Indonesia Commercial Real Estate Market - Growth, Trends, COVID-19 Impact, and Forecasts (2023 - 2028)

The Indonesia Commercial Real Estate Market is segmented by Type (Offices, Retail, Industrial, Logistics, Multi-family, and Hospitality) and Key Cities (Jakarta, Surabaya, and Semarang). The report offers the market sizes and forecasts for the Indonesia Commercial Real Estate market in value (USD) for all the above segments.

Indonesia Commercial Real Estate Industry Overview

Indonesia Commercial Real Estate Market Summary
Study Period: 2019-2028
CAGR: > 5 %

Major Players

Indonesia Commercial Real Estate Market Major Players

*Disclaimer: Major Players sorted in no particular order

setting-icon

Need a report that reflects how COVID-19 has impacted this market and its growth?

Indonesia Commercial Real Estate Market Analysis

  • The Indonesian commercial real estate market is expected to register a CAGR of more than 5% during the forecast period. The market is driven by the country's rapid population growth and high urbanization. The long-term outlook for commercial real estate looks positive for Indonesia, supported by solid economic growth and rising urbanization. The COVID-19 pandemic had a significant impact on the commercial real estate (CRE) sector in Indonesia. Commercial property transaction volumes and prices fell in 2020 as pandemic containment measures harmed economic activity and reduced demand for commercial property.
  • Some markets, particularly in Asia, quickly rebounded from the initial shock, but long-term social distance limitations reduced occupier demand in the country's economy, contributing to a growing disparity in CRE prices across Indonesia and CRE segments (such as retail, office buildings, industrial, and multi-family buildings).
  • Average land prices in Indonesia have been growing across the country. Prices continue to be highest in the capital city, Jakarta, which is the economic center of Indonesia.
  • There is still much room for further developments to fulfill the demand for commercial real estate. To meet the rising property demand, the Indonesian government introduced several measures to expand the sector, such as decreasing key interest rates, providing tax incentives to Indonesian real estate investment trusts, and increasing the loan-to-value ratios.
  • The Indonesian government authorized a budget of IDR 2.7 quadrillion (USD 190.1 billion) for 2022 in September 2021, with IDR 1.9 quadrillion (USD 133.8 billion) going to the central government and IDR 770 trillion (USD 54.2 billion) going the regional administration. Simultaneously, the government announced intentions in the budget to allocate IDR 384.8 trillion (USD 27.1 billion) to infrastructure.

Indonesia Commercial Real Estate Industry Segments

Commercial real estate, investment property, or income property is intended to generate a profit, either from capital gains or rental income. This report aims to provide a detailed analysis of the Indonesian commercial real estate market.

The report focuses on the market dynamics, technological trends, insights, government initiatives taken in the commercial real estate sector, and the impact of COVID-19 on the market. Also, it analyzes the key players present in the market and the competitive landscape in the Indonesian commercial real estate market.

The Indonesian commercial real estate market is segmented by type (offices, retail, industrial, logistics, multi-family, and hospitality) and key cities (Jakarta, Surabaya, and Semarang). The report offers market size and forecast values (USD billion) for all the above segments.

By Type
Offices
Retail
Industrial
Logistics
Multi-family
Hospitality
By Key Cities
Jakarta
Surabaya
Semarang

Report scope can be customized per your requirements. Click here.

Indonesia Commercial Real Estate Market Trends

This section covers the major market trends shaping the Indonesia Commercial Real Estate Market according to our research experts:

The demand for office remains strong in the country

Some large leasing transactions were recorded during the fourth quarter of 2021, such as in MSIG Tower of about 15,000 sqm by an online education institution, in Medialand Tower by a logistics company of 5,500 sqm, and in Capital Place of 4,000 sqm by Nokia.

Overall, improving trends in inquiries and transactions from those in 2021 were observed throughout the year, with demand coming mostly from tenants looking for office relocations and consolidations for 2022 and beyond.

After six consecutive quarters of market contraction trend, the Jakarta CBD office market recorded its first positive quarterly net-take-up of 17,900 sqm in the fourth quarter of 2021, indicating a very positive sign for market recovery in the near term.

The average occupancy rate of the CBD (Central Business District) office market decreased by 0.2%-70.4% by the end of December 2021, due mostly to the large additional supply. The base rental rate in Rupiah decreased further by 3.0% Q-o-Q in the fourth quarter of 2021, in line with weak demand and decreasing average occupancy of the market.

By the end of December 2021, the average base rental in Rupiah term stood at IDR 175,100 per sqm per month (a decrease of 9.1% YoY), while in USD equivalent, it stood at USD 12.3 per sqm per month (a decrease of 9.6% Y-o-Y). Meanwhile, service charges remained relatively unchanged over the fourth quarter of 2021.

Indonesia Commercial Real Estate Market: Occupancy Rates of Office Spaces in Jakarta (in %) 2015-2021

Retail Space likely to Witness Growth in Jakarta

Closing out the year in 2022, the Jakarta retail market recorded an addition of one new retail center in South Jakarta, namely AEON Mall Tanjung Barat. The opening of AEON Mall Tanjung Barat added approximately 40,000 sqm of retail space to the market.

This fourth AEON Mall in Indonesia, together with the Southgate Residence project, is expected to create a new one-stop urban lifestyle complex in South Jakarta. With the total addition of two new projects in 2021, the total full-year new supply of Jakarta retail centers in 2021 reached 70,000 sqm. Another two retail centers with approximately 73,000 sqm of retail space are expected to enter the Jakarta retail market by 2022.

The total refurbishment and transformation of Sarinah, the oldest retail center in Jakarta, was completed and was open to the public in March 2022. The total Jakarta retail supply will reach 4,716,400 sqm by the end of 2022. The overall Jakarta retail market was relatively stable during the last quarter of 2021. The occupancy rate stood at 76.7%, which increased slightly by 0.2% since the last quarter of 2021.

Commercial Real Estate Market: Cumulative Supply of Retail Spaces in Jakarta, (in million sqm), 2015-2021

Indonesia Commercial Real Estate Market Competitor Analysis

The commercial real estate market in Indonesia is fragmented, with the presence of many small players. Some major Indonesian commercial real estate companies include Agung Podomoro Land, Sinarmas Land, Lippo Karawaci, Ciputra Group, and Dutta Angada Realty.

Indonesia has a fragmented market dominated by local commercial real estate players. However, the country's rising investments and mergers and acquisitions activities are expected to increase investments in the sector in the forecast period.

Indonesia Commercial Real Estate Market Top Players

  1. Agung Podomoro Land

  2. Sinarmas Land

  3. Lippo Karawaci

  4. Ciputra Group

  5. RDTX Group

*Disclaimer: Major Players sorted in no particular order

indeonsia comm market

Indonesia Commercial Real Estate Market Recent Developments

  • October 2022: Global digital infrastructure company Equinix., Inc. has announced its expansion into Indonesia with a planned approximately $74 million International Business Exchange (IBX®) data center in the heart of Jakarta. With this expansion, Equinix will enable Indonesian companies and multinationals based in Indonesia to leverage its proven platform to consolidate and connect the underlying infrastructure of their business.
  • January 2022: Emerging Markets Property Group (EMPG), a property-focused market operator, has acquired OLX Indonesia property assets for an undisclosed sum through the local property arm Lamudi.

Indonesia Commercial Real Estate Market Report - Table of Contents

  1. 1. INTRODUCTION

    1. 1.1 Study Assumptions

    2. 1.2 Scope of the Study

  2. 2. RESEARCH METHODOLOGY

  3. 3. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

  4. 4. MARKET INSIGHTS AND DYNAMICS

    1. 4.1 Current Market Overview

    2. 4.2 Market Dynamics

      1. 4.2.1 Drivers

      2. 4.2.2 Restraints

      3. 4.2.3 Opportunities

    3. 4.3 Commercial Real Estate Buying Trends - Socioeconomic and Demographic Insights

    4. 4.4 Government Initiatives and Regulatory Aspects for the Commercial Real Estate Sector

    5. 4.5 Insights into Existing and Upcoming Projects

    6. 4.6 Insights into Interest Rate Regime for the General Economy and Real Estate Lending

    7. 4.7 Insights into Rental Yields in the Commercial Real Estate Segment

    8. 4.8 Insights into Capital Market Penetration and REIT Presence in Commercial Real Estate

    9. 4.9 Insights into Public-Private Partnerships in Commercial Real Estate

    10. 4.10 Insights into Real Estate Tech and Startups Active in the Real Estate Segment (Broking, Social Media, Facility Management, and Property Management)

  5. 5. MARKET SEGMENTATION

    1. 5.1 By Type

      1. 5.1.1 Offices

      2. 5.1.2 Retail

      3. 5.1.3 Industrial

      4. 5.1.4 Logistics

      5. 5.1.5 Multi-family

      6. 5.1.6 Hospitality

    2. 5.2 By Key Cities

      1. 5.2.1 Jakarta

      2. 5.2.2 Surabaya

      3. 5.2.3 Semarang

  6. 6. COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

    1. 6.1 Market Concentration

    2. 6.2 Company Profiles

      1. 6.2.1 Developers

        1. 6.2.1.1 Agung Podomoro Land

        2. 6.2.1.2 Sinarmas Land

        3. 6.2.1.3 Lippo Karawaci

        4. 6.2.1.4 Ciputra Group

        5. 6.2.1.5 RDTX Group

        6. 6.2.1.6 PP Properti

        7. 6.2.1.7 Dutta Angada Realty

      2. 6.2.2 Other Companies (Real Estate Agencies, Startups, Associations, etc.)

        1. 6.2.2.1 Carigudang

        2. 6.2.2.2 CoHive

        3. 6.2.2.3 GoWork

        4. 6.2.2.4 UnionSpace

        5. 6.2.2.5 Cushman and Wakefield Indonesia

        6. 6.2.2.6 Coldwell Banker Commercial Indonesia

    3. *List Not Exhaustive
  7. 7. FUTURE OF THE MARKET

  8. 8. DISCLAIMER

You can also purchase parts of this report. Do you want to check out a section wise price list?

Indonesia Commercial Real Estate Market Research FAQs

The Indonesia Commercial Real Estate Market market is studied from 2019 - 2028.

The Indonesia Commercial Real Estate Market is growing at a CAGR of >5% over the next 5 years.

Agung Podomoro Land, Sinarmas Land, Lippo Karawaci, Ciputra Group, RDTX Group are the major companies operating in Indonesia Commercial Real Estate Market.

Indonesia Commercial Real Estate Industry Reports

In-depth industry statistics and market share insights of the Indonesia Commercial Real Estate sector for 2020, 2021, and 2022. The Indonesia Commercial Real Estate research report provides a comprehensive outlook of the market size and an industry growth forecast for 2023 to 2028. Available to download is a free sample file of the Indonesia Commercial Real Estate report PDF.

close-icon
80% of our clients seek made-to-order reports. How do you want us to tailor yours?

Please enter a valid email id!

Please enter a valid message!