Jordan Lubricants Market Size & Share Analysis - Growth Trends and Forecast (2026 - 2031)

Jordan Lubricants Market Trends and Insights

Surging Vehicle Population in Jordan

Vehicle registrations surpassed 2 million in 2024 and are on track to exceed 2.3 million by 2030, anchoring baseline demand for engine, transmission, and brake fluids. Hybrid clearances grew 27% year on year in 2025 following tax cuts, pushing SAE 0W-20 and 5W-30 synthetics deeper into the aftermarket. Private ownership climbed 6.4% during 2024, yet new import rules effective November 2025 restrict electric vehicles older than three years, lifting quality benchmarks that indirectly elevate lubricant performance requirements. The Jordan Standards and Metrology Organization (JSMO) tests every batch at its ISO/IEC 17025:2017-accredited lab, ensuring minimum viscosity, flash point, and base-number thresholds are met^{[1]JSMO, “Accredited Laboratories List,” jsmo.gov.jo} . 

Renewed Downstream Investments at Zarqa Refinery

Jordan Petroleum Refinery Company (JPRC) plans a USD 2.6 billion upgrade to lift crude capacity to 120,000 bpd, though talks with the Sinopec-Itochu consortium remain unresolved. Even during delay, JPRC’s 25,000 t/yr blending plant, certified to ISO 9001:2015 and approved by Mercedes-Benz and GE, supplies more than 100 grades locally. A successful expansion would unlock domestic Group II/III base oil streams, reducing import dependence and enabling premium synthetic blends. 

Accelerated Roll-Out of CCGT Plants

NEPCO’s installed 5,200 MW fleet includes several CCGT units, and a 700 MW tender published in November 2025 signals more turbines to come. ISO 8068:2024 raises oxidative-stability and volatility bars for turbine oils, promoting Group III+ and ester chemistries that support extended drain intervals. Reliable baseload gas capacity remains essential as Jordan targets 31% renewable electricity by 2030. 

Mandatory Engine-Efficiency Standards from 2027

Jordan intends to align with Euro 6 norms starting in 2027, driving demand for low-SAPS oils that protect diesel particulate filters. The Gulf Standards Organization’s GSO 1785-2:2023 already references ACEA sequences and provides a regional template. OEMs consequently specify thinner grades—SAE 0W-20 and below—that rely on Group III+ or PAO base stocks for cold-crank and volatility targets. 

Political and Economic Instability

Public debt stood at 112.5% of GDP in 2023, and the USD 1.2 billion IMF facility effective March 2024 obliges fiscal tightening, limiting public spending on fleet renewal. GDP grew only 2.6% in 2024 with similar expectations for 2025, slowing discretionary upgrades. Regional shocks from the Gaza crisis and the Syrian refugee burden dilute tourism receipts and remittances, reducing lubricant purchases. Environmental fines under the 2017 Protection Law reach JOD 10 million for severe contamination, adding compliance costs that smaller blenders struggle to absorb. 

Premium-Grade Lubricant Price Inflation Vs. Regional Peers

Absence of integrated Group II/III refining inflates import bills; Saudi, UAE, and Kuwaiti suppliers land synthetics 10–15% cheaper, squeezing Jordanian distributors. Castrol’s MoreCircular initiative showcases lower-carbon, re-refined base oils, but Jordan lacks a robust used-oil collection network, limiting local circular supply. JSMO’s four-stage certification secures product quality, yet the process adds cost and time to market entry^{[2]U.S. Commercial Service, “Jordan Standards and Certification,” trade.gov} . 

Segment Analysis

By Product Type: Industrial Engine Oil Outpaces Automotive Growth

Automotive engine oil held 32.78% of Jordan lubricants market share in 2025, yet industrial engine oil is forecast to register a 2.45% CAGR to 2031, outstripping every other category. Heavy-duty CK-4 and ACEA E9 oils serve haul trucks at Jordan Phosphate Mines Company and Arab Potash Company, while turbine oils meet ISO 8068:2024 standards in NEPCO’s CCGT fleet. Transmission, gear, and hydraulic fluids support the USD 2.5 billion Aqaba–Amman desalination build, with thousands of pumps and actuators coming online. 

Castrol’s MoreCircular program validated re-refined base oils globally, but Jordan’s collection rate remains low, limiting near-term supply. JSMO’s ISO/IEC 17025 lab tests viscosity, density, flash point, pour point, and base number, underpinning product credibility. JPRC’s 25,000 t/yr plant offers 100-plus grades, positioning JoPetrol to win tenders once domestic base-oil supply materializes through the refinery upgrade.

Note: Segment shares of all individual segments available upon report purchase

By Base Stock Type: Bio-Based Gains Traction amid Mineral Dominance

Mineral oil-based lubricants captured 66.32% of volume in 2025, yet bio-based lubricants are projected to clock a 2.89% CAGR through 2031, the fastest across base-stock groups. The Energy Sector Green Growth plan encourages biodegradable fluids in forestry, agriculture, and open-system hydraulics. Scientific literature reports 60–80% biodegradability within 28 days for ester-based lubricants, well above mineral benchmarks. 

Synthetic and semi-synthetic blends fulfill low-viscosity passenger-car requirements—SAE 0W-16 and below—that hinge on Group III+ or PAO chemistries. Jordan’s 2017 Environmental Protection Law sets stiff fines and even prison for hazardous-waste violations, nudging users toward lower-toxicity products. Shell’s local distributor already supplies biodegradable hydraulic fluids to Aqaba port, signaling early adoption.

Note: Segment shares of all individual segments available upon report purchase

By End-user Industry: Industrial Segment Accelerates on Power and Mining

Automotive represented 54.23% of volume in 2025; however, the industrial segment is on course for a 2.35% CAGR to 2031, lifted by power generation, mining, and infrastructure spending. The planned 700 MW CCGT facility and existing 5,200 MW portfolio sustain turbine-oil and transformer-oil demand. 

Mining consumes large volumes of diesel engine oil, gear oil, and hydraulic fluid in phosphate and potash operations. The two-wheeler fleet expands after 2025 duty cuts, supporting small but rising volumes of motorcycle oils. Greater Amman’s electric-bus roll-out trims diesel demand yet opens a niche for e-driveline lubricants.

Note: Segment shares of all individual segments available upon report purchase

Geography Analysis

Amman, Irbid, and Zarqa anchor more than half of lubricant consumption, mirroring vehicle registrations and industrial load centers. Amman hosts the BRT Green Line, ride-hailing fleets, and premium-oil retailers, while Zarqa is home to JPRC’s blending facility and the prospective refinery upgrade. Aqaba port drives marine-oil demand and functions as the entry gate for imported base stocks from GCC refiners, although land transport costs erode price competitiveness. 

The cabinet’s 2025 tax reforms and the November 2025 import-quality mandate improve fleet efficiency but tilt usage toward low-viscosity synthetics, primarily in urban zones. Rural governorates lag in charging infrastructure despite USD 15 million earmarked for Greater Amman chargers, creating an uneven transition to electric powertrains. Cross-border competition persists; GCC suppliers leverage economies of scale to land synthetics at double-digit discounts. 

Environmental oversight remains strict, especially near Aqaba’s marine ecosystem and in mining districts. Fines that reach JOD 10 million for severe contamination push operators toward biodegradables and certified waste-oil collection programs. NEPCO’s grid-expansion plans sustain transformer-oil demand countrywide, while smart-meter roll-outs will enlarge the pool of dielectric fluids required in distribution assets.