Commercial Real Estate Market in Mexico - Growth, Trends, and Forecast (2020-2025)

The commercial real estate market in Mexico is segmented by type (office, retail, industrial, logistics, multi-family, and hospitality) and by key cities.

Market Snapshot

Study Period:

2016-2025

Base Year:

2019

CAGR:

12.57 %

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Market Overview

Mexico’s economy is driven by domestic consumption and intraregional trade. While the conclusion of NAFTA renegotiations in 2018 removed some uncertainty, the new President’s early actions have given mixed messages at best, uncertainty remains in Mexico with questionable initial policies of its new President. Rising prosperity and growth, in turn, are fueling demand for all types of goods, services, and modern real estate. According to a newsletter by the Mexican Association, the real estate sector is expected to grow by 6% in 2019.

The outlook for commercial real estate remains positive due to the enormously strong domestic market, particularly the rising middle class and improving the performance of its manufacturing sector. The market is fertile ground for development, investment, and diversification due to the increase in funding sources and the real estate asset demand. There is a rise in demand from foreign investors too. American and Canadian buyers are returning to Mexico, after a several-year slump, due to low oil prices and the strong US dollar.

Scope of the Report

The report provides key insights into the Mexican commercial real estate market. It includes technological developments, trends, initiatives taken by the government in this sector. The report sheds a light on the key trends in the market like factors driving the market what are the restraints to the market growth and opportunities going forward. Additionally, the competitive landscape of the commercial real estate market of Mexico is depicted through the profiles of key players active.

By Type
Offices
Retail
Industrial
Logistics
Multi-family
Hospitality
By Key Cities
Mexico City
Oaxaca
Chiapas
Puebla

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Key Market Trends

Growth in Tourism is Fostering Developments in Commercial Real Estate

Real estate and tourism are large contributors to the Mexican economy. The tourism industry is one of the greatest growth drivers for the country and has a significant impact on the real estate sector. The area experiencing the greatest growth because of this cross-pollination of sectors is mainly around the Mexico City district.

Just like Mexico City, the cities of Tulum and Merida are becoming the preferred destinations for real estate investors due to its tourism. Both cities are currently experiencing a rise in urban growth and investment in eco-tourism. This boom is allowing the greater development of many real estate projects, such as museums, shopping malls, and even concert halls.

Playa del Carmen is another Mexican place, where tourism is influencing real estate but in a different manner. The North American youth are widely attracted to beach resorts, music festivals, carnivals, and a party culture gathering nearly 12 million visitors in 2018. This highly seasonal but regular tourism makes real estate management simpler where the quiet off-peak times make hotels, and other residencies cheap.

In Mexico City, foreign buyers (mostly from Brazil, Spain, and the United States) tend to invest in new construction or commercial properties.

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Declining Office Vacancy Rate in Mexico City

There is healthy growth in office space demand and sustained business activity. Office real estate demand has a notable performance. 403,600 square meters (sqm) were absorbed in 2018. There is a demand in office space from various industries. Government and financial services sustain their traditional leading role, while technology and media continue their gradient as big office space users.

Mexico City has the largest inventory of modern, quality office space in Latin America. Mexico City a place where significant positive Class A absorption was paired with negative class B and C absorption. The vacancy rate signals the beginning of a tenant's market for this cycle. However, this could be short-lived, since supply is rapidly adjusting from its record peak into a more sustainable level for the middle term.      

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Competitive Landscape

Mexico’s commercial real estate market is fragmented due to the presence of a large number of players in the market. The Mexican housing market is not driven by speculators. There are many developers, and it is highly competitive. There is an increase in mixed-use developments, medium-sized and small-sized real estate developers arise in strategic regions of the country and there is a boom in the use of financial investment instruments, such as Fibras and CKDs.

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Table Of Contents

  1. 1. INTRODUCTION

    1. 1.1 Study Assumptions

    2. 1.2 Scope of the Study

  2. 2. RESEARCH METHODOLOGY

  3. 3. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

  4. 4. MARKET INSIGHTS

    1. 4.1 Current Economic Scenario and Consumer Sentiment

    2. 4.2 Commercial Real Estate Buying Trends - Socioeconomic and Demographic Insights

    3. 4.3 Government Initiatives and Regulatory Aspects for Commercial Real Estate Sector

    4. 4.4 Insights on Existing and Upcoming Projects

    5. 4.5 Insights on Interest Rate Regime for General Economy and Real Estate Lending

    6. 4.6 Insights on Rental Yields in Commercial Real Estate Segment

    7. 4.7 Insights on Capital Market Penetration and REIT Presence in Commercial Real Estate

    8. 4.8 Insights on Public-private Partnerships in Commercial Real Estate

    9. 4.9 Insights on Real Estate Tech and Startups Active in Real Estate Segment (Broking, Social Media, Facility Management, and Property Management)

  5. 5. MARKET DYNAMICS

    1. 5.1 Drivers

    2. 5.2 Restraints

    3. 5.3 Opportunities

    4. 5.4 Challenges

  6. 6. MARKET SEGMENTATION

    1. 6.1 By Type

      1. 6.1.1 Offices

      2. 6.1.2 Retail

      3. 6.1.3 Industrial

      4. 6.1.4 Logistics

      5. 6.1.5 Multi-family

      6. 6.1.6 Hospitality

    2. 6.2 By Key Cities

      1. 6.2.1 Mexico City

      2. 6.2.2 Oaxaca

      3. 6.2.3 Chiapas

      4. 6.2.4 Puebla

  7. 7. COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

    1. 7.1 Market Concentration

    2. 7.2 Company Profiles

      1. 7.2.1 Developers

        1. 7.2.1.1 NAI Mexico

        2. 7.2.1.2 Hines

        3. 7.2.1.3 Onni Contracting Ltd

        4. 7.2.1.4 Groupo Sordo Madaleno

        5. 7.2.1.5 Grupo Posadas

      2. 7.2.2 Real Estate Agencies and Trusts

        1. 7.2.2.1 Savills Mexico

        2. 7.2.2.2 Colliers international

      3. 7.2.3 Other Companies (Startups and Associations)

        1. 7.2.3.1 ID8Capital

        2. 7.2.3.2 Flat

        3. 7.2.3.3 Reonomy

        4. 7.2.3.4 Lamudi

  8. *List Not Exhaustive
  9. 8. FUTURE OF THE MARKET AND ANALYST RECOMMENDATIONS

  10. 9. INVESTMENT ANALYSIS

    1. 9.1 Direct Investments

    2. 9.2 Indirect Investments

  11. 10. DISCLAIMER

  12. 11. ABOUT US

** Subject to Availability

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