Saudi Arabia Retail Banking Market Size & Share Analysis - Growth Trends & Forecasts (2025 - 2030)

Saudi Arabia Retail Banking Market Trends and Insights

Vision 2030-Led Mortgage Subsidy Programs Accelerating Home-Financing Demand

Government-backed subsidies under the Sakani initiative lifted home-ownership to 64% and sustained double-digit growth in new residential mortgages^{[1]Ministry of Municipal and Rural Affairs and Housing, “Housing Program Yearbook 2025,” momrah.gov.sa}. Saudi Real Estate Refinance Company’s USD 2 billion sukuk in 2025 injected fresh liquidity, aiding banks such as Al Rajhi, whose residential-financing share increased as a result. Saudi Awwal Bank quadrupled its mortgage share within two years, confirming rising competitive intensity. High beneficiary satisfaction, highlighted by the IMF, underpins broader economic stability as Vision 2030 targets 70% home-ownership by decade-end.

SAMA’s Instant Payment System (“SARIE”) Boosting Non-Cash Retail Transactions

Launched in 2021, SARIE processed 10.8 billion real-time payments in 2023 and pushed digital transactions to 70% of retail activity^{[2]Saudi Central Bank, “Annual Statistics 2024,” sama.gov.sa}. Monthly values surpassed USD 286 billion in May 2023, evidencing deep consumer adoption. Real-time settlement improves liquidity visibility for banks and merchants, fosters fintech partnerships, and narrows cash circulation, thereby supporting safer, trackable commerce nationwide.

Fintech-License Regime Enabling Digital-Only Challenger Banks (STC Bank, D360)

A structured sandbox and full digital bank charter raised the fintech count from 10 in 2018 to 200 by 2023, targeting 525 by 2030. STC Bank’s January 2025 public launch with USD 667 million capital and D360’s Sharia-compliant model underscore fresh competition in deposits and unsecured lending. Friction-free onboarding, transparency on fees, and 24/7 mobile support shape new customer expectations.

Rapid Youth & Expat Workforce Growth Expanding Addressable Mass-Market Deposits

Citizens aged 18-44 represent more than 50% of the population and exhibit high mobile-bank adoption. Surveys based on the Extended Technology Acceptance Model confirm that perceived usefulness, trust, and social influence raise digital-banking intent. Loyalty programs such as Al Rajhi’s Mokafaa, now 14.7 million strong, demonstrate how gamified engagement captures share of wallet among tech-oriented demographics.

Cooling Mortgage Growth Post-Subsidy Phase-Out Pressuring Retail Loan Yields

As subsidy tapering begins, new residential mortgage growth is expected to moderate from the 17% jump seen in 2024. Corporate lending now exceeds 55% of total credit, signaling an early pivot by banks toward non-retail segments. Lower floating-rate mortgage profitability could drive margin compression unless banks rebalance toward fee-based products.

Sharia Standard 62 Transition Risk for Variable-Rate Islamic Products

AAOIFI’s new guidance may compel conversion from Murabaha-based sukuk to asset-backed structures, tightening funding flexibility. Saudi Arabia, the second-largest global sukuk issuer at 24%, faces product-redesign costs and potential liquidity constraints, particularly for variable-rate Islamic retail offerings.

Segment Analysis

By Product: Transactional Accounts Dominate While Credit Cards Accelerate

Transactional accounts retained 38.2% of Saudi Arabia retail banking market share in 2024, underpinned by salary-assignment mandates and broader financial-inclusion targets. Stable deposit inflows support low-cost funding that underwrites aggressive digital-banking rollouts. The credit-card segment is forecasted to compound at 12.6% annually as e-commerce volume nears SAR 50 billion, reinforcing interchange-fee upside and loyalty-program engagement.

The Saudi Arabia retail banking market size for mortgages experienced significant growth recently, boosting Al Rajhi's dominance, though future growth is expected to normalize as subsidies wane. Savings accounts, boosted by public-sector financial-literacy campaigns, are gaining prominence, while buy-now-pay-later tie-ups are blurring lines between card and installment products, showcased by STC Bank’s wallet-centric ecosystem.

Note: Segment shares of all individual segments available upon report purchase

By Channel: Digital Acceleration Reshaping Service Delivery

Online banking held a 58.7% slice of the Saudi Arabia retail banking market in 2024 and is scaling at 14.7% CAGR. Saudi National Bank already reports dominant digital-transaction migration, indicating entrenched customer preference for remote channels. AI-driven personal financial-management tools, predictive credit scoring, and biometric authentication elevate the user experience.

Physical branches, once transaction hubs, are transforming into advisory centers offering wealth management and SME solutions. Investment in flagship urban locations demonstrates a hybrid approach aimed at complex product discussions while keeping routine activities online. Customer surveys reveal that 49% still desire some in-person interaction, validating omnichannel strategies.

By Customer Age Group: Demographic Shifts Driving Personalization

Consumers aged 29-44 contributed 40.5% to Saudi Arabia retail banking market size in 2024, reflecting life-stage demand for mortgages, insurance, and education financing. Banks respond with personalized dashboards and bundled offers that leverage transaction analytics. Meanwhile, the 18-28 cohort, growing at 13.4% CAGR, gravitates toward app-based micro-savings and gamified credit products, forcing incumbents to adopt agile product-development cycles.

The 45-59 segment commands substantial investable assets, prompting banks to integrate robo-advisory modules within mobile applications. Customers aged 60+ prioritize safety, fostering interest in Sharia-compliant retirement planning products that combine predictable returns with digital ease.

Note: Segment shares of all individual segments available upon report purchase

By Bank Type: National Champions Dominate While Neobanks Disrupt

National banks collectively control 81.8% of Saudi Arabia retail banking market share, leveraging scale to fund Vision 2030 mega-projects and nationwide digital platforms. Saudi National Bank’s asset base topped SAR 1.1 trillion in 2024^{[3]Saudi National Bank, “Integrated Annual Report 2024,” snb.com.sa}, while Al Rajhi delivered a 19% jump in net income and deepened its mortgage share.

Neobanks and other challengers, forecast to grow at 18.2% CAGR, are targeting niche propositions—STC Bank’s telecom-integrated wallet or D360’s Sharia-first model—that resonate with underserved millennial and expatriate segments. Regional banks focus on sector specialization yet face margin pressure as open-banking APIs flatten information advantages.

Geography Analysis

Urban centers—Riyadh, Jeddah, and Dammam—form the competitive core of the Saudi Arabia retail banking market, hosting flagship digital branches that double as innovation showrooms. High smartphone penetration supports instant-payment uptake, with SARIE adoption exceeding 70% of transaction value in these cities. Vision 2030 projects such as NEOM and the Red Sea tourism corridor require bespoke financing solutions, prompting banks to embed dedicated teams on site.

Secondary cities leverage mobile banking to compensate for sparse branch density. Real-time settlement enables merchants in Tabuk or Al-Jouf to receive payments instantly, lowering cash-handling costs and encouraging formal business registration. As a result, digital-only accounts are spreading beyond metropolitan boundaries, broadening Saudi Arabia retail banking market penetration.

Regional activity is increasingly shaped by economic specialization. Western provinces benefit from Hajj-related inflows, pushing demand for multi-currency wallets and short-term credit. Eastern provinces, heavily linked to hydrocarbons, experience higher volumes of payroll deposits and foreign-worker remittances. Riyadh remains the policy nucleus, where SAMA’s national-scale regulations create uniform customer protection, ensuring seamless cross-regional banking experiences.