Europe Defense Logistics Market Size and Share
Europe Defense Logistics Market Analysis by Mordor Intelligence
The Europe Defense Logistics Market size is estimated at USD 30.70 billion in 2025, and is expected to reach USD 38.93 billion by 2030, at a CAGR of 4.87% during the forecast period (2025-2030).
Modernization programs along NATO’s eastern flank, larger inventories of critical munitions and expanded outsourcing of non-core activities are reshaping demand patterns. Armament services dominate value, yet transportation functions capture most of the contract volume as allies press for rapid cross-border mobility. Defense ministries now integrate predictive-maintenance platforms, cyber-secure supply chains and green transport fleets into acquisition requirements, broadening opportunity for technology vendors. Private operators gain from a measurable shift away from depot-centric support toward agile, contractor-operated hubs positioned near Poland, the Baltics and Germany. Fiscal headwinds in several EU economies temper growth, but long-term policy commitments such as the European Commission’s ReArm Europe proposal keep the expansion outlook intact.
Key Report Takeaways
- By service type – Armament services led with 30.60% revenue share in 2024, while technical support and maintenance is forecast to advance at a 7.10% CAGR through 2030.
- By logistics function – Transportation accounted for 68.55% of functional requirements in 2024; value-added services show the fastest growth at an 8.30% CAGR to 2030.
- By end user – The Army segment held 46.77% of the Europe defense logistics market share in 2024; the Air Force segment is set to expand at a 6.50% CAGR through 2030.
- By geography – Poland recorded the quickest pace at an 8.10% CAGR, while the United Kingdom maintained the largest 17.90% revenue share in 2024.
Europe Defense Logistics Market Trends and Insights
Drivers Impact Analysis
| Driver | (~) % Impact on CAGR Forecast | Geographic Relevance | Impact Timeline |
|---|---|---|---|
| NATO force-modernisation spending surge | +1.2% | Eastern Europe focus | Medium term (2-4 years) |
| Rapid-deployment logistics for eastern flank | +0.8% | Poland, Baltics, Germany corridors | Short term (≤2 years) |
| Outsourcing of non-core logistics services | +0.6% | Western Europe expanding eastward | Long term (≥4 years) |
| Multinational joint-exercise tempo | +0.4% | All NATO members with eastern focus | Medium term (2-4 years) |
| Predictive-maintenance platform adoption | +0.5% | Tech-forward NATO economies | Long term (≥4 years) |
| Low-carbon supply-chain investments | +0.3% | EU members with green mandates | Long term (≥4 years) |
| Source: Mordor Intelligence | |||
NATO Force-Modernisation Spending Surge
European defense allocations have entered their most active phase since the late 1980s, with several frontline states lifting spending targets above 3% of GDP. The capital influx drives heightened logistics demand as older Soviet-era inventories give way to NATO-standard platforms that rely on data-rich supply chains and condition-based maintenance. Germany’s EUR 100 billion (USD 110.3 billion) special fund channels a sizable share into depot upgrades, rail heads and contractor support agreements, while Poland’s multiyear equipment package anchors fresh tenders for spare-parts pooling and stockpile management[1]Bundeswehr Press Office, “Bundestag Approves Special Defence Fund Procurement List,” bundeswehr.de. Each new platform multiplies lifetime logistics outlays, steering the Europe defense logistics market toward high-margin technical services.
Rapid-Deployment Logistics for Eastern Flank
NATO’s revised New Force Model stipulates pre-positioned materiel ready inside 72 hours of activation. Poland’s EUR 2.5 billion (USD 2.75 billion) East Shield program accelerates heavy-haul road, rail and storage nodes from the Baltic coast to the Carpathians[2]Polish Ministry of National Defence, “East Shield Infrastructure Programme,” gov.pl. Germany, acting as the principal transit state, has identified a EUR 30 billion (USD 33.10 billion) infrastructure gap that limits axle-load capacity for main battle tanks. Commercial providers now compete for contracts to build expeditionary hubs, supply corridors and cross-dock solutions that can operate under contested conditions, lifting the Europe defense logistics market well above peacetime baselines.
Outsourcing of Non-Core Logistics Services
European militaries increasingly follow a contractor-heavy model pioneered by the United States. The United Kingdom’s Phoenix 3 White Fleet Management award consolidates light-vehicle care into a single 10-year agreement, freeing uniformed personnel for core combat tasks. Continental allies are issuing similar framework contracts for warehousing, material accounting and fleet management, spurring growth in integrated logistics operators. Risk-transfer clauses and resilience metrics appear more often in tenders, cementing long-run demand for third-party expertise across the Europe defense logistics market.
Multinational Joint-Exercise Tempo
The number of large-scale NATO drills has tripled since 2022, creating sustained pressure on cross-border coordination systems. Exercises such as Defender Europe expose gaps in ammunition formats, fuel standards and convoy permitting, triggering follow-on procurement for compatibility kits and surge services. Systems integrators that link national asset databases and traffic management platforms capture fresh revenue streams as allies look to cut friction in future deployments.
Restraints Impact Analysis
| Restraint | (~) % Impact on CAGR Forecast | Geographic Relevance | Impact Timeline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fiscal caps in major EU economies | -0.7% | Germany, France, Italy | Short term (≤2 years) |
| Eastern Europe infrastructure bottlenecks | -0.5% | Poland, Baltics corridors | Medium term (2-4 years) |
| Cyber-security standard fragmentation | -0.3% | EU-wide | Long term (≥4 years) |
| Export-control compliance delays | -0.4% | Cross-border, dual-use tech | Medium term (2-4 years) |
| Source: Mordor Intelligence | |||
Fiscal Caps in Major EU Economies
Domestic budget rules such as Germany’s debt brake and France’s deficit ceiling weigh on multi-year service commitments. Legislatures tighten scrutiny of logistics contracts that extend beyond annual appropriation cycles, compelling ministries to split projects into smaller tranches. Such fragmentation reduces economies of scale and complicates long-term investment planning for providers active in the Europe defense logistics market.
Eastern Europe Infrastructure Bottlenecks
Bridges across Poland and the Baltics often carry weight restrictions below 70 tons, limiting heavy-armor movements and forcing detours that add time and cost. Rail gauge changes at the Polish-Ukrainian border require transhipment facilities that are still under construction. Until these chokepoints clear, throughput will lag demand, tempering overall market expansion.
Segment Analysis
By Service Type: Armament Dominance Drives Market Structure
Armament services contributed 30.60% of 2024 revenue, mirroring high burn-rates for artillery shells and missile components that outstrip pre-2022 production levels. Frequent resupply cycles magnify requirements for secure storage, inventory tracking and pyrotechnic safety management, drawing specialist operators deeper into the Europe defense logistics market size at the tactical echelon. Technical support and maintenance, projected at a 7.10% CAGR to 2030, benefits from predictive-maintenance deployments across complex aircraft, air-defense radars and active-protection systems.
Demand for military troop support and medical aid remains stable as battlegroups rotate through exercises and deployments, sustaining baseline contract values. Fire-fighting protection gains relevance where munitions depots cluster near civilian areas, prompting dual-use investments. Other services, including cyber-security hardening and spectrum-management support, record double-digit gains from NATO electronic-warfare modernization initiatives. This breadth of requirements ensures the Europe defense logistics market continues to diversify away from purely physical transport activities.
Note: Segment shares of all individual segments available upon report purchase
By Logistics Function: Transportation Infrastructure Shapes Market Dynamics
Transportation occupied 68.55% of 2024 demand, underscoring the primacy of reliable mobility corridors in modern deterrence. Heavy-lift road convoys and chartered air cargo dominate surge deliveries, whereas roll-on roll-off sea transport handles oversized armor destined for Baltic ports. Gauge discrepancies and axle-load constraints temper rail expansion, yet new dual-gauge track projects could lift rail’s share after 2027.
Value-added services deliver the quickest gains at an 8.30% CAGR as defense customers seek turnkey offerings that wrap labeling, kitting and consultancy into a single contract. Warehousing and distribution absorb increased volumes as ministries pre-position stocks within 300 kilometers of likely flashpoints, inserting automated retrieval systems to quicken pick-and-pack operations. Integrated suppliers that blend these capabilities under cyber-secure platforms anchor long-term frameworks inside the Europe defense logistics market.
By End User: Army Requirements Drive Market Foundation
Land forces consumed 46.77% of 2024 expenditure, reflecting tank, infantry fight-vehicle and artillery fleets that generate high tonnage and maintenance demand throughout operational lifecycles. Defensive mine-laying, bridging and engineering units compound the need for specialized spares and field services. The Europe defense logistics market size for the Air Force segment will grow fastest at 6.50% CAGR, propelled by fifth-generation aircraft and new aerial refueling platforms that require tightly managed part pools, digital twin simulations and global MRO rotations.
Naval spending centers on port operations, ammunition embarkation and Arctic resupply, while joint and special-operations commands procure compact, technology-heavy packages with strict security protocols. Cross-domain integration elevates contractors that can synchronize land, air and maritime nodes through shared dashboards, reinforcing their appeal across end-user categories in the Europe defense logistics market.
Note: Segment shares of all individual segments available upon report purchase
By Country: UK Leadership Faces Eastern European Challenge
The United Kingdom retained 17.90% revenue in 2024 thanks to mature public-private partnerships, agile procurement and a deep contractor base fluent in expeditionary doctrine. BAE Systems, Babcock and Serco manage fleet sustainment and asset visibility services that underpin the nation’s leadership position[3]BAE Systems plc, “Lifecycle Support Solutions Overview,” baesystems.com. Poland’s 8.10% CAGR expansion tilts the opportunity frontier eastward as Warsaw purchases large quantities of South Korean armor and American rocket artillery that need regionally based depots and training ranges.
Germany channels its Zeitenwende fund toward fleet renewal and transit-corridor upgrades, yet lingering fiscal ceilings temper growth. France prioritizes sovereignty, funneling logistics spend into domestic prime contractors, while the Netherlands, Norway and Sweden supply niche Arctic, maritime and electric-vehicle know-how. Rest-of-Europe markets such as Romania and Croatia start from smaller bases but show acceleration as they align force structures with NATO standards, reinforcing the long-run pull of the Europe defense logistics market.
Geography Analysis
The United Kingdom’s 17.90% share anchors the Europe defense logistics market through an ecosystem of framework agreements, digitalization pilots and rapid contracting procedures. The Ministry of Defence’s 2025 order for 500 Rheinmetall trucks worth GBP 282 million illustrated the speed at which London can address emergent capability gaps without protracted tender cycles. Babcock’s USD 2 billion tri-service maintenance award consolidates fleet support, while initiatives such as the Digital Targeting Web showcase the push toward data-integrated supply chains.
Germany remains the logistical heartland of continental force movements. The Bundeswehr’s framework to acquire up to 6,500 multi-role trucks valued above EUR 3 billion underscores Berlin’s effort to modernize while acting as NATO’s primary throughput hub. Yet bridge weight limits and rail bottlenecks impose delays that private contractors attempt to mitigate with multimodal routing and modular load-handling systems. Investment in digital consignment tracking and customs pre-clearance gains priority as Germany must expedite eastbound flows.
Poland posts the fastest trajectory at 8.10% CAGR as it migrates from net consumer to regional hub status. The East Shield fortification scheme combines hardened storage sites with new rail spurs and highway upgrades, offering sustained contracts for warehousing, material handler leasing and last-mile convoy escort. High-profile imports such as 486 HIMARS launchers and K2 tanks demand in-country spares baselines, training aids and simulator networks, further enlarging the Europe defense logistics market share attributable to Polish programs. Nordic states add Arctic route expertise, while southern European allies channel spending into amphibious and rotorcraft sustainment, adding geographical diversity to the overall market.
Competitive Landscape
The Europe defense logistics market features moderate fragmentation, blending defense primes, freight titans and specialized technology firms. BAE Systems leverages vertical integration from weapons manufacturing to in-service support, securing multi-cycle revenue beyond initial sales. DHL Global Forwarding and DSV scale global transport networks and customs brokerage, challenging traditional primes on unit costs and cross-border agility. DSV’s EUR 14.3 billion (USD 15.78 billion) takeover of DB Schenker in April 2025 created a top-tier player able to match defense-specific security protocols while offering commercial capacity at volume rates.
Competitive advantage now pivots on digital competence. Palantir’s Maven Smart System, procured by NATO for USD 23.3 million, exemplifies demand for data-fusion tools that condense sensor feeds into actionable resupply plans. Rheinmetall’s acquisition streak, including simulation and digital communications firms, augments its conventional vehicle pedigree with command-and-control assets that underpin predictive logistics and battlefield connectivity.
White-space opportunities cluster around cyber-secure supply chains, autonomous resupply drones and ESG-compliant fleet transitions. Start-ups offering blockchain-verified custody trails, AI-based demand forecasting and hydrogen-powered ground support equipment attract venture funding and pilot projects. Incumbents respond through joint ventures, licensing deals and targeted buyouts, sustaining a competitive cycle that propels technological differentiation throughout the Europe defense logistics market.
Europe Defense Logistics Industry Leaders
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BAE Systems
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Rheinmetall AG
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Leonardo SpA
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CEVA Logistics
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DHL Global Forwarding
- *Disclaimer: Major Players sorted in no particular order
Recent Industry Developments
- June 2025: Rheinmetall secured a USD 107.5 million contract with the U.S. Army for M1 Abrams track systems, extending its transatlantic footprint Defence Industry Europe.
- April 2025: Rheinmetall AG completed the acquisition of Stascheit GmbH, an ammunition-recovery specialist, adding EUR 80 million in annual turnover and expanding its explosive-ordnance-disposal capabilities.
- February 2025: The German Bundestag approved Rheinmetall AG’s largest domestic contract for up to 6,500 logistics trucks, valued at more than EUR 3 billion, underscoring the company’s role in European military modernization.
- January 2025: Amentum secured a USD 447 million strategic contract from Air Forces Central Command for Global Prepositioned Materiel Services, integrating smart-asset-management technologies and expanding its European logistics footprint.
Research Methodology Framework and Report Scope
Market Definitions and Key Coverage
Our study defines the Europe defense logistics market as the yearly value of goods, services, and infrastructure devoted to procuring, moving, storing, repairing, and sustaining equipment and personnel for the Army, Navy, Air Force, and other uniformed branches across continental Europe and the United Kingdom. Activities counted range from armored-vehicle spares shipped by rail to pre-positioned medical kits and multinational ammunition depots, all expressed in constant 2025 dollars.
Scope exclusion: purely civilian disaster-relief missions conducted by armed forces are outside the sizing.
Segmentation Overview
- By Service Type
- Armament
- Military Troops Support
- Technical Support & Maintenance
- Medical Aid & Health Services
- Fire-fighting Protection
- Other Services
- By Logistics Function
- Transportation
- Road
- Air
- Sea and Inland Waterways
- Rail
- Warehousing & Distribution
- Value-added Services (Labelling, Kitting, Consulting)
- Transportation
- By End User
- Army
- Navy
- Air Force
- Other
- By Country
- United Kingdom
- Germany
- France
- Italy
- Spain
- Poland
- Netherlands
- Norway
- Sweden
- Rest of Europe
Detailed Research Methodology and Data Validation
Primary Research
We interviewed base-logistics officers in Germany, Poland, and Spain, spoke with procurement managers at integrated service providers, and surveyed defense economists tracking EU Military Mobility 2.0 grants. Their insights validated allocation ratios, typical lead times for cross-border heavy haul, and expected cost inflation on munitions transport, shaping assumption limits in the model.
Desk Research
Mordor analysts first mapped the spending pool through open data issued by NATO defense-expenditure databases, European Defense Agency logistics guidelines, Eurostat transport cost indices, SIPRI arms-transfer registers, and national MoD budget white papers. These sources clarify what proportion of overall military outlays is consistently tagged to logistics functions and how that share has shifted after the Ukraine conflict.
Company filings collected via D&B Hoovers, news archives on Dow Jones Factiva, and contract notices from the EU Tenders Electronic Daily provided unit-price ranges for depot-level maintenance, fuel convoys, and third-party freight services, letting us anchor realistic average selling prices.
The listed references are illustrative only; many additional public and proprietary documents helped verify trends and close data gaps.
Market-Sizing & Forecasting
A top-down build starts with each country's operations and maintenance budget, nets out personnel pay, and applies a logistics share derived from historic NATO benchmarks. Results are then corroborated with sampled contract roll-ups for warehousing, multimodal freight, and platform sustainment. Key inputs include troop deployment counts, average daily sustainment cost per soldier, cross-border heavy freight tariffs, spare parts refurbishment cycles, and EU infrastructure grant disbursements. Multivariate regression ties these drivers to forecast outlays, and bottom-up supplier revenue checks adjust any country totals that deviate beyond a two-point band.
Data Validation & Update Cycle
Outputs pass anomaly tests and peer review before sign-off. We refresh every twelve months and trigger interim updates after material events, such as a new NATO force structure plan, so clients receive the latest vetted view.
Why Mordor's Europe Defense Logistics Baseline Commands Reliability
Published estimates often diverge because firms choose different service baskets, currency years, and refresh schedules. By tracing every euro back to verifiable budget lines and contract values, we give decision-makers a figure that can be repeated and audited.
Key gap drivers include whether in-house military transport is counted, how ammunition mark-ups are treated, and if humanitarian missions are folded in.
Our deliberate scope choices and annual refresh cadence minimize such distortions.
Benchmark comparison
| Market Size | Anonymized source | Primary gap driver |
|---|---|---|
| USD 30.7 B (2025) | Mordor Intelligence | - |
| USD 36.5 B (2024) | Global Consultancy A | Adds global procurement flows, mixes 2024 currency, and assumes higher armament mark-ups |
| USD 14.3 B (2024) | Industry Publisher B | Counts only outsourced third-party logistics, omits in-house military transport and medical support |
Taken together, the comparison shows that when scope boundaries and variables are aligned, Mordor's baseline sits between overly broad and overly narrow views, offering a balanced, transparent starting point for planners.
Key Questions Answered in the Report
What is the current size and forecast growth of the Europe defense logistics?
The market is valued at USD 30.70 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 38.93 billion by 2030, advancing at a 4.87% CAGR.
Which service category accounts for the largest share of spending?
Armament services lead with a 30.60% revenue share in 2024, reflecting sustained demand for ammunition stockpile replenishment and weapons-system upkeep.
Why is Poland the fastest-growing geography and what is its CAGR?
Warsaw’s multibillion-euro rearmament drive, border fortification projects and pre-positioned stock requirements fuel an 8.10% CAGR through 2030.
Which emerging technologies are transforming European defense logistics?
AI-driven predictive-maintenance platforms, digital supply-chain dashboards, autonomous resupply drones and low-carbon truck fleets are improving asset availability and reducing lifecycle costs.
How concentrated is the competitive landscape?
The top five providers control roughly 40% of total revenue, yielding a market-concentration score of 4/10 and signaling moderate fragmentation.
What are the main obstacles limiting faster market expansion?
Fiscal caps in major EU economies, Eastern European infrastructure bottlenecks, cyber-security standard fragmentation and export-control delays collectively restrain near-term growth.
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