Canada Residential Real Estate Market Size & Share Analysis - Growth Trends & Forecasts (2024 - 2029)

The report covers Residential Real Estate Market in Canada and is segmented by Type (Apartments and Condominiums and Villas and Landed Houses) and City (Toronto, Montreal, Vancouver, Ottawa, Calgary, Hamilton, and Other Cities). The report offers market sizes and forecasts in value (USD billion) for all the above segments.

Canada Residential Real Estate Market Size

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Canada Residential Real Estate Market Summary
Study Period 2020 - 2029
Base Year For Estimation 2023
Forecast Data Period 2024 - 2029
Historical Data Period 2020 - 2022
CAGR 3.20 %
Market Concentration Low

Major Players

Canada Residential Real Estate Market Major Players

*Disclaimer: Major Players sorted in no particular order

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Canada Residential Real Estate Market Analysis

The Canada Residential Real Estate Market size is expected to grow from USD 59.30 billion in 2023 to USD 69.41 billion by 2028, at a CAGR of 3.20% during the forecast period (2023-2028).

  • As Canadian home prices continue to grow across the country, the national average home price broke an all-time high in January 2022. The average home price in Canada's housing market in January 2022 was CAD 748,439 (USD 587,487), up by 20% from 2021. That is the biggest year-over-year price gain in the history of the Canadian housing market. Price patterns for four different types of properties are investigated: new houses, new condominiums, resale houses, and resale condominiums. Before 2020, condominium units grew in value faster than single-family, semi-detached, and row residences. Many changes have occurred in the real estate sector since the outbreak, ranging from virtual tours to a preference for larger homes in the suburbs.
  • New Brunswick led the country in terms of the highest Y-o-Y price growth among the provinces, with home prices in New Brunswick up 32% Y-o-Y to CAD 275,000 (USD 215,861) for January 2022. The other Atlantic Provinces trailed behind, with Nova Scotia seeing prices increase by 23% Y-o-Y to CAD 392,828 (USD 308,350), Prince Edward Island with an 18% annual gain to CAD 351,890 (USD 276,216), and Newfoundland & Labrador with a 12% annual gain to CAD 324,800 (USD 254,951). Nationally, sales during January 2022 were down 11% Y-o-Y, while new home listings were down 11% month-over-month.
  • As a result, inventories of properties for sale have dropped to historic lows, leaving purchasers with few options. The Bank of Canada kept its overnight rate at 0.25%, where it has been since the beginning of the pandemic, in its January 2022 monetary policy review and said that it expects to keep it there through the middle quarters of 2022.
  • Due to COVID-19, builders, and buyers have mostly shifted to virtual tours and digital contract signings. The demand for larger houses has grown as working from home becomes more prevalent. According to the Bank of Canada (BoC), the housing affordability index declined by 15.3% in 2, reflecting less restrictive conditions for homeownership. Since then, it has gradually risen to exceed its pre-pandemic level in Q2 2021. The consumer house-buying power increased at the outset of the pandemic because of lower mortgage rates and higher Household Disposable Income (HDI).

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Canada Residential Real Estate Market Trends

Immigration Policies are Driving the Market

Immigration has been a major source of economic growth for Canada's successive governments. With the pandemic forcing aged Canadians to retire early, luring immigrants has become increasingly crucial. In addition, the country focuses on high-skilled immigrants, who are more likely to bring money and earn enough to compete for coveted housing. Low mortgage rates and a scarcity of housing have pushed up housing expenses. Another reason was migration, particularly during the pre-pandemic. Immigrants are more likely to buy in large urban areas, such as greater Toronto and Vancouver, where home prices have risen above CAD 1.12 million (USD 88,000), according to Statistics Canada.

To meet the aim of 411,000 immigrants by 2022, the government is anticipated to attract more immigrants from abroad.

As a result, the number of newcomers who set foot on Canadian territory and begin seeking accommodation is expected to increase. This influx of immigrants will have the greatest influence on the rental market, as newcomers are more likely to rent in their first few years in the nation. The great majority of newcomers are settling in Canada's biggest cities, such as Toronto, Vancouver, and Montreal, adding to the housing shortage.

Canada Residential Real Estate Market: New Permanent Residents in Canada, in thousands, 2015 - 2022

Demographic Factors are Driving the Market

Young Canadians are delaying starting a family as they stay in school longer, start their careers later and face greater challenges in housing affordability than previous generations. Immigration is on the rise, and newcomers are likely to live in multi-generational homes, but this has not yet fully offset the overall decline in household formation. Over the past decade, there has been an increase of nearly 80,000 multi-generational dwellings, but this represents only about 5% of new household formation. During the same period, one-person households represented 44% of all household formation (approximately 700,000 dwellings).

Households are projected to grow 730,000 year-on-year by 2024, or by 240,000 households per year, compared to 2021. Immigration is at the core of this growth. Ottawa's immigration targets are expected to bring in an all-time high of 1.3M new permanent residents by 2024, which would add 555,000 additional households.

As a result of immigration, Canada's population is growing at a rate that is more than double the rate of the OECD over the last decade. This growth combined with declining household sizes will boost demand for homes (both owned and rented) and serve as a strong counterweight to declining sales and prices, eventually putting a lid on the correction.

Canada Residential Real Estate Market: Resident Population of Canada by  Age-group, in %tage, 2022

Canada Residential Real Estate Industry Overview

Canada's Residential Real Estate Market is fragmented in nature with a huge number of global, regional and local players in the market. Some of the major companies in the market include Amacon, Aquilini Development, Concert Properties Ltd, and Century 21 Canada. The rising potential in residential real estate due to increased immigration and the development of infrastructure across various cities is driving the market and creating opportunities for the players to invest in the market.

Canada Residential Real Estate Market Leaders

  1. Concert Properties Ltd

  2. Aquilini Development

  3. Bosa Properties

  4. Century 21 Canada

  5. Amacon

*Disclaimer: Major Players sorted in no particular order

Canada Residential Real Estate Market Concentration
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Canada Residential Real Estate Market News

  • October 2022: Dye & Durham Limited ("Dye & Durham") and Lone Wolf Technologies ("Lone Wolf") have announced a brand-new integration that was created specifically for CREA WEBForms powered by Transactions (TransactionDesk Edition) to enable access to and communication with legal services.
  • September 2022: ApartmentLove Inc., based in Calgary, has recently acquired OwnerDirect.com and finalized a rental listing license agreement with a significant U.S. aggregator as part of its ongoing acquisition and partnership plans. In 30 countries, ApartmentLove (APLV-CN) offers online house, apartment, and vacation rental marketing services.

Canada Residential Real Estate Market Report - Table of Contents

  1. 1. Introduction

    1. 1.1 Study Assumptions

    2. 1.2 Scope of the Study

  2. 2. Research Methodology

  3. 3. Executive Summary

  4. 4. Market Insights

    1. 4.1 Current Economic Scenario and Consumer Sentiment

    2. 4.2 Residential Real Estate Buying Trends - Socioeconomic and Demographic Insights

    3. 4.3 Government Initiatives and Regulatory Aspects for the Residential Real Estate Sector

    4. 4.4 Insights into Size of Real Estate Lending and Loan to Value Trends

    5. 4.5 Insights into Interest Rate Regime for General Economy and Real Estate Lending

    6. 4.6 Insights into Rental Yields in the Residential Real Estate Segment

    7. 4.7 Insights into Capital Market Penetration and REIT Presence in Residential Real Estate

    8. 4.8 Insights into Affordable Housing Support Provided by Government and Public-private Partnerships

    9. 4.9 Insights into Real Estate Technology and Startups Active in the Real Estate Segment (Broking, Social Media, Facility Management, and Property Management)

    10. 4.10 Impact of COVID-19 on the Market

  5. 5. Market Dynamics

    1. 5.1 Drivers

      1. 5.1.1 Population Growth is the main driving factor

      2. 5.1.2 Government Initiatives and Regulatory Aspects for the Residential Real Estate Sector

    2. 5.2 Restraints

      1. 5.2.1 Housing Supply Shortage

      2. 5.2.2 Interest rates and Financing

    3. 5.3 Opportunities

      1. 5.3.1 Affordable Housing Intiatives

    4. 5.4 Industry Attractiveness - Porter's Five Forces Analysis

      1. 5.4.1 Bargaining Power of Suppliers

      2. 5.4.2 Bargaining Power of Consumers / Buyers

      3. 5.4.3 Threat of New Entrants

      4. 5.4.4 Threat of Substitute Products

      5. 5.4.5 Intensity of Competitive Rivalry

  6. 6. Market Segmentation

    1. 6.1 Type

      1. 6.1.1 Apartments and Condominiums

      2. 6.1.2 Villas and Landed Houses

    2. 6.2 City

      1. 6.2.1 Toronto

      2. 6.2.2 Montreal

      3. 6.2.3 Vancouver

      4. 6.2.4 Ottawa

      5. 6.2.5 Cagalry

      6. 6.2.6 Hamilton

      7. 6.2.7 Other Cities

  7. 7. Competitve Landscape

    1. 7.1 Overview (Market Concentration and Major Players)

    2. 7.2 Company Profiles

      1. 7.2.1 Amacon

      2. 7.2.2 Concert Properties Ltd

      3. 7.2.3 Shato Holdings Ltd

      4. 7.2.4 Aquilini Development

      5. 7.2.5 Bosa Properties

      6. 7.2.6 B.C. Investment Management Corp.

      7. 7.2.7 Brookfield Asset Management

      8. 7.2.8 Polygon Realty Limited

      9. 7.2.9 Slavens & Associates

      10. 7.2.10 Living Realty

      11. 7.2.11 CAPREIT

      12. 7.2.12 Century 21 Canada*

    3. *List Not Exhaustive
  8. 8. FUTURE OF THE MARKET

  9. 9. APPENDIX

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Canada Residential Real Estate Industry Segmentation

Real estate (land and any buildings on it) used for residential purposes is commonly referred to as residential real estate; single-family dwellings are the most prevalent type of residential real estate.

A complete background analysis of the Canada Residential Real Estate Market, including the assessment of the economy and contribution of sectors in the economy, market overview, market size estimation for key segments, and emerging trends in the market segments, market dynamics, and geographical trends, and COVID-19 impact is included in the report. The Canada Residential Real Estate Market is segmented by Type (Apartments and Condominiums and Villas and Landed Houses) and City (Toronto, Montreal, Vancouver, Ottawa, Calgary, Hamilton, and Other Cities). The report offers market size and forecasts for the Canada Residential Real Estate market in value (USD billion) for all the above segments.

Type
Apartments and Condominiums
Villas and Landed Houses
City
Toronto
Montreal
Vancouver
Ottawa
Cagalry
Hamilton
Other Cities
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Canada Residential Real Estate Market Research FAQs

The Canada Residential Real Estate Market is projected to register a CAGR of 3.20% during the forecast period (2024-2029)

Concert Properties Ltd, Aquilini Development, Bosa Properties, Century 21 Canada and Amacon are the major companies operating in the Canada Residential Real Estate Market.

The report covers the Canada Residential Real Estate Market historical market size for years: 2020, 2021, 2022 and 2023. The report also forecasts the Canada Residential Real Estate Market size for years: 2024, 2025, 2026, 2027, 2028 and 2029.

Canada Residential Real Estate Industry Report

Statistics for the 2024 Canada Residential Real Estate market share, size and revenue growth rate, created by Mordor Intelligence™ Industry Reports. Canada Residential Real Estate analysis includes a market forecast outlook to for 2024 to 2029 and historical overview. Get a sample of this industry analysis as a free report PDF download.

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Canada Residential Real Estate Market Size & Share Analysis - Growth Trends & Forecasts (2024 - 2029)