Coffee Trade Analysis Market Analysis
The Coffee Market size is estimated at USD 46.03 billion in 2025, and is expected to reach USD 52.08 billion by 2030, at a CAGR of 2.5% during the forecast period (2025-2030).
- Coffee is produced in more than 50 developing countries in South America, Africa, and Asia and is an essential source of income for more than 20-25 million families worldwide. According to estimates from the United States Department of Agriculture (USDA), global coffee production is set to rebound in the 2024/25 season, potentially invigorating the international coffee trade. This revival is primarily driven by Brazil's continued production recovery and a notable surge in output from Indonesia in 2024.
- The International Coffee Organization highlights that in 2024, coffee consumption is projected to increase by 2.2%, which will likely create a positive impact on the coffee trade. Also, after witnessing three consecutive years of decline, ending stocks are anticipated to experience a slight rise. In 2024, North America is projected to continue leading in coffee consumption globally, with an expected increase of 3.8%, totaling 30.9 million bags. Consequently, North America's global coffee consumption share is anticipated to rise to 17.5%, up from the previous 17.2%. Other regions are also projected to see increased consumption, albeit at a slower growth rate.
- In 2024, global economic growth is poised to decelerate, as underscored by the IMF's October 2023 economic outlook. This slowdown is likely shaping trends in coffee consumption. Although the increasing cost of living presents a challenge to purchasing coffee, there is an anticipated shift in consumer buying behavior, with individuals transitioning from premium brands to more budget-friendly coffee options.
Coffee Trade Analysis Market Trends
The United States Leads in Imports of Coffee Globally
- The United States stands as the world's leading coffee consumer. On average, each American enjoys over one cup of coffee daily. Notably, the United States accounts for 55% of the coffee consumption of all European Union countries combined. The US coffee beans are imported from Colombia, Brazil, and Switzerland. For over a decade, Colombia and Brazil have dominated coffee exports to the United States. These two South American countries have consistently competed for the leading position. In 2023, Brazil narrowly outpaced Colombia, exporting coffee worth USD 1.41 billion, slightly ahead of Colombia's USD 1.40 billion.
- Specialty coffee is at the forefront of a transformation in the US coffee market, significantly boosting the country's trade. According to the National Coffee Association, more Americans are turning to specialty coffee. Among the various specialty coffee offerings, espresso-based drinks have seen the most significant surge in consumption. This trend indicates a notable shift in consumer preferences, with many opting for espresso over traditional filter coffee when dining out. The rising popularity of specialty coffee is driving an overall increase in coffee consumption. As specialty coffee cements its influence in the broader US coffee landscape, it is reshaping the industry and broadening its appeal to a more diverse audience.
- The United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) warns of a looming decline in Hawaiian coffee production. This downturn is attributed to threats like the invasive coffee berry borer beetle, the coffee leaf rust fungus, and unpredictable weather patterns such as droughts and flooding. As a result, the country heavily depends on coffee imports to meet its domestic demand.
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Brazil Dominates the Global Coffee Exports
- Brazil accounts for over 28% of the global coffee supply. The majority of coffee cultivated in Brazil is of the Arabica variety, constituting approximately 80% of the total yield. The burgeoning global demand for coffee is pivotal in propelling Brazil's economic expansion and industrialization.
- Brazil's coffee industry is poised for a significant boost in production and exports for the 2024/25 market year, as highlighted in the annual report by the USDA Foreign Agriculture Service (FAS). This surge is largely attributed to improved weather conditions in Brazil and a rising global demand for its coffees.
- Data from the International Trade Center (ITC) Trademap reveals that in 2023, Brazil's top coffee importers were the United States, which imported 324,148 metric tons, followed by Germany at 304,954 metric tons, Italy at 184,419 metric tons, and Japan at 122,070 metric tons. Currently, Brazil predominantly exports its coffee to Germany and the United States. Notably, the United States is the world's largest single coffee buyer, with its North American market representing over a quarter of the global coffee import value. This robust coffee trade underscores Brazil's position as one of the top 10 trading partners of the United States.
- The increased demand for Brazilian coffee is largely due to below-average harvests in Vietnam and disruptions in the Red Sea, which have pushed global robusta prices higher. Projections from the Brazilian Ministry of Agriculture indicate that the 2024 coffee harvest is poised to generate a gross revenue of approximately USD 10.7 billion. This figure represents a 17% increase from 2023. Arabica coffee is expected to account for 72% of this revenue, while robusta will contribute the remaining 28%. Arabic coffee revenue is projected to rise by 9.4%, whereas robusta revenue is set for a more significant rise of 29%, provided Brazil experiences favorable weather conditions.
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Coffee Trade Analysis Market News
- September 2024: Brazilian company 'The Coffee' announced expanding its stores in Puerto Rico, Armenia, Malaysia, Australia, and Canada as part of its ongoing global expansion. The chain revealed its plans to establish a presence in San Juan, the capital of Puerto Rico, in September 2024. Following this, 'The Coffee' will venture into Armenia and Malaysia in October. Additionally, the brand is set to debut in Sydney and Toronto by the close of 2024.
- July 2024: Blue Tokai Coffee Roasters, an Indian specialty coffee company, made a successful entry into the Japanese market, leveraging the rapid expansion of the coffee industry.
- March 2024: Alghanim Industries entered a strategic alliance with the Saudi Coffee Company, a venture backed by the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia Public Investment Fund. This partnership underscores the prominence of Jazean, the specialty coffee brand of the Saudi Coffee Company, and seeks to elevate Saudi Arabia's unique coffee culture worldwide.
Coffee Trade Analysis Industry Segmentation
Small and dark brown coffee beans are roasted and ground to brew coffee. The report offers a global trade analysis for coffee beans, whether or not they are roasted or decaffeinated. The coffee trade analysis is segmented by geography into North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific, South America, and Africa. The report offers an analysis of import (value and volume) and export (value and volume). The trade data and forecasts are reported in terms of value (USD) and volume (metric tons) for all the above segments.
| Geography (Import Analysis by Volume and Value and Export Analysis by Volume and Value) | North America | United States | |
| Canada | |||
| Mexico | |||
| Europe | United Kingdom | ||
| Denmark | |||
| Netherlands | |||
| Germany | |||
| Norway | |||
| Sweden | |||
| Asia-Pacific | China | ||
| India | |||
| Japan | |||
| Indonesia | |||
| Philippines | |||
| South America | Brazil | ||
| Argentina | |||
| Africa | South Africa | ||
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Coffee Trade Analysis Market Research FAQs
How big is the Coffee Market?
The Coffee Market size is expected to reach USD 46.03 billion in 2025 and grow at a CAGR of 2.5% to reach USD 52.08 billion by 2030.
What is the current Coffee Market size?
In 2025, the Coffee Market size is expected to reach USD 46.03 billion.
Which is the fastest growing region in Coffee Market?
Asia Pacific is estimated to grow at the highest CAGR over the forecast period (2025-2030).
Which region has the biggest share in Coffee Market?
In 2025, the Europe accounts for the largest market share in Coffee Market.
What years does this Coffee Market cover, and what was the market size in 2024?
In 2024, the Coffee Market size was estimated at USD 44.88 billion. The report covers the Coffee Market historical market size for years: 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023 and 2024. The report also forecasts the Coffee Market size for years: 2025, 2026, 2027, 2028, 2029 and 2030.
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Coffee Trade Analysis Industry Report
Statistics for the 2025 Coffee Trade Analysis market share, size and revenue growth rate, created by Mordor Intelligenceā¢ Industry Reports. Coffee Trade Analysis analysis includes a market forecast outlook for 2025 to 2030 and historical overview. Get a sample of this industry analysis as a free report PDF download.
