addition, the opening of the industry to private and foreign investments may drive the onshore wind energy market during the forecast period. Furthermore, the production of wind power in the country was initially driven by environmental concerns. However, these concerns have been superseded by commercial interests.
• Moreover, the increased reliability convinced large companies to invest in renewable energies, such as wind, to fulfill the increasing demand for electricity. In January 2023, the Government of Mexico announced the Sonora plan, which aims at investments of USD 48 billion in solar parks in Sonora state and wind farms in Oaxaca by 2030.
• Hence, with several onshore wind energy projects under operation and others in the planning and construction phase, owing to investment and government policies, the Mexican wind energy market is expected to grow further during the forecast period.

Increasing Investment in Wind Energy Likely to Drive the Market

• Mexico has set ambitious targets for renewable energy capacity expansion for 35% clean energy by 2024. This is in line with its international commitments to combat climate change and is consistent with its local laws, which include the General Climate Change Law and the Energy Transition Law. Though the country-initiated wind power production, due to increasing environmental concerns, the market is largely driven by commercial interests.
• Moreover, factors like escalating demand for renewable energy, favorable government policies, and decreasing cost of equipment are attracting foreign investors for higher investment in the Mexican wind energy market. As of July 2023, Mexico had wind energy infrastructure installed in 14 states around the country. Oaxaca was the state with the highest installed capacity as of that date, with more than 2.7 gigawatts. It was followed by Tamaulipas and Nuevo León. In the past decade
• However, in February 2024, the Mexican Wind Energy Association announced USD 5.8 billion in investment, which remains stalled due to regulatory hurdles affecting 35 wind power generation parks in Mexico. The association also reveals that CRE has held up permits for seven completed plants, totaling 800 MW of installed capacity, along with 28 parks at various development stages, collectively amounting to 5,000 MW.
• In Tamaulipas, there are only 2.3 MW in operation with a wind potential of 22,558 MW. The State Energy Commission also suspended at least 30 wind projects due to a lack of transmission lines from the CFE3. Thus, to boost generation, SENER announced an investment of approximately MXN 8 billion in developing the necessary infrastructure.
• Hence, the aforementioned factors, such as investment and policies, are likely to drive the market studied during the forecast period.

Regulatory Landscape

Mexico's wind power regulation operates within the electricity-sector legal framework administered by SENER, with system operation and interconnection overseen by CENACE and permitting handled by the national energy regulator (CNE). A key anchor is the publication of Regulations to the Electricity Sector Law in the DOF on October 3, 2025, which reinforced a planning-led approach that links new generation to binding planning priorities focused on grid stability, reliability, and security.

In 2026, the permitting pathway tightened further through SENER actions that align renewable additions with the binding planning agenda. SENER published guidelines in April 2026 for the voluntary migration of legacy independent power production permits into the current framework, and issued a Second Call in May 2026 for priority attention to generation-permit and interconnection applications. In parallel, new integration rules increased the compliance burden for variable renewables by embedding energy storage requirements in the approval pathway, requiring developers to pair battery storage with new wind capacity to meet interconnection and reliability criteria.

Value Chain Analysis

Mexico's wind value chain covers project origination and resource assessment, land acquisition and community engagement, environmental and social permitting, equipment procurement (turbines, towers, blades, substations, and controls), civil works and balance-of-plant, grid interconnection with CFE and system coordination via CENACE, and long-term operations and maintenance (O&M). OEMs and EPCs anchor the equipment supply and construction layers, while domestic participation is more concentrated in construction services and O&M, with higher-value components (such as key power electronics and specialized systems) remaining import-dependent.

Interconnection and permitting are the most time-critical choke points shaping how the chain executes. This shows up in 2026 activity where regulators approved grid interconnection milestones and CFE interconnection progress, while the permitting calendar and SENER's May 2026 priority call pushed projects to align with binding planning and new technical requirements. The chain is also adapting to hybridization, with battery energy storage systems increasingly treated as a standard design-and-procurement line item for new wind builds. This is changing contracting scopes, financing packages, and O&M capabilities for wind assets moving through mixed schemes and utility-facing offtake structures.

Market Opportunities and Future Outlook

Near-term whitespace in Mexico's wind market centers on projects moving through the updated permitting and mixed-development framework, alongside the operational need to address grid constraints using hybrid configurations. A tangible opportunity set is the active project pipeline reported at 2,159 MW, which is in regulatory and permitting processes and ties directly to new bidding and evaluation timelines. With regulatory instruments emphasizing binding planning and interconnection readiness, developers that package wind with storage and secure CFE interconnection routes can move from permit stage to execution.

Battery integration has shifted from a project differentiator to a mainstream requirement and commercial lever in tendering and grid-access discussions. This is evidenced by wind awards under mixed schemes that pair large wind blocks with sizable BESS (for example, a 705 MW wind project paired with a 317 MW battery system in Tamaulipas), and by the policy direction linking renewable growth to system reliability and security. As a result, opportunities extend beyond pure generation into storage supply, hybrid plant design, grid-services capability, and long-term O&M models tailored to wind-plus-storage assets operating under CFE-linked structures.