Solar Panel Recycling Market Analysis by Mordor Intelligence
The Solar Panel Recycling Market size is estimated at USD 421.94 million in 2025, and is expected to reach USD 669.10 million by 2030, at a CAGR of 9.66% during the forecast period (2025-2030).
Legislative mandates, an approaching wave of first-generation module retirements, and surging commodity values are converging to reshape business models. Europe’s WEEE-based rules drive predictable material flows, while the United States is channeling Inflation Reduction Act incentives toward domestic recycling capacity. Mechanical processing currently dominates, yet precision laser systems are scaling rapidly as developers seek higher-purity silver and silicon recovery. Supply-chain reshoring further boosts demand for secondary critical minerals, and insurance-linked decommissioning funds are converting end-of-life compliance into a revenue-backed service line.
Key Report Takeaways
- By process, mechanical methods held 64.5% of the solar panel recycling market share in 2024, while laser technology is projected to expand at a 15.4% CAGR through 2030.
- By panel type, crystalline silicon accounted for an 88.8% share of the solar panel recycling market size in 2024; thin film is expected to grow at a 18.2% CAGR through 2030.
- By shelf life, normal-loss modules captured 73% of the solar panel recycling market share in 2024, whereas early-loss panels are projected to advance at a 14.1% CAGR through 2030.
- By material recovered, glass commanded a 56.3% share of the solar panel recycling market size in 2024, and silver recovery is projected to rise at a 13.6% CAGR through 2030.
- By geography, Europe led the solar panel recycling market with a 38.6% share in 2024; the Asia-Pacific region is forecast to grow at a 16.5% CAGR between 2025 and 2030.
Global Solar Panel Recycling Market Trends and Insights
Drivers Impact Analysis
| Driver | (~) % Impact on CAGR Forecast | Geographic Relevance | Impact Timeline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wave of end-of-life PV modules, 2025-2030 | 2.80% | Europe, Asia-Pacific, North America | Medium term (2-4 years) |
| Global spread of WEEE-style mandates | 2.10% | Europe leading; North America, Asia-Pacific adopting | Long term (≥ 4 years) |
| Rising silver, indium and other mineral prices | 1.90% | Global, higher where advanced plants exist | Short term (≤ 2 years) |
| Mechanical-thermal hybrid cost reductions | 1.40% | North America, Europe, soon Asia-Pacific | Medium term (2-4 years) |
| Supply-chain reshoring of secondary minerals | 1.20% | Primarily North America and Europe | Long term (≥ 4 years) |
| Insurance-linked decommissioning funds | 0.80% | Early adoption in developed markets | Medium term (2-4 years) |
| Source: Mordor Intelligence | |||
Wave of End-of-Life PV Modules Hitting in 2025-2030
A quarter-century after the first feed-in-tariff boom, a surge of legacy arrays is approaching retirement. Italy expects 4.52 million t of PV waste by 2050, peaking near 2036 when early rooftop incentives reach obsolescence.[1]A. Latini, “Forecasting Italian PV Waste,” Energies, mdpi.com China, with 393 GW installed by 2022, anticipates 18 GW of discarded modules by 2030 and has established dedicated recycling working groups to address this stream.[2]China Photovoltaic Industry Association, “End-of-Life PV Working Groups,” cpia.cn Volume clustering reduces unit logistics costs and enables processors to amortize high-precision equipment, shifting the solar panel recycling market from waste disposal to value extraction.
EU-Style WEEE Compliance Mandates Expanding Worldwide
The European Union’s 85% collection and 80% material-recovery targets have become the default global template. Washington State’s producer-take-back law took effect in July 2025. South Carolina followed in 2024 with a registration regime for arrays bigger than 13 acres. Proposed U.S. federal universal-waste rules, slated for mid-2025, would harmonize interstate requirements. For investors, predictable compliance costs underpin multiyear recycling-plant paybacks, and for the solar panel recycling market, the mandates lock in recurring feedstock.
Rising Commodity Value of Silver, Indium & Other Critical Materials
Silver prices averaged USD 680/kg for photovoltaic paste in 2024.[3]International Precious Metals Institute, “Silver Use in Photovoltaics 2024,” ipmi.org The sector consumed 6,577 t—19% of global demand. Advanced electrodeposition now extracts 98.7% of silver from shredded cells. Indium scarcity is looming as heterojunction modules scale; recycling could cover a significant share of this metal that currently lacks domestic mining in the United States. Elevated metal values have pulled the solar panel recycling market into profitability even before accounting for avoided landfill fees.
Commercial-Scale Mechanical + Thermal Hybrid Processes Slash Recycling Costs
Traditional crushing recovers bulk glass but contaminates high-value metals. Hybrid lines now integrate mechanical frame removal, low-temperature thermal delamination, and precision pick-and-place robotics, enabling seamless integration of these processes. SOLARCYCLE reports 95% material-value recovery after deploying microwave-assisted delamination and AI quality control. Academic pilots using supercritical CO₂ achieve 96% recovery of glass and metals at lower energy intensity than gas-fired furnaces. These advances are redefining unit economics across the solar panel recycling market.
Restraints Impact Analysis
| Restraint | (~) % Impact on CAGR Forecast | Geographic Relevance | Impact Timeline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Recycling cost still exceeds bulk-glass value | -1.80% | All markets, glass-price sensitive regions | Short term (≤ 2 years) |
| Patchy collection logistics | -1.40% | North America, emerging economies | Medium term (2-4 years) |
| Fragmented rooftop asset ownership | -1.10% | Residential-heavy markets globally | Long term (≥ 4 years) |
| Trans-boundary hazmat transport rules | -0.90% | Particularly strict in OECD economies | Medium term (2-4 years) |
| Source: Mordor Intelligence | |||
Recycling Cost Still Exceeds Value of Recovered Bulk Glass
Glass accounts for two-thirds of a panel’s mass, yet it offers minimal resale value. The cost to recycle a module can range from USD 15 to USD 45, compared to USD 2 for landfill dumping.[4]EnergyBin, “Cost Comparison: Recycling vs Landfill for PV Modules,” energybin.com Pilot projects in Europe, however, have produced flat glass that meets PV-grade specifications, hinting that premium, low-carbon glass could close the gap. In the near term, subsidies and ecodesign rules remain essential for the glass fraction of the solar panel recycling market.
Patchy Collection Logistics & Reverse-Supply Networks
Many jurisdictions lack standardized pick-up nodes, especially for scattered rooftop arrays. Simulation studies in New South Wales indicate that network optimization can reduce costs by up to 37%, but initial capital expenditures are substantial. Europe’s PV CYCLE has demonstrated mobile shredders that travel to regional depots, offering a blueprint others may adopt. Until the infrastructure densifies, fragmented logistics will continue to hinder the solar panel recycling market.
Segment Analysis
By Process: Precision Lasers Challenge Mechanical Incumbents
Mechanical shredding held a 64.5% market share in the solar panel recycling market in 2024, favoured for its low capital expenditure and proven throughput. Yet laser-enabled delamination is growing at 15.4% CAGR, leveraging femtosecond pulses to detach cells without melting solder, thereby preserving silver purity. The solar panel recycling market size for laser lines is expected to triple as NREL results move from pilot to commercial adoption. Hybrid flowsheets that begin with frame removal and conclude with laser or thermal delamination now exhibit recovery rates approaching 95%, shrinking the cost gap with raw-material imports.
Second-generation facilities increasingly couple machine-vision sorters with robotic grippers, reducing hands-on labor by half and enhancing operator safety. Mechanical platforms continue to handle glass and aluminum disassembly efficiently, particularly for utility-scale inventories. The coexistence of bulk-volume and precision-value streams illustrates the solar panel recycling market’s transition from a single-technology service to a diversified process portfolio optimized for a mix of feedstocks.
By Panel Type: Crystalline Dominance Meets Thin-Film Upswing
Crystalline silicon modules accounted for 88.8% of 2024 waste inflows, thereby anchoring the solar panel recycling market size for that category. Thin-film volumes remain modest but are forecast to grow at an 18.2% CAGR as CIGS and CdTe deployments rise, especially in utility segments. First Solar’s global network, which has recycled nearly 400,000 tons of CdTe modules, showcases a 95% material recovery rate and sets a benchmark that other thin-film firms aim to match.
The economics diverge sharply: crystalline paths emphasise silver and wafer reclamation, whereas thin-film streams target tellurium, cadmium, and indium. Specialized leaching and electro-winning can now retrieve 52% or more indium within 48 hours, thereby limiting raw-material supply risk for next-generation heterojunction lines. As module diversity grows, so will tailored facilities, adding complexity but also revenue depth to the solar panel recycling market.
Note: Segment shares of all individual segments available upon report purchase
By Shelf Life: Early-Loss Streams Gain Strategic Weight
Normal-loss panels, which have exceeded 25 years of service, still make up 73% of volumes, underscoring how classic degradation influences the solar panel recycling market share. Early-loss panels, those younger than 10 years, which are frequently replaced for efficiency upgrades or storm damage, will experience a 14.1% CAGR growth. These younger units often retain high-grade cells suitable for refurbishment or secondary sales before final material recovery.
Insurers influence this sub-market by dictating repair-versus-replace decisions post-hail or hurricane events. Infrared thermography and EL imaging are now standard triage tools that direct modules into reuse, resale, or recycling funnels. This diagnostic layer is steering the solar panel recycling market toward a service stack spanning assessment, refurbishment, and high-value recycling.
By Material Recovered: Glass Volume, Silver Value
Glass accounted for 56.3% of the 2024 tonnage, yet revenue primarily flowed from silver, whose recovery segment is projected to grow at a 13.6% CAGR. Innovations like salt-etching in molten hydroxide reclaim 99% of silver and 98% of silicon while cutting carbon intensity. Concurrently, closed-loop glass lines in Georgia aim to feed 5-6 GW of new modules annually with recycled sheet, boosting the solar panel recycling market size for glass by attaching a low-carbon premium.
New two-step leaching methods yield 99% aluminum, followed by 99.9% silver of high purity. By integrating multi-metal flows into single facilities, operators reduce waste streams and increase ROIC, reinforcing a value-based hierarchy throughout the solar panel recycling market.
Note: Segment shares of all individual segments available upon report purchase
Geography Analysis
Europe controlled 38.6% of the solar panel recycling market in 2024, primarily due to the implementation of mandatory 85% collection and 80% recovery thresholds under the WEEE Directive. Germany forecasts 400,000-1 million t of PV waste by 2030, catalysing capacity expansions aligned with the Ecodesign Directive’s stricter recyclability criteria. Cross-border collaborations, such as AGC Glass Europe partnering with ROSI on ultra-low-carbon glass, exemplify industrial alignment with circular-economy policy.
Asia-Pacific is set for a 16.5% CAGR as China’s 393 GW installed base translates into the world’s largest end-of-life pool. CP-funded working groups are drafting national standards, and pilot plants in Jiangsu and Shanxi are scaling mechanical-thermal hybrids to industrial levels. India’s draft rules propose viability-gap funding for recyclers and mandatory waste reporting, measures expected to unlock investment once adopted. Japan’s reserve-fund policy secures financing for recycling and land restoration, providing a replicable model for the region.
North America benefits from the Inflation Reduction Act's tax credits, which treat recycled metals as domestic content. Washington State’s 2025 take-back law and South Carolina’s 2024 siting rules add sub-national certainty. Federal universal-waste designation, anticipated in 2025, would streamline interstate flows. SOLARCYCLE’s USD 344 million Cedartown plant is emblematic of private-sector confidence, capable of processing 10 million modules per year and supplying 5-6 GW of recycled glass
Competitive Landscape
The solar panel recycling market remains fragmented, with no firm exceeding a 10% share, yet consolidation is underway. SOLARCYCLE leads North American innovation, pairing 95% value recovery with forward contracts from Canadian Solar and Q-Cells. First Solar operates five global plants focused on thin-film CdTe recycling, achieving 95% recovery, which reinforces its cradle-to-cradle strategy and strengthens regional circular supply chains.
OnePlanet’s USD 90 million Florida facility integrates AI vision and robotics to achieve a 97% metal reclamation rate, illustrating how automation is raising performance benchmarks. European specialists such as ROSI target high-purity silver and silicon feedstock for domestic wafer plants, while Veolia continues to scale mechanical lines across France and the United Kingdom. Patent filings cluster around laser delamination, supercritical CO₂ extraction, and salt-etching, indicating that technological IP is the new moat in the solar panel recycling market.
Solar Panel Recycling Industry Leaders
-
Veolia Environnement SA
-
First Solar Inc.
-
PV Cycle
-
Reclaim PV Recycling Pty Ltd
-
ROSI Solar
- *Disclaimer: Major Players sorted in no particular order
Recent Industry Developments
- April 2025: OnePlanet Solar Recycling secured USD 7 million seed funding and a USD 14.5 million Investment Tax Credit, targeting throughput of 6 million modules annually by 2030.
- March 2025: SOLARCYCLE is listed among TIME’s Top GreenTech Companies 2025 after recycling nearly 500,000 panels in three years.
- February 2025: SolarCycle announced a USD 344 million solar-glass facility in Cedartown, Georgia, with 600 new jobs and an annual output of 5-6 GW.
- January 2025: Washington State’s producer-responsibility mandate for solar panel recycling took effect, compelling manufacturers to finance take-back programs.
Global Solar Panel Recycling Market Report Scope
The solar panel recycling market report includes:
| Thermal |
| Mechanical |
| Laser |
| Crystalline Silicon |
| Thin Film |
| Normal Loss (Above 25 yr) |
| Early Loss (Below 10 yr) |
| Glass |
| Silicon Wafers |
| Silver |
| Aluminium |
| Other Metals (Cu, Indium, etc.) |
| North America | United States |
| Canada | |
| Mexico | |
| Europe | Germany |
| United Kingdom | |
| France | |
| Italy | |
| NORDIC Countries | |
| Russia | |
| Rest of Europe | |
| Asia-Pacific | China |
| India | |
| Japan | |
| South Korea | |
| ASEAN Countries | |
| Rest of Asia-Pacific | |
| South America | Brazil |
| Argentina | |
| Rest of South America | |
| Middle East and Africa | Saudi Arabia |
| United Arab Emirates | |
| South Africa | |
| Turkey | |
| Rest of Middle East and Africa |
| By Process | Thermal | |
| Mechanical | ||
| Laser | ||
| By Panel Type | Crystalline Silicon | |
| Thin Film | ||
| By Shelf Life | Normal Loss (Above 25 yr) | |
| Early Loss (Below 10 yr) | ||
| By Material Recovered | Glass | |
| Silicon Wafers | ||
| Silver | ||
| Aluminium | ||
| Other Metals (Cu, Indium, etc.) | ||
| By Geography | North America | United States |
| Canada | ||
| Mexico | ||
| Europe | Germany | |
| United Kingdom | ||
| France | ||
| Italy | ||
| NORDIC Countries | ||
| Russia | ||
| Rest of Europe | ||
| Asia-Pacific | China | |
| India | ||
| Japan | ||
| South Korea | ||
| ASEAN Countries | ||
| Rest of Asia-Pacific | ||
| South America | Brazil | |
| Argentina | ||
| Rest of South America | ||
| Middle East and Africa | Saudi Arabia | |
| United Arab Emirates | ||
| South Africa | ||
| Turkey | ||
| Rest of Middle East and Africa | ||
Key Questions Answered in the Report
What is the projected global value of solar panel recycling in 2030?
The activity is forecast to reach USD 669.10 million, up from USD 421.94 million in 2025.
Which region is expected to expand fastest in solar panel recycling between 2025-2030?
Asia-Pacific is set to post a 16.5% CAGR, led by China’s large installed base and emerging policy frameworks in India and Japan.
How do laser-based processes improve recovery from retired photovoltaic modules?
Femtosecond lasers separate cell layers without thermal damage, boosting silver purity and helping operators achieve up to 95% total material-value extraction.
Why are insurance-linked decommissioning funds reshaping end-of-life management for solar assets?
Reserve requirements make recycling a contractual obligation, guaranteeing feedstock for recyclers and reducing liability for financiers and project owners.
What proportion of discarded modules are crystalline silicon today?
Crystalline silicon accounts for about 88.8% of units reaching end of life, reflecting its dominance in historical installations.
How does recycling strengthen supply-chain security for critical minerals such as silver?
Recovered metals provide domestic secondary supply, qualifying for clean-energy incentives and reducing exposure to geopolitical sourcing risks.
Page last updated on: