North America Ice Cream Market SIZE & SHARE ANALYSIS - GROWTH TRENDS & FORECASTS UP TO 2030

North America Ice Cream Market Analysis

The North America Ice Cream Market size is estimated at 23.77 billion USD in 2025, and is expected to reach 27.32 billion USD by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 2.83% during the forecast period (2025-2030).

The North American ice cream industry is experiencing significant transformation in its distribution landscape, driven by evolving consumer shopping preferences and technological advancements. As of January 2023, the United States alone recorded 150,174 convenience stores, marking a 1.5% increase from the previous year, demonstrating the expanding retail footprint for ice cream products. The emergence of omnichannel retail strategies has led major retailers like Walmart, Amazon, and Kroger to develop integrated online and offline presences. Online retailing has become increasingly significant, with the sector witnessing a 2.56% growth in retail value during 2022, as retailers leverage e-commerce platforms to offer personalized shopping experiences and convenient delivery options.

The industry is witnessing a notable shift in consumer preferences towards premium and health-conscious options, reflecting broader dietary trends. Manufacturers are responding by introducing innovative formulations, including low-fat, no-sugar, and protein-enriched variants to cater to health-conscious consumers. The market has seen particular success with premium ice creams that offer reduced-calorie or no-sugar claims while maintaining indulgent taste profiles. Retailers are accommodating these diverse preferences by offering products across various price points, with current market prices ranging from USD 4.84 to over USD 140, making premium options accessible to different consumer segments.

Product innovation and flavor diversification have become key competitive differentiators in the ice cream market. Vanilla remains the most popular flavor, preferred by 36.87% of consumers, followed by chocolate at 25.42%, demonstrating the enduring appeal of classic flavors while leaving room for innovative combinations. Manufacturers are increasingly focusing on sustainable packaging solutions and clean label products, responding to growing consumer awareness about environmental impact and ingredient transparency. This trend is evidenced by major manufacturers committing to recyclable, reusable, or compostable packaging initiatives by 2030.

The retail landscape continues to evolve with the integration of technology and enhanced shopping experiences. Supermarkets and hypermarkets are expanding their frozen dessert sections to accommodate a wider variety of products and brands, while convenience stores are optimizing their ice cream offerings for on-the-go consumption. The off-trade segment demonstrated strong performance with a 2.4% growth in 2022 compared to 2021, highlighting the success of retail modernization efforts. Retailers are increasingly utilizing data analytics and artificial intelligence to optimize inventory management and personalize marketing strategies, leading to more efficient distribution and improved customer engagement across both traditional and digital channels.

North America Ice Cream Market Trends

The availability of various flavors of ice cream products is one of the factors driving consumption in North America

• The ice cream segment is gaining significant popularity among consumers in the North American region, primarily due to the availability of a wide range of flavors. Popular flavors include chocolate, cookies and cream, vanilla, and strawberry. The vanilla flavor is preferred by 36.87% of consumers, while chocolate is preferred by 25.42% of the population. In 2022, the segment witnessed a growth of 7.6% compared to 2021. On average, an American consumes approximately 10 kg of ice cream and related frozen desserts per year. Regular ice cream is the most popular category of frozen desserts.
• The total milk solids component of ice cream includes both fat and other solids. These milk solids include the protein and lactose levels in milk and range from 9% to 12% in ice cream. This has resulted in a rise in per capita consumption over the years, which increased by 2.21% from 2020 to 2023. In Mexico, the forecast for milk production in 2023 is 13.42 million metric tons (MMT), a growth of 2% from 2022, as producers continue to thrive despite both high domestic inflation and feed prices.
• In North America, ice creams are available at a price ranging from USD 4.97 to more than USD 87.2. In Mexico, the average price for fluid milk paid on the farm was MXN 7.80 (USD 0.39) per liter as of June 2022. This price reflects a 1.3% increase compared to the previous month and a 12.6% increase compared to June 2021. The wholesale price of milk in Mexico was MXN 17.64 (USD 0.88) per liter, representing a 1.6% increase compared to May 2021 and a 14.5% increase compared to the previous year. The average price paid by consumers is currently MXN 22.02 (USD 1.1) per liter, showing a 0.22% increase compared to May 2022 and a 9.6% increase compared to June 2021.

OTHER KEY INDUSTRY TRENDS COVERED IN THE REPORT

Segment Analysis: Distribution Channel

Off-Trade Segment in North American Ice Cream Market

The off-trade segment dominates the North American ice cream market, accounting for approximately 93% of the total market value in 2024. This substantial market share of ice cream is primarily driven by the widespread presence of supermarkets, hypermarkets, convenience stores, and online retail channels across the region. The segment's growth is supported by the increasing availability of premium and innovative ice cream products through various retail formats, with supermarkets and hypermarkets leading the distribution network. The convenience of home consumption, coupled with the availability of multiple brands and flavors at different price points ranging from USD 4.84 to over USD 140, has significantly contributed to the segment's dominance. Additionally, the segment is projected to grow at around 3% CAGR from 2024 to 2029, driven by the expanding e-commerce platforms, increasing consumer preference for take-home ice cream products, and the rising trend of bulk purchasing through retail channels. The growth is further supported by retailers offering various promotional schemes and discounts, making ice cream products more accessible to consumers across different income groups.

On-Trade Segment in North American Ice Cream Market

The on-trade segment, which includes food chains and foodservice outlets, represents a smaller but significant portion of the North American ice cream market. This channel has gained prominence due to the increasing trend of dining out and consumer preference for consuming ice cream as a dessert or snack at food service establishments. The segment offers a diverse range of flavors, with chocolate being preferred by 16% of the population, followed by cookie 'n cream and vanilla at 13% and 12%, respectively. Popular ice cream companies in this segment include Baskin-Robbins, which owns 2,800 locations, and Ben & Jerry's, operating 230 stores in the United States. Consumer preferences for various on-trade chains are evident, with approximately 66% of consumers favoring Baskin-Robbins for frozen desserts, while Carvel and Cold Stone Creamery maintain strong consumer bases at 59% and 51%, respectively. The segment's growth is supported by the increasing number of ice cream parlors and foodservice establishments across the region, contributing to the ice cream service supplies market.

North America Ice Cream Market Geography Segment Analysis

Ice Cream Market in United States

The United States ice cream market dominates the North America ice cream market, commanding approximately 82% of the total market value in 2024. The market's robust performance is primarily driven by the increasing demand for premium ice creams, particularly among health-conscious consumers seeking reduced-calorie or sugar-free options. Manufacturers in the United States are continuously innovating and focusing on developing premium products with novel ingredients to expand their customer base and appeal to a broader audience. The emphasis on sustainable packaging solutions is evident in industry initiatives, such as Tillamook County Creamery Association's commitment to achieving 100% recyclable, reusable, or compostable packaging by 2030. The government's support through various initiatives and programs has been instrumental in propelling the market and boosting the dairy industry. The trend toward take-home ice creams has been particularly strong, supported by manufacturers' focus on developing innovative and flexible packaging materials. The market has also witnessed significant growth in the premium segment, with companies introducing various health-conscious options to cater to evolving consumer preferences.

Ice Cream Market in Mexico

The Mexico ice cream market demonstrates remarkable growth potential, with a projected CAGR of approximately 3% from 2024 to 2029. The market's expansion is driven by continuous product innovation and evolving consumer preferences, with companies introducing new and unique flavors to attract and retain customers. The extended shelf life of ice cream products, ranging from 0.15 months to 24.27 months depending on temperature, has facilitated easier storage and distribution across the country. The widespread availability through various retail channels, including major chains like Walmart and Amazon, has significantly contributed to market accessibility. Companies are investing heavily in research and development to create innovative presentation methods and product offerings. The market has also benefited from the increasing adoption of modern retail formats and the growing presence of international brands. The diversity in pricing strategies, catering to different consumer segments, has helped expand the market reach across various socioeconomic groups.

Ice Cream Market in Canada

The Canada ice cream market has established itself as a significant player in North America, characterized by strong consumer preference for premium and innovative products. The market has witnessed substantial growth in the health-conscious segment, with increasing demand for GMO-free, preservative-free, dairy-free, low-calorie, and organic options. Convenience stores have emerged as crucial distribution channels, offering accessible ice cream products to consumers across the country. The online retail segment has gained significant traction, providing consumers with convenient access to a wide variety of ice cream products. Canadian manufacturers have been particularly responsive to consumer demands for clean-label products, focusing on natural ingredients and transparent sourcing. The market has also seen increased innovation in packaging and product formulations, with companies introducing various portion sizes and formats to meet diverse consumer needs. The strong presence of both domestic and international brands has created a competitive environment that drives continuous innovation and product development.

Ice Cream Market in Other Countries

The ice cream market in other North American countries, including Greenland, Jamaica, Cuba, Panama, Costa Rica, and Guatemala, presents diverse opportunities and unique market dynamics. These markets are characterized by growing consumer awareness of premium ice cream products and increasing demand for various flavors and formats. The retail landscape in these countries continues to evolve, with convenience stores playing a crucial role in product distribution. Local preferences and cultural influences have shaped product development and marketing strategies in these regions. The markets have witnessed increased penetration of international brands while maintaining a strong local player presence. Consumer preferences in these countries are increasingly aligned with global trends, particularly regarding health-conscious and premium products. The growing tourism industry in many of these countries has also influenced ice cream consumption patterns and product offerings. The development of cold chain infrastructure has supported market expansion and product availability across these regions.

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