Europe Contract Logistics Market Analysis by Mordor Intelligence
The Europe Contract Logistics Market size is estimated at USD 91.87 billion in 2025, and is expected to reach USD 107.84 billion by 2030, at a CAGR of 3.26% during the forecast period (2025-2030).
The mature landscape is steadily pivoting toward value-added solutions as e-commerce fulfillment, supply-chain resilience, and AI-enabled optimization transform traditional operating models. Nearshoring into Eastern Europe is redrawing trade corridors, while sustainability targets under the EU Fit for 55 package amplify investment in low-carbon transport assets and green warehousing. Intensifying consolidation—exemplified by DSV’s recent mega-acquisition of DB Schenker—shows providers chasing economies of scale to blunt labor shortages, real-estate inflation, and regulatory complexity. Providers that embed robotics, end-to-end visibility platforms, and flexible warehousing footprints are best placed to capture the next wave of outsourced demand across the Europe contract logistics market.
Key Report Takeaways
- By service type, Transportation services held 61% of the Europe contract logistics market share in 2024, while Warehousing & Distribution is expanding at a 4.10% CAGR through 2030.
- By contract duration, agreements exceeding three years controlled 54% of the Europe contract logistics market size in 2024 and are growing at 3.80% CAGR to 2030.
- By end-user industry, Manufacturing & Automotive led with 26% revenue share in 2024; Healthcare & Pharmaceuticals is set to rise at 4.50% CAGR through 2030.
- By geography, Germany contributed 22% of regional value in 2024, whereas Poland is outpacing peers with a 3.60% CAGR over 2025-2030.
Europe Contract Logistics Market Trends and Insights
Drivers Impact Analysis
| Driver | (~) % Impact on CAGR Forecast | Geographic Relevance | Impact Timeline |
|---|---|---|---|
| E-commerce boom accelerates outsourced fulfillment | +0.8% | Western Europe core, Eastern Europe expansion | Medium term (2-4 years) |
| Post-COVID supply-chain resilience initiatives | +0.6% | Pan-European, strongest in Germany and Netherlands | Short term (≤ 2 years) |
| Eastern-Europe near-shoring of manufacturing | +0.5% | Poland, Czech Republic, Hungary primary | Long term (≥ 4 years) |
| AI-driven warehouse & route optimization | +0.4% | Germany, Netherlands, Nordic markets | Medium term (2-4 years) |
| EU "Fit-for-55" decarbonization incentives | +0.3% | EU-wide, strongest regulatory impact in Germany | Long term (≥ 4 years) |
| Integrated reverse-logistics demand from returns | +0.2% | Western Europe e-commerce hubs | Medium term (2-4 years) |
| Source: Mordor Intelligence | |||
E-commerce Boom Accelerates Outsourced Fulfillment
Third-party logistics (3PL) operators are capturing rising e-commerce volumes as retailers shift toward asset-light models that trade fixed real-estate costs for flexible warehousing contracts. Demand for XXL distribution centers has tightened availability, prompting retailers to secure long leases while outsourcing day-to-day operations to 3PLs. Providers are investing in omnichannel sortation, robotic picking, and carrier-agnostic last-mile networks to achieve same-day delivery targets across the Europe contract logistics market. High return rates in fashion and footwear elevate reverse-logistics complexity, making integrated returns processing a standard feature of new contracts. Early movers that bundle fulfillment and returns under one technology stack enhance customer stickiness and unlock premium pricing.
Post-COVID Supply-Chain Resilience Initiatives
The pandemic reframed resilience from a cost center to a board-level priority, driving dual-sourcing, regional buffers, and supplier diversification across Europe. Multimodal visibility systems that consolidate ocean, road, rail, and air events into a single dashboard are now core selection criteria when tendering for Europe contract logistics market contracts. Customers prioritize 3PLs capable of orchestrating parallel inventory locations and dynamically rerouting freight during disruption. Providers that invested in control-tower architectures in 2024–2025 report win-rate uplifts as shippers seek data-rich partners able to evidence contingency playbooks. The visibility imperative extends to ESG reporting, with real-time carbon tracking increasingly written into service-level agreements.
Eastern Europe Near-Shoring of Manufacturing
Cost-competitive labor, EU co-funded infrastructure, and proximity to Western consumer hubs have made Poland and neighboring states prime beneficiaries of production realignment. Automotive, white-goods, and electronics brands are adding capacity eastward, prompting a surge in demand for bonded cross-docks, sequencing centers, and just-in-time shuttle runs. The Europe contract logistics market, therefore, faces a pronounced east-west rebalancing, pushing providers to expand warehousing clusters around Łódź, Katowice, and Prague. Asset-heavy incumbents who swiftly repurpose brownfield sites into automated multi-user facilities can defend share, while asset-light challengers scale through network alliances across the region.
AI-Driven Warehouse & Route Optimization
AI deployments have moved from pilots to production across leading European operations. Otto Group already fields more than 100 collaborative robots in German fulfillment hubs, cutting picking times by 20% and mitigating labor gaps[1]Otto Group, “Artificial Intelligence: Seeing Robots and the Logistics of Tomorrow,” ottogroup.com. Route-planning engines that ingest real-time traffic and driver HOS data shave empty miles and lower emissions, aligning with Fit for 55 targets. Yet only a quarter of regional providers fully exploit AI, reflecting integration costs and legacy IT constraints. Competitive pressure is mounting: contracts awarded in 2025 cite AI decision-support as a mandatory capability, forcing laggards to choose between partnering with tech specialists or risking commoditization.
Restraints Impact Analysis
| Restraint | (~) % Impact on CAGR Forecast | Geographic Relevance | Impact Timeline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Driver & warehouse-labour shortages | -0.4% | Pan-European, acute in Germany and UK | Short term (≤ 2 years) |
| Fragmented competitive pricing pressure | -0.3% | Western Europe mature markets | Medium term (2-4 years) |
| Surging ESG-compliant warehouse real-estate costs | -0.2% | EU-wide, strongest in Netherlands and Germany | Medium term (2-4 years) |
| Complex multi-country customs / VAT compliance | -0.2% | UK-EU corridors, intra-EU complexity | Short term (≤ 2 years) |
| Source: Mordor Intelligence | |||
Driver & Warehouse-Labor Shortages
Europe faces a looming shortfall of professional truck drivers, with the International Road Transport Union warning that vacancies could top 2 million by 2026[2]International Road Transport Union, “Driver shortage: 2025 outlook,” iru.org. Warehouse attrition has accelerated as aging workforces retire faster than recruits enter the sector. Operators respond through signing bonuses, flexible schedules, and in-house training academies, but wage inflation squeezes margins in the Europe contract logistics market. Automation offsets some pressure, yet up-front capex and change-management cycles lengthen payback periods. Service disruptions and capacity rationing risk eroding customer satisfaction unless workforce strategies are modernized.
Fragmented Competitive Pricing Pressure
Despite consolidation headlines, thousands of small and mid-sized firms still compete on price across domestic lanes. Spot and contract trucking rates softened in early 2025 amid muted consumer spending, forcing providers to renegotiate annual agreements under customer-favorable terms. Thin margins complicate investment in robotics, analytics, and decarbonization—capabilities now expected in premium tenders. Scaled players leverage network density to protect yields, but mid-tier specialists may struggle to finance upgrades without partnering or exiting the Europe contract logistics market.
Segment Analysis
By Service Type: Transportation Dominance Faces Digital Disruption
Transportation services captured 61% of the Europe contract logistics market share in 2024 as road, rail, air, and sea movements underpin continental trade. Yet Warehousing & Distribution is growing fastest at 4.10% CAGR to 2030 as shippers prioritize inventory positioning over pure transit speed. The Europe contract logistics market size allocated to Transportation remains healthy, but value is shifting toward integrated bundles that combine freight, storage, and light manufacturing tasks. Rail freight slipped 0.7% in 2024, underscoring modal constraints despite EU ambitions to double its share[3]UIRR, “Rail freight declined in EU in first half of 2024,” uirr.com. Road continues to dominate door-to-door flows, although carrier networks now embed digital freight platforms for dynamic routing. Air freight retains a niche, serving high-value or time-critical goods, while short-sea lanes link Mediterranean and Baltic gateways into wider multimodal offerings.
A parallel narrative unfolds in Warehousing & Distribution. Demand for XXL hubs near population centers collides with scarce land and stricter zoning, inflating prime rents. Operators mitigate costs by adopting high-bay automation, mezzanine robotics, and dark-store configurations that triple throughput per square meter. Cold-chain extensions support pharmaceuticals and fresh food, deepening technical barriers to entry. Consequently, contracts now stipulate performance metrics beyond pallet moves, tracking pick accuracy, reverse-logistics cycles, and micro-fulfillment turnaround. The Europe contract logistics market thus rewards firms able to marry real-estate acumen with advanced process engineering.
Note: Segment shares of all individual segments available upon report purchase
By Contract Duration: Long-Term Partnerships Drive Stability
Long-term agreements of more than three years held 54% of the 2024 value and are expanding at a 3.80% CAGR, demonstrating customer appetite for strategic alliances. Such contracts unlock bespoke automation, dedicated fleets, and co-developed IT stacks, reducing total landed cost variability. The Europe contract logistics market size committed under multiyear deals often involves joint governance boards and gain-share mechanisms that align incentives for continuous improvement. Heightened complexity in customs, sustainability reporting, and SKU proliferation incentivizes clients to avoid frequent tender cycles that risk operational disruption.
Shorter 1-3-year contracts remain relevant for seasonal peaks, market tests, or rapid rollouts. However, providers prefer to funnel capital into relationships with stable horizons. Outcome-based clauses—linking fees to on-time delivery, inventory accuracy, or CO₂ reduction—appear in new templates, shifting risk profiles. Negotiation focus has broadened from rate cards to cyber-security safeguards and data-ownership rights as digital twins become central to daily operations in the Europe contract logistics market.
By End-User Industry: Healthcare Acceleration Reshapes Priorities
Manufacturing & Automotive retained leadership at 26% of 2024 revenue, reflecting entrenched tier-1 and tier-2 supply chains that demand synchronous component flows. Complexity spans vendor-managed inventory, just-in-sequence deliveries, and line-side kitting, sustaining high service fees. Nevertheless, Healthcare & Pharmaceuticals is the fastest riser, forecast to post a 4.50% CAGR through 2030 on the back of biologics growth and aging demographics. UPS’s agreement to acquire Frigo-Trans and BPL underscores the premium commanded by GDP-compliant, temperature-controlled networks. Cold rooms, passive packaging, and real-time temperature telemetry are now standard bid elements, raising capex thresholds.
Food & Beverage logistics benefits from resilient consumption and the surge in online grocery, which translates into tight delivery windows and stringent traceability mandates. Retail & E-commerce, with its high returns ratio, fuels reverse-logistics innovations such as consolidated drop-off hubs and AI-assisted inspection stations that cut restocking cycles. Chemicals and other industrial sectors rely on ADR-certified assets and specialized storage, adding to the Europe contract logistics market’s spectrum of niche technical requirements.
Geography Analysis
Germany’s 22% share in 2024 cements its status as the region’s hub, underpinned by advanced manufacturing clusters, central geography, and dense transport infrastructure. Carbon-neutral pilots—from electric yard tractors to hydrogen long-haul trucks—mirror national decarbonization priorities and help differentiate local providers[4]DACHSER, “Decarbonizing logistics: Taking the long and bumpy road,” dachser.com. Yet escalating labor costs, full employment, and prime-land scarcity push some distribution functions toward lower-cost neighbors. Cross-border intermodal routes into Benelux and Alpine corridors face capacity constraints, heightening interest in digital congestion management solutions.
Poland leads growth with a 3.60% CAGR projection as nearshoring accelerates. EU-funded highway and rail upgrades link coastal ports to inland free-trade zones, fostering new logistics parks around Łódź and Katowice. Competitive wage structures, VAT exemptions in special economic zones, and a large technical workforce attract automotive and consumer-electronics assemblers, driving demand for sequencing centers and bonded warehouses across the Europe contract logistics market. Providers that acclimate to Polish labor law and bilingual management environments gain first-mover advantages.
Competitive Landscape
DSV’s EUR 14.3 billion (USD 14.9 billion) purchase of DB Schenker, finalized in April 2025, vaulted the combined entity to USD 45 billion-plus annual revenue and nearly 160,000 staff across more than 90 countries. The deal crystallizes a consolidation wave reshaping the Europe contract logistics market as scale becomes essential for funding robotics, AI, and low-carbon fleets. DHL Group counters by earmarking EUR 2.2 billion (USD 2.3 billion) over five years to double healthcare-logistics revenue, signaling intent to defend premium niches. UPS advances its cold-chain reach through acquisitions of Frigo-Trans and BPL, while CEVA’s purchase of Bolloré Logistics broadens air-and-ocean capabilities.
Technology is the second battleground. GXO deploys large-scale robotics, achieving double-digit productivity gains in sites now orchestrated by AI-enabled Blue Yonder WMS. Maersk integrates inland contract-logistics assets with its ocean network, offering end-to-end carbon-metered solutions that appeal to shippers consolidating vendors. Mid-sized regional specialists differentiate through sector focus—such as temperature-controlled food or ADR chemicals—but rising ESG and cybersecurity compliance costs strain their balance sheets.
Marginal players mitigate scale disadvantages by forming consortia to share IT development costs and secure purchasing power for zero-emission trucks. The resultant landscape combines half a dozen multibillion-dollar giants with a long tail of niche experts, each pursuing targeted value pools from reverse logistics to sustainable packaging advisory services.
Europe Contract Logistics Industry Leaders
-
Deutsche Post DHL Group
-
DSV
-
GXO Logistics
-
XPO Logistics
-
CEVA Logistics
- *Disclaimer: Major Players sorted in no particular order
Recent Industry Developments
- April 2025: DSV completed its EUR 14.3 billion (USD 14.9 billion) acquisition of DB Schenker, creating a global leader with expected annual savings of DKK 9 billion (USD 1.3 billion).
- April 2025: DHL Group announced a EUR 2.2 billion (USD 2.3 billion), five-year plan to expand temperature-controlled storage and distribution, aiming to double healthcare-logistics revenue by 2030.
- January 2025: UPS agreed to acquire Frigo-Trans and BPL, strengthening pharmaceutical cold-chain capabilities across continental Europe; closing is expected in Q1 2025.
- November 2024: CEVA Logistics finalized its Bolloré Logistics acquisition, enhancing multimodal reach and sector diversification.
Europe Contract Logistics Market Report Scope
Contract logistics refers to a long-term partnership that includes a variety of services, from the transportation of goods or replacement parts to the delivery of goods to the ultimate customer.
The report provides a complete background analysis of the European contract logistics market, including an assessment of the economy, a market overview, market size estimation for key segments, emerging trends in the market, market dynamics, and key company profiles are covered in the report. The report also covers the impact of COVID-19 on the market.
The report covers the European Logistic Companies, and it is segmented by End User (Industrial Machinery and Automotive, Food and Beverage, Construction, Chemicals, Other Consumer Goods, and Other End Users), and Country (Germany, the United Kingdom, the Netherlands, France, Italy, Spain, Poland, Belgium, Sweden, and Rest of Europe). The report offers the market size in value terms in USD for all the abovementioned segments.
| Transportation | Road |
| Rail | |
| Air | |
| Sea | |
| Warehousing & Distribution | |
| Value-added Services (Assembly, Labelling, Kitting) |
| 1 – 3 Years |
| Above 3 years |
| Manufacturing & Automotive |
| Food & Beverage |
| Retail & E-commerce |
| Healthcare & Pharmaceuticals |
| Chemicals |
| Other Industries |
| Germany |
| United Kingdom |
| France |
| Italy |
| Spain |
| Netherlands |
| Poland |
| Belgium |
| Sweden |
| Rest of Europe |
| By Service Type | Transportation | Road |
| Rail | ||
| Air | ||
| Sea | ||
| Warehousing & Distribution | ||
| Value-added Services (Assembly, Labelling, Kitting) | ||
| By Contract Duration | 1 – 3 Years | |
| Above 3 years | ||
| By End-user Industry | Manufacturing & Automotive | |
| Food & Beverage | ||
| Retail & E-commerce | ||
| Healthcare & Pharmaceuticals | ||
| Chemicals | ||
| Other Industries | ||
| By Country | Germany | |
| United Kingdom | ||
| France | ||
| Italy | ||
| Spain | ||
| Netherlands | ||
| Poland | ||
| Belgium | ||
| Sweden | ||
| Rest of Europe |
Key Questions Answered in the Report
What is the 2025 value of the Europe contract logistics market?
The market stands at USD 91.87 billion in 2025.
How fast will regional contract logistics grow by 2030?
It is forecast to expand to USD 107.84 billion, delivering a 3.26% CAGR.
Which service type currently dominates European contract logistics?
Transportation services lead with 61% share, though Warehousing & Distribution is the fastest-growing segment.
Why is Poland the fastest-growing logistics location in Europe?
Nearshoring by manufacturers, EU-backed infrastructure upgrades, and competitive cost structures propel Poland’s 3.60% CAGR.
How are logistics firms addressing labor shortages?
Strategies include automation roll-outs, enhanced compensation, and targeted training programs, alongside increased robotics deployments.
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