Netherlands E-commerce Market Analysis by Mordor Intelligence
The Netherlands e-commerce market stands at USD 37.23 billion in 2025 and is on track to reach USD 56.73 billion by 2030, reflecting an 8.78% CAGR. Near-universal internet access, the dominance of the iDEAL payment rail, and government-backed 5G roll-outs anchor this outlook. Same-day grocery fulfillment, cross-border VAT simplification, and open-banking account-to-account payments further accelerate digital sales, while zero-emission delivery zones compel investments in electric fleets and urban consolidation centres. Competitive dynamics are shifting as Chinese marketplaces intensify price competition, prompting Dutch incumbents to lean on AI-driven personalisation, premium service levels and regional expansion.
Key Report Takeaways
- By business model, the B2C segment held 88.03% of the Netherlands e-commerce market share in 2024, whereas B2B is projected to expand at a 10.51% CAGR to 2030.
- By device type, smartphones commanded 63.05% of the Netherlands e-commerce market size in 2024 and are forecast to grow at 10.06% CAGR through 2030.
- By payment method, digital wallets captured 52.23% of 2024 revenue; Buy Now Pay Later is the fastest-growing option at 12.24% CAGR to 2030.
- By B2C product category, fashion led with 26.07% revenue share in 2024; food & beverages is advancing at a 12.05% CAGR through 2030.
Netherlands E-commerce Market Trends and Insights
Drivers Impact Analysis
Driver | (~) % Impact on CAGR Forecast | Geographic Relevance | Impact Timeline |
---|---|---|---|
Government Digital-Infrastructure Leadership (99% internet + iDEAL ubiquity) | +2.1% | National, with spillover to EU cross-border | Long term (≥ 4 years) |
Account-to-Account Payments Boost Checkout Conversion | +1.8% | National, with early adoption in Amsterdam, Rotterdam, Utrecht | Medium term (2-4 years) |
EU One-Stop-Shop VAT Fuels Cross-Border GMV | +1.4% | EU-wide, concentrated in Germany, Belgium flows | Medium term (2-4 years) |
Adoption Towards Same-Day Grocery Delivery Investments | +1.2% | Urban centers: Amsterdam, Rotterdam, The Hague, Utrecht | Short term (≤ 2 years) |
AI-Enabled Personalization Raises AOV | +0.9% | National, with premium segments leading | Medium term (2-4 years) |
Source: Mordor Intelligence
Government Digital-Infrastructure Leadership (99% internet + iDEAL ubiquity) Drives the Market
iDEAL now processes 1.3 billion annual transactions and holds a 73% share of online payments, while its 2024 “iDEAL Hub” upgrade introduced personalised consumer profiles and QR payments.[1]iDEAL, “Q4 2024 Transaction Monitor,” ideal.nl Broadband reaches 98% of households, providing retailers with near-seamless consumer access. State-driven 5G deployment multiplies mobile conversion, and the ongoing rollout of the European Payments Initiative’s Wero system leverages iDEAL’s architecture to set an EU standard. These fundamentals enable real-time stock synchronisation and instant payment confirmation, curbing cart abandonment and equipping Dutch platforms for EU-wide expansion.[2]International Trade Administration, “Netherlands Country Commercial Guide,” trade.gov
Account-to-Account Payments Boost Checkout Conversion
Fifty thousand Dutch shoppers activated iDEAL consumer profiles in 2024, trimming the multi-step payment flow that causes 70% of abandoned carts. Eliminating 1.5–2.5% card interchange fees frees margin for acquisition spending, evidenced by Mollie’s 36% revenue jump to EUR 99 million (USD 107 million) after integrating A2A flows.[3]Mollie, “2023 Annual Report,” mollie.com Real-time settlement accelerates fulfilment, crucial for rapid-moving groceries and electronics categories that thrive on same-day delivery.
EU One-Stop-Shop VAT Fuels Cross-Border GMV
The OSS system and forthcoming ViDA package streamline VAT reporting, lowering compliance costs and encouraging Dutch merchants to pursue Belgium and Germany more aggressively. Backed by 1,005 million tons of cross-border freight handled in 2022, local logistics infrastructure amplifies this regulatory tailwind. Harmonised e-invoicing will cut onboarding friction for non-EU sellers using Dutch fulfilment hubs.
Adoption Towards Same-Day Grocery Delivery Investments
Picnic injected EUR 350 million (USD 378 million) in 2024 into high-automation hubs, translating into 40% revenue growth and heavier order density on urban routes. Albert Heijn’s ML-driven demand forecast lifted accuracy 5%, slashing food waste and sharpening same-day promises. EV fleet mandates across 29 cities make micro-fulfilment and route optimisation vital for margin preservation.
Restraints Impact Analysis
Restraint | (~) % Impact on CAGR Forecast | Geographic Relevance | Impact Timeline |
---|---|---|---|
Price Wars from Low-Cost Marketplaces | -1.6% | National, with spillover from Chinese platforms | Short term (≤ 2 years) |
Saturated Online-Shopper Base | -1.2% | National, particularly in 50-64 age demographic | Long term (≥ 4 years) |
Urban Logistics Cost Inflation & Green-Zone Rules | -0.8% | Major cities: Amsterdam, Rotterdam, Utrecht, The Hague | Medium term (2-4 years) |
Source: Mordor Intelligence
Price Wars from Low-Cost Marketplaces Hinder the Market
Dutch shoppers placed 11.5 million orders worth EUR 434 million (USD 469 million) on Chinese platforms in 2024. Temu leapfrogged AliExpress to become the second-largest cross-border site, leveraging ultra-low FOB pricing and subsidised freight. Pending EU customs reform aims to remove duty exemptions, yet domestic retailers must innovate on service quality to fend off price-only propositions.
Saturated Online-Shopper Base Hinders the Market
Online penetration already touches 97%, especially within the 50–64 cohort. Consumer confidence remained negative at –25 in Nov 2024 even after 6.8% annual wage growth, limiting discretionary outlays. Merchants now prioritise frequency, basket size and category expansion rather than net-new customer acquisition, pushing up marketing CPAs.
Segment Analysis
By Business Model: B2B Platforms Accelerate while B2C Matures
B2C retains scale leadership with an 88.03% share, but its growth aligns with overall market at roughly 8%. In contrast, B2B transactions are projected to expand at a 10.51% CAGR, lifting the Netherlands e-commerce market size for corporate procurement significantly by 2030. Zalando’s ZEOS programme, which logged 11.8% revenue growth in H1 2024, illustrates how logistics-as-a-service unlocks new monetisation routes for marketplaces.
Ongoing digitisation of supply chains and the upcoming ViDA e-invoicing mandate remove paper friction and encourage SMEs to adopt platform-based purchasing. As a result, incumbents with established fulfilment networks and data assets can repurpose B2C capabilities toward high-margin B2B contracts, narrowing the service gap versus specialist wholesalers.
By Device Type: Mobile Commerce Extends its Lead
Smartphones delivered 63.05% of 2024 GMV, and their 10.06% CAGR places them at the centre of Netherlands e-commerce market expansion. 5G coverage and progressive web apps compress page-load times, boosting conversion especially for impulse-driven categories such as fashion. The Netherlands e-commerce market share for desktop traffic is therefore set to decline.
Seamless QR checkout inside iDEAL and biometric login streamline the mobile flow, while app-based loyalty programmes capture behavioural data that feeds personalisation engines. Voice assistants and smart TVs remain peripheral but are testing grounds for conversational commerce, positioning retailers for the next UX horizon.
By Payment Method: Digital Wallets Dominate; BNPL Gains Pace
Digital wallets secured a 52.23% slice of 2024 spend. Buy Now Pay Later, growing at 12.24% CAGR, now expands beyond apparel into electronics and travel. The Netherlands e-commerce market size attached to BNPL will therefore rise faster than the overall payment pool but remains subject to emerging credit-worthiness checks.
Open-banking APIs let fintechs assemble low-fee A2A flows, eroding cards’ share even in higher-ticket travel and furniture verticals. The 2028 arrival of the Wero pan-EU wallet will pressure incumbents to differentiate on data-based loyalty and instant settlement.
Note: Segment shares of all individual segments available upon report purchase
By B2C Product Category: Food & Beverages Overtake Fashion’s Growth Rate
Fashion still commands 26.07% of 2024 turnover, yet food & beverages post the strongest 12.05% CAGR. That lift enlarges the Netherlands e-commerce market size for groceries, helped by Picnic’s automated fulfilment and Albert Heijn’s AI-led replenishment. Furniture & homeware leverage AR to close the tactile gap, while electronics contend with thinning margins as Chinese sellers import directly to consumers.
Fast-delivery networks and chilled-chain compliance give domestic grocers defensible moats. Grocery operators embedding subscription models secure predictable cash flows, counterbalancing fashion’s seasonal demand cycles.
Geography Analysis
The Netherlands’ logistics node handles more than 1 billion tons of cross-border freight annually, underpinning seamless EU expansion. Germany and Belgium rank as first-tier growth corridors, aided by the One-Stop-Shop VAT regime that lets Dutch sellers use a single fiscal registration. Dutch exports to China rose 7% in 2024 despite German declines, highlighting leverage in Asia-bound trade lanes.
Multilingual talent pools and pro-trade diplomacy reduce localisation hurdles. However, zero-emission delivery zones in Amsterdam, Rotterdam, Utrecht and The Hague necessitate electric fleet scaling, driving warehousing closer to city cores. EU customs reforms targeting low-value imports may curb Chinese marketplace momentum, tempering foreign price disruption and stabilising domestic margins.
Competitive Landscape
bol.com serves 13.6 million customers and remains the anchor tenant of the Netherlands e-commerce market. Coolblue generated EUR 2.41 billion (USD 2.6 billion) in 2023 by combining proprietary delivery vans with in-house repair services. Zalando’s EUR 10.6 billion revenue (USD 11.4 billion) in 2024 and the ABOUT YOU takeover extend its fashion footprint across adjacent demographics. Chinese entrants Temu and Shein collectively captured EUR 434 million (USD 469 million) of Dutch spend in 2024, forcing incumbents to highlight reliable delivery and local guarantees.
Strategic initiatives revolve around AI: Albert Heijn’s predictive models trimmed waste, while Jumbo’s personalisation boosted basket conversion. Meanwhile, PostNL’s zero-emission roadmap opens a service niche for carbon-neutral delivery partnerships. B2B white-space remains contested: Zalando’s ZEOS and bol.com’s fulfilment-by-partner programmes court brand owners seeking pan-EU reach without fixed infrastructure.
Netherlands E-commerce Industry Leaders
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Bol.com
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Fnac.com
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Coolblue N.V.
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Albert Heijn B.V.
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Zalando SE
- *Disclaimer: Major Players sorted in no particular order

Recent Industry Developments
- March 2025: Zalando bought ABOUT YOU for EUR 1.2 billion (USD 1.296 billion) to expand its dual-label portfolio and secure incremental logistics volume, positioning the group to cross-sell services on ZEOS.
- March 2025: EU ministers approved the ViDA package, mandating e-invoicing by 2030. Strategically, the ruling lowers reconciliation friction and should lift Netherlands e-commerce market cross-border sales by simplifying compliance.
- January 2025: Twenty-nine Dutch cities began enforcing zero-emission zones. Operators that deploy e-vans early may capture premium contracts from sustainability-minded clients.
- January 2025: PostNL raised in-store parcel rates to EUR 8.25 (USD 8.9) to recoup EV fleet investment, signalling sector-wide cost pass-through.
Netherlands E-commerce Market Report Scope
E-commerce or electronic commerce is the purchasing and selling of goods or services on the Internet. It encompasses various data, systems, and tools for online buyers and sellers, including mobile shopping and online payment encryption. Most businesses with an E-commerce presence use an E-commerce store or platform to conduct online marketing and sales activities.
The Netherlands e-commerce market is segmented into B2C e-commerce (beauty and personal care, consumer electronics, fashion and apparel, food and beverage, furniture and home) and B2B e-commerce. The report offers market forecasts and size in value (USD) for all the above segments.
The study also tracks vital market metrics, underlying growth influencers, and significant industry vendors, supporting market estimates and growth rates in the region throughout the forecasted period. The study looks at COVID-19's overall influence on the ecosystem.
By Business Model | B2C |
B2B | |
By Device Type | Smartphone / Mobile |
Desktop and Laptop | |
Other Device Types | |
By Payment Method | Credit / Debit Cards |
Digital Wallets | |
BNPL | |
Other Payment Method | |
By B2C Product Category | Beauty and Personal Care |
Consumer Electronics | |
Fashion and Apparel | |
Food and Beverages | |
Furniture and Home | |
Toys, DIY and Media | |
Other Product Categories |
B2C |
B2B |
Smartphone / Mobile |
Desktop and Laptop |
Other Device Types |
Credit / Debit Cards |
Digital Wallets |
BNPL |
Other Payment Method |
Beauty and Personal Care |
Consumer Electronics |
Fashion and Apparel |
Food and Beverages |
Furniture and Home |
Toys, DIY and Media |
Other Product Categories |
Key Questions Answered in the Report
What is the current value of the Netherlands e-commerce market?
It is valued at USD 37.23 billion in 2025.
How fast is the Netherlands e-commerce market expected to grow?
Forecasts call for an 8.78% CAGR, taking the market to USD 56.73 billion by 2030.
Which business model is growing fastest?
B2B platforms are expanding at a 10.51% CAGR, outpacing the mature B2C segment.
Why are digital wallets so dominant in Dutch online retail?
IDEAL processes more than 1 billion annual payments and owns over 70% share, offering instant A2A settlement and low fees.
How will zero-emission delivery zones affect logistics costs?
Compliance with electrified fleets adds 3.6–5.1% to delivery expenses but opens premium service niches for early movers.
Which product category shows the strongest growth momentum?
Food & beverages lead with a 12.05% CAGR, powered by same-day grocery fulfilment networks.
Page last updated on: June 30, 2025