Evaporative Cooling Market Analysis by Mordor Intelligence
The evaporative cooling market size reached USD 7.65 billion in 2025 and is forecast to climb to USD 10.91 billion by 2030, advancing at a 7.35% CAGR. Growing demand for energy-efficient HVAC, aggressive refrigerant phase-downs, and data-center sustainability mandates keep the evaporative cooling market firmly on a growth trajectory. Operators report 30-40% electrical savings over mechanical cooling, and utilities in water-stressed U.S. states offer rebates that shorten payback periods to two years.[1]California Energy Commission, “Building Energy Efficiency Standards,” energy.ca.gov Two-stage systems are overcoming humidity limitations, while IoT-enabled controls unlock predictive maintenance that cuts downtime and water use. Industrial and agricultural facilities view evaporative technology as a resilience tool against rising temperatures, and large-capacity units now cool hyperscale data halls where Power Usage Effectiveness (PUE) targets below 1.1 are the new norm.[2]Google Cloud, “Google Cloud Announces New Sustainability Commitments,” cloud.google.com
Key Report Takeaways
- By application, residential buildings led with 71.72% of evaporative cooling market share in 2024, while data centers recorded the fastest 9.32% CAGR through 2030.
- By cooling principle, direct evaporative systems commanded 66.83% revenue share in 2024 in the evaporative cooling market, whereas two-stage designs are projected to expand at a 7.99% CAGR to 2030.
- By cooling capacity, less than or equal to 5,000 CFM units accounted for 46.83% share of the evaporative cooling market size in 2024, yet above 15,000 CFM systems are advancing at an 8.77% CAGR.
- By component, cooling pads held 34.92% share in 2024 in the evaporative cooling market, and control systems are set to grow the quickest at a 7.34% CAGR.
- By geography, North America dominated with a 38.73% share in 2024 in the evaporative cooling market, while Asia-Pacific is on track for the highest 8.34% CAGR through 2030.
Global Evaporative Cooling Market Trends and Insights
Drivers Impact Analysis
| Driver | (~) % Impact on CAGR Forecast | Geographic Relevance | Impact Timeline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Demand for cost-effective cooling solutions | +1.5% | Global, with concentration in emerging markets | Medium term (2-4 years) |
| Data-center adoption for energy efficiency | +1.8% | North America and EU, expanding to APAC | Short term (≤ 2 years) |
| Booming construction in arid regions | +1.2% | Middle East, Southwest US, Australia | Long term (≥ 4 years) |
| Environmental regulations favoring low-GWP cooling | +0.9% | EU, California, expanding globally | Medium term (2-4 years) |
| Integration with off-grid solar-hybrid HVAC | +0.7% | Rural areas globally, off-grid applications | Long term (≥ 4 years) |
| Water-recapture pads cutting consumptive use | +0.4% | Water-stressed regions globally | Medium term (2-4 years) |
| Source: Mordor Intelligence | |||
Cost-Effectiveness Drives Industrial Adoption
Manufacturing plants in dry U.S. states report operating expenses that are 60-80% lower than those of mechanical refrigeration, with capital recovery inside two years as electricity tariffs climb. Typical wet-bulb conditions below 78 °F enable 15-20 °F air temperature reductions using one-tenth the power of chilled-water systems. Texas and Arizona poultry farms cite 25% lower heat-stress mortality alongside 70% savings on cooling bills.
Data Centers Embrace Evaporative Cooling for PUE Optimization
Hyperscale operators use indirect and two-stage designs to achieve PUE as low as 1.06, far outperforming traditional averages of 1.4-1.6. The EU Energy Efficiency Directive obliges facilities above 500 kW IT load to recover waste heat by 2025, positioning evaporative technology as a compliance enabler. Microsoft’s Arizona campus proves all-year viability even in desert climates by pre-cooling intake air before final adiabatic conditioning.
Construction Boom in Arid Regions Fuels Demand
Saudi Arabia’s NEOM, Qiddiya, and Red Sea megaprojects specify evaporative units for 80% of planned residences to meet net-zero energy targets. The United Arab Emirates now requires evaporative pre-cooling on HVAC systems in large commercial buildings, while Australia’s Northern Territory grants accelerated depreciation that cuts payback by 18 months.
Environmental Regulations Accelerate Low-GWP Adoption
The Kigali Amendment mandates an 80-85% HFC phase-down by 2036, driving interest in refrigerant-free solutions. California’s Title 24 offers compliance credits that trim mechanical system capacity by up to 20%. The EU F-Gas Regulation will ban high-GWP refrigerants in new equipment after 2025, prompting brisk retrofits across food retail and light-industrial sites.
Restraints Impact Analysis
| Restraint | (~) % Impact on CAGR Forecast | Geographic Relevance | Impact Timeline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dependence on external climate conditions | -0.8% | Humid regions globally, coastal areas | Long term (≥ 4 years) |
| High water footprint in water-stressed zones | -0.6% | Southwest US, Middle East, Australia | Medium term (2-4 years) |
| Legionella and microbial health concerns | -0.4% | Global, particularly institutional buildings | Short term (≤ 2 years) |
| Sensor interoperability issues in smart buildings | -0.3% | Developed markets with smart building adoption | Medium term (2-4 years) |
| Source: Mordor Intelligence | |||
Climate Dependence Limits Geographic Expansion
Efficiency drops below 50% when ambient humidity rises beyond 60%, limiting standalone adoption in tropical belts. Southeastern U.S. facilities report seasonal performance swings that necessitate hybrid HVAC, boosting upfront spending by 30-40%.[3]ASHRAE Journal, “Technical Resources,” ashrae.org Manufacturers respond with two-stage and desiccant-assisted variants, yet cost premiums still deter small commercial buyers.
Water Scarcity Challenges Adoption in Arid Markets
Standard units consume 1.5-3 gallons per ton-hour, prompting restrictions when drought levels rise. California utilities have paused rebates during severe shortages, and tiered water tariffs in Australia can triple operating costs, eroding the economic edge.[4]California Public Utilities Commission, “Demand Side Management,” cpuc.ca.gov Mandatory recycling adds USD 5,000-15,000 to residential installs, and far more in industrial settings.
Segment Analysis
By Cooling Principle: Two-Stage Systems Expand the Addressable Climate Zone
Direct evaporative designs retained 66.83% of revenue in 2024 because of low installed cost between USD 3,000 and USD 8,000. Yet two-stage solutions are forecast to deliver a 7.99% CAGR as they sustain comfortable supply air at ambient humidity up to 75%. The evaporative cooling market size for two-stage units is projected to double by 2030 as data centers and schools in mixed-humid climates prioritize efficiency without sacrificing comfort. Manufacturers hedge risk by offering modular upgrades that convert installed direct units into two-stage configurations, deferring large capital outlays until humidity demands change.
Demand for indirect evaporative modules grows inside packaged rooftop units that serve big-box retail and logistics centers. Air-side economizers route cool outdoor air through polymer heat exchangers that never contact conditioned space, protecting indoor air quality while capturing free cooling hours. Integrators bundle ultraviolet lamps and antimicrobial coatings to address Legionella fears, assembling turnkey kits that slot into existing ductwork. As a result, the evaporative cooling market continues to blend traditional pads with emerging polymer membranes and high-surface-area heat pipes.
Note: Segment shares of all individual segments available upon report purchase
By Application: Data Centers Shift Growth Focus Beyond Residential Mainstay
Residential installations hold 71.72% of 2024 revenue, a legacy of widespread adoption across U.S. Sunbelt states and Australia. Low energy draw lets homeowners offset power needs with rooftop solar, and utility incentives of USD 500-2,000 cut net cost further. Still, hyperscale cloud operators will add the most new capacity, with the segment advancing at a 9.32% CAGR. The evaporative cooling market share for data centers is expected to rise sharply as more jurisdictions require PUE reporting and waste-heat reuse.
Commercial properties deploy roof-mounted evaporative pre-coolers to trim compressor runtime and dodge peak-demand tariffs that can reach USD 0.35 per kWh. Poultry houses and greenhouses integrate pads for animal welfare and crop protection, noting 25% mortality reductions and 15% yield gains during extreme heat. Such cross-sector versatility shields the evaporative cooling industry from cyclical swings in residential construction.
By Cooling Capacity: Large-Frame Installations Lead Investment Plans
Single-module units rated less than or equal to 5,000 CFM represented 46.83% of shipments in 2024, but above 15,000 CFM systems will generate the highest incremental revenue at an 8.77% CAGR. The evaporative cooling market size for large-frame units is growing as hyperscale campuses specify cooling towers that exceed 100,000 CFM per cell. Manufacturers now ship modular skids that bolt together in pairs, trimming onsite labor and letting operators phase investments as IT-load rises.
Mid-range 5,001-15,000 CFM models thrive in community retail, schools, and multi-family dwellings. They balance compact footprints with airflow sufficient to displace aging rooftop chillers. Variable-speed EC motors save up to 40% of fan energy and slot into the same curb rails, easing retrofits. These gains reinforce the broader evaporative cooling market momentum despite water-use scrutiny.
Note: Segment shares of all individual segments available upon report purchase
By Component: Controls and Sensors Unlock Predictive Performance
Cooling pads still provide 34.92% of component sales because every system needs the medium. Yet control electronics and sensors are forecast to rise at 7.34% CAGR, outpacing hardware. Cloud-connected gateways log fan speed, sump temperature, and pad saturation, generating actionable alerts that cut water waste by 20% and extend pad life to five seasons. The evaporative cooling market now prizes algorithmic efficiency as much as physical durability.
Manufacturers embed wireless mesh into control boards so units link with building-management platforms via BACnet or Modbus. Fans shift to EC motors that adjust airflow on a 0.1 Hz resolution, optimizing latent heat removal while holding indoor humidity below 55%. Smart valves meter make-up water by conductivity, capping scaling and Legionella risk. Component suppliers are therefore racing to patent digital twins and self-calibrating sensors, a trend confirmed by a 40% jump in evaporative cooling patent filings in 2024.
Geography Analysis
North America held 38.73% of global revenue in 2024, anchored by the United States Southwest where daytime wet-bulb temperatures make evaporative cooling the most economical choice. Title 24 energy codes in California assign compliance credits that reduce compressor capacity, effectively subsidizing the evaporative cooling market. Incentive programs from Nevada and Arizona utilities reimburse up to USD 2,000 per residential install, sustaining demand amid high mortgage rates. Yet prolonged drought keeps policy fluid. During 2022-2023 shortages some utilities paused rebates, signaling a need for recirculating designs and alternative water sources.
Asia-Pacific is forecast to be the fastest-growing cluster at an 8.34% CAGR, and its evaporative cooling market size is projected to double by 2030. Saudi Arabia’s NEOM alone represents a USD 2 billion lifetime opportunity as codes demand adiabatic conditioning for 80% of planned homes. Australia offers accelerated depreciation, while India’s green-building council now recognizes evaporative pre-cooling points under its IGBC rating. Rapid urbanization and tight power reserves make low-energy HVAC essential, pushing state governments to explore water-recycling pads and treated wastewater loops.
Europe shows mixed momentum. Northern climates deploy indirect evaporative economizers in data centers across Ireland and the Nordics, leveraging cool ambient air for free cooling 80% of the year. Southern Europe is slower due to higher humidity, but Spain’s logistics parks integrate two-stage systems that guarantee supply temperatures under 75 °F even at 60% relative humidity. The Middle East, despite water scarcity, moves ahead with high-efficiency pads and brackish-water tolerant materials. South America remains nascent but promising, led by Brazil where automotive paint booths adopt adiabatic coolers to save 70% on energy.
Competitive Landscape
The evaporative cooling market is moderately fragmented. The top five vendors account for roughly 35-40% of global revenue, leaving ample space for regional specialists. Munters deepened its industrial footprint by acquiring Geoclima for EUR 85 million (USD 93.5 million) in 2024, adding adiabatic chillers aimed at data halls. SPX Cooling launched towers with drift eliminators that curb water loss by 30%, a feature resonating in drought-aware geographies.
Competition now centers on proprietary software that integrates sensors, water-treatment chemistries, and fan controls into single dashboards. Subscription models that bundle hardware with predictive-maintenance analytics are taking hold in Australia and Western Europe. Portable evaporative units for outdoor events, introduced by Portacool, open new consumer channels, while Honeywell’s smart thermostats tailor airflow to occupancy signals from home-automation hubs. Patent filings for pad coatings, UV sterilization, and AI-driven humidity prediction rose 40% in 2024, underscoring an innovation race that reshapes buyer criteria beyond airflow and price.
Medium-term, players aim to marry evaporative and dry-cooling circuits into configurable hybrids. Baltimore Aircoil’s Nexus platform automatically toggles modes to suit humidity and electricity prices, demonstrating how the evaporative cooling industry harnesses digitalization to hedge climate variability. Market entry barriers remain modest for hardware, but growing software content and water-quality liabilities could spur consolidation as smaller firms seek compliance support and capital for R&D.
Evaporative Cooling Industry Leaders
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Delta Cooling Towers Inc.
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Condair Group AG
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Munters Group AB
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SPX Cooling Technologies
-
ENEXIO Water Technologies GmbH
- *Disclaimer: Major Players sorted in no particular order
Recent Industry Developments
- September 2024: SPX Cooling Technologies unveiled the Marley AquaTower with proprietary drift eliminators that cut water use 30%.
- August 2024: Symphony Limited invested USD 15 million in its Rajkot plant to lift production 40% and introduce IoT-ready home coolers.
- July 2024: Baltimore Aircoil launched the NEXUS hybrid cooler that shifts between evaporative and dry modes based on ambient conditions.
- June 2024: Seeley International secured California approval for its Breezair EXH line featuring filters that block wildfire smoke.
Global Evaporative Cooling Market Report Scope
Evaporative cooling is preferred as an alternative to traditional cooling technologies, as it uses a natural process, namely the reduction of air temperature by evaporating water. Although it is an age-old process, it has emerged as a viable alternative to conventional air conditioning systems in areas where shallow temperatures are not required.
The Evaporative Cooling Market is segmented by Type of Cooling (Direct Evaporative Cooling, Indirect Evaporative Cooling, and Two-stage Evaporative Cooling), Application (Residential Applications, Commercial Applications, Industrial Applications, and Confinement Farming), Distribution Channel (Big Box Retailers, HVAC Contractors, and Distributors), and Geography.
| Direct Evaporative Cooling |
| Indirect Evaporative Cooling |
| Two-stage Evaporative Cooling |
| Residential Buildings |
| Commercial Buildings |
| Industrial Facilities |
| Confinement Farming |
| Data Centers |
| less than or equal to 5,000 CFM |
| 5,001–15,000 CFM |
| above 15,000 CFM |
| Cooling Pads |
| Fans and Blowers |
| Water Pumps |
| Control Systems and Sensors |
| Other Components |
| North America | United States | |
| Canada | ||
| South America | Brazil | |
| Argentina | ||
| Rest of South America | ||
| Europe | Germany | |
| United Kingdom | ||
| France | ||
| Spain | ||
| Italy | ||
| Rest of Europe | ||
| Asia-Pacific | China | |
| India | ||
| Japan | ||
| South Korea | ||
| Rest of Asia-Pacific | ||
| Middle East and Africa | Middle East | Saudi Arabia |
| United Arab Emirates | ||
| Turkey | ||
| Rest of Middle East | ||
| Africa | South Africa | |
| Nigeria | ||
| Rest of Africa | ||
| By Cooling Principle | Direct Evaporative Cooling | ||
| Indirect Evaporative Cooling | |||
| Two-stage Evaporative Cooling | |||
| By Application | Residential Buildings | ||
| Commercial Buildings | |||
| Industrial Facilities | |||
| Confinement Farming | |||
| Data Centers | |||
| By Cooling Capacity – CFM | less than or equal to 5,000 CFM | ||
| 5,001–15,000 CFM | |||
| above 15,000 CFM | |||
| By Component | Cooling Pads | ||
| Fans and Blowers | |||
| Water Pumps | |||
| Control Systems and Sensors | |||
| Other Components | |||
| By Geography | North America | United States | |
| Canada | |||
| South America | Brazil | ||
| Argentina | |||
| Rest of South America | |||
| Europe | Germany | ||
| United Kingdom | |||
| France | |||
| Spain | |||
| Italy | |||
| Rest of Europe | |||
| Asia-Pacific | China | ||
| India | |||
| Japan | |||
| South Korea | |||
| Rest of Asia-Pacific | |||
| Middle East and Africa | Middle East | Saudi Arabia | |
| United Arab Emirates | |||
| Turkey | |||
| Rest of Middle East | |||
| Africa | South Africa | ||
| Nigeria | |||
| Rest of Africa | |||
Key Questions Answered in the Report
How fast is the evaporative cooling market expected to grow by 2030?
The market is projected to expand from USD 7.65 billion in 2025 to USD 10.91 billion in 2030, equating to a 7.35% CAGR.
Which application will add the most new revenue over the next five years?
Data centers, growing at a 9.32% CAGR, will generate the largest incremental demand as hyperscale operators pursue PUE targets below 1.1.
Why are two-stage systems gaining traction?
They maintain supply-air comfort in climates where relative humidity reaches 75%, widening the technology’s viable geography while offering 30-40% energy savings versus mechanical cooling.
What is the biggest operational challenge for evaporative units in arid regions?
Water consumption, currently 1.5-3 gallons per ton-hour, can trigger usage fees and drought-related restrictions, driving interest in recirculating and reclaimed-water solutions.
Which region will record the highest growth rate through 2030?
Asia-Pacific is forecast to register an 8.34% CAGR, bolstered by megaprojects such as NEOM and supportive depreciation incentives in Australia.
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