Iraq Freight And Logistics Market Size & Share Analysis - Growth Trends And Forecast (2025 - 2030)

Iraq Freight And Logistics Market Trends and Insights

Post-ISIS Oil-Export Rebound Boosting Road Freight Volumes

Crude oil exports account for 98.7% of Iraq’s merchandise shipments and 45.5% of GDP^{[1]Extractive Industries Transparency Initiative, “Validation of Iraq 2024,” eiti.org}. Pipeline length reached 4,010 km by end-2024, with a further 1,155 km under construction, securing predictable flows from fields to Basra. The Sealine-3 offshore link will add 2 million barrels per day (bpd) capacity, lifting road transport demand for equipment haulage and workforce mobility. Logistics providers that field low-sulphur fuel trucks, GPS-tracked convoys, and heavy-lift trailers are winning service contracts from international oil companies. As upstream output rises, downstream petrochemical projects create backhauls that raise asset utilization and margins across the Iraq freight and logistics market.

China–Iraq Belt-and-Road Infrastructure Investments Accelerating Multimodal Connectivity

Chinese contractors signed about USD 9 billion of Iraq-based engineering work in 2024. Flagship schemes include a USD 8 billion refinery integrated with a dual-gauge rail spur, forming a backbone that aligns with the Development Road project. Freight capacity on the corridor is modeled to hit 40 million tons by 2050. Chinese EPC firms bring turnkey technology, trade credit, and rolling-stock packages that shorten execution cycles. Their presence also crowds in Gulf sovereign wealth funds eager to position Iraq as the trailer-to-Turkey alternative to the Suez route, raising long-haul container volumes through new inland depots.

Basra Deep-Sea Port Expansion Unlocking Containerized Trade

The Al Faw Grand Port spans 54 km² and will host 99 berths with 3.5 million TEU design capacity by 2025. Eleven global terminal operators are bidding for the concession, signaling confidence in Iraq’s reforms on tariffs and security vetting. Early works at the adjoining Basra Gateway Terminal already lifted vessel productivity records, proving demand elasticity once draft restrictions ease. The port’s rail and expressway interfaces will let shippers bypass congested Iranian or Kuwaiti gateways, further entrenching the Iraq freight and logistics market as a Gulf-to-Levant pivot.

Retail and E-commerce Growth in Baghdad Driving Urban Last-Mile Networks

Baghdad’s consumer-tech boom supports a projected 9.15% CAGR (2025-2030) in e-commerce, with turnover projected to reach USD 6.67 billion by 2030. Start-ups funded by the Iraqi Angel Investment Network (IAIN) are layering ride-hailing, quick commerce, and embedded finance onto single super-apps. The surge forces parcel operators to deploy micro-fulfilment hubs, electric scooters, and route-optimization algorithms suitable for narrow streets and variable security zones. Chains of pick-up points inside convenience stores are trimming failed-delivery rates, raising both speed and customer trust.

Informal Levies at Check-Points Significantly Drive Up Transit Costs

Checkpoint payments act as shadow tolls that inflate delivery prices and erode small-business margins^{[2]World Bank, “Trading Out of Fragility – Lessons from Iraq,” worldbank.org}. The World Bank ties these frictions to Iraq’s fragile growth model, warning that competitiveness hinges on curbing rent-seeking. TIR accession promises an 80% cut in transit time and 38% cost savings, yet successful enforcement depends on broad security-sector reforms.

Truck Fleet Obsolescence and Fuel Quality Issues Limiting Delivery Reliability

Average truck age exceeds 15 years, and inconsistent diesel grades raise breakdown risks. The International Road Transport Union (IRU) calculates that modern fleets can trim operating costs by 20%^{[3]International Road Transport Union, “Road Transport: Iraq’s Engine for Growth,” iru.org}. Contaminated fuel incidents reported in 2024 triggered emergency maintenance cycles that stranded cargo and drove contract penalties. Until fleet renewal credit lines and clean-fuel regulations tighten, the Iraq freight and logistics market faces reliability ceilings.

Segment Analysis

By End-User Industry: Oil Drives Scale, Retail Sets the Pace

The oil, gas, mining, and quarrying segment captured a 40.24% share of the Iraq freight and logistics market in 2024. Pipeline extensions, crude oil gathering stations, and refinery upgrades produce heavy project cargo flows that anchor base volumes. Expanded export capacity under the Sealine-3 program supports new contracts for heavy-lift hauliers and rig-move specialists. At the same time, the wholesale and retail trade segment is on track for a 2.21% CAGR between 2025-2030 as rising disposable incomes spur product diversity and omnichannel shopping. This trend is pushing 3PLs to add cross-docking sites near Baghdad and to integrate cash-on-delivery reconciliation into transport management systems.

The manufacturing segment benefits from tariff relief on machine imports and the spread of industrial parks near Basra and Kirkuk. Cold-chain opportunities are opening in agriculture thanks to USAID-backed value-chain initiatives and a USD 112.5 million oil-seed crushing facility in Umm Qasr that will need dedicated grain-hoppers and silo services. Construction logistics mirror the USD 17 billion Development Road outlay, keeping demand high for concrete mixers, pre-cast beams, and oversized loads. As these verticals diversify, the Iraq freight and logistics market is evolving from a single-commodity backbone into a multi-sector ecosystem.

Note: Segment shares of all individual segments available upon report purchase

By Logistics Function: Freight Transport Commands the Revenue Pool

Freight transport supplied 50.61% of revenue share in 2024, underscoring its foundational role in the Iraq freight and logistics market. Road freight transport operations represent 70.58% of that pool because of route flexibility and minimal rail competition. The Ministry of Construction and Housing is resurfacing 4,000 km of highways, raising average speeds and lowering tyre wear. Courier, express, and parcel (CEP) services, though smaller, will expand fastest at a 2.37% CAGR (2025-2030) as e-commerce widens beyond Baghdad into Mosul and Basra.

Sea and inland waterways freight transport hold second-place status, supported by dredging at Umm Qasr and by Al Faw’s multi-berth roll-out. The warehousing and storage segment is moving from basic sheds to mezzanine-equipped distribution centers with WMS dashboards that track SKU velocity. Freight forwarders are bundling customs brokerage with cross-dock trans-loading under single‐window contracts that reassure multinationals new to Iraq.

By Courier, Express and Parcel: Domestic Dominance with International Upside

Domestic parcels held a 65.73% share of CEP turnover in the Iraq freight and logistics market in 2024, as Baghdad, Erbil, and Basra absorbed two-hour delivery services. Venture-funded apps are overlaying predictive ETA notifications and real-time chat with drivers to lift first-attempt success rates. 

The international CEP segment is forecast to outpace domestic at a 2.46% CAGR (2025-2030), aided by simplified de-minimis thresholds and growing cross-border shopping among Iraq’s diaspora. DHL’s GoGreen Plus fuel-switch initiative resonates with multinationals that have science-based net-zero pledges, while Aramex-ZK’s 7,000 points-of-sale network offers cash deposit options crucial for customers without bank cards.

By Warehousing and Storage: Basic Sheds Give Way to Cold-Chain Nodes

Non-temperature-controlled stockrooms captured 92.29% segment revenue share in 2024, but multinational food and pharma firms are demanding Grade-A space with 24/7 power redundancy. The temperature-controlled warehousing is expected to grow fastest at a 2.32% CAGR (2025-2030), underpinned by dnata’s new 20,000 m² cargo complex in Erbil. Developers are installing solar-assisted chillers, racking systems certified to 50°C ambient loads, and warehouse management software that tracks humidity excursions in real time.

Location optimization models rank sites by proximity to highways, substations, and labor pools. As interest rates fall, local investors are syndicating real-estate investment trusts to fund multi-tenant distribution centers that offer modular chambers for frozen, chilled, and ambient goods. Public-private partnerships that bundle land grants with duty-free import of racking and forklift parts are accelerating the build-out.

By Freight Transport Mode: Road Rules, Air Gains Altitude

Road freight transport carried a 70.58% revenue share of freight transport segment in 2024, even as axle-load restrictions and checkpoint delays bite. Use of the TIR electronic pre-declaration portal is driving paperwork cuts that favour just-in-time deliveries. Air freight transport is set to achieve a 3.64% CAGR between 2025-2030 on the back of Baghdad International Airport upgrades financed by the International Finance Corporation. The Iraq freight and logistics market size for air cargo is projected to rise in tandem with pharmaceutical imports and high-value electronics, reinforcing the need for temperature-controlled ground handling.

Sea and inland waterway freight transport in terms of load moved (ton-km) enjoys a 67.89% share thanks to bulk-carrier traffic at Umm Qasr. Fast-track dredging and upgraded gantry cranes will lift throughput once customs e-gates sync with port community systems. Rail freight transport remains marginal, yet the 1,190 km dual line under the Development Road initiative promises modal shift for grain, cement, and steel coils when operational.

Note: Segment shares of all individual segments available upon report purchase

By Freight Forwarding: Maritime Heavyweight, Air the Sprinter

Sea and inland waterways freight forwarding represented 74.01% of freight forwarding revenue in the Iraq freight and logistics market in 2024. Al Faw’s milestone will anchor near-sourcing strategies for Gulf and East Mediterranean traders. BlackRock and MSC’s plan to manage Basra’s port estate is expected to inject performance-based KPIs typical of global terminal operators, raising crane productivity and shortening berth windows. Air freight forwarding is expected to log a 3.25% CAGR (2025-2030) because Baghdad and Erbil airports are adding perishable-handling cells and automated ULD storage. Forwarders that integrate cargo iQ milestones and electronic airway bills position themselves for premium shippers.

Multimodal solutions are nascent but expanding. Transport planners now model combined truck-barge-rail routings that bypass bottlenecks and lower carbon intensity. Tracking APIs channel event data back to ERP suites, letting importers automate purchase-order reconciliation and avoid demurrage shocks. These service bundles create stickiness and help freight intermediaries differentiate in a crowded Iraq freight and logistics market.

Geography Analysis

Southern Iraq dominates infrastructure and throughput because Basra anchors both crude oil exports and maritime imports. The Al Faw Grand Port’s USD 2.7 billion first phase, due online in 2025, will let 3.5 million TEU cycles flow directly to hinterland depots and on to Turkey via the new highway. The region also hosts pipeline manifolds, rig maintenance yards, and offshore fabrication sites, ensuring base-load volume for heavy-haul carriers. Specialized warehousing clusters near Umm Qasr are evolving into bonded logistics zones that offer investors deferred duty privileges and one-stop customs desks.

Baghdad forms the consumer nerve center, feeding demand for CEP, urban warehousing, and reverse logistics for e-commerce returns. The ASYCUDAWorld platform is live at the airport, boosting 2024 customs takings by 215%. Ongoing IFC-funded terminal renovations unlock cargo bays for wide-body freighters, while the city’s ring-road expansion lowers last-mile transit times to suburban fulfilment hubs. Service providers building omnichannel networks are locating cross-dock points within 15 km of shopper catchments to meet same-day promises and to reduce failed-delivery penalties across the Iraq freight and logistics market.

The Kurdistan Region benefits from relatively stable security, making Erbil a staging post for humanitarian convoys into Syria and Nineveh. dnata’s green-certified cargo complex will handle 100,000 tons per year, including temperature-sensitives. The regional government’s single-window permit portal offers quicker clearance than federal gateways, yet dual-customs regimes complicate corridor design. Integrating Kurdish and federal procedures remains critical for scaling the Development Road’s rail and highway extensions northward.