Automotive Autonomous Emergency Braking System Market Size & Share Analysis - Growth Trends & Forecasts (2025 - 2030)

The Automotive Autonomous Emergency Braking System Market Report is Segmented by Vehicle Type (Passenger Cars, Light Commercial Vehicles, and More), Component Technology (Radar-Based, Camera-Based, LiDAR-Based AEB, and More), Operating Speed Class (Low-Speed, High-Speed, Pedestrian AEB, and More), and Sales Channel (OEM-Installed, Aftermarket Retrofit, and More). The Market Forecasts are Provided in Terms of Value (USD).

Automotive Autonomous Emergency Braking System Market Size and Share

Automotive Autonomous Emergency Braking System Market (2025 - 2030)
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Automotive Autonomous Emergency Braking System Market Analysis by Mordor Intelligence

The autonomous emergency braking market reached USD 36.74 billion in 2025 and is forecast to expand to USD 88.22 billion by 2030, reflecting a 19.15% CAGR. The growth trajectory is anchored in compulsory fitment rules now embedded in the United States, European Union, and China regulations. These regulations eliminate optional‐equipment cycles and drive full-range system integration across every price segment. Mandatory performance thresholds tighten around high-speed collision avoidance, night-time pedestrian detection, and junction safety, forcing automakers to standardize multi-sensor fusion architectures. Sub-USD 50 radar modules, falling LiDAR costs, and on-chip AI processing further compress system bills of material, allowing mass-market vehicles to close the technology gap with premium models. Insurance carriers, meanwhile, offer usage-based discounts on AEB-equipped fleets, catalyzing retrofit demand in commercial transport and reinforcing the autonomous emergency braking market’s momentum. Divergent regional compliance deadlines create staggered revenue waves that reward suppliers with scalable platforms capable of rapidly calibrating local protocols.

Key Report Takeaways

  • By vehicle type, passenger cars held 73.68% of the autonomous emergency braking market share in 2024, while heavy commercial vehicles are advancing at a 14.20% CAGR through 2030.
  • By component technology, radar had a 46.32% share of the autonomous emergency braking market in 2024; LiDAR is expanding at a 31.70% CAGR.
  • By operating speed class, low-speed systems led the autonomous emergency braking market, with 54.81% of the size in 2024; junction AEB is projected to rise at a 28.50% CAGR to 2030.
  • By sales channel, OEM installations commanded 91.67% revenue in 2024, whereas fleet retrofits are growing at an 18.00% CAGR.
  • By geography, North America led with 34.23% revenue in 2024, but Asia-Pacific is posting the fastest 12.50% CAGR.

Segment Analysis

By Vehicle Type: Commercial acceleration reshapes demand curves

Passenger cars hold the largest autonomous emergency braking market share at 73.68%, benefiting from rising consumer safety expectations that align with regulation. Heavy commercial vehicles represented only 6% of the market share in 2024, yet are climbing at the highest CAGR of 14.20% on the back of FMCSA rules covering trucks above 10,001 lb GVW. This high-growth base positions fleets as a strategic beachhead, with retrofit kits priced from USD 1,500 achieving payback through collision-related downtime reduction and insurance rebates. Light commercial vans retain a 20% share as e-commerce logistics multiply delivery miles. The heavy commercial vehicles' autonomous emergency braking market size is projected to more than triple between 2025 and 2030 as fleet purchasing cycles compress around compliance deadlines.

Fleets are also influencing technology paths. ZF’s brake-by-wire program covering 5 million units demonstrates commercial platforms’ power to set scale economies that later cascade into passenger segments. Tier 1 suppliers now design modular sensor suites that clip onto tractor cabs or trailer noses, minimizing downtime and standardizing service parts. This cross-segment technology flow ensures the autonomous emergency braking industry retains a virtuous cycle of volume and innovation.

Automotive Autonomous Emergency Braking System Market: Market Share by Vehicle Type
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Note: Segment shares of all individual segments available upon report purchase

By Component Technology: Radar retains core role while LiDAR gains pace

Radar dominated the autonomous emergency braking market with a 46.32% share in 2024, prized for all-weather robustness and steadily falling cost curves. Camera-only systems cover 22% but struggle in lowlight, driving uptake of radar-camera fusion that occupies a 20% share. LiDAR, though nascent, is surging at 31.70% CAGR as vertical cavity surface-emitting lasers and FMCW architectures slash BOM and deliver sub-10 cm range accuracy. Ultrasonic units remain parked at 4% for low-speed maneuvers. The autonomous emergency braking market share of LiDAR-centric systems is expected to approach 15% by 2030, supported by global OEM order books exceeding USD 6 billion for solid-state sensors.

Convergence is increasingly likely. Hybrid modules integrate a narrow-field LiDAR for high-resolution mid-range mapping with wide-field radar to secure adverse-weather reliability, yielding cost-balanced coverage. Semiconductor roadmaps embedding radar DSP, AI accelerators, and LiDAR control on a single die promise further consolidation, amplifying competitive tension inside the autonomous emergency braking industry.

By Operating Speed Class: Junction scenarios drive next performance leap

Low-speed AEBs delivered 54.81% of 2024 revenue, having matured as a standard feature for urban driving. Interaction-rich junction environments represent only a 7% share today, yet bear a 28.50% CAGR, bolstered by Euro NCAP’s intersection test that forces OEMs to address multi-object trajectories and lateral impact risk. High-speed highway systems hold a 20% share, benefitting from NHTSA’s 90 mph stopping rule that amplifies sensor range requirements, while pedestrian-focused algorithms occupy 18%, buoyed by night-time test protocols. The autonomous emergency braking market size for junction systems is forecast to reach USD 9 billion by 2030, pulling AI software vendors into deeper collaboration with Tier 1 sensor suppliers.

Algorithm complexity rises sharply in intersections; predictive path planning and occlusion handling demand training sets that span millions of scenarios. Cloud-based synthetic data generation accelerates validation, shrinks development cycles, and sustains the autonomous emergency braking market’s technology cadence.

Automotive Autonomous Emergency Braking System Market: Market Share by Operating Speed Class
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Note: Segment shares of all individual segments available upon report purchase

By Sales Channel: Retrofit momentum complements factory fitment

OEM installations controlled 91.67% of 2024 revenue as regulatory statutes lock AEB into every new‐build configuration. Though only 3% of sales, fleet retrofit solutions are scaling at 18.00% CAGR, propelled by insurance incentives that can lower premiums by 10% when systems meet defined performance metrics. Aftermarket consumer retrofits hold 5% share but grow modestly due to certification hurdles.

Tier 1s now publishes validated retrofit reference designs covering multi-brand platforms, opening a secondary revenue stream that smooths production ramp risks. Autonomous emergency braking market stakeholders increasingly view retrofit kits as a laboratory to iterate sensor firmware, which is later ported into OEM programs, reinforcing continuous improvement across the market.

Geography Analysis

North America commanded 34.23% of 2024 revenue, a position underpinned by rigorous federal safety standards and a familiar litigation landscape that encourages proactive adoption. The region’s high-average-vehicle age also underwrites robust retrofit demand as fleets accelerate compliance to capture insurance benefits. The autonomous emergency braking market size in North America is set to reach USD 28 billion by 2030, paralleling the staged FMVSS 127 compliance window.

Europe followed with 30% market share, supported by the General Safety Regulation II that synchronizes safety requirements across 27 member states and embeds AEB within a wider umbrella of Advanced Driver Assistance Systems. Euro-centric OEMs favour centralized E/E architectures that host AEB, lane-keep and adaptive cruise on a shared sensor array, improving scale effects for suppliers and boosting profitability within the autonomous emergency braking market.

Asia-Pacific posted 28% share in 2024 yet registers the highest 12.50% CAGR as Chinese OEMs like BYD inject AEB into budget EVs retailing below USD 15,000. Domestic chipsets and vertically integrated sensor supply chains compress cost structures, unlocking mass-volume deployments that dwarf European build counts. Australia’s mandate for AEB on all new passenger cars from February 2025 widens regulatory coverage in the region, sustaining regional momentum. The autonomous emergency braking market size in Asia-Pacific could surpass North America before 2030 if current trajectories hold.

Automotive Autonomous Emergency Braking System Market, Growth Rate by Region, 2025-2030
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Competitive Landscape

Four global Tier 1 suppliers Robert Bosch GmbH, Continental AG, ZF Friedrichshafen AG and Denso Corporation collectively supply integrated radar, camera and braking controllers to a majority of 2025 vehicle programs, anchoring mid-market concentration. Bosch secured multi-year contracts to deliver imaging radar modules for European compact cars launching in 2027, while Continental’s Aumovio spin-off targets cost-optimized sensor stacks for Chinese joint ventures. ZF funnels brake-by-wire know-how from heavy trucks into passenger platforms, capturing long-term platform awards.

Technology specialists such as Mobileye tilt the landscape. Its SuperVision perception suite, already booked into 233 future vehicle programs, bundles 360-degree cameras with domain controllers, reducing OEM software overhead. Semiconductor innovators like Texas Instruments and NXP deliver radar SOCs with embedded neural-net accelerators, lowering latency and power consumption. Patent disputes remain intense; Magna and Panasonic concluded a cross-license on mm Wave radar in 2024 that averts supply disruptions but signals growing IP protectionism.

Start-ups target white space. For instance, Arbe Robotics commercializes 4D imaging radar ICs, Bit Sensing focuses on short-range high-resolution sensors for blind-spot mitigation, and Hesai sells low-cost hybrid solid-state LiDAR. Collectively, these entrants push incumbent Tier 1s toward software-defined value propositions, ensuring the autonomous emergency braking market sustains competitive dynamism.

Automotive Autonomous Emergency Braking System Industry Leaders

  1. Robert Bosch GmbH

  2. Continental AG

  3. ZF Friendrichafen AG

  4. Aisin Corporation

  5. Hyundai Mobis Co. Ltd.

  6. *Disclaimer: Major Players sorted in no particular order
Automotive Autonomous Emergency Braking System Market Concentration
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Recent Industry Developments

  • March 2025: Volkswagen Group announced cooperation with Valeo and Mobileye to enhance driver assistance in future MQB vehicles. These vehicles will feature Level 2+ automation with 360-degree cameras and radar arrays for hands-free driving capabilities.
  • February 2025: BYD released the "God's Eye" driving assistance system with three variants, including an entry-level camera-based system, a mid-tier LiDAR integration, and a top-tier triple-LiDAR configuration.
  • June 2024: Bitsensing raised USD 25 million for high-resolution radar technology development aimed at enhancing autonomous driving capabilities.

Table of Contents for Automotive Autonomous Emergency Braking System Industry Report

1. Introduction

  • 1.1 Study Assumptions & Market Definition
  • 1.2 Scope of the Study

2. Research Methodology

3. Executive Summary

4. Market Landscape

  • 4.1 Market Overview
  • 4.2 Market Drivers
    • 4.2.1 Regulatory Mandates for Mandatory AEB Installation
    • 4.2.2 Rising Consumer Demand for NCAP 5-Star Safety Ratings
    • 4.2.3 Declining Radar & Camera Sensor Cost With Scalable 4D Fusion
    • 4.2.4 AI-Enhanced Imaging Radar Unlocking Low-Cost High-Resolution Perception
    • 4.2.5 Usage-Based Insurance Discounts Tied to AEB-Equipped Vehicles
    • 4.2.6 Night-Time Pedestrian AEB Requirements in China & US
  • 4.3 Market Restraints
    • 4.3.1 High Cost of LiDAR & Multi-Sensor Stacks for Premium AEB
    • 4.3.2 Sensor Performance Limits in Adverse Weather & False Positives
    • 4.3.3 Semiconductor Shortages for 77 GHz Radar Chipsets
    • 4.3.4 Intensifying IP Litigation Around mmWave Radar Algorithms
  • 4.4 Value / Supply-Chain Analysis
  • 4.5 Porter’s Five Forces
    • 4.5.1 Threat of New Entrants
    • 4.5.2 Bargaining Power of Buyers/Consumers
    • 4.5.3 Bargaining Power of Suppliers
    • 4.5.4 Threat of Substitute Products
    • 4.5.5 Intensity of Competitive Rivalry

5. Market Size & Growth Forecasts (Value, USD)

  • 5.1 By Vehicle Type
    • 5.1.1 Passenger Cars
    • 5.1.2 Light Commercial Vehicles
    • 5.1.3 Medium and Heavy Commercial Vehicles
  • 5.2 By Component Technology
    • 5.2.1 Radar-based AEB
    • 5.2.2 Camera-based AEB
    • 5.2.3 LiDAR-based AEB
    • 5.2.4 Sensor-Fusion AEB (Radar + Camera)
    • 5.2.5 Ultrasonic-based AEB
  • 5.3 By Operating Speed Class
    • 5.3.1 Low-Speed AEB (Less Than 40 Kmph)
    • 5.3.2 High-Speed AEB (More Than 40 Kmph)
    • 5.3.3 Pedestrian AEB
    • 5.3.4 Junction or Intersection AEB
  • 5.4 By Sales Channel
    • 5.4.1 OEM-Installed
    • 5.4.2 Aftermarket Retrofit
    • 5.4.3 Fleet Retrofit Service
  • 5.5 By Geography
    • 5.5.1 North America
    • 5.5.1.1 United States
    • 5.5.1.2 Canada
    • 5.5.1.3 Rest of North America
    • 5.5.2 Europe
    • 5.5.2.1 Germany
    • 5.5.2.2 United Kingdom
    • 5.5.2.3 France
    • 5.5.2.4 Italy
    • 5.5.2.5 Spain
    • 5.5.2.6 Rest of Europe
    • 5.5.3 Asia-Pacific
    • 5.5.3.1 China
    • 5.5.3.2 Japan
    • 5.5.3.3 India
    • 5.5.3.4 South Korea
    • 5.5.3.5 Australia
    • 5.5.3.6 Rest of Asia-Pacific
    • 5.5.4 South America
    • 5.5.4.1 Brazil
    • 5.5.4.2 Argentina
    • 5.5.4.3 Rest of South America
    • 5.5.5 Middle East and Africa
    • 5.5.5.1 Saudi Arabia
    • 5.5.5.2 United Arab Emirates
    • 5.5.5.3 South Africa
    • 5.5.5.4 Nigeria
    • 5.5.5.5 Rest of Middle East and Africa

6. Competitive Landscape

  • 6.1 Market Concentration
  • 6.2 Strategic Moves
  • 6.3 Market Share Analysis
  • 6.4 Company Profiles (Includes Global Level Overview, Market Level Overview, Core Segments, Financials as Available, Strategic Information, Market Rank/Share for Key Companies, Products & Services, and Recent Developments)
    • 6.4.1 Robert Bosch GmbH
    • 6.4.2 Continental AG
    • 6.4.3 ZF Friedrichshafen AG
    • 6.4.4 Denso Corporation
    • 6.4.5 Autoliv Inc.
    • 6.4.6 Hyundai Mobis Co. Ltd.
    • 6.4.7 WABCO Holdings Inc.
    • 6.4.8 Valeo SA
    • 6.4.9 Aisin Corporation
    • 6.4.10 Aptiv PLC
    • 6.4.11 Mobileye N.V.
    • 6.4.12 Magna International Inc.

7. Market Opportunities & Future Outlook

  • 7.1 White-space & Unmet-Need Assessment
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Global Automotive Autonomous Emergency Braking System Market Report Scope

Autonomous emergency braking is an active safety system that is designed to apply brakes automatically by sensing obstacles on the vehicle's path. The system helps avoid accidents and vehicle skids due to sudden braking.

The automotive autonomous emergency braking system market is segmented by vehicle type, technology, and geography. By technology, the market is segmented into LiDar, radar, and camera. By vehicle type, the market is segmented into passenger cars and commercial vehicles. By geography, the market is segmented into North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific, and Rest of the World. For each segment, the market sizing and forecast have been done based on the value (USD).

By Vehicle Type Passenger Cars
Light Commercial Vehicles
Medium and Heavy Commercial Vehicles
By Component Technology Radar-based AEB
Camera-based AEB
LiDAR-based AEB
Sensor-Fusion AEB (Radar + Camera)
Ultrasonic-based AEB
By Operating Speed Class Low-Speed AEB (Less Than 40 Kmph)
High-Speed AEB (More Than 40 Kmph)
Pedestrian AEB
Junction or Intersection AEB
By Sales Channel OEM-Installed
Aftermarket Retrofit
Fleet Retrofit Service
By Geography North America United States
Canada
Rest of North America
Europe Germany
United Kingdom
France
Italy
Spain
Rest of Europe
Asia-Pacific China
Japan
India
South Korea
Australia
Rest of Asia-Pacific
South America Brazil
Argentina
Rest of South America
Middle East and Africa Saudi Arabia
United Arab Emirates
South Africa
Nigeria
Rest of Middle East and Africa
By Vehicle Type
Passenger Cars
Light Commercial Vehicles
Medium and Heavy Commercial Vehicles
By Component Technology
Radar-based AEB
Camera-based AEB
LiDAR-based AEB
Sensor-Fusion AEB (Radar + Camera)
Ultrasonic-based AEB
By Operating Speed Class
Low-Speed AEB (Less Than 40 Kmph)
High-Speed AEB (More Than 40 Kmph)
Pedestrian AEB
Junction or Intersection AEB
By Sales Channel
OEM-Installed
Aftermarket Retrofit
Fleet Retrofit Service
By Geography
North America United States
Canada
Rest of North America
Europe Germany
United Kingdom
France
Italy
Spain
Rest of Europe
Asia-Pacific China
Japan
India
South Korea
Australia
Rest of Asia-Pacific
South America Brazil
Argentina
Rest of South America
Middle East and Africa Saudi Arabia
United Arab Emirates
South Africa
Nigeria
Rest of Middle East and Africa
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Key Questions Answered in the Report

What is the projected value of the autonomous emergency braking market by 2030?

It is expected to reach USD 88.22 billion by 2030, up from USD 36.74 billion in 2025.

Which vehicle segment is growing fastest for AEB adoption?

Heavy commercial vehicles are expanding at a 14.20% CAGR as forthcoming US trucking regulations accelerate fleet retrofits.

Which region shows the highest growth rate?

Asia-Pacific posts the strongest 12.50% CAGR, led by Chinese EV makers integrating low-cost sensor fusion.

What technological trend most enhances AEB performance in poor weather?

AI-enabled imaging radar converts raw radar data into high-resolution scenes, maintaining detection accuracy in rain, fog and darkness.

Page last updated on: July 7, 2025

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