Ukraine Freight & Logistics Market Size & Share Analysis - Growth Trends & Forecasts (2024 - 2029)

Over the past few years, Ukraine has intensified its trade links with the EU driven by both the positive stimulus provided by the Association Agreement and a negative stimulus, namely the need to replace lost trade links with Russia. Between 2013 and 2018, the share of EU in Ukraine's international trade in goods increased to 42% from 31%, while 2018 trade value at USD 43.4 bn almost reached the pre-crisis level (USD 43.8 bn in 2013) and grew by over 50% from 2015.

However, future trade growth is constrained by logistical constraints. In 2018 and 2019, Ukrainian carriers have faced restrictions on their ability to deliver cargo by road to EU countries. Poland proved the biggest sticking point as the number of Ukrainian cargo trucks allowed to pass in or through Polish roadways was reduced despite growing trade volumes. The role of road transportation in the EU-Ukraine trade is high. According to Eurostat road carriers accounted for 38% of Ukrainian exports and 81% of imports from the EU (in euros) in 2018. Switching mode of transportation may be difficult as Ukraine's rail, seaport and air capacity is limited and not always cost-effective.

Ukraine's main network of roads connects all of the major cities of Ukraine and provides cross-border routes with neighboring countries. The total length of international highways on the territory of Ukraine exceeds 8,600 kilometers. However, the extremely poor condition of Ukrainian roads is one of the reasons they are named the deadliest in Europe.

In the assessment of the Ukrainian government, the condition of the roads and bridges in the country does not allow for the quick or safe transportation of passengers and cargo, and for the development of transit traffic. The Ukrainian road infrastructure is completely dilapidated - according to government estimates, 97 per cent of the roads require general refurbishment or ongoing repairs, some 9,600 bridges do not meet the modern technical requirements, out of which 1,923 bridges are in need of immediate repair and 86 are at risk of collapsing.