Gas Turbine Market Analysis by Mordor Intelligence
The gas turbine market size is expected to increase from USD 21.11 billion in 2026 to USD 22.47 billion in 2027 and reach USD 31.32 billion by 2032, growing at a CAGR of 6.87% over 2027-2032.
Combined-cycle replacement projects and industrial steam requirements create turbine opportunities at different project stages. Cogeneration in Saudi Arabia links turbine demand to integrated petrochemical utilities, while an Indonesian island-grid fleet offers continuing service opportunities. Fuel-price exposure in the European Union and battery competition in Australian peaking duty make operating economics central to each project's investment case. Suppliers compete through equipment-and-service agreements and consortium delivery, connecting project awards with longer commercial relationships. That mix gives suppliers several revenue routes, but Australian peaking proposals must withstand battery competition on both cost and peak-period revenue.
Key Report Takeaways
- By capacity, turbines above 120 MW held a 58.15% share of the gas turbine market size in 2026, while 30 to 120 MW turbines are forecast to grow fastest at a CAGR of 7.3% over 2027-2032.
- In the type category, combined cycle led with a 75.21% gas turbine market share in 2026 and is forecast to be the fastest-growing segment at a CAGR of 7.3% over 2027-2032.
- Natural gas led the fuel-type category with 90.04% of gas-turbine equipment and service revenue in 2026, while other fuel types, including hydrogen and biogas, are forecast to grow fastest at a CAGR of 16.6% over 2027-2032.
- Across end-user industries, power accounted for 69.87% of gas-turbine equipment and service revenue in 2026, while other end-user industries, including industrial and marine applications, are forecast to grow fastest at a CAGR of 7.5% over 2027-2032.
- Geographically, Asia-Pacific led with 60.01% of gas-turbine equipment and service revenue in 2026 and is forecast to be the fastest-growing region at a CAGR of 7.8% over 2027-2032.
Note: Market numbers in this report are based on Mordor Intelligence's proprietary estimation framework, which combines nine months of actuals with Q4 projections for base year 2026.
Market Trends and Insights
Drivers Impact Analysis of Gas Turbine Market*
| Driver | (~) % Impact on CAGR Forecast | Geographic Relevance | Impact Timeline |
|---|---|---|---|
| LNG-linked Island Grids in SEA Driving Mobile Aeroderivative Demand | +3% | Indonesia's isolated-grid locations | Short term (≤ 2 years) |
| Petrochemical Cogeneration Build-out in Middle East | +4.5% | Petrochemical sites in Saudi Arabia | Medium term (2-4 years) |
| Disaster-Relief Leasing Surge for Aeroderivative Sets in Caribbean | +1% | Caribbean island power systems | Short term (≤ 2 years) |
| Source: Mordor Intelligence | |||
LNG-linked Island Grids in SEA Driving Mobile Aeroderivative Demand
Isolated island grids turn local electricity requirements into demand for on-site aeroderivative turbine capacity. PT PLN Batam operated 20 TM2500 Gen4 SAC gas turbines across 9 isolated-grid locations in Indonesia in 2026. Serving separate isolated grids distributes the equipment requirement across individual sites rather than concentrating it at one interconnected generating station. That deployment also gives overhaul timing and parts supply a recurring commercial role across a substantial fleet. The common turbine platform makes the operator a fleet-scale customer, while each isolated location gives the supplier a separate availability requirement. An equipment supplier can address several local generating requirements through one fleet relationship, provided its delivery and support reach the dispersed locations.
Petrochemical Cogeneration Build-out in Middle East
Petrochemical expansion creates turbine demand tied to simultaneous steam and electricity requirements, giving cogeneration a distinct industrial investment basis. In September 2026, MEED reported continuing construction of the Najim cogeneration facility for the Amiral petrochemicals complex in Jubail, Saudi Arabia. The facility is planned to supply up to 475 MW of power and approximately 452 metric tons of steam per hour. Also in September, MEED reported, citing sources, that Petrokemya selected Siemens Energy for its planned 730 MW electricity and steam cogeneration project in Jubail. Supplier selection and construction create different commercial entry points within the same regional build-out.
Disaster-Relief Leasing Surge for Aeroderivative Sets in Caribbean
When a disaster interrupts an island grid, restoring essential loads creates a temporary need for generating capacity before permanent repairs are complete. For a Caribbean utility facing that gap, leased aeroderivative sets offer a way to acquire discrete generating units for the restoration period. Portability and rapid installation matter in this application because the buyer needs power at the affected location while network repairs proceed. Lease duration and transition terms can match that temporary generating requirement to an uncertain restoration timetable. The supplier's fleet decision is then how much deployable capacity to reserve for recovery work rather than commit to longer assignments.
Restraints Impact Analysis of Gas Turbine Market*
| Restraint | (~) % Impact on CAGR Forecast | Geographic Relevance | Impact Timeline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gas-price Volatility Following Russia's Invasion of Ukraine Curtailing EU Projects | -0.7% | European Union member states | Short term (≤ 2 years) |
| Utility-scale Battery Storage Displacing Peaking Turbines (US/Australia) | -0.6% | Australian National Electricity Market | Short term (≤ 2 years) |
| ESG-driven Financing Restrictions informed by EU Taxonomy | -0.2% | European Union member states | Medium term (2-4 years) |
| Super-alloy Supply-Chain Shortages for Large-Frame Hot-gas-path Parts | -0.3% | United States, United Kingdom and Germany | Medium term (2-4 years) |
| Source: Mordor Intelligence | |||
Gas-price Volatility Following Russia's Invasion of Ukraine Curtailing EU Projects
EU wholesale gas prices rose early in 2025 after Russian pipeline gas exports via Ukraine halted in January 2025. The European Commission's EU wholesale gas benchmark, based on Dutch TTF day-ahead prices, averaged EUR 36/MWh (USD 40.7/MWh) in 2025, 5% above 2024 but 22% below 2021. At an unchanged electricity selling price, a higher gas bill leaves less cash flow to repay the initial turbine equipment investment. An annual average can also conceal the timing of a short-term increase within the operating year. A developer whose proposal works only at that average has limited room to absorb a recurrence of the early-year price pressure.
Utility-scale Battery Storage Displacing Peaking Turbines (US/Australia)
Australian peaking proposals must connect the cost of new capacity with the electricity prices available during their intended operating period. CSIRO's July 2026 GenCost report found that 4-hour batteries cost less than large open-cycle gas turbines in Australia.[1] It expected that cost advantage to widen over the following 2 years. The report also linked added battery capacity to lower peak-evening prices in the National Electricity Market as batteries competed with traditional gas generation. Those price effects connect turbine economics to competing capacity already added to the system. A turbine proposal can therefore lose potential repayment headroom through lower peak prices before its developer makes a final equipment choice.
*Our forecasts treat driver/restraint impacts as directional, not additive. The impact forecasts reflect baseline growth, mix effects, and variable interactions.
Gas Turbine Market Segment Analysis
By Capacity:
Large Programs Anchor Revenue While Factory Conversions Expand DemandTurbines above 120 MW accounted for a 58.15% share of the gas turbine market size in 2026, making them the largest segment. As turbine manufacturer and turnkey contractor, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries completed 10 M701JAC units across 3 combined-cycle sites in Thailand by January 2025. The M701JAC's published 2015 and 2018 simple-cycle ISO base ratings are 574 MW and 448 MW, respectively, placing both versions above 120 MW. The Thailand program covered 6,700 MW of total combined-cycle plant output. Winning this kind of program requires manufacturing capacity and turnkey execution capability, since the same contractor delivers both turbines and complete plants.
Turbines rated 30 to 120 MW are the fastest-growing segment, with a forecast CAGR of 7.3% over 2027-2032. In November 2025, Mitsubishi Power received an H-25 order for Chang Chun Petrochemical's Miaoli cogeneration facility in Taiwan through Mitsubishi Corporation Machinery. The turbine's output is approximately 30 MW, and operation was scheduled around the end of 2028. The factory project was designed to convert boilers fired by heavy oil and coal to a natural-gas-fired system supplying electricity and steam. Here, equipment demand comes from redesigning an industrial utility system, giving the capacity band a route into factory conversion projects with a specified combined power-and-steam requirement.
By Type:
Combined-Cycle Procurement Connects Replacement Plants With Long-Term OperationCombined cycle was the largest segment at 75.21% of industry revenue in 2026 and is forecast to be the fastest-growing segment, with a CAGR of 7.3% over 2027-2032. Siemens Energy's May 2026 agreement with Mai-Liao Power Corporation covered equipment and long-term service for 2 planned 1,200 MW combined-cycle units in Taiwan.[2] The new plant would replace 1,800 MW of coal-fired generation, with commercial operation scheduled by December 31, 2029. That replacement links turbine demand to a generator's transition between generating assets, while the service agreement extends the supplier relationship beyond equipment delivery. The planned plant's total capacity exceeds the coal capacity it would replace, so replacement also creates an expansion opportunity for turbine suppliers.
Engineering, procurement and construction (EPC) contractors also shape the segment's turbine orders by connecting equipment selection with responsibility for plant delivery. In May 2025, GE Vernova secured an order for 5 of its 7H-class gas turbines from the Técnicas Reunidas and Orascom Construction EPC joint venture for Saudi Arabia's 3 GW Qurayyah combined-cycle expansion. The expansion included readiness to build a carbon-capture unit. That EPC procurement structure places the turbine package within the contractor's wider responsibility for delivering the generating plant. The planned carbon-capture interface gives the equipment bid an integration requirement beyond supplying the specified turbine units.
By Fuel Type:
Natural Gas Dominates While Hydrogen Capability Shapes New EquipmentNatural gas represented a 90.04% gas turbine market share in 2026, making it the largest segment. Natural gas made up 44% of Georgia Power's own 2025 capacity mix, measured for that fuel on designated or demonstrated capacity. In June 2026, the U.S. Department of Energy described Georgia Power's plan to purchase and install 3 nominal 463 MW simple-cycle turbines at Plant Yates in Georgia. Commercial operation of the 3 units was planned for December 2026, May 2027 and August 2027, respectively. Each Plant Yates unit is dual fuel, so this natural-gas utility project also carries a fuel-oil capability requirement.
Other fuel types, including hydrogen and biogas, are the fastest-growing segment, with a forecast CAGR of 16.6% over 2027-2032. In October 2025, PacificLight Power awarded Mitsubishi Power and Jurong Engineering an EPC contract for a 670 MW combined-cycle plant on Singapore's Jurong Island. The plant is designed for a fuel blend containing 30% hydrogen and future operation entirely on hydrogen, with operations planned for 2029. This commercial commitment makes fuel flexibility part of the equipment configuration before the plant begins operation. In September 2026, PacificLight's subsidiary PLM Power broke ground on the plant, moving the hydrogen-capable project from contract award into construction.
By End-User Industry:
Utility Scale Meets Distinct Industrial and Naval RequirementsPower was the largest segment, accounting for 69.87% of industry revenue in 2026. Vietnam Electricity broke ground on October 20, 2026, on Vietnam's planned 1,612.8 MW LNG-fired Quang Trach II combined-cycle power plant. Mitsubishi Power also received a September 2025 contract with CTCI for Taiwan Power Company's planned 5-unit, 2,800 MW Tung Hsiao plant, with sequential operations scheduled for 2030 to 2031. These utility-led programs turn generation requirements into multi-unit project commitments involving equipment and plant delivery. For Taiwan Power Company, sequential commissioning would phase the availability of new generation, so the contracted capacity would not arrive as a single operating block.
Other end-user industries, including industrial and marine applications, are the fastest-growing segment, with a forecast CAGR of 7.5% over 2027-2032. In September 2025, Mitsubishi Power received an order for a 100-MW-class combined-cycle plant using blast-furnace gas at Jiangsu Lihuai Steel's Huai'an steelworks, with operation planned for 2027. GE Aerospace announced an April 2025 order for 8 LM500 marine gas turbines for ships 9 through 12 in the Republic of Korea Navy's PKX-B Batch-II program. Hanwha Aerospace is the in-country engine assembly and testing licensee. The programs show distinct growth routes, from matching a steelworks' process fuel to supplying turbine hardware within a naval assembly chain, giving suppliers application-specific ways to participate beyond utility generation.
Geography Analysis
Asia-Pacific Gas Turbine Market
Asia-Pacific was the largest region with a 60.01% share of the gas turbine market size in 2026 and is forecast to be the fastest-growing, with a CAGR of 7.8% over 2027-2032. Doosan Enerbility's September 30, 2026, Petrovietnam contract covers Vietnam's planned 1,155 MW O Mon III combined-cycle plant, with EPC alongside Petrovietnam subsidiary PTSC and Doosan steam-turbine supply, targeting completion by 2030. Malakoff's February 2026 Mitsubishi Power agreement allowed manufacturing/delivery slot reservations for 2 M701JAC turbine-generator sets at a planned 1,400 MW northern Peninsular Malaysia plant, contingent on a definitive supply agreement. O Mon III gives the contractor a defined delivery commitment, while the Malakoff reservation leaves the equipment sale dependent on a definitive supply agreement.
In the rest of Europe, Energa Group was building a combined-cycle plant in Gdańsk, Poland, in October 2026 as flexible capacity for the national electricity system. In the rest of Asia-Pacific, AGL agreed in October 2025 to buy 4 Siemens AB gas turbines for Western Australia's Kwinana Swift Gas 2 firming project, approved for investment in March 2026. In South America, Brazil's approximately 1.7 GW GNA II plant began commercial operation in May 2025, with a 500 kV grid connection and a private LNG terminal serving its complex. In the rest of South America, Guyana's September 2026 Wales project update described preparation of its first turbine to receive natural gas before expected December firing and testing. For a South American plant developer, procuring a turbine leaves fuel access and grid connection as separate requirements for delivering power.
In the rest of the Middle East and Africa, Mitsubishi Power's January 2026 Facility E turbine contract in Qatar serves a planned project combining electricity generation and desalination. In North America, on October 6, 2026, Doosan Enerbility shipped a gas turbine for U.S. company SpaceXAI for planned deployment in U.S. power and AI infrastructure. In the United Arab Emirates, Fujairah Power Company F3 LLC began commercial operation of its natural-gas combined-cycle plant on July 12, 2025. Emirates Water and Electricity Company (EWEC) was that project company's electricity offtaker. Its power purchase agreement with EWEC tied the generation business to long-term contracted electricity sales.
Regulatory Framework and Outlook
The comparison assesses selected jurisdictions from the perspective of developers of gas-fired power plants, covering emissions duties, project authorizations and forward policy direction. The United Kingdom comparison covers medium-combustion permitting in England and Wales and UK Emissions Trading Scheme (UK ETS) exposure for covered power generators in Great Britain. The United States stationary-turbine standards effective January 15, 2026, cover affected sources beginning construction, modification or reconstruction after December 13, 2024. Separating equipment emissions specifications from licensing and carbon-pricing obligations clarifies where each regime affects the developer's project.
Regulatory Table of Gas Turbine Market
| Decision factor | United States | United Kingdom | China | Brazil | South Africa |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Primary authority | Environmental Protection Agency | Environment Agency in England; Natural Resources Wales in Wales; UK ETS Authority for scheme policy | Ministry of Ecology and Environment | Agência Nacional de Energia Elétrica (ANEEL); Instituto Brasileiro do Meio Ambiente e dos Recursos Naturais Renováveis (IBAMA) | Area licensing authority under the Air Quality Act |
| Key instruments or direction | Stationary-turbine nitrogen-oxide standards under 40 CFR 60, subpart KKKKa; September 2026 final decision to repeal new base-load turbine carbon-capture-based Phase 2 greenhouse-gas standards; further rescission proposed | England/Wales medium-combustion permits; Great Britain power-sector UK ETS Phase II from 2031, with its cap trajectory subject to further consultation | GB 13223-2011 thermal-power emissions standard; March 2026 draft revision | REN 1.071/2023 authorization; LC 140/11 and Decree 8.437/15 licensing allocation | Air Quality Act; listed gas combustion for steam raising or electricity generation at ≥50 MW heat input per unit on a lower-calorific-value basis |
| Commercial effect | Federal combustion-emissions compliance; site permitting may impose stricter requirements | Air-emissions permits for covered medium plants; carbon-allowance exposure for covered generators | Emissions-control design and monitoring for covered thermal plants | Generation authorization above 5,000 kW; federal environmental licensing at installed capacity ≥300 MW or under other federal criteria; projects outside federal criteria must consult state/municipal rules | Provisional or standard atmospheric-emissions license for covered listed activities |
| Current policy attractiveness | High | Medium | Medium | Medium | Medium |
| Future direction of policy attractiveness | Easing | Hardening | Hardening | No change | Easing |
| Source: Mordor Intelligence | |||||
The United States' September 2026 final repeal decision for new base-load turbines' carbon-capture-based Phase 2 greenhouse-gas standards points toward easing, while Great Britain's 2031-2040 UK ETS extension prolongs carbon-pricing exposure. China's March 2026 draft would adjust air-pollutant limits and add compliance-determination requirements for covered thermal power plants and gas turbine units, so operators would face revised limits and compliance tests if adopted. Brazil's July 2026 provisional capacity-trading changes and September 2026 operational-classification consultation address market administration, while generating and environmental authorizations continue to define project-entry requirements. South Africa's October 7, 2026, proposed capacity determination prioritizing 5,000 MW of gas-to-power supports a better project-pipeline outlook alongside provisional or standard licensing duties for covered listed activities.
Value Chain Stages
The comparison follows turbine equipment from manufacture through plant integration and lifecycle service, separating the activities that generate supplier revenue. Siemens Energy supplies options ranging from core turbines to complete gas-fired power plants. GE Vernova's Gas Power business manufactures turbines in Greenville and repairs utility customers' turbine components in Richmond. A core-turbine sale leaves plant integration outside that equipment scope, while a complete-plant offer brings those interfaces into the supplier's bid.
Value Chain Analysis Table of Gas Turbine Market
| Primary activity | Key participants | Value capture | Bottleneck | Resilience response |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Turbine manufacture and packaging | Turbine manufacturers such as Siemens Energy AG, GE Vernova Inc. | Turbine and package sales | Matching package boundaries to plant requirements | Define equipment interfaces before production |
| Plant engineering and integration | EPC contractors such as Doosan Enerbility Co., Ltd., SEPCO-3 | Engineering, procurement and construction contract revenue | Coordinating design, installation and commissioning handovers | Assign interface responsibility and staged acceptance tests |
| Lifecycle maintenance and component repair | Service providers such as Siemens Energy AG, Mitsubishi Power, GE Vernova Inc. | Service contracts, parts sales and repair fees | Coordinating field work with component repair scope | Connect field diagnosis with planned repair routing |
| Source: Mordor Intelligence | ||||
Mitsubishi Power provides field service, parts, upgrades, remote monitoring and component repair, giving it several points of participation after installation. This service range makes the relationship between equipment condition and repair scope commercially significant, because different interventions generate different supplier work. Mitsubishi Heavy Industries' 2025 GTCC briefing said long-term after-sales contracts are often signed with new installation orders, so the service position is frequently settled when the equipment is sold.
Competitive Landscape
Market Concentration
Competition combines established utility turbine platforms, fleet-service businesses and specialist marine suppliers, giving the industry a concentrated core with differentiated applications. Mitsubishi Heavy Industries Ltd. participates through Mitsubishi Power's aftermarket business, while GE Vernova Inc. and Siemens Energy AG supply gas turbine technology. Rolls-Royce Holdings plc serves marine applications, and Ansaldo Energia SpA participates in combined-cycle construction and long-term gas turbine maintenance. In June 2026, GE Vernova reported 128 installed HA units operating in 21 countries.[3] Rolls-Royce's MT30 marine gas turbine, selected in May 2025 for the Republic of Korea Navy's FFX Batch IV frigate program, competes in a naval application where utility fleet size is not the relevant measure.
In June 2026, Mitsubishi Power's Philippine after-sales arm signed a long-term agreement covering parts and services for existing M501G turbines at Ilihan in the Philippines. MHI Power (Philippines) Plant Services Corporation was the supplier signatory, and LNGPH contracted through South Premiere Power Corporation. Also in June 2026, Associated Electric Cooperative selected Siemens Energy's SGT6-9000HL turbine for its Bristow natural-gas peaking plant in Oklahoma. These awards separate access to an installed fleet from equipment selection for a new project, with Ilihan showing that service work can be contracted without a new turbine sale.
Ansaldo Energia joined the consortium selected through public procurement in April 2025 to construct MVM's Tisza combined-cycle plant in Hungary and provide long-term maintenance of its gas turbines. The consortium includes Çalık Enerji Swiss AG, while MVM is the project owner. The project commenced in January 2026 and is expected to be fully operational from 2030. The procurement puts plant construction and long-term gas turbine maintenance inside one consortium-level commitment. An equipment-only challenger would need a maintenance-capable partner to pursue that combined scope.
Gas Turbine Industry Leaders
-
Mitsubishi Heavy Industries Ltd.
-
GE Vernova Inc.
-
Siemens Energy AG
-
Rolls-Royce Holdings plc
-
Ansaldo Energia SpA
- *Disclaimer: Major Players sorted in no particular order
Gas Turbine Market Companies Covered in this Report
- GE Vernova Inc.
- Siemens Energy AG
- Mitsubishi Heavy Industries Ltd.
- Kawasaki Heavy Industries Ltd.
- Ansaldo Energia SpA
- Everllence SE
- Wärtsilä Oyj Abp
- Rolls-Royce Holdings plc
- Solar Turbines Incorporated
- Capstone Green Energy Holdings, Inc.
- Doosan Enerbility Co., Ltd.
- IHI Corporation
- Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited
- Harbin Electric Co. Ltd.
- Shanghai Electric Group Co. Ltd.
- Destinus OPRA BV
- Baker Hughes Company
- Vericor Power Systems LLC
- Zorya-Mashproekt
- Nanjing Turbine & Electric Machinery Group
Key Opportunities for Market Participants
The comparison distinguishes equipment opportunities in Canadian and German generation projects from the associated opening for future turbine service revenue. In July 2026, IESO Nova Scotia opened procurement for one or 2 fast-acting 300 MW natural-gas facilities, permitting combustion turbines or reciprocating engines, with proposals due January 21, 2027. EnBW's potential Karlsruhe combined-cycle project largely depends on winning a German government capacity tender, with a competitive tendering process planned for December 29, 2026. Tender outcomes determine whether these buyer requirements become turbine equipment and service contracts.
Market Opportunities Table of Gas Turbine Market
| Opportunity | Why now | Buyer / lead segment | Recommended play | Main barrier | Likely beneficiaries |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Canadian fast-acting turbine packages | Open generation procurement | Prospective Nova Scotia plant developers | Propose a turbine configuration matched to the RFP | Competition from the eligible reciprocating-engine alternative | Turbine manufacturers and package suppliers |
| Conditional German combined-cycle equipment | Capacity-tender-linked development | EnBW's potential Karlsruhe project | Structure equipment and service terms around an award condition | Dependence on winning a capacity contract | Large-turbine equipment and service providers |
| Lifecycle service for prospective Canadian turbines | New-facility proposals create a future service opening | Prospective turbine-plant operators in Nova Scotia | Quote parts, repair and maintenance alongside the turbine proposal | Engine selection would remove the turbine-service opening | Turbine aftermarket providers |
| Source: Mordor Intelligence | |||||
The central opening is to link turbine equipment proposals with a defined service offer while the generating technology remains undecided. Nova Scotia's allowance for reciprocating engines makes that service opportunity conditional on the turbine configuration winning the equipment decision. An integrated bid therefore connects the initial equipment decision with the prospective maintenance economics facing the same project developer.
Recent Industry Developments in Gas Turbine Market
- Oct 2026: Vietnam Electricity broke ground on Quang Trach II in Vietnam on October 20, a planned 1,612.8 MW LNG-fired combined-cycle power plant.
- Oct 2026: Doosan Enerbility shipped a gas turbine for U.S. company SpaceXAI on October 6 for planned deployment in U.S. power and AI infrastructure.
- Sep 2026: MEED reported, citing sources, that Petrokemya selected Siemens Energy as turbine supplier for its planned 730 MW electricity and steam cogeneration project in Jubail, Saudi Arabia.
Gas Turbine Market Report Scope and Research Methodology
Market Definition and Coverage
The global gas turbine market measures annual revenue from industrial gas turbine equipment and services for installed turbines worldwide. It classifies that revenue by turbine capacity, operating cycle, fuel, end-user industry, and region.
Scope exclusions: Aviation-only turbines, microturbines rated below 1 MW, and non-gas turbine equipment such as steam turbines and wind turbines are excluded.
Segments Covered in This Report
- By Capacity
- Below 30 MW
- 30 to 120 MW
- Above 120 MW
- By Type
- Combined Cycle
- Simple/Open Cycle
- Cogeneration/CHP
- By Fuel Type
- Natural Gas
- Liquid Fuels (Diesel/Kerosene/LPG)
- Other Fuel Types (Hydrogen, Biogas)
- By End-User Industry
- Power
- Oil and Gas
- Other End-user Industries (Industrial, Marine)
- By Geography
- North America
- United States
- Canada
- Mexico
- Europe
- United Kingdom
- Germany
- France
- Italy
- Spain
- Russia
- Rest of Europe
- Asia-Pacific
- China
- India
- Japan
- South Korea
- ASEAN Countries
- Rest of Asia-Pacific
- South America
- Brazil
- Argentina
- Chile
- Rest of South America
- Middle East and Africa
- Saudi Arabia
- United Arab Emirates
- South Africa
- Egypt
- Rest of Middle East and Africa
- North America
Data Sources, Market Sizing, and Validation
Desk Research
Desk research draws on public sources such as the U.S. Energy Information Administration's Electric Power Monthly and capacity advisories for generation by turbine technology and installed or planned capacity, the Department of Energy's gas turbine power plant guide for cycle configurations and efficiency, and the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency's stationary turbine standards for emissions and regulatory context. These series help distinguish equipment demand from power output and provide independent indicators of utilization, capacity additions, cycle mix, and technology change.
Company annual reports, regulatory filings, investor presentations, project disclosures, and reputable energy trade press can supplement these sources by identifying gas turbine equipment and service revenue, order timing, project capacity, and fleet support activity. Analysts can compare those records with public generation and capacity trends. The named sources are illustrative rather than exhaustive, and further sources inform collection, validation and clarification.
Primary Interviews and Surveys
Structured interviews and surveys would include gas turbine manufacturers, service providers, component suppliers, power utilities, independent power producers, oil and gas operators, industrial and marine buyers, and engineering, procurement and construction firms across APAC, EMEA, and the Americas. Respondents would test secondary findings on equipment and service revenue, project timing, capacity and technology choices, regional demand, and forecast drivers, while unresolved gaps would be recorded and checked against company disclosures, project evidence, and independent capacity or generation indicators.
Distribution of primary research fieldwork respondents
| Company type | Respondent position | Region |
|---|---|---|
| Top tier: 35% | CXOs: 20% | APAC: 40% |
| Mid tier: 45% | Functional/Unit leaders: 35% | EMEA: 30% |
| Smaller Players: 20% | Managers: 45% | Americas: 30% |
Market-Sizing & Forecasting
The model starts top down with global annual revenue for industrial gas turbine packages rated at least 1 MW and separately billed inspection, maintenance, repair, and overhaul, then divides the estimate across capacity, operating cycle, fuel, end-user, and regional categories using supplier disclosures, contract evidence, installed capacity, project pipeline, and service-fleet indicators. Capacity additions and retirements, gas-fired generation and utilization, announced turbine orders and plant commissioning schedules, service activity across the installed fleet, and disclosed package pricing provide market-specific indicators. Capacity and project records inform equipment demand, generation and utilization inform replacement and operating needs, and pricing and service records help distinguish nominal revenue growth from changes in equipment mix and aftermarket work.
Forecasts use scenario analysis around electricity demand, fuel availability and cost, grid flexibility needs, and project schedules, with explicit low, central, and high paths when these drivers are uncertain. Annual revenue forecasts are carried separately for equipment and services before their supported category shares are derived. Selective bottom-up checks use sampled turbine project capacity and disclosed package values or service-contract amounts to test regional and capacity-band totals, and gaps in unit pricing or fleet coverage are bounded with comparable disclosed projects and company filings rather than treated as observed values. When supplier filings combine turbine activity with other equipment, analysts use a separated figure only when the disclosure provides a supportable basis. Primary respondents can challenge each driver's direction, timing, and applicability to their market and explain differences between expected orders, commissioning, and service revenue, after which the model is reconciled with independent project, capacity, generation, and company evidence.
Data Validation & Update Cycle
Analysts triangulate company disclosures, tender and project records, public capacity and generation series, and primary responses, checking that equipment awards, commissioning, service work, units, and revenue periods are not counted twice. They investigate large year-to-year changes, unexplained regional or segment shifts, and differences between supplier totals and sampled project checks, document resolutions, and re-contact respondents when a material assumption, project status, price, or scope clarification could change an estimate. When project capacity, reported timing, or pricing conflicts across sources, analysts trace the difference to original filings or project notices before accepting a revision. The dataset is refreshed annually, updated between cycles when material events alter project timing or operating assumptions, and reviewed in a fresh pre-delivery pass by an analyst who checks calculations, source dates, boundary consistency, and the final narrative.
Mordor Intelligence's Global Gas Turbine Market Estimate Compared With Other Published Estimates
Published estimates can differ in the transactions and products they count and the inputs used to model demand. The global gas turbine market measures annual revenue from industrial gas turbine equipment and services for installed turbines worldwide.
Key Gap Drivers include the study's defined coverage and market-specific modeling choices. Capacity additions and retirements, gas-fired generation and utilization, announced turbine orders and plant commissioning schedules, service activity across the installed fleet, and disclosed package pricing provide market-specific indicators.
Benchmark comparison
| Source | Market Size | Gaps in Research Methodology |
|---|---|---|
| Mordor Intelligence | USD 22.47 B (2027) | |
| Global Research Publisher A | USD 31 B (2025) | At its 2025 base, this estimate is 38.0% above this report's 2027 value of USD 22.47 B, 2 years later. The published total combines gas and steam turbine markets, adding steam turbine revenue beyond this gas turbine boundary. |
| Global Research Publisher B | USD 18.9 B (2021) | At its 2021 base, this estimate is 15.9% below this report's 2027 value of USD 22.47 B, 6 years later. The estimate is based on an earlier year and its stated end-user coverage names power generation and oil and gas. |
Mordor Intelligence's analysts triangulate company disclosures, tender and project records, public capacity and generation series, and primary responses, checking that equipment awards, commissioning, service work, units, and revenue periods are not counted twice.
Key Questions Answered in the Report
What is the gas turbine market size and expected growth?
The size is expected to reach USD 22.47 billion in 2027 and USD 31.32 billion by 2032, with a CAGR of 6.87% over 2027-2032.
What drives demand for industrial gas turbines?
Petrochemical cogeneration in Saudi Arabia supports demand by combining electricity and steam requirements, illustrated by the Najim facility under construction for Amiral.
Which gas turbine capacity segment leads the industry?
Units above 120 MW held 58.15% of gas-turbine equipment and service revenue in 2026.
Which companies compete for industrial and marine gas turbine business?
Major suppliers include Mitsubishi Heavy Industries Ltd., GE Vernova Inc., Siemens Energy AG, Rolls-Royce Holdings plc and Ansaldo Energia SpA.
What limits the investment case for gas-fired peaking turbines?
CSIRO's July 2026 GenCost report found that 4-hour batteries cost less than large open-cycle gas turbines in Australia, creating competitive pressure in peaking duty.
Which region leads gas turbine equipment and services?
Asia-Pacific held 60.01% of gas-turbine equipment and service revenue in 2026 and is forecast to grow fastest at a CAGR of 7.8% over 2027-2032.