Canada E-commerce Market Size & Share Analysis - Growth Trends & Forecasts (2025 - 2030)

The Canada E-Commerce Market Report is Segmented by Business Model (B2C, B2B), Device Type (Smartphone / Mobile, Desktop and Laptop, Other Device Types), Payment Method (Credit / Debit Cards, Digital Wallets, BNPL, Other Payment Method), B2C Product Category (Beauty and Personal Care, Consumer Electronics, Fashion and Apparel, Food and Beverages, and More). The Market Forecasts are Provided in Terms of Value (USD).

Canada E-commerce Market Size and Share

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Canada E-commerce Market Analysis by Mordor Intelligence

The Canada e-commerce market is valued at USD 41.79 billion in 2025 and is forecast to reach USD 66.89 billion by 2030, translating into a 9.86% CAGR over the period. Steady smartphone adoption, faster fulfillment promises, and government incentives are reshaping shopper expectations while pulling more merchants online. Social commerce integrations, localized language capabilities, and payment diversification are further broadening reach and conversion. Intensified competition is motivating investments in micro-fulfillment networks and last-mile capabilities that shorten delivery windows. Meanwhile, regulatory shifts in privacy and cross-border duties are compelling firms to recalibrate data strategies and supply chains to sustain margin resilience. Together, these forces point to a Canada e-commerce market that is moving into a scale phase where omnichannel and logistics excellence determine share gains.

Key Report Takeaways

  • By business model, the B2C segment led with 65% of Canada e-commerce market share in 2024, while B2B is projected to expand at a 12.5% CAGR through 2030.  
  • By device type, desktop/laptop held 55% of the Canada e-commerce market size in 2024; smartphones are advancing at an 18.1% CAGR between 2025 and 2030.  
  • By payment method, credit/debit cards commanded 64% share of the Canada e-commerce market size in 2024, with BNPL solutions growing at 19.2% CAGR to 2030.  
  • By product category, consumer electronics accounted for an 18% share of the Canada e-commerce market size in 2024, while beauty and personal care is rising at a 14.5% CAGR through 2030.  

Segment Analysis

By Business Model: B2B Exhibits Accelerated Digital Migration

The B2C segment represented 65% of the Canada e-commerce market in 2024, underscoring its entrenched consumer adoption. However, the B2B channel is tracking a 12.5% CAGR from 2025 to 2030, well above the total market pace. Procurement departments are shifting to digital workflows that integrate catalog search, purchase-order automation, and budget controls. Vertical marketplaces for construction, healthcare, and industrial supplies simplify supplier discovery and compliance validation. Subscription replenishment and punch-out catalog features mirror consumer convenience, narrowing experiential gaps between business and personal shopping.

B2C growth persists as social-commerce funnels and DTC playbooks deepen engagement. Influencer-led drops and community memberships lock in repeat buyers. Meanwhile, B2B portals adopt AI-based demand-forecast modules that align purchasing with production schedules, reducing stockouts and over-ordering. The convergence of expectations is leading to unified platform architectures that serve both personas with role-based interfaces, thereby expanding total addressable volume in the Canada e-commerce market.

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By Device Type: Smartphones Close the Conversion Gap

Desktops commanded 55% of transactions in 2024, yet smartphones are growing at 18.1% CAGR, reshaping merchandising priorities. Progressive web apps now deliver near-native performance, narrowing the historical 2.3x desktop-mobile conversion gap to 1.4x. Mobile wallets such as Apple Pay and Google Pay cut checkout friction and lift conversion by 28% when enabled. Voice commerce and connected-device shopping represent less than 5% of orders but signal a future multimodal landscape.

Retailers optimizing product imagery, one-hand navigation, and biometric login earn disproportionate share of wallet among younger cohorts. Inventory visibility tailored to geo-location supports last-minute pickup and delivery, boosting impulse purchasing. As smartphone penetration nears saturation, incremental growth will depend on latency reductions and richer real-time personalization that leverages device sensors, cementing the centrality of mobile in the Canada e-commerce market.

By Payment Method: BNPL Catalyzes Higher Basket Sizes

Credit/debit cards held 64% market share in 2024. BNPL, while nascent, is scaling at 19.2% CAGR and is forecast to reach USD 11.32 billion in transaction value by 2030. Merchants advertising BNPL at product pages see basket values climb 30-45% as consumers amortize higher-ticket purchases. Digital wallets rank second for popularity, especially on mobile, combining tokenized security with one-tap ease. Open-banking payments are in pilot but promise lower interchange fees and instant settlement.

Regulatory scrutiny from the Financial Consumer Agency of Canada is prompting providers to clarify fee structures and repayment schedules. Nonetheless, flexible terms resonate with budget-conscious shoppers, suggesting sustained double-digit expansion. Merchants adopting multi-rail orchestration can route transactions by cost and risk, optimizing net margin while meeting shopper preference across the Canada e-commerce market.

Canada E-commerce Market: Market Share by Payment Method
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Note: Segment shares of all individual segments available upon report purchase

By B2C Product Category: Beauty Leads Growth Momentum

Consumer electronics remained the largest category with 18% share in 2024, aligned with high ASPs and frequent upgrade cycles. Beauty and personal care, however, is the fastest riser at a 14.5% CAGR to 2030, fueled by virtual try-on and replenishment subscriptions. User-generated content on social platforms drives discovery, with 54% of beauty transactions influenced by social feeds.

Fashion and apparel combat high return rates through AI sizing tools that cut misfits by 23%, while meal-kit providers maintain pandemic-era momentum via curated menu personalization. Furniture retailers leverage AR to visualize fit and color, reducing return freight costs. Each vertical’s optimized experience underlines the shift toward specialized value propositions within the Canada e-commerce market.

Geography Analysis

Ontario and Quebec control 65% of transaction value, supported by dense populations and robust fiber coverage. Urban centers such as Toronto, Montreal, and Ottawa show penetration levels comparable to leading U.S. metros. British Columbia and Alberta form the next tier, with lifestyle-driven category skews toward outdoor gear and wellness. Cross-border purchasing remains elevated in border provinces, where delivery times from U.S. micro-fulfillment hubs average two days. The recent duty-free suspension has spurred Canadian sellers to warehouse inventory stateside to protect competitive delivery times.

Quebec’s Bill 96 demands French-language parity across all digital touchpoints by June 2025, impacting 250,000 businesses. Compliance costs are encouraging adoption of AI translation and bilingual CX tooling that raises conversion by 35% among francophone shoppers. Atlantic Canada’s sparse connectivity suppresses adoption, though federal broadband initiatives promise incremental uplift post-2026. Prairie provinces exhibit strong agricultural-equipment e-procurement, illustrating regional specialization.

Growth pockets emerge in second-tier cities where cost-of-living advantages attract population inflows. Retailers tailoring assortments and fulfillment to these local nuances gain traction. Consequently, the Canada e-commerce market demonstrates a mosaic of micro-dynamics that require province-specific go-to-market blueprints.

Competitive Landscape

The top five players hold around 40% share, indicating moderate concentration. Amazon Canada leads with a Prime-driven value proposition that locks in loyalty through fast shipping and exclusive media. Walmart and Costco leverage store footprints as forward-inventory nodes, reducing last-mile costs and enabling same-day pickup. Canadian Tire’s agile curbside model converts its broad category mix into rapid fulfillment, supporting its omnichannel ambitions.

Shopify’s acquisition of Deliverr for USD 2.1 billion strengthens its fulfillment network, giving merchants two-day coverage nationwide and challenging Amazon’s logistics moat. Larger incumbents invest in robotics-enabled DCs to raise throughput and lower per-unit costs. Specialized vertical merchants capitalize on domain expertise and curated assortments to attract enthusiast consumers. Social-commerce natives use influencer coalitions and content commerce to bypass traditional advertising, gaining rapid brand awareness.

Privacy regulation and language mandates add new competitive variables. Firms with scalable compliance frameworks and bilingual platforms gain faster entry into Quebec and data-sensitive segments. As technology and last-mile capabilities converge, differentiation gravitates to loyalty ecosystems, curated private labels, and sustainability commitments, shaping the next phase of the Canada e-commerce market.

Canada E-commerce Industry Leaders

  1. Amazon.com Canada Ltd.

  2. Walmart Canada Corp.

  3. Costco Wholesale Canada Ltd.

  4. Home Depot of Canada Inc.

  5. Apple Canada Inc.

  6. *Disclaimer: Major Players sorted in no particular order
Canada E-commercce Market Concentration
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Recent Industry Developments

  • April 2025: Shopify acquired Deliverr for USD 2.1 billion, securing nationwide two-day fulfillment that enhances merchant conversion and narrows delivery-speed gaps with Amazon.
  • March 2025: Amazon Canada committed USD 1.2 billion to three robotics facilities in Ontario and British Columbia, aiming to scale inventory depth and shorten delivery windows for Prime members.
  • February 2025: Walmart Canada introduced a Delivery-as-a-Service model, monetizing its logistics network by offering same-day last-mile solutions to third-party sellers targeting urban shoppers.
  • January 2025: Canadian Tire earmarked USD 300 million for digital upgrades including AI search and enhanced mobile UX, accelerating omnichannel integration across its retail chain.

Table of Contents for Canada E-commerce Industry Report

1. INTRODUCTION

  • 1.1 Study Assumptions and Market Definition
  • 1.2 Scope of the Study

2. RESEARCH METHODOLOGY

3. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

4. MARKET LANDSCAPE

  • 4.1 Market Overview
  • 4.2 Market Drivers
    • 4.2.1 Intensifying Same-Day Delivery Promos in Ontario’s Urban Core
    • 4.2.2 Accelerated Adoption of Interac Online and Contactless Debit among Gen-Z
    • 4.2.3 U.S.–Canada Micro-Fulfilment Networks Lower Cross-Border Lead-Times
    • 4.2.4 Federal “Digital Adoption” Grants Boosting SMB Web-store Creation
    • 4.2.5 AI-powered Multilingual CX Tools Expanding Québec Conversion Rates
  • 4.3 Market Restraints
    • 4.3.1 Persistently High Rural Broadband Costs in Atlantic Canada
    • 4.3.2 Returns-logistics Surcharges on Bulky Items Hinders the Market
    • 4.3.3 Rising Privacy-law Compliance Spend under CPPA and Quebec Bill-64
    • 4.3.4 Intensified U.S. Marketplace Fee Structures Squeezing Margins
  • 4.4 Value Chain Analysis
  • 4.5 Regulatory Outlook
  • 4.6 Porter’s Five Forces Analysis
    • 4.6.1 Bargaining Power of Suppliers
    • 4.6.2 Bargaining Power of Buyers
    • 4.6.3 Threat of New Entrants
    • 4.6.4 Threat of Substitutes
    • 4.6.5 Intensity of Competitive Rivalry
  • 4.7 Key Market Trends and Share of E-commerce in Total Retail
  • 4.8 Assessment of Macro Economic Trends on the Market
  • 4.9 Demographic Analysis (Population, Internet, Age, Income)
  • 4.10 Cross-Border E-commerce Size and Trends
  • 4.11 Canada’s Position in North-American E-commerce

5. MARKET SIZE AND GROWTH FORECASTS (VALUES)

  • 5.1 By Business Model
    • 5.1.1 B2C
    • 5.1.2 B2B
  • 5.2 By Device Type
    • 5.2.1 Smartphone / Mobile
    • 5.2.2 Desktop and Laptop
    • 5.2.3 Other Device Types
  • 5.3 By Payment Method
    • 5.3.1 Credit / Debit Cards
    • 5.3.2 Digital Wallets
    • 5.3.3 BNPL
    • 5.3.4 Other Payment Method
  • 5.4 By B2C Product Category
    • 5.4.1 Beauty and Personal Care
    • 5.4.2 Consumer Electronics
    • 5.4.3 Fashion and Apparel
    • 5.4.4 Food and Beverages
    • 5.4.5 Furniture and Home
    • 5.4.6 Toys, DIY and Media
    • 5.4.7 Other Product Categories

6. COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • 6.1 Market Concentration
  • 6.2 Strategic Moves
  • 6.3 Market Share Analysis
  • 6.4 Company Profiles (includes global-level overview, market-level overview, core segments, financials as available, strategic information, market rank/share, products and services, recent developments)
    • 6.4.1 Amazon.com Canada Ltd.
    • 6.4.2 Walmart Canada Corp.
    • 6.4.3 Costco Wholesale Canada Ltd.
    • 6.4.4 Canadian Tire Corporation Ltd.
    • 6.4.5 Shopify Inc.
    • 6.4.6 Hudson’s Bay Company
    • 6.4.7 Best Buy Canada Ltd.
    • 6.4.8 Home Depot of Canada Inc.
    • 6.4.9 Loblaw Companies Ltd. (incl. PC Express)
    • 6.4.10 Apple Canada Inc.
    • 6.4.11 Wayfair Canada Ltd.
    • 6.4.12 Indigo Books and Music Inc.
    • 6.4.13 Metro Inc.
    • 6.4.14 Sephora Canada Inc.
    • 6.4.15 Zara Canada Inc.
    • 6.4.16 Staples Canada ULC
    • 6.4.17 Simons Inc.
    • 6.4.18 MEC Mountain Equipment Company Ltd.
    • 6.4.19 eBay Canada Ltd.
    • 6.4.20 Groupe Aldo Inc.

7. MARKET OPPORTUNITIES AND FUTURE OUTLOOK

  • 7.1 White-space and Unmet-need Assessment
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Canada E-commerce Market Report Scope

E-commerce is the buying and selling of goods and services over the Internet through online shopping. However, this term is often used to describe a seller's efforts in selling products directly to consumers. It begins when potential customers learn about a product, buy it, use it, and ideally maintain lasting customer loyalty. The report's scope includes market sizes and forecasts for B2B and B2C e-commerce.

The Canada e-commerce market is segmented by B2C e-commerce (beauty and personal care, consumer electronics, fashion and apparel, food and beverage, and furniture and home) and B2B e-commerce. The market sizes and forecasts are provided in terms of value (USD) for all the above segments.

By Business Model B2C
B2B
By Device Type Smartphone / Mobile
Desktop and Laptop
Other Device Types
By Payment Method Credit / Debit Cards
Digital Wallets
BNPL
Other Payment Method
By B2C Product Category Beauty and Personal Care
Consumer Electronics
Fashion and Apparel
Food and Beverages
Furniture and Home
Toys, DIY and Media
Other Product Categories
By Business Model
B2C
B2B
By Device Type
Smartphone / Mobile
Desktop and Laptop
Other Device Types
By Payment Method
Credit / Debit Cards
Digital Wallets
BNPL
Other Payment Method
By B2C Product Category
Beauty and Personal Care
Consumer Electronics
Fashion and Apparel
Food and Beverages
Furniture and Home
Toys, DIY and Media
Other Product Categories
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Key Questions Answered in the Report

What is the current value of the Canada e-commerce market?

The market is valued at USD 41.79 billion in 2025 and is on track to reach USD 66.89 billion by 2030.

Which segment is expanding fastest within the Canada e-commerce market?

The B2B channel is growing at a 12.5% CAGR, outpacing the broader market’s 9.86% CAGR.

How quickly is mobile commerce growing?

Smartphone-based transactions are advancing at an 18.1% CAGR, eroding desktop’s historical dominance.

What payment method shows the highest growth momentum?

Buy Now Pay Later solutions are scaling at a 19.2% CAGR and are raising average order values by up to 45%.

How concentrated is the competitive landscape?

The top five companies hold around 40% market share, indicating moderate concentration and room for specialized entrants.

How are government grants influencing small business e-commerce adoption?

CDAP grants of up to CAD 15,000 have helped over 15,000 SMBs launch or upgrade online stores, driving 32% average sales lifts within six months.

Page last updated on: July 4, 2025

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