Africa Two-Wheeler Market SIZE & SHARE ANALYSIS - GROWTH TRENDS & FORECASTS UP TO 2029

Africa Two-Wheeler Market Analysis

The Africa Two-Wheeler Market size is estimated at 9.15 billion USD in 2025, and is expected to reach 11.11 billion USD by 2029, growing at a CAGR of 4.97% during the forecast period (2025-2029).

The African two-wheeler market is experiencing a significant transformation driven by changing urban mobility needs and technological advancements. The industry has witnessed substantial evolution in terms of product offerings, with manufacturers increasingly focusing on introducing innovative features and enhanced performance capabilities. The two-wheeler market's competitive landscape has become more dynamic, with established players expanding their presence through strategic partnerships and local assembly operations. The integration of advanced technologies and rising consumer awareness about sustainable transportation options has created new opportunities for market expansion and development.

The market has shown remarkable progress in technology adoption, particularly in the electrification segment, where the penetration rate increased from 2% in 2022 to 4% in 2023, indicating growing acceptance of electric two-wheelers. This transition is supported by expanding infrastructure, evidenced by the significant increase in public charging stations from 167 in 2022 to 324 in 2023. Manufacturers are responding to this trend by introducing new electric models and investing in research and development to improve battery technology and overall vehicle performance. The industry is witnessing a gradual shift towards smart connectivity features and advanced safety systems, enhancing the overall riding experience.

The competitive landscape has evolved significantly, with major players implementing aggressive market strategies to maintain their positions. BMW Motorrad has emerged as the market leader with a 13.2% two-wheeler market share in 2023, demonstrating the success of premium positioning and strong brand value in the African market. Companies are increasingly focusing on localization strategies, establishing assembly plants and distribution networks to better serve regional markets. Strategic partnerships between global manufacturers and local distributors have become more prevalent, enabling better market penetration and after-sales service coverage.

Consumer preferences in the African two-wheeler market are shifting towards more sophisticated and feature-rich products, while maintaining a strong focus on affordability and practicality. Manufacturers are responding by developing products that balance advanced features with cost-effectiveness, particularly in the commuter segment. The industry has seen increased emphasis on customization options and variant offerings to cater to diverse consumer needs across different regions. Market players are also strengthening their after-sales service networks and implementing innovative financing solutions to enhance customer accessibility and satisfaction, contributing to overall market growth.

Africa Two-Wheeler Market Trends

Africa's transport electrification is expanding rapidly, with significant increases across all vehicle types

• Electrification in Africa's transport sector is gaining momentum. In 2022, the electrification rate for passenger cars was 2%, which climbed to 4% in 2023. Light commercial vehicles (LCVs) followed suit, with their electrification rate rising from 0.20% in 2022 to 1.09% in 2023. Buses, a crucial part of public transport in many African countries, saw their electrification rate surge from 0.50% in 2022 to 1.96% in 2023. Even two-wheelers, a popular mode of transport in several regions, witnessed a significant uptick, with their electrification rate leaping from 1.50% in 2022 to 4.65% in 2023.
• Over the past five years, Africa's commitment to greener transportation has been evident. The electrification rate for passenger cars rose from 2% in 2017 to 5% in 2022. LCVs, crucial for goods transport across the continent, saw their electrification rate surge from 0.20% in 2017 to nearly 2% by 2022. Buses, pivotal for mass transit, made notable progress, going from a 0.50% rate in 2017 to 3.42% by 2022. Meanwhile, the electrification percentage for two-wheelers, widely used for daily commutes, climbed from 1.50% in 2017 to 7.81% in 2022.
• Looking ahead to the period of 2024-2030, all vehicle categories in Africa are expected to witness consistent growth in electrification. By 2030, passenger cars with electric components are projected to account for 12% of the total. LCVs are anticipated to reach a 6% electrification rate, while buses, crucial for sustainable urban and inter-city travel, are forecasted to hit a 10% electrification rate by the end of the decade. The two-wheelers segment, known for its efficiency and affordability, is set to achieve a significant electrification rate of 22% by 2030.

OTHER KEY INDUSTRY TRENDS COVERED IN THE REPORT

• Africa's demographic evolution demonstrates consistent growth with a notable acceleration in recent years
• Despite a GDP per capita decline in 2022-2023, Africa shows potential for future economic stability through trade agreements and infrastructure development
• South Africa's consumer vehicle population shows signs of stabilization
• South Africa, Kenya, and Morocco exhibit declining inflation rates, while Nigeria faces a sharp inflation increase
• The auto interest rates across Africa are influenced by a blend of economic policies, global conditions, and local factors
• Africa's EV infrastructure is experiencing growth, with a notable increase in fast charging stations from 2022 to 2023
• Battery pack prices in Africa continued to decline from USD 186 in 2022 to USD 176 in 2023, driven by technological advancements and increased market competition
• The launch of new electric vehicle models in South Africa enhances market diversity, incorporates advanced technology, and is supported by government incentives.
• Between 2017 and 2022, Africa Witnessed steady increases in diesel and gasoline prices, with a notable spike in diesel prices in 2022. These fluctuations were influenced by global events, regional economic conditions, and potential supply chain disruptions

Segment Analysis: By Propulsion Type

ICE Segment in Africa Two-Wheeler Market

The Internal Combustion Engine (ICE) segment continues to dominate the Africa two-wheeler market, commanding approximately 98% market share in 2024. This overwhelming dominance can be attributed to several factors, including the well-established infrastructure for conventional fuel vehicles, lower initial purchase costs compared to electric alternatives, and widespread availability of service networks across the continent. The segment's strength is further reinforced by the robust presence of major manufacturers who have invested significantly in ICE technology and distribution networks throughout Africa. Additionally, the reliability and proven performance of ICE two-wheelers in diverse African terrains and weather conditions, coupled with easier access to fuel stations and maintenance facilities, have helped maintain its market leadership. The segment also benefits from consumer familiarity and trust in traditional ICE technology, particularly in regions where electric charging infrastructure is still developing.

Hybrid and Electric Vehicles Segment in Africa Two-Wheeler Market

The Hybrid and Electric Vehicles segment is emerging as the most dynamic sector in Africa's two-wheeler market, projected to grow at approximately 19% CAGR from 2024 to 2029. This remarkable growth trajectory is being driven by increasing environmental consciousness among consumers, government initiatives promoting clean mobility solutions, and gradual improvements in charging infrastructure across major African cities. The segment is witnessing significant technological advancements in battery technology and range capabilities, making electric two-wheelers increasingly viable for daily commuting needs. Manufacturers are introducing new models specifically designed for African conditions, with features like enhanced battery cooling systems and robust construction to handle diverse road conditions. The growing focus on reducing operating costs and maintenance expenses is also attracting commercial fleet operators to consider electric alternatives, particularly in urban delivery services where predictable routes make charging logistics more manageable.

Africa Two-Wheeler Market Geography Segment Analysis

Two-Wheeler Market in South Africa

South Africa stands as a significant player in Africa's two-wheeler market, commanding approximately 1% of the total market value in 2024. The country's two-wheeler sector benefits from its well-developed infrastructure, growing urban population, and increasing consumer preference for cost-effective transportation solutions. The market is characterized by a strong presence of international manufacturers who have established robust distribution networks across major cities. South African consumers show particular interest in premium and mid-range motorcycles, reflecting the country's relatively higher purchasing power compared to other African nations. The government's supportive policies towards the automotive sector, including two-wheelers, have helped create a conducive environment for market growth. Additionally, the rising trend of motorcycle tourism and recreational riding has contributed to the market's expansion, particularly in the adventure and touring segments.

Growth Trajectory in South Africa

South Africa's two-wheeler market is poised for remarkable growth, with a projected CAGR of approximately 18% from 2024 to 2029. This impressive growth trajectory is driven by several key factors transforming the country's mobility landscape. The increasing adoption of two-wheelers for last-mile delivery services, particularly in urban areas, has created new opportunities for market expansion. The growing emphasis on fuel-efficient transportation options, coupled with rising fuel prices, has made two-wheelers an attractive alternative for daily commuting. South Africa's young demographic, with its increasing disposable income and preference for personal mobility, continues to fuel market growth. The emergence of new financing options and innovative ownership models has made two-wheelers more accessible to a broader consumer base. Furthermore, the gradual shift towards electric two-wheelers, supported by improving charging infrastructure and government incentives, is expected to create additional growth opportunities in the coming years.

Two-Wheeler Market in Other African Countries

The African two-wheeler market across other African countries presents a diverse and dynamic landscape, with each region exhibiting unique characteristics and growth patterns. Countries like Nigeria, Kenya, and Morocco have emerged as significant markets, driven by their large populations and increasing urbanization rates. Egypt's market is characterized by a strong demand for affordable commuting solutions, while Tanzania and Uganda show growing acceptance of two-wheelers for commercial purposes. The West African region, including Ghana and Senegal, demonstrates increasing adoption of two-wheelers for both personal and commercial use. East African nations like Ethiopia and Rwanda are witnessing growth in their two-wheeler markets, supported by improving road infrastructure and rising consumer purchasing power. North African countries are seeing a gradual shift towards premium segments, while Central African nations are experiencing growth in the utility segment. The varying economic conditions, regulatory frameworks, and consumer preferences across these regions continue to shape the evolution of their respective two-wheeler markets. Notably, the Nigerian motorcycle market is one of the largest markets in Africa, reflecting the widespread use of motorcycles in Africa for both personal and commercial transportation.