Ammonia Market Size & Share Analysis - Growth Trends & Forecasts (2025 - 2030)

The Ammonia Market Report Segments the Industry by Type (Liquid and Gas), Application (Nitrogen Fertiliser Intermediate, Refrigerants (Industrial and Cold-Chain), Explosives and Mining Nitrates, and More), End-User Industry (Agriculture, Textiles, Mining, and More), and Geography (Asia-Pacific, North America, Europe, South America, and Middle East and Africa). The Market Forecasts are Provided in Terms of Volume (tons).

Ammonia Market Size and Share

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Ammonia Market Analysis by Mordor Intelligence

The ammonia market reached 193.69 million tons in 2025 and is forecast to expand to 210.81 million tons by 2030, registering a 1.89% CAGR over 2025-2030. This steady topline belies a fundamental transition in production technologies, feedstock strategies, and downstream uses as decarbonization targets tighten, natural-gas price volatility persists, and low-carbon maritime fuels gain traction. Strategic investments in green and blue facilities, coal-to-gas upgrades in China, and the emergence of ammonia as a hydrogen carrier are repositioning supply chains, while rising safety requirements and urea oversupply keep short-term prices volatile. Producers able to lock in low-carbon feedstocks, secure renewable power, and form technology alliances are improving cost competitiveness, whereas Europe’s gas-exposed assets remain under margin pressure. As these structural forces reshape the ammonia market, regional growth rates, product mixes, and trade flows are diverging more sharply than headline tonnage suggests.

Key Report Takeaways

  • By type, liquid product dominated with 95% revenue share in 2024 and is poised to expand at a 1.94% CAGR to 2030. 
  • By application, nitrogen fertiliser accounted for 78% share in 2024, while refrigerants commanded the highest growth at 3.10% annually (2025-2030), outpacing fertilizer intermediates. 
  • By end-use industry, agriculture accounted for 82% of the ammonia market size in 2024 and is forecast to grow at a 1.99% CAGR through 2030.
  • By geography, Asia-Pacific held 51.40% of the ammonia market share in 2024, while the Middle East and Africa region is projected to post the fastest 2.67% CAGR through 2030. 

Segment Analysis

By Type: Liquid Dominates with Versatility Advantage

Liquid product accounted for 95% of the ammonia market tonnage in 2024. This form benefits from higher volumetric energy density than compressed hydrogen, facilitating cost-effective storage for maritime bunker suppliers and long-distance pipeline blends. The segment is forecast to grow at 1.94% annually, slightly faster than the overall ammonia market, as new port bunkering hubs, on-site refrigeration systems, and specialized coastal carriers come online. Technological advances, including Japan’s large-coastal-carrier prototypes, support larger parcel sizes that reduce delivered cost per ton. Investments in cryogenic insulation and detection systems mitigate boil-off losses, further reinforcing liquidity advantages.

The gaseous segment remains essential for processes requiring immediate gasification, such as certain polymer or caprolactam syntheses, yet its share is constrained by higher handling costs. Safety regulations limit transport pressures and demand thicker-walled cylinders, which inflates logistics expenses relative to refrigerated-liquid shipping. Although incremental growth is expected in niche petrochemical processes, liquid product will continue to dominate the ammonia market through 2030.

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By Application: Refrigerants Outpace Traditional Uses

Ammonia refrigeration captured a smaller share than fertilizer intermediates in 2024, yet it is growing fastest at 3.10% CAGR. Environmental policies phasing out hydrofluorocarbons drive the switch to natural refrigerants. Industrial systems using ammonia deliver up to 20% higher full-load efficiency and benefit from feedstock that can cost one-tenth of synthetic alternatives. Cold-chain operators, food processors, and petrochemical storage terminals are commissioning large ammonia cascade systems, spurring compressor and heat-exchanger upgrades.

Nitrogen-fertilizer intermediates retained 78% of the ammonia market size in 2024 because agriculture remains an essential demand pillar. Pharmaceutical synthesis, explosives, and emerging bunker-fuel blends diversify the use portfolio, buffering producers against agricultural price swings. Development of small-scale ammonia turbines and internal-combustion retrofits can broaden the downstream mix beyond 2030, yet refrigerant demand will remain the most dynamic application sub-segment.

By End-Use Industry: Agriculture Maintains Dominance Despite Diversification

Agriculture held an 82% share of total offtake in 2024 and is projected to expand at 1.99% CAGR through 2030 as population growth and diet shifts sustain fertilizer use. Precision-application tools, improved urea coatings, and regenerative-agriculture practices may optimize nitrogen efficiency, but acreage expansion in Africa and Southeast Asia underpins absolute tonnage growth. Renewable-ammonia adoption enables producers to align with low-carbon food-supply pledges, keeping the sector structurally important.

Non-agricultural demand continues to broaden, with refrigeration installations accounting for the quickest unit growth and mining explosives providing an anticorrelated revenue stream. Pharmaceutical and textile uses maintain stable baselines. Small yet promising demand pockets are forming in water-treatment additives and distributed energy-storage systems that leverage ammonia’s energy density. These trends collectively support a more balanced ammonia market portfolio over time.

Ammonia Market
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Note: Segment Share of all individual segments available upon report purchase

Geography Analysis

Asia-Pacific dominated the ammonia market with 51.40% share in 2024. China’s coal-to-gas revamps and India’s 750-ton-per-day Hygenco project expand low-carbon capacity, while Japanese and South Korean ports pioneer bunkering pilots. Regional policy packages offering renewable-power wheeling and tax rebates further lower delivered costs. Indonesia’s hybrid plant in Aceh showcases transition pathways suited to resource-rich, power-constrained locations.

The Middle East and Africa region is the fastest-growing geography with a 2.67% CAGR projected for 2025-2030. Egypt’s USD 33 billion deal pipeline, Morocco’s billion-dollar Dakhla project, and Qatar’s USD 1.2 billion brownfield expansion illustrate sovereign ambitions to monetize solar and wind resources through green or blue ammonia exports. Gulf Coast engineering firms and shipyard alliances provide technical expertise, accelerating construction timelines.

North America leverages abundant shale gas and carbon-capture hubs to keep marginal production costs low. CF Industries’ 10.4 million-ton capacity and 37 US project proposals could raise regional output from 21 million to 79 million tons annually if sanctioned. Federal clean-hydrogen tax credits improve economics for blue facilities, and Gulf Coast ports offer deep-water access to European and Asian markets.

Europe wrestles with high gas prices and uncertain carbon-border tariffs. Production curtailments continue as spot prices remain volatile, though technology providers are accelerating blue-ammonia retrofits with up to 99% CO₂ capture rates. Import dependence is rising, highlighted by increasing Russian urea inflows. Although the European Union seeks to promote domestic energy security, capital allocation favors downstream clean-fuel offtake agreements more than new indigenous capacity.

Latin America and Oceania add incremental growth through mining and bunker-fuel demand. Brazil’s Port of Açu reserves land for a 1 million-ton green-ammonia facility, while Australia’s iron-ore expansion drives explosives consumption. 

Ammonia Market
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Competitive Landscape

The global ammonia market is moderately fragmented, with the top five producers controlling less than 35% of installed capacity in 2024, indicating moderate concentration. CF Industries leads output with 10.4 million tons and capitalizes on low US gas prices. Yara International follows with 6.4 million tons and a diversified portfolio spanning Europe, Africa, and North America, now supplemented by US Gulf Coast greenfield plans targeting up to 1.4 million tons per plant. Nutrien, OCI, and SABIC round out the leading group with regionally balanced footprints.

Strategic alliances are redefining competitive edges. Johnson Matthey and thyssenkrupp Uhde offer an integrated blue-ammonia solution capturing up to 99% of process CO₂, appealing to asset owners in the US and Middle East. CF Industries and JERA jointly assess a Louisiana greenfield site to secure Japanese offtake. Technology partnerships between compressor manufacturers, electrolyser suppliers, and logistics firms accelerate time-to-market for first-mover projects and create cross-border synergies.

Energy majors are entering the ammonia market to diversify revenue and hedge against oil-price cycles. Equinor, BP, and TotalEnergies are co-funding large green-ammonia complexes with renewable developers, leveraging trading arms to manage offtake risk. Commodity traders such as Trafigura and Mitsui are booking terminal slots in anticipation of liquid-ammonia shipping growth. As low-carbon certification schemes gain traction, value migrates to firms that can verify emissions intensity and integrate upstream power contracting with downstream distribution.

Ammonia Industry Leaders

  1. CF Industries Holdings Inc.

  2. Nutrien

  3. OCI

  4. SABIC

  5. Yara

  6. *Disclaimer: Major Players sorted in no particular order
Ammonia Market
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Recent Industry Developments

  • May 2024: CF Industries and Topsoe have announced a collaboration on a U.S.-based low-carbon ammonia project, aiming to enhance domestic production capacity while reducing emissions. This initiative is expected to strengthen the ammonia market by promoting sustainable practices and meeting the growing demand for low-carbon solutions.
  • May 2024: Yara International has enhanced its presence in Asia by entering into an ammonia supply agreement with an Indian energy company. This strategic partnership is expected to strengthen the regional ammonia market by ensuring a stable supply chain and fostering increased collaboration within the industry.

Table of Contents for Ammonia Industry Report

1. Introduction

  • 1.1 Study Assumptions and Market Definition
  • 1.2 Scope of the Study

2. Research Methodology

3. Executive Summary

4. Market Landscape

  • 4.1 Market Overview
  • 4.2 Market Drivers
    • 4.2.1 Surge in Low-Carbon Fertiliser Demand across Asia
    • 4.2.2 Ammonia Adoption as Hydrogen Carrier for Maritime Bunkering in Japan and South Korea
    • 4.2.3 Coal-to-Gas Conversion of Chinese Urea Plants Boosting Ammonia Off-take
    • 4.2.4 Increasing Usage to Produce Explosives
    • 4.2.5 Rising Demand for Green Ammonia
  • 4.3 Market Restraints
    • 4.3.1 Volatile Natural-Gas Prices Inflating European Production Costs
    • 4.3.2 Safety and Toxicity Concerns Slowing its usage across various industries
    • 4.3.3 Urea Over-supply Suppressing Spot Ammonia Demand
  • 4.4 Value Chain Analysis
  • 4.5 Technological Outlook
  • 4.6 Porter’s Five Forces
    • 4.6.1 Bargaining Power of Suppliers
    • 4.6.2 Bargaining Power of Buyers
    • 4.6.3 Threat of New Entrants
    • 4.6.4 Threat of Substitute Products and Services
    • 4.6.5 Degree of Competition

5. Market Size and Growth Forecasts (Volume)

  • 5.1 By Type
    • 5.1.1 Liquid
    • 5.1.2 Gas
  • 5.2 By Application
    • 5.2.1 Nitrogen Fertiliser Intermediate
    • 5.2.2 Refrigerants (Industrial and Cold-Chain)
    • 5.2.3 Explosives and Mining Nitrates
    • 5.2.4 Pharmaceutical Intermediates
    • 5.2.5 Others (Cleaning and Household Products and Marine Bunker Fuel / Hydrogen Carrier)
  • 5.3 By End-use Industry
    • 5.3.1 Agriculture
    • 5.3.2 Textiles
    • 5.3.3 Mining
    • 5.3.4 Pharmaceutical
    • 5.3.5 Referigeration
    • 5.3.6 Others (Food and Beverage, Rubber, Water Treatment, Petroleum, and Pulp and Paper Industries)
  • 5.4 By Geography
    • 5.4.1 Asia-Pacific
    • 5.4.1.1 China
    • 5.4.1.2 India
    • 5.4.1.3 Japan
    • 5.4.1.4 South Korea
    • 5.4.1.5 ASEAN
    • 5.4.1.6 Australia
    • 5.4.1.7 New Zealand
    • 5.4.1.8 Rest of Asia-Pacific
    • 5.4.2 North America
    • 5.4.2.1 United States
    • 5.4.2.2 Canada
    • 5.4.2.3 Mexico
    • 5.4.3 Europe
    • 5.4.3.1 Germany
    • 5.4.3.2 United Kingdom
    • 5.4.3.3 France
    • 5.4.3.4 Italy
    • 5.4.3.5 Spain
    • 5.4.3.6 Nordics
    • 5.4.3.7 Rest of Europe
    • 5.4.4 South America
    • 5.4.4.1 Brazil
    • 5.4.4.2 Argentina
    • 5.4.4.3 Rest of South America
    • 5.4.5 Middle East and Africa
    • 5.4.5.1 Saudi Arabia
    • 5.4.5.2 United Arab Emirates
    • 5.4.5.3 Qatar
    • 5.4.5.4 Turkey
    • 5.4.5.5 South Africa
    • 5.4.5.6 Egypt
    • 5.4.5.7 Nigeria
    • 5.4.5.8 Rest of Middle East and Africa

6. Competitive Landscape

  • 6.1 Market Concentration
  • 6.2 Strategic Moves
  • 6.3 Market Share (%)/Ranking Analysis
  • 6.4 Company Profiles (includes Global level Overview, Market level overview, Core Segments, Financials as available, Strategic Information, Market Rank/Share for key companies, Products and Services, and Recent Developments)
    • 6.4.1 Acron PJSC
    • 6.4.2 BASF SE
    • 6.4.3 CF Industries Holdings Inc.
    • 6.4.4 CSBP
    • 6.4.5 Dyno Nobel
    • 6.4.6 EuroChem Group
    • 6.4.7 Group DF (Ostchem)
    • 6.4.8 Grupa Azoty
    • 6.4.9 IFFCO
    • 6.4.10 Industries Qatar
    • 6.4.11 JSC Togliattiazot
    • 6.4.12 Koch Fertilizer, LLC.
    • 6.4.13 LSB Industries
    • 6.4.14 Nutrien
    • 6.4.15 OCI
    • 6.4.16 Orica Limited
    • 6.4.17 PT Pupuk Sriwidjaja Palembang (Pusri)
    • 6.4.18 Rashtriya Chemicals and Fertilizers Limited
    • 6.4.19 SABIC
    • 6.4.20 Yara

7. Market Opportunities and Future Outlook

  • 7.1 Ammonia Refrigeration Retrofitting in Food Retail
  • 7.2 Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS) Integration for Blue Ammonia
  • 7.3 White-space and Unmet-need Assessment
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Global Ammonia Market Report Scope

Ammonia is an inorganic compound composed of a single nitrogen atom covalently bonded to three hydrogen atoms, an amidase inhibitor, and a neurotoxin. Furthermore, more than 80% of the ammonia produced by industry is used as fertilizer in agriculture. It is also used as a refrigerant gas, for water purification, and in producing plastics, explosives, textiles, pesticides, dyes, and other chemicals.​

The ammonia market is segmented by type, end-user industry, and geography. By type, the market is segmented into liquid and gas. By end-user industry, the market is segmented into agriculture, textiles, mining, pharmaceutical, refrigeration, and other end-user industries. The report also covers the market size and forecasts for the ammonia market in 15 countries across major regions. For each segment, the market sizing and forecasts have been done on the basis of volume (tons).

By Type Liquid
Gas
By Application Nitrogen Fertiliser Intermediate
Refrigerants (Industrial and Cold-Chain)
Explosives and Mining Nitrates
Pharmaceutical Intermediates
Others (Cleaning and Household Products and Marine Bunker Fuel / Hydrogen Carrier)
By End-use Industry Agriculture
Textiles
Mining
Pharmaceutical
Referigeration
Others (Food and Beverage, Rubber, Water Treatment, Petroleum, and Pulp and Paper Industries)
By Geography Asia-Pacific China
India
Japan
South Korea
ASEAN
Australia
New Zealand
Rest of Asia-Pacific
North America United States
Canada
Mexico
Europe Germany
United Kingdom
France
Italy
Spain
Nordics
Rest of Europe
South America Brazil
Argentina
Rest of South America
Middle East and Africa Saudi Arabia
United Arab Emirates
Qatar
Turkey
South Africa
Egypt
Nigeria
Rest of Middle East and Africa
By Type
Liquid
Gas
By Application
Nitrogen Fertiliser Intermediate
Refrigerants (Industrial and Cold-Chain)
Explosives and Mining Nitrates
Pharmaceutical Intermediates
Others (Cleaning and Household Products and Marine Bunker Fuel / Hydrogen Carrier)
By End-use Industry
Agriculture
Textiles
Mining
Pharmaceutical
Referigeration
Others (Food and Beverage, Rubber, Water Treatment, Petroleum, and Pulp and Paper Industries)
By Geography
Asia-Pacific China
India
Japan
South Korea
ASEAN
Australia
New Zealand
Rest of Asia-Pacific
North America United States
Canada
Mexico
Europe Germany
United Kingdom
France
Italy
Spain
Nordics
Rest of Europe
South America Brazil
Argentina
Rest of South America
Middle East and Africa Saudi Arabia
United Arab Emirates
Qatar
Turkey
South Africa
Egypt
Nigeria
Rest of Middle East and Africa
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Key Questions Answered in the Report

What is the projected size of the ammonia market by 2030?

The ammonia market is forecast to reach 210.81 million tons by 2030, growing at a 1.89% CAGR over 2025-2030.

Which region will grow fastest in the next five years?

The Middle East and Africa region is expected to post the highest regional CAGR of 2.67% between 2025 and 2030, driven by large-scale green-ammonia investments.

Why is ammonia gaining interest as a maritime fuel?

JERA and NYK’s successful bunkering trials, coupled with International Maritime Organization emission targets, position ammonia as a viable hydrogen carrier for decarbonizing shipping.

How are high European gas prices affecting ammonia producers?

Elevated gas costs have forced several European plants to curtail output, shifting import patterns and reducing regional supply competitiveness.

Which application segment is expanding fastest?

Refrigeration uses are growing at 3.10% annually due to regulatory phase-outs of hydrofluorocarbon refrigerants and ammonia’s superior thermodynamic efficiency.

What safety measures are critical for new ammonia projects?

Double-walled storage, continuous leak detection, crew training, and adherence to emerging emission standards are essential to mitigate toxicity risks in production, transport, and bunkering.

Page last updated on: June 25, 2025

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