Commercial Aircraft Market - Growth, Trends, COVID-19 Impact, and Forecasts (2022 - 2027)

The Commercial Aircraft Market is segmented by Aircraft Type (Narrow-body Aircraft, Wide-body Aircraft, and Regional Aircraft), Engine Type (Turbofan and Turboprop), Application (Passenger Aircraft and Freighters), and Geography (North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific, Latin America, and Middle-East and Africa). The report offers the market sizes and forecasts for the commercial aircraft market in value (USD billion) for all the above segments.

Market Snapshot

commercial aircraft market overview
Study Period: 2018-2027
Base Year: 2021
Largest Market: Asia Pacific
CAGR: >5 %

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Market Overview

The commercial aircraft market was valued at USD 96.83 billion in 2021, and it is projected to register a CAGR of over 5% during the forecast period (2022 - 2027).

The COVID-19 pandemic affected air passenger traffic globally in 2020, reducing flight activity and impacting airline cash flows. As a result, most airlines decided to cancel or defer their aircraft orders. The commercial aircraft OEMs trimmed their production rates as the pandemic decreased the demand for new jets. However, the commercial aviation industry recovered gradually in 2021, which led to a significant increase in aircraft deliveries compared to 2020. Airbus and Boeing together delivered 951 aircraft in 2021 compared to 723 aircraft in 2020. In addition, passenger traffic numbers are expected to recover by 2024. Thus, the commercial aviation industry outlook is expected to remain positive during the forecast period.

The aircraft fleet modernization and destination expansion plans of the airlines are leading to the gradual revival of aircraft demand, thereby strengthening the order books of aircraft OEMs. The existing order backlog with the aircraft OEMs is still high. By the end of 2021, Airbus reported a backlog of 7,082 jets. Boeing’s backlog was 5,136 aircraft. These numbers reveal that despite the reduction in demand from the airlines, the deliveries of commercial aircraft will continue at a healthy rate during the forecast period.

The demand for narrow-body aircraft is expected to recover faster than for wide-body aircraft as the domestic demand is expected to return to pre-COVID-19 levels earlier than the international passenger demand. Also, the return of the 737 MAX into service in late 2020 will help the growth of the narrow-body segment.

Scope of the Report

Commercial aviation is a part of civil aviation involving scheduled airline services that involve operating aircraft to transport passengers and cargo. The study gives a brief description of the commercial aircraft market worldwide and includes details on air passenger traffic, new routes, investments in airport infrastructure, air freight, and procurement of new aircraft. The commercial aircraft market is segmented by aircraft type, engine type, application, and geography. By aircraft type, the market is segmented into narrow-body aircraft, wide-body aircraft, and regional aircraft. By engine type, the market is segmented into turbofan and turboprop. By application, the market is segmented into passenger aircraft and freighters. The report also covers the market sizes and forecasts for the commercial aircraft market in major countries across different regions. For each segment, the market size is provided in terms of value (USD billion).

Aircraft Type
Narrow-body Aircraft
Wide-body Aircraft
Regional Aircraft
Engine Type
Turbofan
Turboprop
Application
Passenger Aircraft
Freighters
Geography
North America
United States
Aircraft Type
Application
Canada
Aircraft Type
Application
Europe
United Kingdom
Aircraft Type
Application
France
Aircraft Type
Application
Germany
Aircraft Type
Application
Italy
Aircraft Type
Application
Rest of Europe
Aircraft Type
Application
Asia-Pacific
China
Aircraft Type
Application
India
Aircraft Type
Application
Japan
Aircraft Type
Application
South Korea
Aircraft Type
Application
Australia
Aircraft Type
Application
Rest of Asia-Pacific
Aircraft Type
Application
Latin America
Brazil
Aircraft Type
Application
Rest of Latin America
Aircraft Type
Application
Middle-East and Africa
Saudi Arabia
Aircraft Type
Application
United Arab Emirates
Aircraft Type
Application
Qatar
Aircraft Type
Application
South Africa
Aircraft Type
Application
Rest of Middle-East and Africa
Aircraft Type
Application

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Key Market Trends

The Narrow-body Aircraft Segment Held the Largest Market Share in 2021

The narrow-body aircraft segment held the largest market share in 2021. The success of the low-cost carrier business model has generated a massive demand for newer generation narrow-body aircraft in recent years due to their advantages like low cost of operation and fuel efficiency in short-haul routes. Technological advancements in newer generation narrow-body aircraft are making them possible to fly longer distances. Boeing’s B737 and Airbus A320 are two of the most sold aircraft families in aviation history. In 2021, Boeing delivered 263 narrow-body aircraft (43 aircraft delivered in 2020), while Airbus delivered 533 narrow-body aircraft (484 aircraft delivered in 2020). The B737 MAX issues have dampened Boeing’s narrow-body single-aisle jet orders and deliveries. However, with the aircraft coming back to service at the end of 2020, Boeing is again vying to increase its sales share in the segment. With the first deliveries of MC-21 and COMAC C919 models expected in 2022, the respective Russian and Chinese manufacturers plan to compete with the existing market giants like Airbus and Boeing in the narrow-body aircraft segment. Also, with the domestic demand recovering faster than the international passenger demand, the demand for narrow-body aircraft is expected to remain high during the forecast period.

Commercial Aircraft Market_Segmentation

Asia-Pacific is Expected to Generate a Healthy Demand for Commercial Aircraft During the Forecast Period

Asia-Pacific is expected to generate a healthy demand for commercial aircraft during the forecast period. The growth in air passenger traffic is predominant in the region, and China and India are expected to be among the biggest aviation markets in the world during the forecast period. As a result of a huge drop in passenger traffic in the United States due to the COVID-19 pandemic, China overtook the United States to become the largest aviation market in 2020. China’s aviation industry also showed signs of recovery in 2020, driven by the recovery in domestic traffic. As a result, Chinese airlines are expected to take deliveries of new aircraft in the coming years. In 2020, China's three major state-owned airlines canceled the delivery of over 100 aircraft from Boeing and Airbus but kept every single order from COMAC in a show of support for the domestic manufacturer during the pandemic. On the other hand, the passenger traffic in India is also expected to recover fast, driven by the huge domestic demand. Since October 2021, the airlines in India have been allowed to operate domestic flights at their full capacity. The Indian low-cost carrier IndiGo took delivery of 44 aircraft in 2020, only two less than that of 2019. The addition of newer aircraft will help IndiGo to meet the demand in the recovering domestic market with more fuel-efficient aircraft. Similarly, the aviation industries in other countries of the region are also expected to recover faster than the countries in other regions due to a large domestic demand, thereby propelling the growth of the commercial aircraft market in Asia-Pacific in the years to come.

Commercial Aircraft Market_Geography

Competitive Landscape

The commercial aircraft market is consolidated, with the two aircraft OEMs, Airbus SE and The Boeing Company, occupying a major chunk of the total market revenue. In addition, Embraer SA, Commercial Aircraft Corporation of China Ltd, and Mitsubishi Aircraft Corporation also have a significant share in the market. Several commercial aircraft manufacturers are currently focusing on the development of newer generation commercial aircraft, as the enforcement of new safety regulations and emission norms are demanding the integration of sophisticated subsystems and advanced technologies onboard the commercial aircraft. Also, airlines are looking for aircraft with better fuel efficiency and range, and the development of newer generation aircraft will help the OEMs to attract more airline customers in the years to come. For instance, in January 2022, Boeing launched a new Boeing 777-8 Freighter aircraft, which will be the largest, longest-range freighter with a 25% improvement in fuel efficiency. Qatar Airways is the launch customer of the Boeing 777-8 Freighter aircraft. Aircraft models like Irkut MC-21 and Comac C919 are expected to enter service by 2022, while other aircraft like CRAIC CR929 (first flight planned in 2025), Boeing 777X (deliveries expected to begin 2024), and the Embraer E175-E2 (expected to enter service by 2027) are under development. In this regard, aircraft OEMs and the players in the supply chain are collaborating to bring newer technologies into aircraft.

Recent Developments

  • In February 2022, Airbus announced that the company delivered the first A330-900 first wide-body aircraft to STARLUX Airlines, a Taiwan-based airline. The aircraft is the first of 26 wide-body aircraft to be delivered to the company. The order placed by the airline includes eight A330neo and 18 A350 aircraft.
  • In February 2022, Western Global Airlines placed a firm order for two Boeing 777 Freighters. The order also includes an additional purchase option. The airline announced that it will augment its existing fleet with the new 777 Freighters. The freighter is expected to have a maximum structural payload of 107 metric ton.
  • In January 2022, Embraer announced that it received an additional order for 20 E-Jets E2s from Azorra, a commercial aircraft lessor. The order includes a combination of E190-E2s and E195-E2s aircraft.

Table of Contents

  1. 1. INTRODUCTION

    1. 1.1 Study Assumptions

    2. 1.2 Scope of the Study

    3. 1.3 Currency Conversion Rates for USD

  2. 2. RESEARCH METHODOLOGY

  3. 3. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

    1. 3.1 Market Size and Forecast, Global, 2018 - 2027

    2. 3.2 Market Share by Aircraft Type, 2021

    3. 3.3 Market Share by Engine Type, 2021

    4. 3.4 Market Share by Application, 2021

    5. 3.5 Market Share by Geography, 2021

    6. 3.6 Structure of the Market and Key Participants

  4. 4. MARKET DYNAMICS

    1. 4.1 Market Overview

    2. 4.2 Market Drivers

    3. 4.3 Market Restraints

    4. 4.4 Industry Attractiveness - Porter's Five Forces Analysis

      1. 4.4.1 Threat of New Entrants

      2. 4.4.2 Bargaining Power of Buyers/Consumers

      3. 4.4.3 Bargaining Power of Suppliers

      4. 4.4.4 Threat of Substitute Products

      5. 4.4.5 Intensity of Competitive Rivalry

  5. 5. MARKET SEGMENTATION (Market Size and Forecast by Value - USD billion, 2018 - 2027)

    1. 5.1 Aircraft Type

      1. 5.1.1 Narrow-body Aircraft

      2. 5.1.2 Wide-body Aircraft

      3. 5.1.3 Regional Aircraft

    2. 5.2 Engine Type

      1. 5.2.1 Turbofan

      2. 5.2.2 Turboprop

    3. 5.3 Application

      1. 5.3.1 Passenger Aircraft

      2. 5.3.2 Freighters

    4. 5.4 Geography

      1. 5.4.1 North America

        1. 5.4.1.1 United States

          1. 5.4.1.1.1 Aircraft Type

          2. 5.4.1.1.2 Application

        2. 5.4.1.2 Canada

          1. 5.4.1.2.1 Aircraft Type

          2. 5.4.1.2.2 Application

      2. 5.4.2 Europe

        1. 5.4.2.1 United Kingdom

          1. 5.4.2.1.1 Aircraft Type

          2. 5.4.2.1.2 Application

        2. 5.4.2.2 France

          1. 5.4.2.2.1 Aircraft Type

          2. 5.4.2.2.2 Application

        3. 5.4.2.3 Germany

          1. 5.4.2.3.1 Aircraft Type

          2. 5.4.2.3.2 Application

        4. 5.4.2.4 Italy

          1. 5.4.2.4.1 Aircraft Type

          2. 5.4.2.4.2 Application

        5. 5.4.2.5 Rest of Europe

          1. 5.4.2.5.1 Aircraft Type

          2. 5.4.2.5.2 Application

      3. 5.4.3 Asia-Pacific

        1. 5.4.3.1 China

          1. 5.4.3.1.1 Aircraft Type

          2. 5.4.3.1.2 Application

        2. 5.4.3.2 India

          1. 5.4.3.2.1 Aircraft Type

          2. 5.4.3.2.2 Application

        3. 5.4.3.3 Japan

          1. 5.4.3.3.1 Aircraft Type

          2. 5.4.3.3.2 Application

        4. 5.4.3.4 South Korea

          1. 5.4.3.4.1 Aircraft Type

          2. 5.4.3.4.2 Application

        5. 5.4.3.5 Australia

          1. 5.4.3.5.1 Aircraft Type

          2. 5.4.3.5.2 Application

        6. 5.4.3.6 Rest of Asia-Pacific

          1. 5.4.3.6.1 Aircraft Type

          2. 5.4.3.6.2 Application

      4. 5.4.4 Latin America

        1. 5.4.4.1 Brazil

          1. 5.4.4.1.1 Aircraft Type

          2. 5.4.4.1.2 Application

        2. 5.4.4.2 Rest of Latin America

          1. 5.4.4.2.1 Aircraft Type

          2. 5.4.4.2.2 Application

      5. 5.4.5 Middle-East and Africa

        1. 5.4.5.1 Saudi Arabia

          1. 5.4.5.1.1 Aircraft Type

          2. 5.4.5.1.2 Application

        2. 5.4.5.2 United Arab Emirates

          1. 5.4.5.2.1 Aircraft Type

          2. 5.4.5.2.2 Application

        3. 5.4.5.3 Qatar

          1. 5.4.5.3.1 Aircraft Type

          2. 5.4.5.3.2 Application

        4. 5.4.5.4 South Africa

          1. 5.4.5.4.1 Aircraft Type

          2. 5.4.5.4.2 Application

        5. 5.4.5.5 Rest of Middle-East and Africa

          1. 5.4.5.5.1 Aircraft Type

          2. 5.4.5.5.2 Application

  6. 6. COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

    1. 6.1 Vendor Market Share

    2. 6.2 Company Profiles

      1. 6.2.1 Airbus SE

      2. 6.2.2 The Boeing Company

      3. 6.2.3 Embraer SA

      4. 6.2.4 Rostec

      5. 6.2.5 ATR

      6. 6.2.6 Commercial Aircraft Corporation of China Ltd

      7. 6.2.7 Mitsubishi Aircraft Corporation

  7. 7. MARKET OPPORTUNITIES

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Frequently Asked Questions

The Commercial Aircraft Market market is studied from 2018 - 2027.

The Commercial Aircraft Market is growing at a CAGR of >5% over the next 5 years.

The Commercial Aircraft Market is valued at 85 Billion USD in 2018.

The Commercial Aircraft Market is valued at 173 Billion USD in 2027.

Asia Pacific holds highest share in 2021.

The Boeing Company, Airbus SE, Embraer SA, Commercial Aircraft Corporation of China Ltd, Mitsubishi Aircraft Corporation are the major companies operating in Commercial Aircraft Market.

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