Europe Long Haul Road Freight Transport Market Analysis by Mordor Intelligence
The Europe long haul road freight transport market size is estimated at USD 389.44 billion in 2025, and is expected to reach USD 457.67 billion by 2030, at a CAGR of 3.28% during the forecast period (2025-2030). This modest yet steady rhythm reflects the sector’s ability to navigate carbon-pricing rules, driver shortages, and border-crossing reforms while still supporting the continent’s industrial core. Manufacturing remains the single largest demand source and is increasingly tied to East–West corridors that feed new production clusters in Central and Eastern Europe. E-commerce continues to reshape shipment profiles, lifting wholesale and retail freight volumes and broadening demand for night-time trunking between fulfilment hubs. Fleet renewal accelerates as Euro VI norms tighten and Euro VII rules approach, creating a dual focus on fuel efficiency and digital vehicle control. At the same time, the coming ETS-2 carbon levy on diesel promises to raise operating costs and quicken the search for low-carbon trucks. Scale has therefore become a strategic lever, prompting headline consolidation moves that reorder competitive rankings across the Europe long haul road freight transport market.
Key Report Takeaways
- By end user industry, manufacturing led with 34.77% of Europe long haul road freight transport market share in 2024, whereas wholesale and retail trade is projected to post the fastest 3.75% CAGR between 2025-2030.
- By destination, domestic freight accounted for 59.65% of the Europe long haul road freight transport market size in 2024, while international lanes are set to climb at a 3.69% CAGR between 2025-2030.
- By truckload specification, Full-Truck-Load held 82.44% revenue share in 2024; Less-than-Truck-Load is projected to grow at a 3.66% CAGR between 2025-2030.
- By containerization, non-containerized cargo dominated with 88.31% revenue share in 2024, whereas the containerized segment is expected to expand at a 3.38% CAGR between 2025-2030.
- By temperature control, non-temperature controlled freight represented 94.38% of 2024 revenues; the temperature controlled segment is on track for a 3.58% CAGR between 2025-2030.
- By goods configuration, solid goods captured 73.05% of revenue share in 2024, while the fluid goods segment is projected to record the fastest 3.54% CAGR between 2025-2030.
- By country, the United Kingdom captured 13.19% of Europe long haul road freight transport market share in 2024, whereas the Netherlands is projected to record the fastest 4.28% CAGR between 2025-2030.
Europe Long Haul Road Freight Transport Market Trends and Insights
Drivers Impact Analysis
| Driver | (~) % Impact on CAGR Forecast | Geographic Relevance | Impact Timeline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Near-shoring of manufacturing to CEE intensifying east-west freight flows | +0.8% | Germany, Poland, Czech Republic, Slovakia | Medium term (2-4 years) |
| Euro-VI/VII compliance driving fleet renewal and efficiency | +0.6% | EU-27 with focus on Germany, France, Italy | Long term (≥ 4 years) |
| Overnight cross-border corridors thrive on e-commerce inter-hub trunking | +0.7% | Netherlands, Germany, France, Belgium | Short term (≤ 2 years) |
| Digital customs ICS2, NCTS5 shrinking border dwell times | +0.4% | All EU borders, UK-EU corridors | Medium term (2-4 years) |
| Chronic driver shortage crisis accelerating automation and operational efficiency investments | +0.4% | EU-27, particularly Germany, Poland, UK | Medium term (2-4 years) |
| Zero-emission long-haul pilots embrace megawatt charging and hydrogen corridors | +0.3% | Germany, Netherlands, Nordics | Long term (≥ 4 years) |
| Source: Mordor Intelligence | |||
Near-shoring of Manufacturing to CEE Intensifying East-West Freight Flows
Manufacturers are moving production into Central and Eastern Europe to cut geopolitical exposure and shorten supply lines, a trend that lifts daily truck volumes on Germany-Poland and Czech-Republic routes. The shift brings steady contract cargo for automotive, machinery, and electronics suppliers and underpins long-distance lanes that keep tractors moving at high utilization. As new facilities start production near 2027, the Europe long haul road freight transport market benefits from higher round-trip density that improves yield per km. Labour availability in Poland and Slovakia supports competitive operating costs, while upgraded A-class highways sustain 40-ton payloads without bottlenecks. The corridor effect, therefore, reinforces the medium-term outlook for cross-border FTL services.
Euro VI/VII Compliance Driving Fleet Renewal and Efficiency
Euro VI already dominates new truck sales and delivers 15–20% lower fuel burn versus legacy units. Fleet managers are accelerating replacement cycles to meet planned Euro VII rules that will arrive near 2027, and they are bundling telematics, driver-assist, and predictive maintenance tools in new tractor orders. Operators that complete early refresh programmes cut fuel expenditure, shrink downtime, and improve CO₂ performance scores that shippers increasingly demand. The compliance push also squeezes smaller carriers that lack financing, thereby fuelling mergers that reshape the Europe long haul road freight transport market.
Digital Customs (ICS2, NCTS5) Shrinking Border Dwell Times
The Import Control System 2 screens goods before truck arrival and the NCTS5 platform provides real-time transit approval, slashing paperwork and cutting routine crossing times from hours to minutes[1]European Commission, “EU Customs: Import Control System 2,” ec.europa.eu. Faster borders improve asset turn rates, freeing capacity and reducing empty mileage. Digital filings also lower errors that used to trigger costly secondary inspections. Operators with in-house customs capability gain a speed edge that enhances customer retention across high-frequency lanes.
Zero-Emission Long-Haul Pilots Embrace Megawatt Charging and Hydrogen Corridors
Heavy-duty battery trucks with 600 km range are entering 24/7 test fleets while green hydrogen tractors probe longer legs. Germany and the Netherlands have rolled out the first megawatt chargers that bring an 80% battery top-up within 45 minutes[2]IVECO, “S-eWay long-haul electric truck specs,” iveco.com. Early adopters cut CO₂ exposure and secure long-term contracts from sustainability-focused shippers. Total cost of ownership is projected to reach parity with diesel near 2029 as carbon levies rise, offering a fresh competitiveness lever in the Europe long haul road freight transport market.
Restraints Impact Analysis
| Restraint | (~) % Impact on CAGR Forecast | Geographic Relevance | Impact Timeline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Impending EU emissions trading scheme ETS-2 for road fuels expected to raise fuel price, squeezing margin on long-haul loads | -0.5% | EU-27 | Medium term (2-4 years) |
| Rapid inflation in HGV insurance premiums, driven by higher claim severity and litigation costs | -0.4% | UK, Germany, France, Netherlands | Short term (≤ 2 years) |
| High Euro-area interest rates elevate lease/loan costs for HGV fleet renewal | -0.6% | EU-27 with focus on Germany, Poland, France | Long term (≥ 4 years) |
| Climate-related road disruptions and increasing average annual damage to EU road network, raising contingency and rerouting costs | -0.3% | Eastern Europe, Southern Italy, rural areas | Medium term (2-4 years) |
| Source: Mordor Intelligence | |||
Impending EU Emissions Trading Scheme (ETS-2) for Road Fuels Expected to Raise Fuel Price
ETS-2 will begin pricing carbon on diesel and gasoil for trucks in 2027, adding EUR 0.10–0.15 (USD 0.11 - 0.16) per liter based on recent policy drafts[3]European Commission, “ETS-2 for road transport,” ec.europa.eu. Long-haul fleets, which rely on high daily mileage, feel the impact first and must decide whether to absorb, pass through, or offset the cost. Larger carriers may hedge or deploy fuel-saving technologies, but smaller operators risk margin compression that could hasten exits or acquisitions.
Rapid Inflation in Heavy Goods Vehicle (HGV) Insurance Premiums
Accident severity, higher vehicle values, and litigation costs have pushed annual insurance hikes to 15–25% in key markets. United Kingdom operations see the fastest gains as new liability rules take effect and accident frequency climbs on congested arterial roads. Premiums now account for 3–5% of revenue for mid-size fleets, a ratio that strains cash flows and redirects capital away from vehicle upgrades.
Segment Analysis
By End User Industry: Manufacturing Anchors Growth Amid Retail Acceleration
Manufacturing generated the largest slice of 34.77% in 2024, underlining its primacy in the Europe long haul road freight transport market. Regular plant-to-plant flows, high cargo density, and long-duration contracts insulate this base from short-term volatility. The shift of component production towards Poland and the Czech Republic lengthens average haul distance and raises demand for specialised trailers that handle high-value machinery. Wholesale and retail trade, fed by e-commerce, delivers the briskest 3.75% CAGR between 2025-2030 as retailers move to omnichannel stock positioning that multiplies inter-hub truck runs. Seasonal apparel releases and consumer electronics drops translate into sharp volume spikes that reward flexible carriers. Agriculture’s share inches up during harvest windows, while pharmaceuticals and chemicals in the “others” pool favour temperature controlled rigs and ADR-compliant tanks. Together, these dynamics widen service differentiation across the Europe long haul road freight transport market and invite niche entrants with value-added skills.
The Europe long haul road freight transport market size tied to manufacturing is expected to keep a mid-single-digit growth pace as OEMs streamline just-in-time flows without abandoning physical buffer stocks. Conversely, the Europe long haul road freight transport market size linked to wholesale and retail will keep outpacing the headline rate so long as cross-border online shopping keeps rising and return-logistics programs gain maturity. Operators that couple broad trailer fleets with in-house customs handling remain best positioned to capture both segments. Digital load-matching portals broaden contract opportunities for small and medium carriers, improving asset utilization and curbing empty kms.
Note: Segment shares of all individual segments available upon report purchase
By Truckload Specification: Full-Truck-Load (FTL) Dominance Faces Less than-Truck-Load (LTL) Disruption
Full-Truck-Load (FTL) captured 82.44% of 2024 revenue because single-shipper loads minimise handling risk and simplify scheduling. New cross-dock terminals automate trailer swap-outs, lifting tractor hours and amplifying FTL’s efficiency edge. Yet Less than-Truck-Load (LTL) is growing at CAGR of 3.66% between 2025-2030 as parcel fragmentation climbs. Retailers break bulk at fulfilment centres, producing pallets that flow into hub-and-spoke networks. Software optimises routing, cube filling, and last-minute consolidation, making LTL service levels more predictable. The Europe long haul road freight transport market size for LTL is projected to widen gradually, especially in dense Benelux and German regions where short-haul feeders link into overnight trunk runs.
Digital visibility, automated proof-of-delivery, and standardised pricing attract small exporters that previously could not afford long-distance distribution. Platform brokerage unlocks open capacity and lower tariffs, eroding FTL’s absolute cost advantage on mid-weight consignments. Therefore, carriers now diversify fleets, adding curtainsiders with moveable bulkheads or double-deck trailers that serve both FTL and LTL allocations on a single trip.
By Containerization: Non-Containerized Freight Maintains Dominance
Non-containerized freight remained at 88.31% in 2024 because bulk raw materials, construction items, and temperature-controlled goods still prefer bespoke trailers. Loading docks and cranes across inland Europe do not always support ISO containers, thereby holding back modal shift. Even so, containerized traffic will rise at 3.38% CAGR (2025-2030) due to port hinterland strategies and growing short-sea services. Longer intermodal corridors pair rail or barge legs with last-mile trucks, cutting emissions and easing driver shortages on tedious overnight stretches. The Europe long haul road freight transport market benefits as truckers re-position empties or offer drayage to/from inland depots, creating incremental revenue streams without heavy capital outlay.
Standard containers trim damage rates and cut waiting times at border controls by enabling pre-screened electronic seals. Technology advances such as smart-reefers and blockchain e-CMR boost cargo integrity, winning adoption by chemical and pharma shippers. To stay competitive, flat-bed and mega-trailer fleets add twist-locks or invest in swap-body chassis, thereby blurring traditional category boundaries within the Europe long haul road freight transport market.
By Destination: International Growth Outpaces Domestic Stability
Domestic shipping still rules with 59.65% share in 2024, reflecting intra-state grocery distribution, construction inputs, and factory replenishments. Local lanes enjoy shorter lead times, easier network planning, and simpler regulatory scopes. Even so, international freight will climb faster at a 3.69% CAGR between 2025-2030 as EU customs digitization and CEE near-shoring strengthen cross-border flows. The post-Brexit UK–EU corridor, while more complex, is stabilizing as firms master new import and sanitary protocols. Higher tariffs on un-compliant paperwork now deter casual hauliers, creating a competitive moat for carriers that invest in brokerage capability.
Growth in cross-border volumes benefits contract hauliers that can combine multiple regulatory skill sets, foreign driver permits, and multilingual customer service. Digital freight platforms provide real-time pricing transparency and match return cargo, reducing the historic penalty of empty legs. As a result, the Europe long haul road freight transport market continues to tilt toward pan-European networks that push smaller mono-country fleets to cooperate or merge.
By Goods Configuration: Solid Goods Stability Contrasts Fluid Growth
Solid goods kept 73.05% share in 2024 as machinery, FMCG, and packaged foods dominate European trade. These loads suit general-purpose box trailers and tautliners that operate at high speeds on motorway networks. Fluid goods, mainly chemicals and beverages, are forecast to climb at a 3.54% CAGR (2025-2030) as specialty chemical clusters in Germany and the Netherlands ramp output. Tank-container demand rises because shippers seek safer, cleaned-in-place units that rotate quickly. Digital sensors that measure pressure and temperature in transit reduce product loss and insurance premiums[4]Schmitz Cargobull, “Telematics acquisition,” cargobull.com. Niche hauliers with ADR-trained drivers and stainless-steel tanks enjoy above-average margins and help diversify revenue for integrated carriers in the Europe long haul road freight transport industry.
Robust beer and beverage exports from central Europe reinforce the fluid segment, promoting investment in insulated tanks and chilled intermodal boxes. Renewable diesel and bio-chemicals add new high-density flows that need strict contamination control. Combined, these patterns give fluid cargo providers a stronger bargaining position as capacity stays structurally tight.
By Temperature Control: Ambient Freight Dominance Amid Cold Chain Expansion
Non-temperature controlled traffic remained overwhelming at 94.38% in 2024 because most industrial cargo, textiles, and hardware do not need environmental management. However, temperature-controlled lanes will grow at a CAGR of 3.58% between 2025-2030 as vaccine, biologic drugs, and fresh grocery home delivery expand. The Europe long haul road freight transport market size for refrigerated loads will benefit from supermarket chains that shift to centralized meat and produce centers, driving long-range trunk legs into urban cross-docks. EU Good Distribution Practice audits force carriers to install calibrated sensors and maintain digital temperature logs, raising the compliance bar and limiting new entrants.
Diesel-electric fridge units and battery-backup reefers reduce emissions and noise, enabling night-time city deliveries. Hydrogen-powered auxiliary units and solar-assisted roof panels further trim fuel bills. These innovations help mitigate the ETS-2 cost burden on cold-chain fleets and contribute to broader decarbonization targets across the Europe long haul road freight transport market.
Geography Analysis
Germany remains the gravitational centre of the Europe long haul road freight transport market, leveraging its USD 1.68 trillion export base and its pivotal geography between Western consumption zones and Eastern production hubs. The country’s CO₂-based toll surcharge, effective from December 2024, nudges fleets toward Euro VI tractors and alternative fuels, accelerating fleet modernisation. Driver scarcity above 70,000 positions pushes wage inflation and motivates trials of level-4 autopilot trucks on the A5 and A8 corridors. These initiatives combine to keep Germany firmly at the forefront of digital and sustainability transitions.
France and Italy contribute balanced freight flows anchored in automotive, aerospace, agri-food, and fashion exports. France benefits from upgraded customs smart-lanes at Calais and Bayonne that slice crossing times for Iberian and UK-bound loads. Italy’s northern industrial triangle remains export-oriented, while new Med-to-Danube short-sea links reroute some long-haul trucks onto Roll-on Roll-off ferries, freeing driver hours and relaxing rest-time constraints. These maritime hybrids nevertheless require continued inland trucking to reach final warehouses, sustaining core demand for high-horsepower tractor fleets.
The United Kingdom settles into a post-Brexit steady state marked by extra documentation and border checks. While costs have risen, smarter pre-lodgement systems and trusted-trader programmes reduce friction, encouraging some carriers to reopen lanes previously deemed unviable. Nonetheless, selective avoidance persists among continental fleets facing capacity tightness at home, limiting rapid UK demand rebound. Eastern Europe, especially Romania and Bulgaria, is still constrained by road quality and weight limits, yet EU cohesion funds earmarked to 2030 promise gradual relief, which could unlock new back-haul opportunities for Western trucks.
Competitive Landscape
The Europe long haul road freight transport market is moving from high fragmentation toward a tighter hierarchy as compliance costs and digital investments rise. DSV’s EUR 14.3 billion (USD 15.78 billion) acquisition of DB Schenker catapulted the Danish group to the top revenue slot with nearly EUR 40 billion (USD 44.14 billion) in global sales. The enlarged network spans 90 countries and delivers dense European LTL coverage, unlocking an estimated EUR 9 billion (USD 9.93 billion) synergy pool by 2028 through terminal consolidation and IT integration. Such scale pressures peers to pursue their own mergers or specialised vertical plays.
Digital-first operators also gain ground. Berlin-based sennder absorbed C.H. Robinson’s European surface unit in late 2024, lifting its revenue to EUR 1.4 billion (USD 1.54 billion) and expanding its carrier marketplace to 40,000 tractors. The platform’s algorithmic load-matching cuts empty mileage and gives smaller fleets entrée to large-shipper contracts. Meanwhile, Raben Group partnered with Sieber Transport to enter Switzerland, rounding out its Central European footprint.
Sustainability investment differentiates market leaders. CEVA Logistics added 23 battery trucks and installed rapid chargers at Lyon and Duisburg depots to meet shipper carbon targets. Raben targets a 75% alternative-fuel fleet by 2030, combining HVO-compatible engines and hydrogen prototypes. Equipment-makers pitch connected trailers; Schmitz Cargobull bought telematics firm AGS to bundle live refrigeration data with predictive maintenance services. These moves embed technology as a service element, shifting competition from pure price to broader value and compliance attributes across the Europe long haul road freight transport market.
Europe Long Haul Road Freight Transport Industry Leaders
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Girteka Logistics
-
DFDS A/S
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Raben Group
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Waberer’s International Nyrt.
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Primafrio
- *Disclaimer: Major Players sorted in no particular order
Recent Industry Developments
- March 2025: Raben Group formed Raben Sieber AG to enter the Swiss market through a joint venture with Sieber Transport AG.
- November 2024: DFDS inaugurated a Damietta–Trieste freight ferry route offering fresher North-Africa produce access to European shelves.
- March 2024: Arcese Trasporti SpA entered a strategic partnership with Cargo Trans Logistik (CTL) AG to expand network connectivity between Italy and Germany, enabling faster, daily groupage lines.
- February 2024: Gebruder Weiss acquired Cargo-Link to strengthen its logistics network and enhance service capabilities across European markets. The acquisition boosts growth after earlier expansions in Romania, Hungary, and Budapest’s logistics center.
Research Methodology Framework and Report Scope
Market Definitions and Key Coverage
Our study defines the European long-haul road freight transport market as revenue generated when heavy-duty tractors haul full-truck-load or less-than-truck-load cargo over distances typically beyond 300 km across or within EU, EFTA, and U.K. borders, using articulated trucks operating on public highways. Our lens keeps the unit of analysis at the service level, not vehicle sales or in-house captive fleets.
Scope exclusion: Passenger coach services and unitized rail, sea, or air legs that do not involve a road haul exceeding 300 km are left outside the baseline.
Segmentation Overview
- End User Industry
- Agriculture, Fishing, and Forestry
- Construction
- Manufacturing
- Oil and Gas, Mining and Quarrying
- Wholesale and Retail Trade
- Others
- Destination
- Domestic
- International
- Truckload Specification
- Full-Truck-Load (FTL)
- Less than-Truck-Load (LTL)
- Containerization
- Containerized
- Non-Containerized
- Goods Configuration
- Fluid Goods
- Solid Goods
- Temperature Control
- Non-Temperature Controlled
- Temperature Controlled
- Country
- Czech Republic
- France
- Germany
- Italy
- Netherlands
- Poland
- Romania
- Slovakia
- Spain
- United Kingdom
- Rest of Europe
Detailed Research Methodology and Data Validation
Primary Research
Mordor analysts interviewed European road carriers, 3PL route planners, large exporters, and driver unions across Germany, Poland, Spain, and the Benelux to validate rate evolution, dead-head ratios, and upcoming regulatory costs. Short web surveys with shippers in retail and automotive supplied corridor-level load-factor assumptions that desk data could not reveal.
Desk Research
We began by scraping public datasets such as Eurostat's distance-band tonne-kilometer tables, the IRU driver-shortage barometer, and monthly Upply-Ti freight-rate indices, which together give volume, capacity, and pricing fingerprints. Trade association white papers from CLECAT and UIC, customs flow records on UN Comtrade, and national statistics portals (Destatis, INE, ISTAT) rounded out the traffic and commodity mix. Paid stores available to Mordor analysts, including D&B Hoovers for carrier revenues and Dow Jones Factiva for deal flow, helped us benchmark operator yields. The sources noted are illustrative; many additional public and commercial references fed our evidence file.
Market-Sizing & Forecasting
We anchored the top-down model on Eurostat long-haul tonne-kilometers, multiplied by corridor-specific average revenue per tkm derived from contract and spot benchmarks, then reconciled totals against sampled carrier financials and tender databases to catch outliers. Key variables like industrial production, e-commerce parcel volume, diesel and HVO prices, driver wage inflation, and new toll surcharges feed a multivariate regression that drives the 2025-2030 forecast. Bottom-up tests (selected fleet counts × average kilometers × yield) acted as sense checks, with gaps in smaller countries bridged by calibrated penetration ratios.
Data Validation & Update Cycle
Models pass two-stage peer review; variance beyond ±5 % versus historical series triggers reruns, and any mid-year shocks (fuel tax, ETS-2 rollout) cue a rapid refresh. Reports are rebuilt annually; before release, an analyst re-pulls the latest macro and rate prints so clients receive a current view.
Why Mordor's Europe Long Haul Transport Baseline Commands Reliability
Published figures often differ because firms stretch scope, freeze exchange rates, or roll forward older surveys. Our disciplined corridor filter, live FX feeds, and yearly refresh keep the base year crisp, while selective bottom-up audits stop over-aggregation.
Benchmark comparison
| Market Size | Anonymized source | Primary gap driver |
|---|---|---|
| USD 389.44 B (2025) | Mordor Intelligence | - |
| USD 474.2 B (2024) | Global Consultancy A | Combines short-haul and first/last-mile legs; keeps 2023 EUR/USD fixed; update cadence biennial |
| USD 235.4 B (2023) | Industry Analytics B | Uses narrower sample of carrier filings only; excludes cross-trade lanes; baseline year older |
Taken together, the comparison shows that when scope is tightened to true over-the-road hauls and variables are refreshed annually, Mordor's balanced midpoint offers decision-makers a dependable, easy-to-replicate starting point.
Key Questions Answered in the Report
What is the current value of the Europe long haul road freight transport market?
The market is valued at USD 389.44 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 457.67 billion by 2030.
Which end-user segment is growing the fastest?
Wholesale and retail trade leads growth with a forecast 3.75% CAGR (2025-2030) driven by e-commerce fulfilment needs.
How will ETS-2 affect freight operators?
The carbon price on diesel is expected to raise fuel costs by EUR 0.10–0.15 (USD 0.11 - 0.16) per litre from 2027, pressuring margins and encouraging fleet decarbonisation.
Why is Near-shoring important for freight demand?
Manufacturers relocating to Central and Eastern Europe create sustained East–West corridor volumes that elevate cross-border trucking demand.
What share of traffic is currently temperature controlled?
Temperature-controlled freight accounts for 5.62% of total revenue share in 2024 but is expanding at a 3.58% CAGR (2025-2030) due to pharmaceutical and fresh-food requirements.
How significant is the driver shortage in Europe?
The region is short about 426,000 qualified drivers, pushing wages up and forcing carriers to experiment with autonomy and improved working conditions.
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