Norway Oil and Gas Market - Growth, Trends, and Forecast (2020 - 2025)

The Market is Segmented by Upstream, Midstream, and Downstream.

Market Snapshot

Study Period:

2018-2025

Base Year:

2019

CAGR:

7.5 %

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Market Overview

The Norwegian oil and gas market is expected to register a CAGR more significant than 7.5%. Factors, such as huge investment and government policies, are likely to drive the oil and gas market in Norway, during the forecast period. Oil companies increased their spending for the first time in 2018, since 2014. This is expected to propel the Norwegian oil and gas market. However, the Government of Norway is expected to divest investments from the oil and gas sector and increase the investments in alternative energy, which may hinder the growth of Norway's oil and gas market during the forecast period.

  • The oil and gas upstream sector is expected to dominate the Norwegian oil and gas market, owing to discoveries in the North Sea.
  • The increasing demand for LNG in the country leads to the integration of smart technologies in the existing LNG infrastructure, which may create an ample amount of opportunities for the market in the coming years.
  • Lower breakeven prices are expected to drive the Norwegian oil and gas market, mainly achieved by project re-engineering, efficiency gains, better expense management, and drop in oilfield services cost, due to lack in demand for services.

Scope of the Report

The scope of the Norwegian oil and gas market report includes:

Upstream
Onshore Exploration and Production Scenario
Offshore Exploration and Production Scenario
Petroleum Liquids Production in million bbl, until 2018
Annual Exploration Well Activity, until 2018
List of Key Projects
Existing Projects
Upcoming and Planned Projects
Midstream
Transportation Scenario
LNG Terminals, Processing Stations, and Storage
LNG Export and Import Statistics, until 2018
List of Key projects
Existing Projects
Upcoming and Planned Projects
Downstream
Refinery Sector Scenario
Norway Refinery Throughput Capacity in thousand barrels per day, until 2018
Petrochemical Plants
List of Key projects
Existing Projects
Upcoming and Planned Projects

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Key Market Trends

Upstream Sector to Dominate the Market

  • The upstream oil and gas investment in Norway has witnessed significant changes since 2014. Though oil production increased during 2014-2016, the operating cost declined during the same period.
  • However, the oil production of Norway has declined significantly. During 2016-2018, the oil production of the country declined by about 8%, and it is expected to further decline by another 4.7% by the end of 2020. However, the production is expected to witness a boom from 2021, as major fields begin production.
  • In order to offset the decline in production from mature oilfields, the upstream oil and gas companies are investing heavily in developing new oilfields. Moreover, the drop in breakeven prices has turned many oil and gas projects in the country profitable, which were first considered economically unviable due to low oil prices.
  • Moreover, in 2019, the investment in the Norwegian offshore oil and gas industry (excluding exploration) increased by 13%, to more than NOK 140 billion. A number of small projects received FIDs in 2017, 2018, and 2019, and they are expected to come online in 2020 and 2021.
  • Hence, investments and policies for new oilfields are expected to be the biggest and the most dominating drivers for the Norwegian oil and gas upstream market, during the forecast period.

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Lower Breakeven Prices are Expected to Drive the Market

  • The oil and gas industry, especially the upstream sector, is dependent on the price of crude oil. Prior to 2014, one of the major problems faced by the Norwegian petroleum industry was the high breakeven prices.
  • Some of the major companies, such as Statoil, now Equinor, registered a negative cash flow for some of its fields in 2013, despite the high oil price of USD 112 per barrel. After the steep oil price drop, which started in late-2014, almost every oilfield in the country became unprofitable.
  • However, during 2014-2017, many oilfields registered a drop in breakeven oil prices. As of 2018, Equinor’s breakeven oil price for its entire upstream portfolio was about USD 27 per barrel. The drop in breakeven prices was mainly achieved by project re-engineering, efficiency gains, better expense management, and drop in oilfield services cost, due to lack in demand for services.
  • This drop-in breakeven price has turned many projects profitable, which were first considered economically unviable due to low oil prices, for example, Johan Sverdrup and Johan Carstberg, which are expected to account for a significant share in Norway’s oil and gas industry investments.
  • Hence, by making some of the major projects economically viable, the drop in breakeven prices is expected to drive the Norwegian oil and gas market during the forecast period.

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Competitive Landscape

The Norwegian oil and gas market is moderately fragmented due to many companies operating in the industry. The key players in this market include Equinor ASA, Aker BP ASA, Total SA, Royal Dutch Shell PLC, and Exxon Mobil Corporation.

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Table Of Contents

  1. 1. INTRODUCTION

    1. 1.1 Scope of the Study

    2. 1.2 Market Definition

    3. 1.3 Study Assumptions

  2. 2. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

  3. 3. RESEARCH METHODOLOGY

  4. 4. MARKET OVERVIEW

    1. 4.1 Introduction

    2. 4.2 Oil and Gas Proven Reserves in Norway

    3. 4.3 Crude Oil and Natural Gas Production and Consumption Forecast in thousand barrels per day, until 2025

    4. 4.4 Refining Capacity and Forecast, until 2025

    5. 4.5 Refined Product Consumption Forecast, until 2025

    6. 4.6 LNG and Pipeline Export Capacity Forecast, until 2025

    7. 4.7 Average Onshore and Offshore Rigs, until 2019

    8. 4.8 Total Wells Drilled in Norway, by Type, 2018

    9. 4.9 List of Oil Fields in Norway, 2018

    10. 4.10 List of Gas Fields in Norway, 2018

    11. 4.11 Total Exploration Wells Drilled in Norway, 2018

    12. 4.12 Total Development Wells Drilled in Norway, 2018

    13. 4.13 Oil Production Market Share for Major Companies, 2018

    14. 4.14 Gas Production Market Share for Major Companies, 2018

    15. 4.15 Oil and Gas Industry Investment Trend

    16. 4.16 Recent Trends and Developments

    17. 4.17 Government Policies and Regulations

    18. 4.18 Market Dynamics

      1. 4.18.1 Drivers

      2. 4.18.2 Restraints

    19. 4.19 Supply-Chain Analysis

    20. 4.20 PESTLE Analysis

  5. 5. MARKET SEGMENTATION

    1. 5.1 Upstream

      1. 5.1.1 Onshore Exploration and Production Scenario

      2. 5.1.2 Offshore Exploration and Production Scenario

      3. 5.1.3 Petroleum Liquids Production in million bbl, until 2018

      4. 5.1.4 Annual Exploration Well Activity, until 2018

      5. 5.1.5 List of Key Projects

        1. 5.1.5.1 Existing Projects

        2. 5.1.5.2 Upcoming and Planned Projects

    2. 5.2 Midstream

      1. 5.2.1 Transportation Scenario

      2. 5.2.2 LNG Terminals, Processing Stations, and Storage

      3. 5.2.3 LNG Export and Import Statistics, until 2018

      4. 5.2.4 List of Key projects

        1. 5.2.4.1 Existing Projects

        2. 5.2.4.2 Upcoming and Planned Projects

    3. 5.3 Downstream

      1. 5.3.1 Refinery Sector Scenario

      2. 5.3.2 Norway Refinery Throughput Capacity in thousand barrels per day, until 2018

      3. 5.3.3 Petrochemical Plants

      4. 5.3.4 List of Key projects

        1. 5.3.4.1 Existing Projects

        2. 5.3.4.2 Upcoming and Planned Projects

  6. 6. COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

    1. 6.1 Mergers and Acquisitions, Joint Ventures, Collaborations, and Agreements

    2. 6.2 Strategies Adopted by Leading Players

    3. 6.3 Company Profiles

      1. 6.3.1 Equinor ASA

      2. 6.3.2 Aker BP ASA

      3. 6.3.3 Total SA

      4. 6.3.4 Royal Dutch Shell PLC

      5. 6.3.5 Exxon Mobil Corporation

      6. 6.3.6 DNO Norge AS

      7. 6.3.7 Petoro AS

      8. 6.3.8 Baker Hughes Company

      9. 6.3.9 Schlumberger Limited

      10. 6.3.10 Chevron Corporation

      11. 6.3.11 Vr Energi AS

  7. *List Not Exhaustive
  8. 7. MARKET OPPORTUNITIES AND FUTURE TRENDS

** Subject to Availability

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